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IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-13, 2007 Perugia, Italy (S) - IASPEI - International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth's Interior JSS003 Oral Presentation 1849 Remote sensing/GIS application for early warning systems of natural hazard: case study of Victoria Island, Lagos Nigeria. Mr. Olumuyiwa Sonuga PHYSICS UNIVERSITY IASPEI The rate of environmental changes at the Victoria Island coast of Lagos State, Nigeria is a major problem and the environment is under the threat of loss of lives, properties and land became vulnerable to landslide, soil erosion and land use such as residential, industrial buildings and utilities has repeatedly devastated by coastal storms and flooding thereby resulting in environmental hazards. Already, an occurrence of 0.2meters of sea level rise resulted to a loss of 3,100 square kilometer of landmass to flooding. Studies have shown that population growth, migration, urbanization, human and natural activities at the costal areas are the major factors influencing the occurrence of the hazards. As a result of population growth in the country, the rate at which people migrate to Lagos State is high resulting into high rate of urbanization which has led to construction of buildings whereby obstructing the flow of water through the drainage channels to drain excess water has cost massive loss of land, bulk age of sewage. Remote Sensing and GIS technologies have been employed in this study to asses the extent of coastal land loss and damages in Victoria Island of Lagos. Satellite images for different years between 1990 and 2003 of the study area were compared and results shows that natural processes have destroyed vegetation and land cover areas. Keywords: coastal storms, flooding, hazards
IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-13, 2007 Perugia, Italy (S) - IASPEI - International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth's Interior JSS003 Oral Presentation 1850 Web Based Global System for loss assessment due to strong earthquakes Dr. Nina Frolova Seismological Center of IGE, Rus. Acad. of Sci. Senior Scientific Researcher, Ph.D. IASPEI Valery Larionov, Jean Bonnin According to the recommendations of IDNDR Working Groups on scientific and technological aspects of Early Warning Systems (EWS) in order to fulfill a risk reduction functions such Systems should not be interpreted as technical instruments for detecting, forecasting impeding event and issuing alert and, therefore, they should consists of four sub-systems: a warning sub-system, a risk reduction sub-system, a preparedness sub-system and a communication sub-system. A risk reduction sub-system may allow potential damage extent and social loss due to scenario earthquakes to be generated and/or estimate expected consequences due to just occurred event in emergency mode. Risk reduction sub-system may be designed and developed for individual decision makers usage. Another variant is to develop the webbased sub-system, which may be accessible to all interested decision makers and experts at international, regional, national, local or urban level. The paper describes the framework of the global web-based risk reduction sub-system, its mathematical models for shaking intensity distribution, damage to buildings and structures, number of fatalities and injuries, as well as its data bases on build environment and population distribution. The sub-system is now under development within the NATO- Russia Project Analysis and Synthesis of Loss Estimation and Risk Assessment Methodologies for Prediction and Prevention of Catastrophes. Extremum family systems developed during the last ten years are prototypes of the new web-based open tool, which will be accessible to any registered enduser. The tool will provide possibility of distributed data bases usage and to update the data bases on regional attenuation laws, vulnerability functions of different elements at risk by joint efforts. In the case of strong earthquake the Internet conferences may be organized in order to give additional possibility to experts to take a proper decision about expected damage and loss. One of the principle advantages of the new web-based sub-system for loss assessment due to strong earthquakes is usage of common data bases and simulation models, which are updated by joint efforts. Keywords: web based tool, earthquake consequences
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IUGG XXIV General Assembly July 2-13, 2007 Perugia, Italy<br />
(S) - <strong>IASPEI</strong> - International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth's<br />
Interior<br />
JSS003 Oral Presentation 1849<br />
Remote sensing/GIS application for early warning systems of natural<br />
hazard: case study of Victoria Island, Lagos Nigeria.<br />
Mr. Olumuyiwa Sonuga<br />
PHYSICS UNIVERSITY <strong>IASPEI</strong><br />
The rate of environmental changes at the Victoria Island coast of Lagos State, Nigeria is a major<br />
problem and the environment is under the threat of loss of lives, properties and land became vulnerable<br />
to landslide, soil erosion and land use such as residential, industrial buildings and utilities has repeatedly<br />
devastated by coastal storms and flooding thereby resulting in environmental hazards. Already, an<br />
occurrence of 0.2meters of sea level rise resulted to a loss of 3,100 square kilometer of landmass to<br />
flooding. Studies have shown that population growth, migration, urbanization, human and natural<br />
activities at the costal areas are the major factors influencing the occurrence of the hazards. As a result<br />
of population growth in the country, the rate at which people migrate to Lagos State is high resulting<br />
into high rate of urbanization which has led to construction of buildings whereby obstructing the flow of<br />
water through the drainage channels to drain excess water has cost massive loss of land, bulk age of<br />
sewage. Remote Sensing and GIS technologies have been employed in this study to asses the extent of<br />
coastal land loss and damages in Victoria Island of Lagos. Satellite images for different years between<br />
1990 and 2003 of the study area were compared and results shows that natural processes have<br />
destroyed vegetation and land cover areas.<br />
Keywords: coastal storms, flooding, hazards