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IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-13, 2007 Perugia, Italy<br />

(S) - <strong>IASPEI</strong> - International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth's<br />

Interior<br />

JSS011 Poster presentation 2141<br />

Influence of the atmospheric and oceanic circulation on the movement of<br />

the lithosphere plates and on the earthquakes<br />

Prof. Nikolay Sidorenkov<br />

Hydrometcentr of Russia Hydrometcentr of Russia IAG<br />

The non-tidal irregularities of the Earth rotation are mainly due to the exchange between the angular<br />

momentum of the solid lithosphere and its fluid environment - the atmosphere and the hydrosphere.<br />

This exchange occurs at the expense of the moments of the frictional forces and pressure forces<br />

pushing on mountain ranges. The lithosphere is cracked on a set of the lithosphere plates. The<br />

atmosphere and ocean are acting on the lithosphere plates, and only then this action is being<br />

transmitted to the Earths interior. Under the lithosphere, there is a layer of the lower viscosity - an<br />

asthenosphere in which the lithosphere plates are capable to float. On the decade time scale, the<br />

lithosphere plates can move in the horizontal direction under the action of the friction stresses and<br />

pressure, which the atmosphere and ocean produce on the exterior surface of the plates. The<br />

atmospheric and oceanic forcing causes the drift of the lithosphere along the asthenosphere. Evidence<br />

in favour of this hypothesis is presented. The moment of forces effecting on an individual plate,<br />

determines the vector of the movement of the plate. The estimations of the orders of magnitudes of the<br />

atmospheric and oceanic forces effecting on a separate plate and of the stresses of the interaction<br />

between plates are given. Under the effect of the atmospheric and oceanic forces the plates interacts<br />

with the circumjacent plates through the frontal contacts. The stresses may reach such high values<br />

(10^6-10^7 N/m^2), at which the discontinuity and displacement of plates from each other occur, and<br />

triggers the earthquakes. The mechanical action of the atmosphere and ocean on the lithosphere plates<br />

defines relative movement between the plates and can be cause of the earthquakes. The empirical<br />

facts, which evidence for the benefit of this conclusion, are given. It is necessary to carries out the<br />

monitoring of the atmospheric and oceanic forces separately for every lithosphere plate. The time series<br />

of these forces make it possible forecasting of a seismic activity.<br />

Keywords: atmospheric & oceanic forces;, variations in earth rotation;, movement of lithosphere<br />

plate

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