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Financial sector development - Sida

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markets. Of course, financial market <strong>development</strong> projects could in principle be used to<br />

obtain similar results, for example through the earmarking of credit funds for environmentally<br />

sustainable technologies. However, from an efficiency point of view, it is<br />

generally more efficient to give direct subsidies to the preferred products/production<br />

methods and to avoid direct subsidy interventions in the financial markets.<br />

Environmental concerns are particularly low when working with institutional <strong>development</strong><br />

of the financial <strong>sector</strong> per se. However, when the financial <strong>sector</strong> is used as a means to<br />

channel financial support to projects, the case is somewhat different. <strong>Sida</strong> is subject to farreaching<br />

scrutiny by the public on the use of Swedish aid funds. Thus, in the case of<br />

on-lending of aid funds, the environmental effects of the projects for which the funds are<br />

ultimately used need to be assessed.<br />

Finally, it is interesting to note that in all <strong>Sida</strong> Action Programmes as well as in this report<br />

on financial <strong>sector</strong> <strong>development</strong>, good governance and an appropriate institutional<br />

framework are emphasised as essential preconditions.<br />

3. SAVINGS, INVESTMENT AND GROWTH<br />

To save is to sacrifice current consumption for the future. In the national accounting<br />

system, savings are defined as the residual when the value of the total production is<br />

reduced by the value of total consumption. The savings rate, i.e. gross national savings as<br />

a share of GDP, has fallen world-wide since the 1970s, although there is considerable<br />

variation between countries. When analysing the economic performance of developing<br />

countries in recent decades, an apparent empirical relationship emerges: economies<br />

showing high real growth rates usually also have high rates of savings and investment.<br />

Nevertheless, it is not necessarily the case that high savings is a prerequisite for<br />

investment, in turn causing high growth. It may be that there are other features of an<br />

economy that promote growth, which in turn encourage further savings and investment. It<br />

may be that other features drive savings, investment and growth.<br />

3.1 Growth and investment<br />

A cherished view among <strong>development</strong> economists ever since the 1940s has been that<br />

growth is best promoted by increasing investment, i.e. physical capital accumulation (the<br />

Harrod-Domar model). The approach may be labeled capital fundamentalism, and has<br />

been a guiding principle for a substantial share of <strong>development</strong> policies. In contrast,<br />

traditional neoclassical theory assigns a very limited role to capital accumulation, and thus<br />

the savings rate (the Solow-Swan model). A more recent theoretical <strong>development</strong> is the so<br />

called endogenous growth school which assumes, briefly, that technological change is<br />

determined by research and <strong>development</strong> activities. An implication of these newer theories<br />

is that investments in physical or human capital indeed may raise the rate of growth. In<br />

certain respects this is the return of capital fundamentalism.<br />

Nevertheless, the causality between investment and growth remains unsettled. Recent<br />

empirical findings suggest a reverse causality: economic growth starts accelerating before<br />

investment ratios start to increase. Other studies examine the relationship between growth<br />

and investment in more detail, investigating the kind of investments which seems to go<br />

13

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