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Landscapes Forest and Global Change - ESA - Escola Superior ...

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Akbarzadeh et al. 2010. Ecotourism <strong>and</strong> controlling forest st<strong>and</strong> damages<br />

180<br />

structured interviews were carried out in 29 of the 30 households inside the NPA, <strong>and</strong> were<br />

focused on household activity implementation. Special emphasis was placed on gathering data<br />

on plots (distance to house, surface area, crops, activities implemented <strong>and</strong> labor allocation). An<br />

additional 23 semi-structured interviews were carried out to gather data on household home<br />

gardens (variety of species <strong>and</strong> uses). Informal interviews <strong>and</strong> semi-closed questions were used<br />

to evaluate their views on ecotourism activities in the area. Emphasis was placed on informant<br />

perceptions of the possibility of allocating more time to new economic activities (ecotourism)<br />

instead of traditional ones.<br />

Finally, a semi-structured interview was held with a tourist agency executive interested in<br />

working in VARZEGAN. Future LUCC scenarios were projected using socioeconomic analysis<br />

data, <strong>and</strong> the factor of possible l<strong>and</strong> tenure changes in VARZEGAN.<br />

To build these scenarios, we classified study area into 2 groups: (a) forest ecosystems <strong>and</strong><br />

biodiversity implemented at the same rate; (b) forest ecosystem <strong>and</strong> bio diversity decreases due<br />

to the growing dem<strong>and</strong> of ecotourism.<br />

Characteristic vegetation in the VARZEGAN NPA is medium deciduous forest in different<br />

successional stages, although small patches of seasonal grassl<strong>and</strong> are also present. Vegetation<br />

maps were generated using various tools <strong>and</strong> Spot 5 data, to validate the different described l<strong>and</strong><br />

use <strong>and</strong> vegetation succession categories in VARZEGAN. Initially, a 2002 Etm+ panchromatic<br />

image was interpreted <strong>and</strong> digi- talized. The visual interpretation of l<strong>and</strong> use categories <strong>and</strong><br />

vegetation successional stages, as well as the mapping of the different trails in the NPA were<br />

aided by performing ground verifications <strong>and</strong> by conducting participatory mapping exercises<br />

with local inhabitants. They have a vast knowledge of plant species, forest successional stages<br />

<strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong>-use history which could be translated into spatial references given the scale at which<br />

we were working at. By these processes were defined the following l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> vegetation<br />

successional stages categories: agricultural units ( 0–1 year); four forest successional stages (2–<br />

7; 8–15; 16–29; <strong>and</strong> 30–50 years); old-growth forest(>50years); Later, a 2005 SPOT image (5m<br />

ground resolution) was interpreted using the same categories for l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> vegetation<br />

successional stages defined for the 2002 map. Additionally, for thisimageweusedb<strong>and</strong>s2,<br />

3<strong>and</strong>4todigitalize, <strong>and</strong>differentiate among textures, forms <strong>and</strong> color patterns (IDRISI15,<br />

Ilwis3.0). The successional stage category was assigned correctly in 90% of the sites.<br />

3. Result<br />

1. Tourism in the NPA will increase mainly because of agreements between local inhabitants<br />

<strong>and</strong> one or more tourists.<br />

2. Protection of area is seen more strongly, because degradation rate in these areas is lower<br />

than the others.<br />

In the first projection scenario (Scenario 1), l<strong>and</strong> use cover maps for 1999 <strong>and</strong> 2003 were<br />

projected to 2007 <strong>and</strong> then to2010under the assumption that the change observed between1999<br />

<strong>and</strong> 2003 would occur at the same pace from 2003 to2007.<br />

The second scenario (Scenario 2) was run in which the probabilities of observed change were<br />

altered according to socioeconomic analysis results <strong>and</strong> current l<strong>and</strong> tenure policy in the NPA.<br />

In Scenario 2 we decreased by 8% the future probability that all succession categories would<br />

change to a new agriculture.<br />

<strong>Forest</strong> <strong>L<strong>and</strong>scapes</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong>-New Frontiers in Management, Conservation <strong>and</strong> Restoration. Proceedings of the IUFRO L<strong>and</strong>scape Ecology<br />

Working Group International Conference, September 21-27, 2010, Bragança, Portugal. J.C. Azevedo, M. Feliciano, J. Castro & M.A. Pinto (eds.)<br />

2010, Instituto Politécnico de Bragança, Bragança, Portugal.

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