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IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-13, 2007 Perugia, Italy (S) - <strong>IASPEI</strong> - International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth's Interior JSW001 Oral Presentation 2398 Drift of the earth core to the North and inversion of global volcanic process Prof. Yury Barkin Laboratory of Gravimetry Sternberg Astronomical Institute IAG The analysis of modern data of geodetic, gravimetry and geophysical observations testify a reality of the phenomena of a drift of outer core of the Earth and its translational oscillations with a wide spectrum of frequencies relatively to elastic mantle (Barkin, 1995, 2002; Barkin, Vilke, 2004; Barkin, Shuanggen, 2006). Displacements of the core are accompanied by elastic deformations of the mantle and by variations of its tension state which in turn find reflection in variations of seismic, volcanic and, generally speaking, in all planetary natural processes. This phenomenon is characterized by the slow secular component of process and by periodic variations with interannual, decadal and more long periods, and have inversion character. Activity of process increase in one hemisphere (on direction of the core drift) and activity decrease in opposite hemisphere. It is principial property of considered phenomenon. This theoretical conclusion based on a geodynamical model about forced small relative displacements and rotations of the Earth shells under action of a gravitational attraction of the Moon, the Sun and other celestial bodies, has obtained a set of confirmations at the analysis of variations of natural processes in opposite hemispheres of the Earth (Barkin, 2000, 2002, 2006). In particular the drift of the core causes the phenomenon of inversion in activity of volcanic processes in northern and southern hemispheres. Dynamic studies and the satellite data about geocenter motion have confirmed the displacement of the core in present epoch (predicted by author) to the north in the direction of a geographical point 70 N, 104 E (Barkin, 1997). In hemispheres N and S, separated by a plane of inclined equator, the subduction zones and zones of rifting are located asymmetrically. In hemisphere N the magmatic volcanos of belts of compression (of subduction zones) are mainly located, and magmatic volcanos of rifting zones (of spreading zones) are located in opposite hemisphere. On our model the changes of tension states in zones of volcanos in northern hemisphere will result in their activization. In southern hemisphere S the changes of volcano activity will have the opposite tendency. The specified phenomenon is observed actually. The number of eruptions of volcanos of subduction zones linearly increase with velocity about 5 eruptions per one year (for the period in hundred years). Thus the number of eruptions of volcanos of rifting zones on the contrary decreases. This phenomenon was open as a result of the analysis of the known data on volcanic activity for a time interval with 1850 on 1977 (Mekhtiev, Khalilov, 1987). By the method of sliding average the diagrams of temporal series of numbers of eruptions of volcanos for the period 1800 - 2000 have been constructed (Khain, Khalilov, Ismail-Zade, 2004). The geodynamic model of the forced displacements of the core allows to describe a wide spectrum of its cyclic oscillations, in particular with the decade periods. By reflection of cyclic polar displacements of the core between hemispheres N and S will be corresponding cyclic antiphase variations of volcanic activity in the specified hemispheres. It was actually revealed, that peaks of activization of volcanos of subduction zones, falling on 1885, 1950, coincide with peaks of passivity of volcanos of rifting zones. Peaks of the periods of passive volcanism of subduction zones of 1860, 1900, 1910, 1960 will be coordinated to peaks of increase of activity of volcanos of rifting zones. Only to peaks of activity of volcanos of subduction zones 1910, 1930 and to the peak of passivity of 1940 are not strongly pronounced antiphase of zones of activity. These moments can be explain as result of some imposing of corresponding zones of subduction and rifting with respect to hemispheres N and S. Thus, changes of intensity of volcanism in the specified period of time in 127 years confirm prospective displacement of the Earth core and developed geodynamical model of the forced swing of the Earth shells as a whole. The cyclicities of volcanic eruptions revealed at the spectral analysis with the periods 20, 40 years and
IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-13, 2007 Perugia, Italy others (Khain, Khalilov, Ismail-Zade, 2004) have been predicted earlier on the basis of a hypothesis about unity of cyclicities of variations of all planetary processes, caused by the uniform mechanism of core oscillations ("a motor", "a heart" or "a engine") (Barkin, 2002). References Barkin Yu.V.(1997) Secular Redistribution of the External and Internal Masses of the Earth and Their Role in the Variations of the Geopotential and Earths Rotation. XXII General Assembly of EGS (Vienna, 21-25 April 1997). Annales Geophysicae, Supplement 1 to Volume 15. Part 1, p. 32. Barkin, Yu.V. (2000) A mechanism of variations of the Earth rotation at different timescales. In: Polar Motion: Historical and Scientific Problems (Eds. Steven Dick, Dennis McCarthy, and Brian Luzum)/ Proceedings of IAU Colloquium 178 (Cagliari ,Sardinia, Italy, 27-30 September 1999). Astronomical Society of the Pacific conference series, V. 208. Sheridan Books, Chelsia, Michigan. pp. 373-379. Barkin, Yu.V. (2002) Explanation of endogenous activity of planets and satellites and its cyclicity. Izvestia cekzii nauk o Zemle. Rus. Acad. of Nat. Sciences, Issue 9, December 2002, M.: VINITI, pp. 45-97. In Russian. Barkin, Yu.V. and Shuanggen, J. (2006) Kinematics and dynamics of the Earth hemispheres. EGU General Assembly (Vienna, Austria, 2-7 April 2006). Geophysical Research Abstracts, Volume 8, abstract # EGU06-A- 01680. Khain V.E., Khalilov E.N., Ismail-Zade T.A. (2004) Periodicity of volcanic activity in various geodynamics states and possible pulsation of the Earth radius. Publications of section of the Earth sciences, issue 12, pp. 9-16. In Russian. Mekhtiev Sh.F., Khalilov E.N. (1987) Volcanoes and geodynamics. Nature (Moscow), No.5, pp. 46- 49. In Russian. Keywords: subduction, volcanos, inversion
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Page 727: IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-1
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