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Factors that are expected to limit or moderate employment growth for Human Resources Managers<br />

over the next decade include:<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Downsizing and streamlining <strong>of</strong> the workforce during the recession<br />

Increase in strategies to retain and retrain existing workers<br />

Longer‐term trends to the contracting out <strong>of</strong> human resource to employment agencies and<br />

payroll firms<br />

Growing use <strong>of</strong> computerized human resource management systems that increase productivity<br />

and reduce the need for these workers.<br />

Occupational Projections<br />

National<br />

National labour market demand and supply information is available from COPS at the 3‐digit level for<br />

Human Resources and Business Service Pr<strong>of</strong>essionals (NOC 112).<br />

Between 2006 and 2008, Human Resources and Business Service Pr<strong>of</strong>essionals experienced strong job<br />

growth and low unemployment, suggesting there were not enough job seekers to fill available job<br />

openings. Over the period from 2009 to 2018, a continuing shortage <strong>of</strong> workers in this occupational<br />

category is projected, with insufficient job seekers to meet the demand. Job openings are projected to<br />

total 89,301, compared to an anticipated 73,551 job seekers to fill these positions. Job seekers will<br />

mainly be school leavers and individuals migrating from other occupations. Job openings for Human<br />

Resources and Business Service Pr<strong>of</strong>essionals will result from both employment growth (expansion<br />

demand will account for 45% <strong>of</strong> total job openings) and retirements (which will account for 47% <strong>of</strong> total<br />

job openings). The rates <strong>of</strong> replacement demand and employment growth for these occupations will be<br />

among the highest for all occupations in the period from 2009 to 2018.<br />

Provincial<br />

The OJF website indicates that an estimated 19,550 Specialists in Human Resources (NOC 1121) are<br />

employed in Ontario in a range <strong>of</strong> sectors, including:<br />

Public administration (25%)<br />

Finance, insurance, real estate and leasing (14%)<br />

Other pr<strong>of</strong>essional services (13%)<br />

Other services (10%)<br />

Health care and social assistance (4%)<br />

The employment prospects for the five‐year period from 2009 to 2013 are expected to be good, with<br />

strong replacement demand due to retirements.<br />

An estimated 16,360 Human Resources Managers (0112) were also employed in 2006 in the following<br />

industries:<br />

Public administration (13%)<br />

LKSB Degree Program Feasibility Study • 2011<br />

195

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