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Economic Models - Convex Optimization

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Inflation Control in Central and Eastern European Countries 197<br />

Datastream codes.<br />

Czech<br />

Germany Poland Republic Slovenia<br />

Exchange rate USXRUSD<br />

(US$ per ∈)<br />

Exchange rate BDESXUSD. POI..AF. CZXRUSD. SJXRUSD.<br />

(vs. US$)<br />

CPI BDCONPRCF POCONPRCF CZCONPRCF SJCONPRCF<br />

Industrial BDINPRODG POIPTOT5H CZIPTOT.H SJIPTO01H<br />

production<br />

3-month-rate BDINTER3 PO160C.. CZ160C.. SJI60B..<br />

Diagnostic tests of some specifications that we dismissed:<br />

Table 5b.<br />

Germany, PC equation, whole dataset.<br />

PC<br />

[sample: 91Q3–04Q1]<br />

ˆπ t = 0.47 − 0.29π t−1 − 0.66π t−1 − 0.53π t−2<br />

(0.48) (0.18) (0.18) (0.17)<br />

[N:0.00] [AC: 0.20] [H: 0.06] [Chow: 0.62]<br />

− 0.50π t−3 .<br />

(0.18)<br />

+ 7.22y t−1<br />

(13.41)

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