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Behavioural Surveillance Surveys - The Wisdom of Whores

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the spread <strong>of</strong> HIV. For this reason, surveys<br />

<strong>of</strong> behavior among young people are <strong>of</strong><br />

special interest in countries with high HIV<br />

prevalence. Even in countries where the HIV<br />

epidemic is sustained by sexual networking<br />

<strong>of</strong> men and women in the general population,<br />

certain sub-populations, notably sex workers<br />

and their regular clients, may contribute<br />

disproportionately to the spread <strong>of</strong> the virus.<br />

Focused surveys in these groups may<br />

therefore be justified.<br />

In countries or regions where HIV is<br />

concentrated in defined sub-populations<br />

with higher than average risk behavior, the<br />

bulk <strong>of</strong> behavioral surveillance should consist<br />

<strong>of</strong> BSS in these groups. <strong>The</strong>y typically include<br />

some or all <strong>of</strong> the following: men who have<br />

sex with men, injecting drug users, and male<br />

and female sex workers.<br />

In a concentrated epidemic, the virus may<br />

remain confined to circles <strong>of</strong> people with<br />

higher-risk behavior because there are few<br />

links between those populations and the<br />

general population. Or links and generalized<br />

risk behavior may exist, but HIV may not<br />

have infected enough individuals to result<br />

in explosive growth. In that case, it may be<br />

just a matter <strong>of</strong> time before the epidemic<br />

becomes generalized. Determining which <strong>of</strong><br />

these situations is the case and designing and<br />

measuring the success <strong>of</strong> the appropriate<br />

interventions are the key purposes <strong>of</strong> behavioral<br />

data collection in a concentrated epidemic.<br />

<strong>The</strong> extent to which HIV spreads from<br />

these sub-populations into a wider population<br />

depends on the sexual links between members<br />

<strong>of</strong> these groups and members <strong>of</strong> the general<br />

population. Some groups, notably men who<br />

are frequent clients <strong>of</strong> sex workers (and who<br />

are frequently associated with mobile<br />

occupations such as transport or defense<br />

work), can act as conduits between those with<br />

high risk and a wider population. <strong>The</strong>se<br />

groups may therefore also be included in BSS,<br />

and the links with different partner types<br />

should be a special focus <strong>of</strong> attention.<br />

It is recommended that countries with<br />

concentrated epidemics carry out occasional<br />

general population surveys to investigate<br />

links between high and low risk groups.<br />

However general population surveys are<br />

difficult to carry out, and may not be justified<br />

for this purpose alone. Some countries with<br />

concentrated epidemics may therefore choose<br />

to include groups representing people <strong>of</strong><br />

average risk in their BSS systems. <strong>The</strong>se<br />

groups serve principally for comparative<br />

purposes, and can provide an early warning<br />

if risk behavior suddenly increases. However<br />

it should be noted where risk behavior is<br />

already rare, very large sample sizes would be<br />

needed to show a significant decrease in risk<br />

over time.<br />

24<br />

C H A PTER 3 B EHAV I OR A L S U R V EI L L A NC E S U R V EY S

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