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Documentation Brochure - Hamburg Summit

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Banking and Finance in China<br />

Heinz Dollberg, Allianz Versicherungs-AG Ulrich W. Ellerbeck, HSH Nordbank AG Margot Schüller, GIGA - Institute of Asian Affairs Jin Yun, Shanghai Pudong Development Bank<br />

The financial sector is the heart of the<br />

economy,” said Jin Yun, Chairman of<br />

the Shanghai Pudong Development<br />

Bank. Because growth was unlikely to<br />

lose momentum in the years ahead the<br />

sector was sure to play a much larger<br />

role in the future than it does today. Jin<br />

described three conditions that had to<br />

be fulfilled to ensure that it does. “We<br />

must open the door, we must broaden<br />

the open areas and, compared with<br />

years ago, our steps must be bigger.”<br />

In principle, he said, there can be no<br />

doubt on these points, “but we feel that<br />

finance is very sensitive.” The opening<br />

of the financial sector must not proceed<br />

at a faster pace than the development<br />

of the economy. Otherwise restrictions<br />

would be inevitable, with unforeseeable<br />

consequences for the economy. “If you<br />

look at international financial institutions,”<br />

Jin said, “they took a long time to<br />

develop.”<br />

The greatest uncertainty Chinese<br />

banks face continues to be non-performing<br />

loans. Rainer Schäfer, head of<br />

country risk and emerging market<br />

research at Dresdner Bank, said: “The<br />

government has done a lot to recapitalise<br />

Chinese banks, bring down<br />

the ratio and improve controlling, but<br />

there can be no doubt that a big black<br />

hole still exists.” Heinz Dollberg, head of<br />

the Asia Pacific division at Allianz<br />

Versicherungs-AG agreed: “The capital<br />

market is the bottleneck.” And Ulrich<br />

W. Ellerbeck, Member of the Management<br />

Board of HSH Nordbank in<br />

<strong>Hamburg</strong>, also promised that “many<br />

years will elapse before we see a really<br />

free market in China.”<br />

So why is the HSH Bank already<br />

committed in the country if Ellerbeck is<br />

convinced that in view of the size of the<br />

market all foreign banks are just niche<br />

players “We have to follow our<br />

customers and we have to protect<br />

them,” he said. Given the size of the<br />

market, he added, being represented in<br />

it would seem to be a must. “Investing<br />

in the Chinese market is investing in the<br />

future,” Ellerbeck and his colleagues<br />

agreed calling unanimously for further<br />

liberalisation of the market. Competition<br />

is still rudimentary, as Dollberg<br />

made clear by means of a small example.<br />

In all of China a total of 36 insurance<br />

companies are now in business.<br />

And how many compete in the German<br />

market “More than 1.500,” Dollberg<br />

said. Jin Yun added: “As Chinese banks<br />

we are already feeling the pressure of<br />

competition. We have to learn how to<br />

compete with you, we still have a way<br />

to go before we reach international<br />

standard.” To do so, many innovationsremain<br />

to be implemented. Management<br />

skills must be improved, Chinese<br />

banks must learn to handle risks and<br />

they must, above all, look after their<br />

customers much more effectively.<br />

“The key of all keys,” Jin Yun was<br />

firmly convinced, “is to train talents,<br />

and the key to training talents is to<br />

change mentality.”

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