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Landscapes Forest and Global Change - ESA - Escola Superior ...

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J. Russell et al. 2010. Developing models <strong>and</strong> processes to aid decision support for integrated l<strong>and</strong> management<br />

536<br />

economic considerations when developing a timber supply analysis, because these cannot alone<br />

be addressed by best management practices that are based on good intentions, with little data,<br />

science or modelling expertise behind them. It was found that these values can be incorporated<br />

into the process as post-projection analyses of the scenarios. However, the optimal approach is<br />

to include the elements as constraint conditions within a planning system that weighs <strong>and</strong><br />

analyzes all elements at the same time. This approach demonstrates that the technical capacity is<br />

readily available to produce a true ILM/CEA plan. With all the pressures facing the forest l<strong>and</strong><br />

state, there is a definite need to produce plans such as these <strong>and</strong> what is needed now is the<br />

political <strong>and</strong> industrial will to carry such endeavors forward.<br />

4. Acknowledgments<br />

The FORWARD project (2001 to 2006) was funded by the Natural Sciences <strong>and</strong> Engineering<br />

Research Council of Canada, Millar Western <strong>Forest</strong> Products Ltd., the Canada Foundation for<br />

Innovation, Blue Ridge Lumber Inc., Alberta Newsprint Company, V<strong>and</strong>erwell Contractors<br />

(1971) Ltd., the Living Legacy Research Program, <strong>and</strong> the Ontario Innovation Trust. We thank<br />

Janice Burke (Lakehead University) for review of earlier drafts of this manuscript.<br />

5. References<br />

Arnold, J.G., Srinivasan, R., Muttiah, R.S. <strong>and</strong> Williams, J.R., 1998. Large area<br />

hydrologic modeling <strong>and</strong> assessment. Part I: Model development. Journal of the<br />

American Water Resources Association, 34: 73-89.<br />

<strong>Forest</strong>ry Canada Fire Danger Group, 1992. Development <strong>and</strong> structure of the Canadian<br />

<strong>Forest</strong> Fire Behavior Prediction System. Ottawa, Ontario: <strong>Forest</strong>ry Canada. 64 p.<br />

Hogg, E. <strong>and</strong> Hurdle, P., 1995. The aspen parkl<strong>and</strong> in western Canada: A dry climate<br />

analogue for the future boreal forest Water, Air <strong>and</strong> Soil Pollution, 82: 391-400.<br />

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate <strong>Change</strong>), 2001. Climate change 2001:<br />

Impacts, adaptation <strong>and</strong> vulnerability. J.J. McCarthy, O.F. Canziani, N.A. Leary, D.J.<br />

Dokken <strong>and</strong> K.S. White (Eds.). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.<br />

Kimmins, J.P., Mailly, D. <strong>and</strong> Seely, B., 1999. Modelling forest ecosystem net primary<br />

production: the hybrid simulation approach used in FORECAST. Ecological<br />

Modelling, 122: 195-224.<br />

Millar Western <strong>Forest</strong> Products, 2007. Millar Western <strong>Forest</strong> Products Ltd. Detailed<br />

<strong>Forest</strong> Management Plan 2007–2016. Edmonton, Alberta: The <strong>Forest</strong>ry Corp. 451 p.<br />

NRC (Natural Resources Canada), 2009. The state of Canada’s forests. Ottawa,<br />

Ontario: Natural Resources Canada. 64 p.<br />

Nour, M.H., Smith, D.W., Gamal El-Din, M. <strong>and</strong> Prepas, E.E., 2006. Neural networks<br />

modelling of streamflow, phosphorus, <strong>and</strong> suspended solids: application to the<br />

Canadian Boreal forest. Water Science <strong>and</strong> Technology, 53(10): 91-99.<br />

Ozawa, T.N., Mori, S.E., Umaguti, A.N., Sushima, Y.T., Akemura, T.T., Akajima, T.N.,<br />

Beouchi, A.A. <strong>and</strong> Imoto, M.K., 2001. Projections of future climate change in the<br />

21 st century simulated by the CCSR/NIES CGCM under the IPCC SRES scenarios.<br />

In: T. Matsuno <strong>and</strong> H. Kida (Eds.). Present <strong>and</strong> future of modeling global<br />

environmental change: Toward integrated modeling. Tokyo, Japan: Terrapub: 15-28.<br />

Prepas, E.E., Putz, G., Smith, D.W., Burke, J.M. <strong>and</strong> MacDonald, J.D., 2008. The<br />

FORWARD Project: Objectives, framework <strong>and</strong> initial integration into a Detailed<br />

<strong>Forest</strong> Management Plan in Alberta. <strong>Forest</strong>ry Chronicle, 84: 330-337.<br />

<strong>Forest</strong> <strong>L<strong>and</strong>scapes</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong>-New Frontiers in Management, Conservation <strong>and</strong> Restoration. Proceedings of the IUFRO L<strong>and</strong>scape Ecology<br />

Working Group International Conference, September 21-27, 2010, Bragança, Portugal. J.C. Azevedo, M. Feliciano, J. Castro & M.A. Pinto (eds.)<br />

2010, Instituto Politécnico de Bragança, Bragança, Portugal.

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