Economic Models - Convex Optimization
Economic Models - Convex Optimization
Economic Models - Convex Optimization
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Cheap-talk Multiple Equilibria and Pareto 111<br />
a high proportion of Bs to a low one, since it has one more instrument<br />
(namely, t a ) to influence the Bs than to regulate the NBs. A high spread<br />
t a − t, however, implies that the profits of the Bs will be low compared<br />
to those of the NBs. This, by Eq. (6), reduces the value of ˙π and leads<br />
over time to a lower proportion of Bs, diminishing the instantaneous utility<br />
of R. Therefore, in the dynamic problem, R will have to find an optimal<br />
compromise between choosing a high value of t a , which allows a low value<br />
of t and insures the regulator a high instantaneous utility, and choosing a<br />
lower one, leading to a more favorable proportion of Bs in the future. We<br />
are going to explore these mechanisms in more details in the next section.<br />
4. The Dynamic <strong>Optimization</strong> Problem<br />
4.1. Formulation<br />
Being atomistic, the firms do not recognize that their individual decisions<br />
to choose the B or NB prediction technology influence π over time. Assume<br />
that they consider π as constant. The regulator’s optimization problem is<br />
then:<br />
max (t a ,t) 0 ≤ t a (τ), t(τ)<br />
(19)<br />
such that Eqs.(6), (7), (11), (13), and π 0 = π(0).<br />
Using<br />
g := p − c x(1 + 2πt a )<br />
1 + c x (3 − 2π) ,<br />
h := p − t<br />
(20)<br />
.<br />
2c x<br />
The Hamiltonian of the above problem is given by<br />
H(t a ,t,π,λ)= h + π<br />
[h −<br />
(p − t)2<br />
4c x<br />
+ t(h − t a ) − ta2<br />
2<br />
(p − t)2<br />
+ (1 − π)<br />
[h − + t(h − g) − 1 4c x<br />
2 g2 − δ<br />
+ t[π(h − t a ) + (1 − π)(h − g)]<br />
− [π(h − t a ) + (1 − π)(h − g)] 2<br />
+ λπ(1 − π)β<br />
[tt a − ta2<br />
2 − th + 1 ]<br />
2 h2 + δ ,<br />
where λ is the co-state.<br />
]<br />
]