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Documentation Brochure - Hamburg Summit

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Competing Powers in Asia<br />

The Australian Ambassador to Germany,<br />

Ian Kemish, tells an anecdote<br />

to describe relations among Asian<br />

countries. Some years ago he attended<br />

a conference of Asian states at which<br />

the former Japanese Prime Minister<br />

Junichiro Koizumi spoke. Koizumi<br />

addressed one head of government<br />

after another directly, describing bluntly<br />

the conflicts that Japan had with his<br />

country. Kemish feared that there might<br />

be an uproar. But Koizumi ended his<br />

speech by saying that Japan enjoyed<br />

very close economic ties with these<br />

countries and that he was therefore<br />

willing to resolve all of the conflicts.<br />

Ampalanavar Selverajah, the<br />

Singaporean Ambassador to Germany,<br />

also emphasised the peacekeeping<br />

effect of economic ties. “The more<br />

intense economic growth, the more<br />

everybody has to lose by a conflict,” he<br />

said. “But where are the problems”,<br />

Eberhard Sandschneider, Otto Wolff<br />

Director of the Research Institute at the<br />

German Council on Foreign Relations,<br />

asked. Volker Stanzel, German<br />

Ambassador to China, conceded that<br />

“competition in Asia sometimes gives<br />

rise to fears,” but Asian countries are<br />

discovering the advantages of cooperation.<br />

“Instead of competing powers in<br />

Asia we will have competing regions like<br />

the United States, the EU and Asia,”<br />

Stanzel predicted. “But we want an<br />

architecture that is open,” said Selverajah,<br />

“because Asia is still a region of<br />

difference.”<br />

China, Japan and India will have a<br />

stake in the region, but there is always<br />

“an invisible partner in the room,”<br />

Kemish pointed out: the United States,<br />

China and Japan were the leading<br />

powers and “no country in the region<br />

wants to be in a position where it has to<br />

choose between them,” Selverajah said.<br />

Relations between China and Japan<br />

are the most important for regional<br />

development and security. China’s rise<br />

has a greater impact on Japan than on<br />

the United States. In 20 years China will<br />

have overtaken Japan in economic<br />

power. “For a stable Asia it is important<br />

that both countries come together,”<br />

Selverajah is convinced. The conclusion<br />

reached by Guo Wei, President of<br />

Digital China Holdings, is wholly consistent<br />

with the positive underlying<br />

mood. “Chinese growth should bring<br />

benefits to the world, even to Japan,”<br />

he said. “The largest risk is misunderstanding.”<br />

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