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Financial sector development - Sida

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Source: A. Chhibber, Journal of Africa Economies - May 1995.<br />

The impression gained from this picture, for instance the ranking order of the three<br />

countries, can be reinforced by looking at a number of other variables, such as income<br />

per capita, relative prevalance of poverty etc. Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia and other<br />

countries of interest in the Swedish aid context, would show a pattern similar to that of<br />

Ghana in this picture.<br />

The focus here is on the financial aspects of <strong>development</strong> in Africa and East Asia. The<br />

financial systems in most countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have a number of<br />

characteristics in common. They are part and parcel of, and to some extent a cause of<br />

the stagnation in the African economies. By contrast, the East Asian economies have on<br />

the whole created financial environments which have been conducive to economic<br />

progress -- although there are substantial differences between the countries.<br />

In Africa, as well as in East Asia, banks and other financial institutions operate in a policy<br />

environment which is largely determined by the countries' governments, including central<br />

banks and regulatory agencies. It may be useful to divide the "policy environment" into<br />

two spheres. One has to do with fiscal and monetary policies, including the modes of<br />

financing government deficits. These policies largely determine the growth and stability of<br />

the economy. The second sphere of the "policy environment" relates more specifically to<br />

the legislative and regulatory rules and frameworks surrounding the operations of<br />

financial institutions and markets.<br />

The most notable differences between the financial systems in African and East Asian<br />

economies concern the first aspect of policies, i.e. those that define the macro-economic<br />

frameworks and, specifically, the degree of stability of the economies. Table 3 below<br />

illustrates some of the relevant differences in the "stability record" between Sub-Saharan<br />

African and East Asia.<br />

Table 3. Some macroeconomic indicators for Africa and East Asia<br />

(1960-1992)<br />

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

Budget Inflation Black market Real interest<br />

balance 1 rate 2 exchange rate rates 3<br />

premium<br />

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

Africa (SSA) -5.5 26.9 76.6 -67.0<br />

East Asia -1.8 16.4 7.6 +2.0<br />

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

1 Including foreign grants.<br />

2 GDP deflators.<br />

3 Banks’ deposit rates deflated by consumer price indices. Data cover only the period 1986-1993.<br />

Main source: Collins and Bosworth, "Economic Growth in East Asia", in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,<br />

1996:2.<br />

Source for real interest rates: IMF, Sub-Saharan Africa, Growth, Savings and Investment, 1986-93.<br />

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------<br />

The effects of the macroeconomic and financial instability in African economies on<br />

financial markets have been compounded by some other features, common to most<br />

37

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