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Landscapes Forest and Global Change - ESA - Escola Superior ...

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J.S.V. Filho & M.L. Leite 2010. Simulation of climate scenarios for the region of Campos Gerais, State of Parana, Brazil<br />

368<br />

(Cfb), with precipitation concentrated during summer months, without dry season <strong>and</strong> with<br />

regular occurrences of frost in winter, it is expected that from a perspective of regional climate<br />

change, the increase in temperature causes significant changes in the l<strong>and</strong>scape since the<br />

floristic composition of the forest <strong>and</strong> grassl<strong>and</strong> are strongly influenced by temperature <strong>and</strong><br />

precipitation.<br />

Figure 3 - Precipitation scenarios simulated by PGECLIMA_R for the year 2100, considering the best <strong>and</strong><br />

worst outlook projected by the IPCC.<br />

In the case of Araucaria <strong>Forest</strong>, which is a forest formation adapted to conditions of humid<br />

altitude, its main plant species, the Araucaria, have their reproductive phenology affected<br />

mainly by abiotic factors such as temperature <strong>and</strong> photoperiod (Liebsch <strong>and</strong> Mikich 2009).<br />

According to Zanon 2007, the increase in temperature <strong>and</strong> precipitation have a positive<br />

<strong>Forest</strong> <strong>L<strong>and</strong>scapes</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong>-New Frontiers in Management, Conservation <strong>and</strong> Restoration. Proceedings of the IUFRO L<strong>and</strong>scape Ecology<br />

Working Group International Conference, September 21-27, 2010, Bragança, Portugal. J.C. Azevedo, M. Feliciano, J. Castro & M.A. Pinto (eds.)<br />

2010, Instituto Politécnico de Bragança, Bragança, Portugal.

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