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barcelona . spain - European Association for the Study of the Liver

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BARCELONA . SPAIN<br />

56 POSTGRADUATE COURSE SYLLABUS ALCOHOLIC LIVER DISEASE 57<br />

APRIL 18 - 19/2012 THE INTERNATIONAL LIVER CONGRESS TM 2012<br />

SIRS was an independent predictor <strong>of</strong> in-hospital mortality in ACLF. Ano<strong>the</strong>r independent predictor <strong>of</strong> shortterm<br />

mortality was ductular bilirubinostasis on biopsy which is an important marker <strong>of</strong> sepsis and multiorgan<br />

failure (Lefkowitch 1982). Of high importance, ductular bilirubinostasis on histology showed a<br />

clear correlation with development <strong>of</strong> infection during hospitalization. Taken toge<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> findings <strong>of</strong><br />

this study suggest that SIRS and ductular bilirubinostasis, as early signs <strong>of</strong> infectious complications, might<br />

be helpful to detect ACLF in a stage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> disease when <strong>the</strong>rapeutic interventions might still be effective.<br />

Table 2<br />

A histopathological prognoctic scoring system is currently being validated internationally (Altamirano et al).<br />

Table 1<br />

Multivariate analysis ascertained <strong>the</strong> following parameters to be related to mortality: age (P= 0.0003),<br />

SIRS within <strong>the</strong> first 48 hours <strong>of</strong> admission (P=0.05) and <strong>the</strong> histological presence <strong>of</strong> marked ductular<br />

bilirubinostasis (P=0.04) and Mallory bodies (P=0.01). In <strong>the</strong> CHD group, <strong>the</strong> small number <strong>of</strong> death did<br />

not allow us to establish significant differences <strong>for</strong> in hospital mortality in comparison with <strong>the</strong> ACLF group<br />

Results<br />

Individual parameters:<br />

Clinical parameters predictive <strong>of</strong> in-hospital mortality in ACLF within 48 hours <strong>of</strong> admission and histological<br />

features predictive <strong>for</strong> mortality at <strong>the</strong> moment <strong>of</strong> diagnosis are listed in table 4. Univariate analysis <strong>of</strong> a<br />

wide spectrum <strong>of</strong> clinical parameters showed age, INR and SIRS as predictors <strong>of</strong> in-hospital mortality.<br />

At <strong>the</strong> moment <strong>of</strong> diagnosis (around 1 week after admission) serum creatinine (P=0.008) and bilirubin<br />

(P=0.01) levels also predicted outcome. Among histological features marked ductular bilirubinostasis<br />

(P=0.003) (Figure 3) and Mallory bodies (P=0.002) predicted in-hospital mortality.

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