US-China Commission Report - Fatal System Error
US-China Commission Report - Fatal System Error
US-China Commission Report - Fatal System Error
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106<br />
ENDNOTES FOR CHAPTER 1<br />
1. IMF, World Economic Outlook 2008, October 2008, p. 2. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2008/02/pdf/text.pdf;<br />
Geoff Dyer, ‘‘Chinese Quarterly GDP Growth<br />
Falls to 9.0%,’’ Financial Times, October 20, 2008.<br />
2. ‘‘Analysts View 2-Asia Reacts After Major C. Banks Slash Rates,’’ Telegraph,<br />
October 9, 2008. http://www.hemscott.com/news/static/tfn/item.donewsId=67476085<br />
984853.<br />
3. <strong>US</strong>TR (Office of the U.S. Trade Representative) ‘‘2008 National Trade Estimate<br />
<strong>Report</strong> on Foreign Trade Barriers—<strong>China</strong>’’ (Washington, DC: May 28, 2008).<br />
4. Central Intelligence Agency, ‘‘<strong>China</strong>,’’ The World Factbook, October 2, 2008.<br />
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ch.html.<br />
5. The current account is the broadest measure of U.S. international trade and<br />
financial transactions in goods, services, income, and unilateral transfers. In 2007,<br />
the United States had a $5.4 billion surplus in services with <strong>China</strong>, which is<br />
dwarfed by its $256.61 billion deficit in goods with <strong>China</strong>. The U.S. current account<br />
balance with <strong>China</strong> for 2007 was a deficit of $289.7 billion. See U.S. Department<br />
of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, ‘‘U.S.-International Transactions, by<br />
Area-<strong>China</strong>.’’ www.bea.gov/international/bplweb/simple.cfmanon=79816&tablelid<br />
=10&arealid=35.<br />
6. ‘‘Rebalancing Act,’’ Economist, August 14, 2008.<br />
7. ‘‘<strong>China</strong> Jan–September trade surplus 180.9 bln usd, down 2.6 pct yr-on-yr-<br />
UPDATE,’’ Thompson Financial News, October 13, 2008. www.forbes.com/afxnews<br />
limited/feeds/afx/2008/10/13/afx5541975.html.<br />
8. ‘‘<strong>China</strong> Forex [foreign exchange] Reserves Exceed 1.9 Trillion U.S. Dollars,’’<br />
Xinhua, October 14, 2008. news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008–10/14/contentl1019<br />
3072.htm.<br />
9. U.S.-<strong>China</strong> Economic and Security Review <strong>Commission</strong>, Hearing on Research<br />
and Development, Technological Advances in Key Industries, and Changing Trade<br />
Flows with <strong>China</strong>, written testimony of Charles W. McMillion, July 16, 2008.<br />
10. Wayne M. Morrison ‘‘<strong>China</strong>’s Economic Conditions,’’ CRS (Congressional Research<br />
Service) <strong>Report</strong> to Congress (Washington, DC: September 16, 2008), p. 2, referencing<br />
September 16, 2008, calculation from the Bank of <strong>China</strong> with the dollar<br />
at 6.82 RMB.<br />
11. ‘‘Rebalancing Act,’’ Economist, August 14, 2008.<br />
12. In 2007, the U.S. trade deficit in goods with <strong>China</strong> was $256.61 billion, and<br />
the U.S. trade deficit with the world was $794.5 billion. See U.S. Census Bureau,<br />
Foreign Trade Division, 2008. www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/index.html.<br />
13. TreasuryDirect, ‘‘The Debt to the Penny and Who Holds It,’’ October 7, 2008.<br />
www.treasurydirect.gov/NP/BPDLoginapplication=np.<br />
14. William R. Cline and John Williamson, ‘‘New Estimates of Fundamental<br />
Equilibrium Exchange Rates,’’ Peterson Institute for International Economics, policy<br />
brief PB08–7, July 2008; Keith Bradsher, ‘‘Main Bank of <strong>China</strong> is in Need of Capital,’’<br />
New York Times, September 5, 2008.<br />
15. Belinda Chao and Judy Chen, ‘‘<strong>China</strong> to Slow Yuan Gains for Growth, Researcher<br />
Says,’’ Bloomberg, July 29, 2008; Andrew Batson, ‘‘<strong>China</strong> Inflation Eases<br />
as Trade Gap Grows,’’ Wall Street Journal, September 10, 2008.<br />
16. Judy Chen and Belinda Cao, ‘‘Yuan Falls Most Since End of Peg on Policy<br />
to Maintain Growth,’’ Bloomberg, September 26, 2008.<br />
17. Brad Setser, ‘‘Back to the Future: Is <strong>China</strong>’s New Renminbi Policy <strong>China</strong>’s<br />
Old Renminbi Policy’’ Follow the Money blog, July 31, 2008. blogs.cfr.org/setser/;<br />
Martin Wolf and Geoff Dyer, ‘‘Renminbi Rise ‘Less Necessary’,’’ Financial Times,<br />
August 31, 2008.<br />
18. Martin Wolf and Geoff Dyer, ‘‘Renminbi Rise ‘Less Necessary’,’’ Financial<br />
Times, August 31, 2008.<br />
19. Bruce Stokes, ‘‘<strong>China</strong>’s Problems Will Outlast Olympic Games,’’ National<br />
Journal, August 2, 2008.<br />
20. Belinda Chao and Judy Chen, ‘‘<strong>China</strong> to Slow Yuan Gains for Growth, Researcher<br />
Says,’’ Bloomberg, July 29, 2008.<br />
21. ‘‘Chinese Inflation Falls to 10-Month Low,’’ Reuters, August 12, 2008.<br />
22. Peter Garnham, ‘‘Renminbi Fall Fuels Talk of Policy Shift,’’ Financial Times,<br />
July 29, 2008; Belinda Chao and Judy Chen, ‘‘<strong>China</strong> to Slow Yuan Gains for<br />
Growth, Researcher Says,’’ Bloomberg, July 29, 2008.<br />
23. Lex, ‘‘<strong>China</strong> Goes for Growth,’’ Financial Times, August 3, 2008.<br />
24. IMF, World Economic Outlook 2008, October 2008, p. 5. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2008/02/pdf/text.pdf.<br />
25. ‘‘IMF to Evaluate Whether <strong>China</strong> Currency Policy is Misaligned,’’<br />
<strong>China</strong>TradeExtra.com, July 9, 2008.