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Landscapes Forest and Global Change - ESA - Escola Superior ...

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S. M. Carvalho-Ribeiro & T. Pinto-Correia 2010. <strong>Forest</strong>s in l<strong>and</strong>scapes: modelling forest l<strong>and</strong> cover patterns suitability<br />

696<br />

2.2 Developing new framework for assessing the suitability of different l<strong>and</strong>scapes in<br />

providing l<strong>and</strong>scape functions<br />

After developing best possible forest l<strong>and</strong> cover patterns for different l<strong>and</strong>scape functions a<br />

following step intends to create a framework able to prioritize a set of functions according to<br />

predefined criteria. The conceptual models is based on the premises that not all l<strong>and</strong>scapes are<br />

adequate to provide all functions being thus likely that certain areas are more suited to specific<br />

functions than areas with contrasting characteristics.<br />

The LAM L<strong>and</strong>scape Amenity Model, developed together with the IFS (Pinto-Correia 2009a)<br />

will be further developed <strong>and</strong> tested in this project.. The LAM has been designed as the<br />

modelling tool that allows for a comparison between different l<strong>and</strong> cover petterns, both those<br />

corresponding to the best possible combinations for selected functions <strong>and</strong> those resulting from<br />

identified scenarios of change, being this comparison supported on thre IFS. The l<strong>and</strong>scape<br />

pattern (created from expert knowledge models (2.1.2 <strong>and</strong> 2.1.3) <strong>and</strong> from public preferences<br />

surveys (2.1.4)) will be compared for two scenario l<strong>and</strong>scape patterns by using the LAM. In the<br />

LAM the Index of Function Suitability (IFS) evaluates the adaptatibility of a l<strong>and</strong>scape to<br />

provide a function (Pinto-Correia et al., 2009a). By using the LAM best possible l<strong>and</strong>scape<br />

patterns for different functions will be compared with scenario storylines in order to undertake<br />

an ex-ante evaluations of whether or not future forest l<strong>and</strong> cover will be able to provide a set of<br />

pre-defined l<strong>and</strong>scape functions. Also the suitability of Cávado <strong>and</strong> Sado in providing different<br />

l<strong>and</strong>scape functions will be explored <strong>and</strong> contrasted.<br />

3. Questions still to be solved<br />

When needed, <strong>and</strong> if there will be data or knowledge that allows the identification of other best<br />

possible patterns, for other functions, the evaluation path hereby presented can be exp<strong>and</strong>ed. It<br />

is not the aim here to be exhaustive the functions selected have been chosen due to their<br />

relevance in the study areas considered. In addition to the previous it is also an aim of the<br />

project to contribute for the methodological development, through a successive<br />

conceptualization, testing <strong>and</strong> improvement of research approaches able to grasp with the<br />

linkeages between l<strong>and</strong> cover <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong> function independently if those functions are either<br />

ecological or based on social dem<strong>and</strong>. ,<br />

Identifying best possible l<strong>and</strong>scape patterns, or preferred patterns, can easily be criticised, as<br />

those best patterns dem<strong>and</strong>, on one side, a high degree of simplification concerning the<br />

l<strong>and</strong>scape in itself, <strong>and</strong>, on the other, they are based on the assumption that a generalised best<br />

pattern can be identified, even for functions dependent on public preferences. But still, this<br />

approach has been built up step by step taking care of the relevant literature, <strong>and</strong> has the<br />

advantage of being flexible so that it can be applied to multiple l<strong>and</strong>scapes, multiple functions,<br />

<strong>and</strong> multiple scenarios.<br />

There is still much to play regarding the complex task of linking forest spatial patterns with<br />

l<strong>and</strong>scape functions. This paper presents <strong>and</strong> explains a methodological framework able to deal<br />

with these issues. There is still uncertainty regarding the approach proposed <strong>and</strong> certainly there<br />

will be drawbacks, but the risk is taken in face of the urge imposed to the scientific community<br />

by policy makers. Policy makers are dealing with the formulation <strong>and</strong> targeting of public<br />

policies that should deal with the provision of public goods, <strong>and</strong> thus with their assessment for a<br />

given scale of analysis is of utmost importance. As previously referred this work is still in<br />

progress therefore comments, suggestions <strong>and</strong> discussion of alternative approaches will be very<br />

much appreciated.<br />

<strong>Forest</strong> <strong>L<strong>and</strong>scapes</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong>-New Frontiers in Management, Conservation <strong>and</strong> Restoration. Proceedings of the IUFRO L<strong>and</strong>scape Ecology<br />

Working Group International Conference, September 21-27, 2010, Bragança, Portugal. J.C. Azevedo, M. Feliciano, J. Castro & M.A. Pinto (eds.)<br />

2010, Instituto Politécnico de Bragança, Bragança, Portugal.

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