technical report on the nechalacho deposit, thor lake project ...

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CASH FLOW ANALYSIS The cash flow analysis in this <strong>report</strong> is based on the extraction of the Probable Mineral Reserves in a production plan which extends to the end of year 20. Pre-Tax Considering the full project on a stand-alone basis, the undiscounted pre-tax cash flow totals C$2,091 million over the mine life and simple payback occurs 6.84 years after the start of production. The IRR is 14.2% and the net present value (NPV) is as follows: • C$826 million at a 5% discount rate • C$428 million at an 8% discount rate • C$246 million at a 10% discount rate After-Tax Considering the full project on a stand-alone basis, the undiscounted after-tax cash flow totals C$1,506 million over the mine life and simple payback occurs 7.25 years after the start of production. The IRR is 11.8% and the net present value (NPV) is as follows: • C$540 million at a 5% discount rate • C$236 million at an 8% discount rate • C$97 million at a 10% discount rate The cost per kilogram of product is US$5.93, and the net revenue per kilogram of product is US$11.91. The average annual product production is 26,000 tonnes, which rises to a maximum of 32,900 tonnes in year 16. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS Project risks can be identified in both economic and non-economic terms. Key economic risks were examined by running cash flow sensitivities: • Product Prices • Exchange Rate • Operating costs • Capital costs • TREO price • ZrO 2 price Technical Report 43-101 – March 13, 2011 Page 18-137 Prepared by Avalon Rare Metals Inc.
The sensitivity of the base case 8% NPV has been calculated for -20% to +20% variations in the above noted parameters. The project NPV is most sensitive to metal price and recovery followed by foreign exchange rate, operating costs, capital costs and individual product constituent prices. The sensitivities are shown in Figure 18-19 and Table 18-57. The sensitivities to metallurgical recovery and head grade are identical to that of price (for all constituents combined) and are therefore plotted on the same line. Figure 18-19 Sensitivity Analysis Technical Report 43-101 – March 13, 2011 Page 18-138 Prepared by Avalon Rare Metals Inc.
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TECHNICAL REPORT ON THE NECHALACHO
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TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. SUMMARY ......
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QUALITY ASSURANCE / QUALITY CONTROL
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Warehouse..........................
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LIST OF TABLES Table 1-1 Summary of
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Table 18-9 Mine Ventilation Quantit
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Table 18-54 Table 18-55 Pine Point
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LIST OF APPENDICES APPENDIX A Block
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Table 1-1 Summary of Mineral Resour
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Royalties. The net revenue generate
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• The products will be shipped in
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• Income taxes and NWT mining roy
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2. INTRODUCTION This report
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Figure 2-2 Project Sites, Thor Lake
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Table 2-1 Rare Earth Element Data A
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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS Units of meas
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4. PROPERTY DESCRIPTION AND LOCATIO
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The mining leases have a 21-year li
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5. ACCESSIBILITY, CLIMATE, LOCAL RE
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Fort Resolution is located on the s
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producing a tantalum concentrate, b
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Figure 7-2 Detailed Deposit Geology
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The nepheline-sodalite syenite host
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LATE TECTONIC FAULTS Faults are pre
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8. DEPOSIT TYPES The mineral deposi
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The Ore (Nechalacho) Nepheline Soda
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from section to section - this may
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Table 9-1 Average Percent of Ore Mi
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The Nechalacho deposit alteration s
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11. DRILLING Since 1977, diamond dr
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Foraco drill rig was added in Febru
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CORE LOGGING AND CORE RECOVERY The
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A high R 2 (and all regressions had
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12. SAMPLING METHOD AND APPROACH A
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such as Illimausaq in Greenland, a
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13. SAMPLE PREPARATION, ANALYSES AN
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limited set of elements; however, s
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CONCLUSIONS Avalon’s conclusions
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Tb and Dy) were routinely monitored
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As part of the QA/QC program, Avalo
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Table 14-4: Comparison of Niobium,
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shows more deviation, with ALS MS81
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16. MINERAL PROCESSING AND METALLUR
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In a typical test, for example CCr-
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17. MINERAL RESOURCE AND MINERAL RE
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9. TREO equivalent is estimated by
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Table 17-4 Sample Information Avalo
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Figure 17-1 Distribution of REO Com
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Assay Statistics for Upper Zone* *
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CUT-OFF GRADE A previous public res
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underneath for SG measurement purpo
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Figure 17-4 Density Measurements AL
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was equal to 60 m by 60 m by 30 m a
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Table 17-12 Detailed Resource Break
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Table 17-13 Indicated Mineral Resou
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Figure 17-7 Outline of Area of Indi
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The recoveries estimated for the fl
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grades were based upon the grades w
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Figure 18-1 Thor Lake Site Layout T
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Scott Wilson RPA recommends the use
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During discussions with the mine de
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Figure 18-4 Mine Layout Some of the
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Figure 18-5 Mine Development Schema
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Table 18-2 Development Tonnage Brea
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Until the crusher is in place and t
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Lateral Development The access decl
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Equipment will be selected based up
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Table 18-6 Estimated Electrical Loa
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VENTILATION The mine ventilation is
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for closing unused areas and for ch
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Mine Fan Horse Power Using the same
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Paste Fill System A paste fill syst
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Communications Mine communications
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completion of the 30 m to 50 m long
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HEALTH AND SAFETY All crew will be
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The crushing plant is designed for
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Table 18-12 (Cont’d) Principal Pr
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Figure 18-9 Hydrometallurgical Plan
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The Pine Point hydrometallurgical f
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Decant pipeworks have been included
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• Development of pre-feasibility
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Design Basis The pre-feasibility le
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non-woven geotextile) to prevent da
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divert surface drainage away from r
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A high pressure (200 psi) compresse
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Fuel deliveries are assumed to be s
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Mill Supplies The key mill supplies
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Table 18-15 Surface Equipment Fleet
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Figure 18-10 Thor Lake Temporary Ba
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• Together with the unloading log
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it will be necessary to upgrade the
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Table 18-16 Hydrometallurgical Plan
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Table 18-17 Surface Mobile Equipmen
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Rare Earth FOB China* FOB China** P
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• loparite and eudialyte in alkal
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Table 18-18 Rare Earth supply - 200
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Table 18-20 Rare Earth Demand by Ap
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Table 18-22 Proposed New REO Projec
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in China. On this basis, Avalon is
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Determine Prices for Avalon’s Pro
Page 201 and 202: The balance of niobium supply is co
Page 203 and 204: epresenting about 18% of total zirc
Page 205 and 206: Table 18-25 Historic Chinese Export
Page 207 and 208: Figure 18-16 Tantalum Markets - 200
Page 209 and 210: the price for tantalum chemicals in
Page 211 and 212: Surface Hydrology The Thor Lake dra
Page 213 and 214: seven) have occurred more frequentl
Page 215 and 216: elative to uranium, the overall eff
Page 217 and 218: interviews conducted for the nearby
Page 219 and 220: Wildlife Early science-based wildli
Page 221 and 222: Other environmental permits/approva
Page 223 and 224: TAXES The NWT diesel tax has been i
Page 225 and 226: Table 18-31 Mine Capital Cost Estim
Page 227 and 228: Table 18-33 Surface Infrastructure
Page 229 and 230: Table 18-36 Indirect Cost Estimate
Page 231 and 232: Table 18-37 Contingency Allowance A
Page 233 and 234: Operating Cost Exclusions The opera
Page 235 and 236: Table 18-40 Underground Mine Cost S
Page 237 and 238: Table 18-41 Mine Cost Details Avalo
Page 239 and 240: Thor Lake Surface The Thor Lake sur
Page 241 and 242: Table 18-45 Sales and Marketing Cos
Page 243 and 244: Table 18-47 Rail Car Load Limits Av
Page 245 and 246: there will be no overhauls in the i
Page 247 and 248: Other supplies and freight will be
Page 249 and 250: Table 18-55 Hydrometallurgical Plan
Page 251: Table 18-56 Cash Flow Summary Techn
Page 255 and 256: 19. INTERPRETATION AND CONCLUSIONS
Page 257 and 258: • The Mineral Reserves, which hav
Page 259 and 260: 20. RECOMMENDATIONS The authors of
Page 261 and 262: 21. REFERENCES BCC Research (2009):
Page 263 and 264: MDN Inc (2010): News Release Melvil
Page 265 and 266: Wardrop Engineering Inc. (2009): Th
Page 267 and 268: 23. CERTIFICATES OF QUALIFIED PERSO
Page 269 and 270: CERTIFICATE OF QUALIFIED PERSON I,
Page 271 and 272: CERTIFICATE OF QUALIFIED PERSON I,
Page 273 and 274: Section 416000 Section 416100 Secti
Page 279 and 280: Technical Report 43-101 - March 13,
Page 289: Technical Report 43-101 - March 13,
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