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technical report on the nechalacho deposit, thor lake project ...

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Table 18-57 Sensitivity Analysis<br />

Aval<strong>on</strong> Rare Metals Inc. – Thor Lake Project<br />

Parameter<br />

Variables<br />

Units -20% -10% Base Case 10% 20%<br />

ZrO 2 Price US$/kg 3.02 3.39 3.77 4.15 4.52<br />

TREO Price US$/kg 17.56 19.75 21.94 24.14 26.33<br />

Exchange<br />

Rate<br />

C$/US$ 0.89 1.00 1.11 1.22 1.33<br />

Revenue C$ milli<strong>on</strong>s 5.16 5.80 6.44 7.09 7.73<br />

Operating<br />

Cost<br />

C$/t<strong>on</strong>ne 214 240 267 294 320<br />

Capital Cost C$ milli<strong>on</strong>s 720 810 900 990 1,080<br />

NPV @ 8% Units -20% -10% Base Case 10% 20%<br />

ZrO 2 Price C$ milli<strong>on</strong>s 169 202 236 269 301<br />

TREO Price C$ milli<strong>on</strong>s 43 139 236 330 424<br />

Exchange<br />

Rate<br />

C$ milli<strong>on</strong>s (16) 111 236 358 480<br />

Revenue C$ milli<strong>on</strong>s (125) 58 236 409 584<br />

Operating<br />

Cost<br />

C$ milli<strong>on</strong>s 414 325 236 144 53<br />

Capital Cost C$ milli<strong>on</strong>s 393 314 236 157 79<br />

Technical Report 43-101 – March 13, 2011 Page 18-139<br />

Prepared by Aval<strong>on</strong> Rare Metals Inc.

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