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Managing Synthetic CDO Tranches using Base Correlations

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Stress tests<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<strong>Base</strong> correlations can be stressed directly or indirectly<br />

Indirect stresses involve market observables:<br />

Upfront fee of equity and junior tranches<br />

Tranche fair spreads<br />

Stresses should propagate up the capital structure<br />

Each stress shift involving market quotes is translated into a base correlation shift<br />

<br />

Example:<br />

0-3% Upfront fee increases bootstrap: calculate ρ 3<br />

’<br />

3-7% Tranche fair spread increases bootstrap: calculate ρ 7<br />

’(use ρ 3<br />

’)<br />

7-10% No stress is applied bootstrap: ρ 10<br />

’(use ρ 7<br />

’)<br />

14

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