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EAP - The Pacific Infrastructure Challenge - World Bank (2006).pdf

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Figure 8.5: Mainlines Trend<br />

0.600<br />

Number of Mainlines in operation per capita in 2002<br />

0.500<br />

0.400<br />

0.300<br />

0.200<br />

Jamaica<br />

St Lucia<br />

Dominica<br />

y = 7E-05x - 0.014<br />

Tonga<br />

Fiji<br />

0.100<br />

FSM<br />

Marshall Is<br />

Samoa<br />

Kiribati<br />

Vanuatu<br />

PNG Solomon Is<br />

0.000 Timor Leste<br />

0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000<br />

GDP per Capita<br />

Palau<br />

St Kitts<br />

Source: ITU Data, <strong>World</strong> Development Indicators<br />

We calculated the current number of lines (both mainlines and mobile) per person by<br />

dividing the number of connections in operation (2002) by the total population<br />

(2002). We then multiplied each country’s projected population for 2015 by the<br />

target lines per person. Finally, we multiplied the total number of additional lines<br />

required by the average cost of a new line: US$400 for mainlines, $580 for mobile 23 .<br />

We then derive the annual per capita investment requirement from this total figure.<br />

23 <strong>The</strong> cost per mainline and cost per cellular phone subscriber were taken from the unit costs for infrastructure<br />

investment quoted in <strong>World</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> Policy Research Working Paper 3102: “Investing in <strong>Infrastructure</strong>: What is<br />

needed from 2000 to 2010”, M. Fay and T Yepes, July 2003, pg 10<br />

64

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