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IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-13, 2007 Perugia, Italy<br />

(S) - <strong>IASPEI</strong> - International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth's<br />

Interior<br />

JSS003 Poster presentation 1880<br />

An experimental model of data receiver for gravitational disturbance<br />

research and earthquake prediction with 3 to 16 days forestalling<br />

Prof. Nikolay Egorov<br />

Faculty of Applied Mathematics and Control Process St.Petersburg State University<br />

Valeriy Smirnov, Boris Bogdanovich<br />

Gravitational field of the Earth is researched for more than 300 years. Nowadays reliable mathematical<br />

models and data analysis methods are developed, which makes possible to solve various gravimetric<br />

problems. Using advanced gravimetric methods we can analyze time-dependent changes of gravitational<br />

force: changes caused by tidal effects and Earth's rotation; and caused by mass redistribution inside the<br />

Earth. All gravitational disturbances may be divided into 2 groups: caused by effect of external (space)<br />

objects, like the Sun, the Moon, etc.; caused by movement of tectonic masses in the Earth's crust and<br />

mantle. The latter movements causes intense earthquakes. Modern experimental techniques of<br />

gravitational disturbances recording are strictly limited both for disturbances of tectonic origin, and for<br />

ones of space origin. Possible recording of local gravitational disturbances in different regions of the<br />

Earth would make it possible to predict probable earthquake sources with some days forestalling, which<br />

could save their lives for hundreds thousands of people. The developed data receiver for gravitational<br />

disturbance recording is a dynamical electro-mechanical device, which provides the ability to determine<br />

direction on the sourced of gravitational impact. The main element of the data receiver is a brass<br />

gyroscope, operating in negative acceleration mode. In this rotation mode the gyroscope reacts on<br />

change of the Sun (Moon) position relating the data receiver by change of period of revolution. As a<br />

result the output signal is changed and may be recorded using a plotter. The sensitivity level depends<br />

also on: angular velocity of rotation; length of deceleration pulse; direction angle to possible source of<br />

gravitational impact. The data receiver shows high sensitivity level in recording small gravitational<br />

impacts from space objects. It is possible to record also high disturbances caused by internal effects. In<br />

principle, all tectonic movements may change gravitational potential of the Earth. Using map of the<br />

Earth's crust breacs, we have carrried out an experiment of data receiver orientation on some of<br />

tectonically active areas. We have registered several high gravitational impacts, with 400 to 500 μs<br />

change of preiod of revolution. (In contrast, for space gravitational impacts, the change was about 75<br />

to 200 μs.) The times of recording were correlated with information about earthquakes. In all cases the<br />

signals were recorded with 3 to 10 (and more) days forestalling. E.g., for earthquake in Iran, 2 April<br />

2006, the signal was recorded on 29 March 2006. Now an experimant is in progress, on scanning and<br />

monitoring some seismologically active Earth's regions using the data receiver.<br />

Keywords: gravitational, disturbance, earthquake

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