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A Review of Building Evacuation Models - NIST Virtual Library

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parameters yields realistic results, as already demonstrated by the investigation <strong>of</strong> other<br />

evacuation drills.” For the tallest building, a 21-story <strong>of</strong>fice building with 1400 occupants, the<br />

calculated total evacuation times ranged between 616 s and 648 s, with a mean value <strong>of</strong> 627 s,<br />

while the measured evacuation time for the structure was 629 s. More information on this<br />

validation case study is provided in ASERI references.<br />

The final case study to be discussed in this section involved the evacuation from a hotel<br />

conducted by the Norwegian SINTEF organization. The input information provided to the<br />

model for this case study involved the building layout, means <strong>of</strong> egress, geometrical staircase<br />

information, location and the sequence <strong>of</strong> the fire incident, and the communication events put in<br />

place by the evacuation plan. The evacuation case that follows the evacuation plan is called the<br />

“schedule case” and actual observation <strong>of</strong> the drill is referred to as the “actual case.” Also,<br />

information about the occupants was available such as the gender, age, room number, and<br />

activity engaged in before evacuation began. The staff was not included in the egress movement<br />

during the simulation, but was modeled to perform actions during the alarming sequence. Also,<br />

delay and response times associated with certain occupant actions were included in the<br />

simulation. The occupant total was 104, and since the available egress routes were many, the<br />

evacuation was not influenced by crowding. As mentioned earlier, runs were performed in<br />

ASERI to simulate 1) immediate evacuation <strong>of</strong> all occupants at the start <strong>of</strong> the fire alarm, 2) the<br />

scheduled case, and 3) the actual case. According to the developers, the actual case was very<br />

much in agreement with the observation <strong>of</strong> the monitored hotel drill. The only difference noted<br />

was that “the number <strong>of</strong> occupants not leaving the guest rooms or returning into the room was<br />

much larger than predicted by the simulation.” The developers relate this discrepancy to the fact<br />

that the information available was ambiguous in the drill, resulting in guests ignoring the alarm.<br />

Additional validation studies can be found in the referenced ASERI publications.<br />

Special features:<br />

Manual exit block/obstacles – Yes, if smoke is very heavy.<br />

Fire conditions affect behavior Yes, the output <strong>of</strong> KOBRA-3D can be transferred to ASERI<br />

through a cut and paste method.<br />

Defining groups – Yes, because <strong>of</strong> the ability to assign each individual certain mobility<br />

parameters (body size, walking speed, and behavioral conditions) as well as providing a<br />

distribution <strong>of</strong> these for a specified group.<br />

Disabilities/slow occupant groups – Yes, walking speed and increased body size can be<br />

specified.<br />

Delays/pre-movement time – Delays are achieved either by assigning alarm and reaction times or<br />

introducing intermediate stop positions.<br />

Toxicity <strong>of</strong> the occupants – Yes.<br />

A-38

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