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Landscapes Forest and Global Change - ESA - Escola Superior ...

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J.S.V. Filho & M.L. Leite 2010. Simulation of climate scenarios for the region of Campos Gerais, State of Parana, Brazil<br />

367<br />

around 2493 mm. In its best scenario, the annual total in 2052 <strong>and</strong> 2100 was around 1776 mm<br />

<strong>and</strong> 1882 mm, respectively. For the city of Lapa, where the annual historical average total was<br />

1651 mm, in the worst simulated scenario, the annual total for 2052 was 1932 mm, while in the<br />

year of 2100, it approached 2246 mm. In the best scenario, the annual total in 2052 <strong>and</strong> 2100<br />

approached, 1911 mm <strong>and</strong> 1955 mm, respectively.<br />

Figure 2 - Mean air temperature scenarios simulated by PGECLIMA_R for the year 2100, considering the<br />

best <strong>and</strong> worst outlook projected by the IPCC.<br />

4. Discussion<br />

Given the fact that the region of Campos Gerais of Parana is located in a climatic zone,<br />

dominated in some places by the subtropical climate (Cfa) <strong>and</strong> others by temperate climate<br />

<strong>Forest</strong> <strong>L<strong>and</strong>scapes</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong>-New Frontiers in Management, Conservation <strong>and</strong> Restoration. Proceedings of the IUFRO L<strong>and</strong>scape Ecology<br />

Working Group International Conference, September 21-27, 2010, Bragança, Portugal. J.C. Azevedo, M. Feliciano, J. Castro & M.A. Pinto (eds.)<br />

2010, Instituto Politécnico de Bragança, Bragança, Portugal.

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