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IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-13, 2007 Perugia, Italy<br />

(S) - <strong>IASPEI</strong> - International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth's<br />

Interior<br />

JSS006 Oral Presentation 1929<br />

Estimation of an upper limit on prehistoric peak ground acceleration using<br />

the parameters of intact speleothems in Hungarian caves<br />

Dr. Katalin Gribovszki<br />

Geodetic and Geophysical Research Institute Hungarian Academy of Sciences<br />

Gy. Szeidovitz, G. Suranyi, Z. Bus, Sz. Leel-Ossy<br />

The examination of speleothems in the Hajno'czy and Baradla caves (northeastern Hungary) allows<br />

estimating an upper limit for horizontal peak ground acceleration generated by paleoearthquakes. The<br />

density, the Young's modulus and the tensile failure stress of the samples originating from a broken<br />

speleothem have been measured in laboratory, while the natural frequency of speleothems was<br />

determined by in situ observations.The value of horizontal ground acceleration resulting in failure, the<br />

natural frequency and the inner friction coefficient ofspeleothems was assessed by theoretical<br />

calculations.The ages of the samples taken from a stalagmite of 5.1 m high (Baradla cave) at different<br />

heights has been determined by ICP-MS analysis and alpha spectrometry.According to our result the<br />

speleothem were not excited by a horizontal acceleration higher than 0.05 g duringthe last 60-70 000<br />

years. This acceleration level is lower than the PGA value determined in previous<br />

seismichazardassessment studies for a much shorter period of time.<br />

Keywords: speleothem, prehistoric earthquake, pga

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