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US-China Commission Report - Fatal System Error

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106<br />

ENDNOTES FOR CHAPTER 1<br />

1. IMF, World Economic Outlook 2008, October 2008, p. 2. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2008/02/pdf/text.pdf;<br />

Geoff Dyer, ‘‘Chinese Quarterly GDP Growth<br />

Falls to 9.0%,’’ Financial Times, October 20, 2008.<br />

2. ‘‘Analysts View 2-Asia Reacts After Major C. Banks Slash Rates,’’ Telegraph,<br />

October 9, 2008. http://www.hemscott.com/news/static/tfn/item.donewsId=67476085<br />

984853.<br />

3. <strong>US</strong>TR (Office of the U.S. Trade Representative) ‘‘2008 National Trade Estimate<br />

<strong>Report</strong> on Foreign Trade Barriers—<strong>China</strong>’’ (Washington, DC: May 28, 2008).<br />

4. Central Intelligence Agency, ‘‘<strong>China</strong>,’’ The World Factbook, October 2, 2008.<br />

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/ch.html.<br />

5. The current account is the broadest measure of U.S. international trade and<br />

financial transactions in goods, services, income, and unilateral transfers. In 2007,<br />

the United States had a $5.4 billion surplus in services with <strong>China</strong>, which is<br />

dwarfed by its $256.61 billion deficit in goods with <strong>China</strong>. The U.S. current account<br />

balance with <strong>China</strong> for 2007 was a deficit of $289.7 billion. See U.S. Department<br />

of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, ‘‘U.S.-International Transactions, by<br />

Area-<strong>China</strong>.’’ www.bea.gov/international/bplweb/simple.cfmanon=79816&tablelid<br />

=10&arealid=35.<br />

6. ‘‘Rebalancing Act,’’ Economist, August 14, 2008.<br />

7. ‘‘<strong>China</strong> Jan–September trade surplus 180.9 bln usd, down 2.6 pct yr-on-yr-<br />

UPDATE,’’ Thompson Financial News, October 13, 2008. www.forbes.com/afxnews<br />

limited/feeds/afx/2008/10/13/afx5541975.html.<br />

8. ‘‘<strong>China</strong> Forex [foreign exchange] Reserves Exceed 1.9 Trillion U.S. Dollars,’’<br />

Xinhua, October 14, 2008. news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008–10/14/contentl1019<br />

3072.htm.<br />

9. U.S.-<strong>China</strong> Economic and Security Review <strong>Commission</strong>, Hearing on Research<br />

and Development, Technological Advances in Key Industries, and Changing Trade<br />

Flows with <strong>China</strong>, written testimony of Charles W. McMillion, July 16, 2008.<br />

10. Wayne M. Morrison ‘‘<strong>China</strong>’s Economic Conditions,’’ CRS (Congressional Research<br />

Service) <strong>Report</strong> to Congress (Washington, DC: September 16, 2008), p. 2, referencing<br />

September 16, 2008, calculation from the Bank of <strong>China</strong> with the dollar<br />

at 6.82 RMB.<br />

11. ‘‘Rebalancing Act,’’ Economist, August 14, 2008.<br />

12. In 2007, the U.S. trade deficit in goods with <strong>China</strong> was $256.61 billion, and<br />

the U.S. trade deficit with the world was $794.5 billion. See U.S. Census Bureau,<br />

Foreign Trade Division, 2008. www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/index.html.<br />

13. TreasuryDirect, ‘‘The Debt to the Penny and Who Holds It,’’ October 7, 2008.<br />

www.treasurydirect.gov/NP/BPDLoginapplication=np.<br />

14. William R. Cline and John Williamson, ‘‘New Estimates of Fundamental<br />

Equilibrium Exchange Rates,’’ Peterson Institute for International Economics, policy<br />

brief PB08–7, July 2008; Keith Bradsher, ‘‘Main Bank of <strong>China</strong> is in Need of Capital,’’<br />

New York Times, September 5, 2008.<br />

15. Belinda Chao and Judy Chen, ‘‘<strong>China</strong> to Slow Yuan Gains for Growth, Researcher<br />

Says,’’ Bloomberg, July 29, 2008; Andrew Batson, ‘‘<strong>China</strong> Inflation Eases<br />

as Trade Gap Grows,’’ Wall Street Journal, September 10, 2008.<br />

16. Judy Chen and Belinda Cao, ‘‘Yuan Falls Most Since End of Peg on Policy<br />

to Maintain Growth,’’ Bloomberg, September 26, 2008.<br />

17. Brad Setser, ‘‘Back to the Future: Is <strong>China</strong>’s New Renminbi Policy <strong>China</strong>’s<br />

Old Renminbi Policy’’ Follow the Money blog, July 31, 2008. blogs.cfr.org/setser/;<br />

Martin Wolf and Geoff Dyer, ‘‘Renminbi Rise ‘Less Necessary’,’’ Financial Times,<br />

August 31, 2008.<br />

18. Martin Wolf and Geoff Dyer, ‘‘Renminbi Rise ‘Less Necessary’,’’ Financial<br />

Times, August 31, 2008.<br />

19. Bruce Stokes, ‘‘<strong>China</strong>’s Problems Will Outlast Olympic Games,’’ National<br />

Journal, August 2, 2008.<br />

20. Belinda Chao and Judy Chen, ‘‘<strong>China</strong> to Slow Yuan Gains for Growth, Researcher<br />

Says,’’ Bloomberg, July 29, 2008.<br />

21. ‘‘Chinese Inflation Falls to 10-Month Low,’’ Reuters, August 12, 2008.<br />

22. Peter Garnham, ‘‘Renminbi Fall Fuels Talk of Policy Shift,’’ Financial Times,<br />

July 29, 2008; Belinda Chao and Judy Chen, ‘‘<strong>China</strong> to Slow Yuan Gains for<br />

Growth, Researcher Says,’’ Bloomberg, July 29, 2008.<br />

23. Lex, ‘‘<strong>China</strong> Goes for Growth,’’ Financial Times, August 3, 2008.<br />

24. IMF, World Economic Outlook 2008, October 2008, p. 5. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2008/02/pdf/text.pdf.<br />

25. ‘‘IMF to Evaluate Whether <strong>China</strong> Currency Policy is Misaligned,’’<br />

<strong>China</strong>TradeExtra.com, July 9, 2008.

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