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Financial sector development - Sida

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Such markets also offer domestic possibilities to raise capital also for projects initiated by<br />

foreign investors.<br />

6.5 Portfolio investors in developed countries<br />

Portfolio investors in developed countries are increasingly attracted to capital markets in<br />

developing countries. As shown in section 7.5 the net portfolio equity flows to developing<br />

countries have increased from almost nil in the 1980s to around USD 35 billion annually<br />

in the last three years. Portfolio managers have realised that investing in "emerging<br />

markets" offer prospects for increased capital gains at reduced risks. African stocks have<br />

also attracted foreign portfolio investors. In 1994 more than USD 450 million (half of this<br />

in South Africa) were invested in the African stock markets.<br />

The trend towards increased diversification of investor portfolios is likely to continue. The<br />

share of developing countries securities in investor portfolios of developed countries can<br />

be expected to at least double in the next ten years from the present level of about 1 per<br />

cent. According to one estimate, 40-45 per cent of the world stock market capitalisation in<br />

2010 will be domiciled in developing countries (compared to about 15 per cent in 1994).<br />

In the same period, the share of African stocks in the emerging market portfolios is<br />

expected to increase from 1.9 per cent to 3.2 per cent (Barings Securities 1994). See<br />

also box 7 regarding growth of private pension funds in OECD countries.<br />

6.6 Capital requirements for infrastructure projects<br />

The last few years have seen an unprecedented world-wide increase in private<br />

participation in infrastructure financing. Provision of efficient infrastructure services,<br />

encompassing not only telecommunications and energy but also services related to<br />

transports are now widely recognised as indispensable to economic progress. The<br />

upsurge of interest in private financing of infrastructure has come from several sources.<br />

In many countries, governments and consumers have become disenchanted with the<br />

poor performance of publicly-owned infrastructure enterprises which provide infrastructure<br />

services. Constraints on traditional sources of finance for publicly-owned<br />

infrastructure enterprises have encouraged some governments to turn to private<br />

financing. Technological changes have also been important: telecommunications, power<br />

and transport systems are being "unbundled", generating competition in service provision<br />

which has reduced unit costs and facilitated private entry.<br />

Developments in financial markets, and innovations in financial products such as Build<br />

Operate and Transfer, have enabled sponsors of private infrastructure projects to draw<br />

on a wider pool of financiers and financing techniques. According to estimates by the<br />

International Finance Corporation (IFC) the annual capital requirements for investments<br />

in infrastructure facilities in developing countries may exceed USD 200 billion per year in<br />

the coming ten years.<br />

6.7 Need to restructure social security systems<br />

29

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