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Landscapes Forest and Global Change - ESA - Escola Superior ...

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A.E. Eycott et al. 2010. The impact of the matrix on species movement: systematic review <strong>and</strong> meta-analysis<br />

216<br />

2. Methodology<br />

2.1 Data search<br />

We used a systematic review technique that was originally developed for conservation <strong>and</strong><br />

environmental management from the medical evidence review model (Pullin & Stewart, 2006).<br />

Systematic review strives to minimise error <strong>and</strong> bias through an exhaustive search of peerreviewed<br />

journal publications, grey literature <strong>and</strong> unpublished research findings.<br />

Full details of the systematic review methodology <strong>and</strong> search terms can be found<br />

atwww.environmentalevidence.org/SR43.html. In summary, we aimed to select all articles<br />

(including grey literature <strong>and</strong> web-published data) that presented original, empirical data on<br />

measured emigration rates from habitat patches where two or more matrix types were directly<br />

compared in a controlled experiment or through a single survey. We excluded studies which<br />

measured emigration indirectly, for example by distribution patterns, or where the patches were<br />

too small to support a single individual (e.g. Castellon & Sieving, 2006). We also were unable<br />

to include those papers from which raw emigration rates could not be extracted <strong>and</strong> the authors<br />

of which did not respond to our request for the original data.<br />

2.2 Data synthesis<br />

Matrix types were classified as ‘more favourable’ or ‘less favourable’. This was decided using<br />

the classification by the author of each study. In all but one case, the matrix type that was<br />

assumed to be more favourable was that most structurally similar to the habitat patch, the<br />

exception (Goodwin & Fahrig, 2002) being more ambiguous.<br />

In order to combine the outcomes of different studies, all the data were converted to a single<br />

measure that describes the magnitude of the effect of the study treatment. In this case the<br />

'treatment' is the matrix type. We used risk ratios as the measure of the size of the effect. The<br />

risk ratio is the multiplication of the risk that occurs in a ‘treated’ group relative to a control<br />

group. In this case, the ‘treatment’ was the more similar matrix <strong>and</strong> the ‘control’ the less similar<br />

matrix. If the chance of movement is reduced by a more favourable matrix, the risk ratio will be<br />

less than one; if it increases the chance of individual movement, the risk ratio will be greater<br />

than one.<br />

‘Number needed to treat’ (NNT) can more intuitively illustrate the effect of a 'treatment'. NNT<br />

is defined as the expected number of individuals who need to receive the experimental<br />

‘treatment’ (the permeable matrix) rather than the control (the less permeable matrix) in order<br />

for one additional individual to either incur (or avoid) an event in a given time frame.<br />

The risk ratio was calculated individually for each homogeneous subgroup in a study, e.g. ‘all<br />

the tests performed on species x over a distance of 250 m’. Calculated risk ratios were pooled<br />

across studies to generate an overall weighted average risk ratio within a r<strong>and</strong>om effects model<br />

(DerSimonian & Laird, 1986). The estimate of heterogeneity (variation in risk among studies)<br />

was taken from the Mantel-Haenszel model.<br />

2.3 Covariate analysis<br />

We looked at the impact of five different factors on the study risk ratio: distance, duration,<br />

contrast, choice <strong>and</strong> taxon. Distance <strong>and</strong> duration were investigated using meta-regression.<br />

Contrast, choice <strong>and</strong> taxon were investigated using subgroup analysis, where the meta-analysis<br />

<strong>Forest</strong> <strong>L<strong>and</strong>scapes</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong>-New Frontiers in Management, Conservation <strong>and</strong> Restoration. Proceedings of the IUFRO L<strong>and</strong>scape Ecology<br />

Working Group International Conference, September 21-27, 2010, Bragança, Portugal. J.C. Azevedo, M. Feliciano, J. Castro & M.A. Pinto (eds.)<br />

2010, Instituto Politécnico de Bragança, Bragança, Portugal.

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