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Landscapes Forest and Global Change - ESA - Escola Superior ...

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T. Curt & J. Pausas 2010. Are changes in fire regime threatening cork oak-shrubl<strong>and</strong> mosaics<br />

121<br />

- the fire severity for cork oak was modeled by two levels of fire response: low (i.e. low<br />

mortality <strong>and</strong> high resprouting rate for cork oak) versus high (high mortality <strong>and</strong> low<br />

resprouting rate for cork oak)<br />

The persistence of all plants was assessed at the end of the simulations using the total<br />

abundance of all cohorts, <strong>and</strong> the abundance of four cohorts representing the life stages (i.e.<br />

seeds, immature individuals, mature trees, <strong>and</strong> mature high trees). In order to analyze the spatial<br />

changes of the mosaics we also compared the spatial patterning of cork oak <strong>and</strong> of the whole<br />

mosaic before <strong>and</strong> after the simulations. For this purpose we assessed the ‘total edge length’<br />

(McGarigal et al., 2002), this statistics being expected to be a good indicator of species’ spatial<br />

interactions (Pausas, 2006). We also tested the spatial autocorrelation for species richness at the<br />

end of simulations by computing the Moran’s I index (Cliff <strong>and</strong> Ord 1981). The comparison of<br />

the effect of different fires regimes on the mosaics was done using multiple analyses of variance<br />

(MANOVA) with the variables describing species abundance, richness <strong>and</strong> patterning as<br />

dependent variables <strong>and</strong> the variables of fire regime as independent variables.<br />

3. Result<br />

The multiple analyses of variance (Table 1) indicated that the overall abundance of cork (i.e. the<br />

number of cells in which cork oak was present whatever the cohort) was quite stable among all<br />

the simulations runs. It varied from 46.5 to 62% of the l<strong>and</strong>scape (mean value 50.7% with a<br />

coefficient of variation of 6.6%) while the area at the beginning of all simulations was 50% of<br />

the l<strong>and</strong>scape. The total abundance of cork oak after simulation did not relate to the type of<br />

mosaic: large <strong>and</strong> small patches of cork oak woodl<strong>and</strong>s resulted in similar cork oak abundance<br />

under a similar fire regime. Likewise, the different cohorts of cork oak (i.e. from seeds to<br />

mature high trees) were not significantly affected by the size of the woodl<strong>and</strong> patches at the<br />

beginning of simulation. Conversely, all the variables of the fire regime clearly impacted the<br />

abundance of cork oak in the l<strong>and</strong>scape (Table 1): its overall abundance decreased with low fire<br />

recurrence <strong>and</strong> small fires. While the presence of cork oak in the l<strong>and</strong>scape was quite stable<br />

among simulations, the different cohorts behaved differently. Seeds were more abundant with a<br />

mean fire interval of 30 to 40 years. Immature individuals were more abundant at a 20-years fire<br />

interval <strong>and</strong> with large fires. Mature cork oak trees tended to increase with longer fire intervals<br />

but not statistically significantly. High mature trees that form the overstory increased at low fire<br />

recurrence, <strong>and</strong> with low severity <strong>and</strong> small fires. In all the simulations, lower disturbance by<br />

fire (i.e. long fire-free intervals, small fires <strong>and</strong> low-severity fires) favored the development of<br />

mature cork oak woodl<strong>and</strong>s dominated by mature trees, with fewer immature individuals.<br />

<strong>Forest</strong> <strong>L<strong>and</strong>scapes</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Change</strong>-New Frontiers in Management, Conservation <strong>and</strong> Restoration. Proceedings of the IUFRO L<strong>and</strong>scape Ecology<br />

Working Group International Conference, September 21-27, 2010, Bragança, Portugal. J.C. Azevedo, M. Feliciano, J. Castro & M.A. Pinto (eds.)<br />

2010, Instituto Politécnico de Bragança, Bragança, Portugal.

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