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IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-13, 2007 Perugia, Italy<br />

(S) - <strong>IASPEI</strong> - International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth's<br />

Interior<br />

JSS014 Poster presentation 2319<br />

Simulation of earthquake processes by finite element method: the case of<br />

megathrust earthquakes on the Sumatra subduction zone<br />

Dr. Shoubiao Zhu<br />

Geophysics Institute of Crustal Dynamics, CEA <strong>IASPEI</strong><br />

Huilin Xing, Furen Xie, Yaolin Shi<br />

Numerical simulation of the earthquake processes is a key method to carry out physical accurate<br />

earthquake forecast in the future, but today empirical method is used in earthquake prediction, which is<br />

seldom successful. In this paper, we use a unified rate-dependent frictional law to formulate two<br />

different frictional states, one is sticking, and another is sliding. Based on R-minimum, time integration<br />

method with static explicit is adopted in finite element analysis in order to make the result convergent in<br />

calculation. Taken the Sumatra subduction zone as an example, where the major earthquake with<br />

Mm=9.3 occurred in 2004, the process of locking, unlocking, and sliding between the subduction plate<br />

and the overriding plate is modeled. There are 72000 hexahedral elements with 80820 nodes in the<br />

model, which covers some areas of the India Ocean plate, of the Sunda subplate, and the Sumatra-<br />

Andaman subduction zones. Contact elements are used to model the behaviors of the subduction in<br />

finite element computation. The boundary conditions are applied to the model according to GPS<br />

measurements. The media in the study areas is regarded as linear elastic with the Young's modulus<br />

being 70GPa, and Poisson ratio 0.25, and the density is chosen as 2700kg/m3. The computed result<br />

shows that a large area of homogeneous media with the same frictional coefficient is a prerequisite for<br />

forming large scale of sudden sliding, which is regarded as an event. The earthquakes simulated by the<br />

model on the Sumatra subduction zone have characteristics of quasi-cycle in time and of transference in<br />

space. The rupture causing earthquakes propagates from down to upward. Moreover, the geometry of<br />

the subduction zone has much influence on the location of the large event.<br />

Keywords: finite element, frictional contact, sumatra subduction zone

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