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Economic Models - Convex Optimization

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182 Fabrizio Iacone and Renzo Orsi<br />

the work). The inflation used for this graph was defined as the growth rate<br />

of prices on the previous year: we presented it albeit, we used a different<br />

measure in our empirical study because it is very common in the descriptive<br />

analysis in the literature. Clearly, though, averaging the inflation in this way<br />

induces spurious autocorrelation in the data, so in the empirical analysis we<br />

measure inflation as the annualized growth rate of prices over each period.<br />

We plotted this and the output gap for Germany in Fig. 2; in Figs. 3–5,<br />

we plot the same data and the yearly real exchange rate depreciation for<br />

Poland, Czech Republic, and Slovenia, respectively. From these figures, it<br />

Figure 2.<br />

Quarterly inflation and output gap, Germany.<br />

Figure 3.<br />

Quarterly inflation, output gap, real exchange rate depreciation, Poland.

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