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Concall Transcript - Dish TV

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DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LIMITED<br />

4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE<br />

MAY 10, 2010, 4.30 P.M. INDIA TIME<br />

Moderator:<br />

Ladies and gentlemen good afternoon, this is Melissa, the Chorus<br />

Call Conference operator. Welcome to the <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> India Limited<br />

fourth quarter FY10 results conference call. As a reminder, all<br />

participant lines will be in the listen-only mode and there will be<br />

an opportunity for you to ask questions at the end of today’s<br />

presentation. Should you need assistance during the conference<br />

call, please signal an operator by pressing * and then 0 on your<br />

touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being<br />

recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr.<br />

Tarun Nanda of <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> India Limited. Thank you and over to sir.<br />

Tarun:<br />

Thank you Melissa. Good evening ladies and gentlemen and thank<br />

you for joining us today. This conference call has been organized<br />

to update our investors on the performance of <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> India<br />

Limited in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2010 that is, the quarter<br />

ended March 31 st. and also to share with you the outlook of the<br />

management of the company.<br />

Joining us today is the senior management team of <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong><br />

including Mr. Jawahar Goel – Managing Director, Mr. Rajeev<br />

Dalmia – CFO and Mr. Salil Kapoor - COO. We will start with a<br />

brief statement from Mr. Goel and will then open the discussion<br />

for question and answer.<br />

I would like to remind everybody that anything that we say during<br />

this call that refers to our outlook for the future is a forward-


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

looking statement that must be taken in the context of the risks that<br />

we face. I would also like to request all media organizations to<br />

please refrain from participating in this concall, since it has been<br />

organized purely for our investors and fund-houses and analysts<br />

tracking the company.<br />

With this I would now request Mr. Jawahar Goel to address the<br />

participants.<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Thank you Tarun. Good evening ladies and gentlemen and thank<br />

you for joining us today to discuss the results of <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> India<br />

Limited for the quarter ended March 31, 2010.<br />

Digitization in India continues to grow at a rapid pace with over 8<br />

million new subscribers adopting DTH in financial year 2010.<br />

Proliferation of television channels, viewers increasing sensitivity<br />

to quality transmission & programming of their choice and a<br />

growing demand for value-added services, has further promoted<br />

the DTH revolution in the country. The DTH category, pioneered<br />

by <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> in India, has caught the fancy of television viewers<br />

and I am happy to report that the company, with its game changing<br />

innovations for subscriber acquisition, focus on brand building and<br />

customer satisfaction, has maintained its leadership position with<br />

over 33% share in the pay DTH market.<br />

<strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> ventured into unexplored territories to further build on its<br />

leadership and amongst various other groundbreaking initiatives,<br />

introduced live television entertainment on select trains in India<br />

thus taking the Indian DTH industry to the next level of<br />

entertainment. Further, tapping onto the low internet penetration<br />

Page 2 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

levels in India and sensing upside in the terms of significant<br />

revenue potential, <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> tied up with ‘Yatra.com’,<br />

‘Monster.com’ and ‘Shaadi.com’ to provide internet-based services<br />

through DTH television.<br />

Let me now take you through the results for the fourth quarter and<br />

year ended March 31 st , 2010:<br />

<strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> delivered encouraging numbers and the company crossed<br />

the ten billion rupee mark in revenues in the fiscal 2010. The<br />

operating revenues for the period stood at Rs.10.9 billion,<br />

recording an increase of 48% as compared to the corresponding<br />

period last fiscal. The operating revenues for quarter four went up<br />

46% to Rs.3 billion. EBITDA for the year ended March 31 st stood<br />

at Rs.915 million, an increase of 148% as compared to the<br />

corresponding period last fiscal. Recording significant year-onyear<br />

growth, EBITDA for quarter four stood at Rs.354 million. We<br />

closed the year with a positive EBITDA in each of the four<br />

quarters. Subscription revenue stood at Rs.8,350 million in<br />

financial year 2010 as compared to Rs.5,870 million in FY09,<br />

registering a growth of 42%.<br />

Moving over to operating performance, in the fiscal gone by <strong>Dish</strong><br />

<strong>TV</strong> successfully implemented SAP. The implementation of SAP in<br />

our company marks achievement of the first major milestone<br />

towards migrating non-standard legacy systems and users to a<br />

common SAP platform. This program will enable the company to<br />

integrate and manage its business and reporting process more<br />

efficiently.<br />

Page 3 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

<strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> plans to introduce high-definition service in June this<br />

year. Our HD set-up box, will enable the subscriber to receive HD<br />

feed and record content from a single set-top box. We believe the<br />

Commonwealth games will trigger the high definition revolution in<br />

India, just like the Asian games drove in the color <strong>TV</strong> revolution in<br />

1982. Going forward, the HD technology will further accelerate<br />

DTH growth in the country.<br />

An action-packed sports calendar in the current fiscal is expected<br />

to offer significant incremental revenue opportunity to the DTH<br />

operators and <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> is well-positioned to monetize it.<br />

I would like to conclude by saying that <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> is well-prepared<br />

to capitalize on the future growth in the DTH industry and that the<br />

current fiscal would be even better for us in terms of subscriber<br />

acquisition and overall performance.<br />

With this I would now like to open the floor for question and<br />

answer.<br />

Moderator:<br />

Amit:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Thank you sir. Ladies and gentlemen we will now begin with the<br />

question and answer session. The first question is from the line of<br />

Amit Kumar from Kotak Securities, please go ahead.<br />

Thank you for the opportunity sir, great set of numbers. I just<br />

wanted to know the breakup of DTH revenues amongst<br />

subscription, rental, and bandwidth for this quarter.<br />

Subscription revenue was Rs. 230 crores, lease rental was Rs.<br />

41crores and bandwidth was close to Rs. 4.5 crores. Teleport and<br />

other services are in addition to this.<br />

Page 4 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Amit:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Amit:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Sir, I am sorry I missed this point; do you think that the HD service<br />

will have a recording feature also<br />

That is right.<br />

Thanks, that is it from my side. I will come back.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Abneesh Roy<br />

from Edelweiss Capital, please go ahead.<br />

Sir, congratulations on a good set of numbers. If I see in Q4 there<br />

are a lot of sports events and this reflects on two things, one is<br />

subscriber addition being good and second is ad spends being low.<br />

FY11 also has a lot of sports event, so could you guide us in terms<br />

how much of ad spends we are looking at and in terms of<br />

subscriber addition for you and the industry, what is the number<br />

you are looking at<br />

Abneesh our marketing budget for the financial year 2010 was to<br />

the tune of Rs.100 crores, whereas we had spent around Rs. 80<br />

crores only. We could save money because we have barter<br />

arrangements with some of our channel providers. That was close<br />

to Rs. 30 crores.<br />

What are we giving in return You are getting ad spots.<br />

We carry them on our platform with some carriage fee and some<br />

barter. Going forward our ad spend will be in the range of Rs.100<br />

to 110 crores.<br />

Okay so will there be a jump of Rs. 30 crores YoY<br />

Page 5 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Well, we carry on with this kind of budget but we have been<br />

saving some amount and spending wisely.<br />

And subscriber addition for you and the industry in FY11<br />

There are 180 days of sports events and the Commonwealth games<br />

in addition, so as per our estimates, this year the category should<br />

add 10 million plus subscribers. We plan to have 25 % plus market<br />

share.<br />

Of the incremental 10 million<br />

Yes.<br />

And sir could you tell us once the sports events get over, how<br />

much is the stickiness, what percentage of the subscribers move<br />

away after say three-four months <br />

Barring a few sports channels which cover only some events, other<br />

channels like Ten Sports, Zee Sports, ESPN and Star Sports have<br />

activities all the year round and thus the subscriber stays on.<br />

And sir my last question is on your HD offering when is that link<br />

planned and vis-à-vis competitors we are actually late, so in terms<br />

of consumer awareness, consumer pull how will you differentiate<br />

As mentioned in my statement, we are going to launch in the<br />

month of June. Strategy and differentiation vis-à-vis competitors<br />

cannot be discussed in this forum.<br />

And sir lastly on the interest expense, would it go down starting<br />

Q1<br />

Page 6 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Abneesh:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Rohit:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Rohit:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Rohit:<br />

Interest cost will continue to be the same at least for the next three<br />

quarters.<br />

But you have repaid a lot of debt right<br />

No, that is not the case.<br />

Banking debt continues to be Rs. 925 to 950 crores and they have<br />

not become due. Majority of the debt will become due from next<br />

year onwards.<br />

No I was talking about the group debt, you have repaid those<br />

That was in the month of January, the effect for which is already<br />

reflected in the month of March. There is no group debt right now<br />

which has been taken by us.<br />

Okay sir thanks a lot.<br />

Thank you Mr. Roy. The next question is from the line of Rohit<br />

Dokania from B&K Securities, please go ahead.<br />

Hi sir, congratulations on a good set of numbers, just two - three<br />

questions. Is there any HITS revenue that we have booked in this<br />

quarter in the P&L<br />

It is around Rs. 20 crores.<br />

Okay and also sir, what is the total Capex for FY10 that we have<br />

done<br />

On account of boxes it is around Rs. 550 crores.<br />

And other than boxes<br />

Page 7 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Rohit:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Rohit:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Sameer:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Around Rs. 25 crores.<br />

Okay and sir just one final question if you could give us some<br />

views on how you see the ARPU trending in FY11 over FY10<br />

average<br />

See the ARPU on the net subscriber base was Rs. 138 and the<br />

renewal ARPU is Rs.166. Our exit for next year should be around<br />

Rs.155.<br />

Okay that is really helpful sir. Thanks a lot and all the best.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sameer<br />

Naringrekar from PNB Paribas, please go ahead.<br />

Hi good afternoon, just one question in terms of the programming<br />

cost. If I look at your programming cost per subscriber, we had<br />

seen a drop in the programming cost in the fourth quarter last<br />

financial year from about Rs.96 to about Rs.66, just want to check<br />

if the current drop as well to roughly about Rs.72, is it a trend that<br />

is going to continue or could we probably see the programming<br />

cost again jump up through about Rs.77 Rs.78 per subscriber levels<br />

and what should we assume going ahead to be the trend for these<br />

costs<br />

Actually in the last to last financial year, in the March quarter there<br />

was some drop which was on account of some adjustments as a<br />

result of signing up fixed fee deal with the broadcasters . But for<br />

the full year there was an almost constant content fee. Next year<br />

will also be the same because we have signed with majority of the<br />

broadcasters a deal which is not on per subscriber base but on fixed<br />

fee basis.<br />

Page 8 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Sameer:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Sameer:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Aditya:<br />

Just one follow-up question. In terms of subscriber acquisitions,<br />

what do you think is driving the subscriber additions because we<br />

are seeing advertisements spends pretty much trending down, the<br />

commission speed have trended down, especially in a scenario<br />

where we are seeing increase in competitive intensity, we are<br />

seeing our telecom operators who are having DTH business pretty<br />

much offering set-top boxes at less than Rs.1000, so in this kind of<br />

a scenario how do you expect to compete with them especially if<br />

the ad spends and the commissions are trending lower<br />

During the last financial year the category had spent around Rs.<br />

650 crores on marketing and customer education. We had also<br />

spent around 15% of that. No other competing category is<br />

spending on customer education. Moreover, our offers and<br />

packaging tier etc. is the most consumer friendly. In the last<br />

financial year we had acquired about 22% of the category<br />

expansion while in the month of April this year, we did around<br />

26% of the category.<br />

Okay thank you so much for your explanation sir, thanks much<br />

good luck.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Aditya Mathur<br />

from Citigroup, please go ahead.<br />

Thank you. Sir, my question is specifically on your subscriber<br />

acquisition cost. We have seen a sequential decline to about Rs.<br />

2383, I just wanted to know what has driven this sequential<br />

decline, just the rupee appreciation or is it because of cheaper CPE<br />

cost or is it like a sign of some easing of in competitive activity<br />

Page 9 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Aditya:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Aditya:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Aditya:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Nitin:<br />

The rupee appreciation has been one factor and the second is that<br />

the money spent on advertisement in the quarter is lower while the<br />

numbers of subscribers acquired are higher and hence the average<br />

SAC is lower.<br />

Sir, can you give me the split between the cost of CPE and<br />

commission and marketing in this 2383<br />

Around Rs. 1700 is attributable to hardware and the balance is<br />

selling & distribution and advertisement<br />

And sir, what do you think would be the impact on the subscriber<br />

acquisition cost and the ARPUs given the subscriber growth due to<br />

the quantum of sporting events next year <br />

One good thing which has happened in the industry last year is that<br />

nobody has acquired subscribers at the basic pack (Rs.125) and<br />

everybody has moved from Rs.150 to Rs.200 for customer<br />

acquisition. In <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> also we had made our basic silver pack as<br />

a doormat pack in the month of March itself. The upside is that the<br />

subscription revenue and ARPU etc. will go up. And if you<br />

consider the last two years, the category acquired 6-7 million and<br />

8.5 million subscribers respectively, on an average. We will not be<br />

surprised if it is 11 million this year.<br />

Alright thank you sir.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Nitin Mohta from<br />

Macquarie, please go ahead.<br />

Thank you. My question was with relation to the cost side, on the<br />

programming cost we did hear last time that you had the non linear<br />

Page 10 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

relationship, but if you can share more color on that Will that be<br />

the trend going forward for the next year or so or you think there<br />

are going to be changes based upon sports Just wanted to get a<br />

sense on how should we look at programming cost<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Nitin:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Ruchit:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Ruchit:<br />

See some of the content like Sun etc. have to be paid as the<br />

subscriber grows, rest all others are on fixed fee basis.<br />

Thank you.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ruchit Mehta<br />

from SBI Mutual Fund, please go ahead.<br />

Yes hi, just want to recheck on the Capex side, you said on the<br />

boxes you spent Rs. 550 crores last year<br />

Yes.<br />

But you know you said we added around 1.8 million new<br />

subscribers during FY10on a gross basis, that would mean that the<br />

cost of Rs. 3000 on the boxes and typically if you were on 2000<br />

odd levels…… I just wanted to cross check that<br />

Rajeev: Yes it is correct, 2750 x 1.85 million comes to around Rs. 508<br />

crores.<br />

Ruchit:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Ruchit:<br />

And you mentioned that Rs. 1700 is on account of the box in SAC.<br />

That is the approximate amount after we receive a sum of say Rs.<br />

800 Rs.900 from the subscribers.<br />

Just wanted to get more clarity on the balance sheet, what is the<br />

current gross debt and gross cash position<br />

Page 11 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Ruchit:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Gross debt is Rs 925 to 950 crores and will continue to be same at<br />

least for the next two-three quarters.<br />

And the cash<br />

Rs.650 crores including GDR revenue<br />

Ruchit: Broadly from the funding perspective, if you are looking at 10<br />

million for the industry, your share would be about 2 to 2.5 million<br />

subscribers Would we need any capital beyond this because Rs.<br />

650 crores is probably going to get consumed in this month, but<br />

beyond that would we be in self funding mode<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Ruchit:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Ankit:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Ankit:<br />

We can add another 3.5 million with the projected EBITDA<br />

margin and Rs. 650 crores cash in hand. We should not require any<br />

additional cash beyond that.<br />

Okay thank you.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Ankit Kedia from<br />

Centrum Broking, please go ahead.<br />

Congratulations on the good set of numbers, sir. In one of the<br />

questions you mentioned that with the Sun Group we still have per<br />

subscriber based, could you mention which are the other<br />

broadcasters which whom we are per subscriber based content.<br />

Rest all others are on fixed fee basis.<br />

Sir because Sony claims that we do not have a fixed fee license<br />

when dealing with them so<br />

Page 12 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Ankit:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Ankit:<br />

You ask them actually, there is no such discussion. There may be a<br />

lack of understanding.<br />

Right sir, my second question is regarding the transponder<br />

addition, when would we like to go for another transponder<br />

We had just changed our compression chain which has given us an<br />

additional capacity of one transponder within the same number of<br />

transponders we are okay with that currently.<br />

So how many channels can we additionally carry now<br />

Jawahar: Well, these are very minute details. Actually we can carry either 20<br />

standard definition channels or 6 HD channels.<br />

Ankit:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Vikash:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Vikash:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Thank you sir.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vikash Mantri<br />

from ICICI Securities, please go ahead.<br />

Good afternoon sir, just a reconfirmation on the exit ARPU that<br />

you mentioned, Rs. 155 is it right sir<br />

Yes.<br />

That is after removing the 1 million subscribers which are just<br />

paying us Rs.25<br />

They will always be there because the subscribers have been<br />

acquired four months back and we would continue to acquire new<br />

subscribers, but in percentage terms the ratio will change due to<br />

higher base as a proportion to the new subscribers acquired.<br />

Page 13 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Vikash:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Vikash:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Vikash:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Vikash:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Hiren:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Hiren:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Hiren:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Okay sir just wanted to understand what was the money raised and<br />

money utilized in this quarter because the gross debt and cash<br />

positions are the same<br />

Well, the money is actually used for subscriber acquisition.<br />

How much money in this quarter<br />

We had spent around Rs. 575 crores in CapEx for the whole year.<br />

Okay and we also had money coming in from the GDR this quarter<br />

sir<br />

Money from GDR came in during the last quarter.<br />

Okay thank you.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Hiren Dasani<br />

from Goldman Sachs, please go ahead.<br />

Thank you. What was the content cost for the quarter<br />

It was around 43% of the subscription revenue.<br />

So contribution of about 57% is that correct<br />

Yes.<br />

In the notes to accounts, there is something called deviation of<br />

fund utilization pattern of Rs.264 crores which the board approved,<br />

what is that regarding<br />

This was regarding the right issue plan of expenses versus the<br />

actual utilization because the right issue was planned may be 1.5<br />

Page 14 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

years before and in the mean time we had to emphasize more on<br />

the subscriber acquisitions. So there was some deviation in the<br />

actual plan of expense which we thought of putting in the form of a<br />

note and inform the stock exchanges.<br />

Hiren:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Hiren:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Hiren:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Hiren:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Pulakeshin:<br />

Okay and one more thing is on the license fee, are we still<br />

accounting it at 10% or are we accounting net 6% of the revenues<br />

We can’t account it at 6% till the time there is a notification.<br />

Okay and last thing is in terms of your ARPU I do not understand<br />

how you would exit with Rs.155<br />

Rs.166 is the renewal ARPU, Please understand that we have Rs.<br />

138 as the blended ARPU, which will move to Rs. 155 in March<br />

2011 but Rs. 166 may be Rs. 170 or Rs.168 at that time.<br />

Okay.<br />

We had added two new packs in the month of March; Silver Saver<br />

and Gold Saver. We already have about 10% of our subscriber<br />

base on the silver saver whose price is Rs.150. The silver pack has<br />

been made into a doormat pack, so these are going to give a good<br />

effect on ARPU.<br />

Okay thank you.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pulakeshin Shah<br />

from Jaypee Capital, please go ahead.<br />

Good morning sir. You current Capex is sufficient for how many<br />

numbers of subscribers going forward<br />

Page 15 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Pulakeshin:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Pulakeshin:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Jamil:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Jamil:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Jamil:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Jamil:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Approximately 3.5 million.<br />

Okay and another question was when do you see your figures to be<br />

free-cash flow<br />

We expect that in the first quarter of FY12.<br />

Okay thank you very much sir.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Jamil Ansari from<br />

Nomura please go ahead.<br />

Good evening sir. Just wanted to check what was the churn rate in<br />

this quarter<br />

0.8% per month.<br />

So it was slightly lesser than last quarter, okay. And secondly just<br />

a clarification, we have new offer running in which you pay three<br />

and get four months, so how would you account for revenues in<br />

this case, will you do it at pro-rata or will you take the first three<br />

months and the fourth month free, how would you account it<br />

It will be pro-rata because we have to apportion it over 120 days.<br />

Okay so this might put some pressure on ARPUs in this quarter.<br />

It has already started but it is bringing lot of other benefits and the<br />

net effect will be positive only.<br />

Okay fine thanks a lot.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pankaj Tibrewal<br />

from Kotak Mutual Fund, please go ahead.<br />

Page 16 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Pankaj:<br />

In your estimation for next year, how many more subscribers will<br />

come in from the HD technology which you are talking about<br />

Jawahar: On HD I think in the total country there is almost maximum 3<br />

million display device which are high definition ready, so far the<br />

total category has done around 2000 connections.<br />

Pankaj:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Pankaj:<br />

Okay so the category will take a long time to mature.<br />

Yes it will take some time.<br />

My third question is that once you achieved the 10 million<br />

subscribers number, what kind of EBITDA margin do you think<br />

can be sustainable and can be a real true identification of the<br />

company<br />

Jawahar: See on a steady state basis it should be at 31% to 32%.<br />

Pankaj:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Amit:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Okay fair enough, thank you.<br />

Thank you. The next question is a follow up from the line of Amit<br />

Kumar from Kotak Securities, please go ahead.<br />

Hi thanks for the follow up. Sir, I just wanted to know, in the first<br />

half of the year your churn rate was actually quite low but picked<br />

up in the second half, so have you done some analysis on why our<br />

consumers are leaving the DTH, are they going back to cable, are<br />

they going back to some other platforms, have you tried to figure<br />

this churn rate at 10% is quite high<br />

Amit you see, in the third quarter fiscal 2010 there was a high<br />

churn, reason being that in the previous year we had acquired<br />

majority of the subscribers on a 12-month basis. When the renewal<br />

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DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

becomes due, it becomes a significant churn so that is why Q3 was<br />

higher .<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Amit:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Amit:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Amit:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Amit:<br />

Yes Amit for the first two quarters, the churn was abnormally low.<br />

As per our business model around 8% to 10% is acceptable and we<br />

are well within that percentage. Below that it is impractical<br />

because at 8% to 10% the average life comes to around say 9 to 10<br />

years.<br />

Okay and sir the other point which I wanted to discuss is that, how<br />

do you define churn, I mean a customer has to stop paying you, so<br />

how long is the period before you decide to declare the churn rate<br />

It is 120 days past due.<br />

My final question relates to the Rs. 30 crores of barter advertising<br />

spent that you described, is this a continuous thing or was this oneoff<br />

in FY010 and you know you will probably have to spend more<br />

in terms of cash basis<br />

No, barter is our capacity to negotiate with the channel, which are<br />

free to air and this has been growing.<br />

Yes so, would it be fair to assume that at least these 30 crores will<br />

be there next year as well<br />

Yes it is always there and that is why our marketing spent is<br />

adjusted accordingly, we do not spend on cash basis and we use<br />

the barter capability.<br />

Thank you so much.<br />

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DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Moderator:<br />

Shubham:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Thank you. The next question is a follow up from the line of<br />

Shubham Majumdar from Macquarie, please go ahead.<br />

Hi thanks for the opportunity. I had two questions, one is what is<br />

the kind of dip that you have actually seen on a month-on-month or<br />

quarter-on-quarter basis in terms of net ads market share What I<br />

am trying to ask here is that, if you go back six to nine months<br />

when the level of competition in terms of number of competitors<br />

were much lower, what sort of qualitative change have you seen<br />

when you go to the marketplace in terms of how customers pick up<br />

your service vis-à-vis others because I believe your net ad market<br />

shares would have been higher than 35% a while back and now it<br />

is probably you are talking about 25% so is there any change<br />

there And secondly, little bit of a longer term structural question,<br />

all cable operators or MSOs who have been lying pretty idle in<br />

terms of competition as a medium to DTH and DTH has pretty<br />

much had field day over the last three-four years. Are we seeing a<br />

revival in terms of competition from the cable medium or likely to<br />

see some revival I think there is a lot of capital inflow from public<br />

markets as well as private equity that we are seeing in that space<br />

and a lot of cable operators are talking about very large aggressive<br />

expansion plans led by triple play and so on and so forth. So, is<br />

there any medium-to-longer term risk potentially coming on<br />

horizon from cable operators and MSOs<br />

Shubham, I will refrain myself from talking on the MSO’s model<br />

in this conference call. As far as <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> and its category is<br />

concerned, in the month of April <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> had acquired 25 - 26%,<br />

while during the whole of last year we had acquired around 22%<br />

average of the total category expansion. Our target, if this<br />

category will grow by 10 to 11 million this financial year, will be<br />

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DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

to have around 25% market share so your apprehension about the<br />

cable company funding and all that , has been taken due care of by<br />

the management.<br />

Shubham:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Shreya:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Shreya:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Shreya:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Shishir:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Okay thanks very much, very reassuring.<br />

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Shreya Bhansali<br />

from Wealth Management, please go ahead.<br />

Hello, sir actually I wanted to ask what exactly do you mean by a<br />

net subscriber base and a gross subscriber base.<br />

Those subscribers who have not paid for their services for a<br />

continuous period of 120 days.<br />

Sir one more thing if the set-top box experiences a technical<br />

problem and it does not work and if you acquire a new set-top box<br />

is there any cost involved<br />

Yes, if it is within the one year warranty period, it is free else it<br />

comes to our service center where we charge service fee.<br />

Thank you sir.<br />

The next question is from the line of Shishir Manuj from Mangal<br />

Keshav Securities, please go ahead.<br />

Just two quick clarifications, one was on the commissioning cost<br />

per sub, compared to Q3 has it gone up in Q4<br />

No rather it has gone down by around Rs.20-Rs.25 as compared to<br />

the average commission payable on a per sub basis.<br />

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DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Shishir:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Shishir:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Shubham:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Okay. And second, if I understand it right this business is a<br />

negative working capital; I am talking about just the business part<br />

Yes it is.<br />

Thank you that is it.<br />

Thank you. The next question is a follow up from the line<br />

Shubham Majumdar from Macquarie, please go ahead.<br />

Just thought that I will grab your attention towards the economics<br />

of the HD services. I understand that customers are actually paying<br />

much higher in terms of the initial commitment from their end for<br />

the set-top box. What exactly is the economics of the HD services<br />

that we are rolling out relative to what we have seen in the past<br />

from the normal customer base Is it a significantly better option in<br />

terms of economics<br />

You see one company has already done it and they are charging<br />

Rs.100 extra per month for HD subscriber and two or three HD<br />

channels. I think we will have to leave some space for this<br />

category to at least take off; the set-top box has not taken off yet.<br />

2,000 is a very insignificant number to talk about and let me tell<br />

you that HD and all such things are futuristic. The broadcaster has<br />

to have their channels broadcast in high definition. The consumer<br />

also has to have their high-definition display device television and<br />

also they should be willing to pay for it. So it is a long way to go, I<br />

think it will take at least two years to become a significant<br />

proposition. So, at this moment we are not that worried except that<br />

we have to launch and be ready in the market very soon.<br />

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DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Shubham:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

I was talking more from point of view of opportunity there, I think<br />

somebody having launch is probably not reason to get worried<br />

because the game is still very much on, right. I just wanted to<br />

know what incremental cost of a set-top box on HD with recording<br />

facility relative to the normal set-top box that you are currently<br />

rolling out and secondly, what is the estimate that you have on how<br />

many television sets in India would be HD ready at this point in<br />

time, if you can put any color please<br />

Shubham, the pricing part and at what price are we going to buy<br />

that is competitive information which we would like to reserve for<br />

the time being. Mr. Salil Kapoor will answer your other question.<br />

Salil: LCD and Plasma market for this year is estimated to be around 3<br />

million sets and close to 50% of that would be HD. Safely around<br />

1.5 million high definition sets will be rolled out in the market this<br />

year. We can safely assume that there is about 0.5 million to about<br />

three quarter of a million sets already lying, so it could be<br />

somewhere around 2.25 million sets which are HD enabled out<br />

there in the market.<br />

Shubham:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Rohit:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Right okay thanks very much for the color.<br />

Thank you. The next question is a follow up from the line of Rohit<br />

Dokania from B&K Securities, please go ahead.<br />

Thank you for giving this opportunity again. Just wanted to know<br />

how many record and play set-top boxes would be there in the<br />

market, this year basically<br />

Only 20,000 have gone to the consumer’s home and the DTH<br />

operators. The manufactured quantity must be around 1.5 lakhs.<br />

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DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Rohit:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Ankit:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Salil:<br />

Ankit:<br />

Rajeev:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Ankit:<br />

Jawahar:<br />

Great sir thanks.<br />

Thank you. The next question is a follow up from the line of Ankit<br />

Kedia from Centrum Broking, please go ahead.<br />

Sir, I just wanted to know, what is the commission on recharge<br />

coupons that we are giving to distributo<br />

4.5 to 4.75% and it is likely to go down in future.<br />

Yes and it is consolidated between the dealer and the distributor, so<br />

about 1%-1.5% is with the distributor and the rest of with the<br />

dealers.<br />

Sir why is it expected to come down<br />

Because the volume is going up so their ROI is still maintained and<br />

rather improving.<br />

Mr. Kedia the total category has collected around Rs. 3,500 crores<br />

in financial year 2010 and is expected to collect around Rs.6, 000<br />

crores in this financial year, so more and more people are entering<br />

this category. The same thing happened with telecom. Telecom<br />

started with 6% to 7%, we also gave 6% and now we have reduced<br />

it to 4.5% while telecom is giving 3- 3.5% only. As the industry<br />

reaches gross turnover of Rs. 10,000 crores this is certainly going<br />

to come down.<br />

Sure, sir are all the players doing this together or is this a <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong><br />

initiative<br />

Well, so far our recharge distributors are exclusive but going<br />

forward they may become multi-brand distributors.<br />

Page 23 of 24


DISH <strong>TV</strong> INDIA LTD 4Q FY2010 TELECONFERENCE MAY 10, 2010<br />

Ankit:<br />

Moderator:<br />

Tarun:<br />

Thank you sir.<br />

Thank you. As we have no further questions, I would like to hand<br />

the floor back to the management of <strong>Dish</strong> <strong>TV</strong> for closing<br />

comments. Please go ahead sir.<br />

Thanks Melissa. Ladies and gentlemen thank you for joining us,<br />

we soon hope to have a transcript of the call on our website<br />

www.dishtv.in. We look forward to speaking to you at the end of<br />

the first quarter of fiscal 2011 or even earlier on one-one basis,<br />

thank you and have a great day.<br />

# This transcript has been suitably edited for ease of reading.<br />

Page 24 of 24

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