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IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-13, 2007 Perugia, Italy<br />

(S) - <strong>IASPEI</strong> - International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth's<br />

Interior<br />

JSW001 Oral Presentation 2398<br />

Drift of the earth core to the North and inversion of global volcanic process<br />

Prof. Yury Barkin<br />

Laboratory of Gravimetry Sternberg Astronomical Institute IAG<br />

The analysis of modern data of geodetic, gravimetry and geophysical observations testify a reality of the<br />

phenomena of a drift of outer core of the Earth and its translational oscillations with a wide spectrum of<br />

frequencies relatively to elastic mantle (Barkin, 1995, 2002; Barkin, Vilke, 2004; Barkin, Shuanggen,<br />

2006). Displacements of the core are accompanied by elastic deformations of the mantle and by<br />

variations of its tension state which in turn find reflection in variations of seismic, volcanic and, generally<br />

speaking, in all planetary natural processes. This phenomenon is characterized by the slow secular<br />

component of process and by periodic variations with interannual, decadal and more long periods, and<br />

have inversion character. Activity of process increase in one hemisphere (on direction of the core drift)<br />

and activity decrease in opposite hemisphere. It is principial property of considered phenomenon. This<br />

theoretical conclusion based on a geodynamical model about forced small relative displacements and<br />

rotations of the Earth shells under action of a gravitational attraction of the Moon, the Sun and other<br />

celestial bodies, has obtained a set of confirmations at the analysis of variations of natural processes in<br />

opposite hemispheres of the Earth (Barkin, 2000, 2002, 2006). In particular the drift of the core causes<br />

the phenomenon of inversion in activity of volcanic processes in northern and southern hemispheres.<br />

Dynamic studies and the satellite data about geocenter motion have confirmed the displacement of the<br />

core in present epoch (predicted by author) to the north in the direction of a geographical point 70 N,<br />

104 E (Barkin, 1997). In hemispheres N and S, separated by a plane of inclined equator, the subduction<br />

zones and zones of rifting are located asymmetrically. In hemisphere N the magmatic volcanos of belts<br />

of compression (of subduction zones) are mainly located, and magmatic volcanos of rifting zones (of<br />

spreading zones) are located in opposite hemisphere. On our model the changes of tension states in<br />

zones of volcanos in northern hemisphere will result in their activization. In southern hemisphere S the<br />

changes of volcano activity will have the opposite tendency. The specified phenomenon is observed<br />

actually. The number of eruptions of volcanos of subduction zones linearly increase with velocity about<br />

5 eruptions per one year (for the period in hundred years). Thus the number of eruptions of volcanos of<br />

rifting zones on the contrary decreases. This phenomenon was open as a result of the analysis of the<br />

known data on volcanic activity for a time interval with 1850 on 1977 (Mekhtiev, Khalilov, 1987). By the<br />

method of sliding average the diagrams of temporal series of numbers of eruptions of volcanos for the<br />

period 1800 - 2000 have been constructed (Khain, Khalilov, Ismail-Zade, 2004). The geodynamic model<br />

of the forced displacements of the core allows to describe a wide spectrum of its cyclic oscillations, in<br />

particular with the decade periods. By reflection of cyclic polar displacements of the core between<br />

hemispheres N and S will be corresponding cyclic antiphase variations of volcanic activity in the<br />

specified hemispheres. It was actually revealed, that peaks of activization of volcanos of subduction<br />

zones, falling on 1885, 1950, coincide with peaks of passivity of volcanos of rifting zones. Peaks of the<br />

periods of passive volcanism of subduction zones of 1860, 1900, 1910, 1960 will be coordinated to<br />

peaks of increase of activity of volcanos of rifting zones. Only to peaks of activity of volcanos of<br />

subduction zones 1910, 1930 and to the peak of passivity of 1940 are not strongly pronounced<br />

antiphase of zones of activity. These moments can be explain as result of some imposing of<br />

corresponding zones of subduction and rifting with respect to hemispheres N and S. Thus, changes of<br />

intensity of volcanism in the specified period of time in 127 years confirm prospective displacement of<br />

the Earth core and developed geodynamical model of the forced swing of the Earth shells as a whole.<br />

The cyclicities of volcanic eruptions revealed at the spectral analysis with the periods 20, 40 years and

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