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Managing Synthetic CDO Tranches using Base Correlations

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Gaussian Copula Model<br />

<br />

<br />

Standard Model Assumptions: One-factor Gaussian copula model<br />

F<br />

i<br />

( t)<br />

= Pr[ τ<br />

i<br />

< t]<br />

⇔ Φ(<br />

Zi<br />

) = F(<br />

ti<br />

)<br />

Conceptual two name example<br />

Z<br />

i<br />

= ρ Z + 1− ρε<br />

i<br />

2.5<br />

Correlated normals<br />

100<br />

Correlated default times<br />

2<br />

1.5<br />

1<br />

0.5<br />

t<br />

t<br />

1<br />

2<br />

=<br />

=<br />

F<br />

F<br />

−1<br />

1<br />

−1<br />

2<br />

( Φ(<br />

z<br />

( Φ(<br />

z<br />

1<br />

2<br />

))<br />

))<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

0<br />

50<br />

-0.5<br />

40<br />

-1<br />

30<br />

-1.5<br />

20<br />

-2<br />

10<br />

-2.5<br />

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3<br />

0<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50<br />

9

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