climate change effects on predator/prey interactions: how can we ...

climate change effects on predator/prey interactions: how can we ... climate change effects on predator/prey interactions: how can we ...

25.01.2015 Views

Conflicting results in Sierra Nevada Within Genus (Neotoma spp.; Moritz et al. 2008) • Large-eared woodrat showed no ong>changeong> in distribution from 1920 to 2005 • Bushy-tailed woodrat showed significant ong>changeong> Within Species (bushy-tailed woodrat) • One study showed range expansion (East slope: McDonald and Brown 1992) • Another study showed range contraction (West slope: Moritz et al. 2008)

Idiosyncrasy in our thinking and our data Conflicting paradigms 1. Ambient temperature and animal physiological constraints influence species susceptibility to extinction (McDonald and Brown 1992) • True for species constrained in distribution, e.g. high montane mammals 2. Animal distributions influenced by habitat ong>changeong>s not physiological constraints (Johnston and Schmitz 1997, Moritz et al. 2008) • Habitat quality directly linked to population dynamics for herbivores, aka PREY • Prey population dynamics highly correlated to predator population dynamics

Idiosyncrasy in our thinking and our data<br />

C<strong>on</strong>flicting paradigms<br />

1. Ambient temperature and animal physiological<br />

c<strong>on</strong>straints influence species susceptibility to<br />

extincti<strong>on</strong> (McD<strong>on</strong>ald and Brown 1992)<br />

• True for species c<strong>on</strong>strained in distributi<strong>on</strong>, e.g. high<br />

m<strong>on</strong>tane mammals<br />

2. Animal distributi<strong>on</strong>s influenced by habitat <str<strong>on</strong>g>change</str<strong>on</strong>g>s<br />

not physiological c<strong>on</strong>straints (Johnst<strong>on</strong> and Schmitz 1997, Moritz et al. 2008)<br />

• Habitat quality directly linked to populati<strong>on</strong> dynamics for<br />

herbivores, aka PREY<br />

• Prey populati<strong>on</strong> dynamics highly correlated to <strong>predator</strong><br />

populati<strong>on</strong> dynamics

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