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Economic Models - Convex Optimization

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Cheap-talk Multiple Equilibria and Pareto 111<br />

a high proportion of Bs to a low one, since it has one more instrument<br />

(namely, t a ) to influence the Bs than to regulate the NBs. A high spread<br />

t a − t, however, implies that the profits of the Bs will be low compared<br />

to those of the NBs. This, by Eq. (6), reduces the value of ˙π and leads<br />

over time to a lower proportion of Bs, diminishing the instantaneous utility<br />

of R. Therefore, in the dynamic problem, R will have to find an optimal<br />

compromise between choosing a high value of t a , which allows a low value<br />

of t and insures the regulator a high instantaneous utility, and choosing a<br />

lower one, leading to a more favorable proportion of Bs in the future. We<br />

are going to explore these mechanisms in more details in the next section.<br />

4. The Dynamic <strong>Optimization</strong> Problem<br />

4.1. Formulation<br />

Being atomistic, the firms do not recognize that their individual decisions<br />

to choose the B or NB prediction technology influence π over time. Assume<br />

that they consider π as constant. The regulator’s optimization problem is<br />

then:<br />

max (t a ,t) 0 ≤ t a (τ), t(τ)<br />

(19)<br />

such that Eqs.(6), (7), (11), (13), and π 0 = π(0).<br />

Using<br />

g := p − c x(1 + 2πt a )<br />

1 + c x (3 − 2π) ,<br />

h := p − t<br />

(20)<br />

.<br />

2c x<br />

The Hamiltonian of the above problem is given by<br />

H(t a ,t,π,λ)= h + π<br />

[h −<br />

(p − t)2<br />

4c x<br />

+ t(h − t a ) − ta2<br />

2<br />

(p − t)2<br />

+ (1 − π)<br />

[h − + t(h − g) − 1 4c x<br />

2 g2 − δ<br />

+ t[π(h − t a ) + (1 − π)(h − g)]<br />

− [π(h − t a ) + (1 − π)(h − g)] 2<br />

+ λπ(1 − π)β<br />

[tt a − ta2<br />

2 − th + 1 ]<br />

2 h2 + δ ,<br />

where λ is the co-state.<br />

]<br />

]

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