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DOCUMENTS FOR THE ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING

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MOL Plc. Annual General Meeting 2013 Documents<br />

OUTLOOK ON <strong>THE</strong> STRATEGIC HORIZON<br />

MOL was able to<br />

counterbalance the lack of<br />

Syrian revenues by showing<br />

its strength and diversified<br />

profile<br />

We are going to derisk our<br />

1.6 Bboe resource potential,<br />

including 725 MMboe from<br />

Kurdistan<br />

Beyond that, derisking our<br />

new core country<br />

Kazakhstan and mitigating a<br />

natural CEE production<br />

decline will be our main<br />

focus<br />

In Upstream, 170-180<br />

mboepd production is<br />

targeted by 2017-2020<br />

Our New Downstream<br />

Program is to deliver<br />

USD 500-550mn in efficiency<br />

improvements by 2014,<br />

compared to the 2011 base<br />

year<br />

In 2012, in line with previous years’ trends, around half of MOL<br />

Group’s earnings came from outside Hungary. We expect this<br />

tendency to continue in the coming years. The Upstream Division’s<br />

contribution has grown significantly over the last few years and<br />

delivered roughly ⅔ of Group EBITDA in 2012. However, our main<br />

success was that we were able to counterbalance the lack of Syrian<br />

revenues in the P&L to a significant extent which clearly shows the<br />

strength and diversified profile of our Group.<br />

In Upstream, the major task over the coming years will be to derisk<br />

our current 1.6 Bboe recoverable resource potential. The main focus<br />

will be on the Kurdistan Region of Iraq where we have already<br />

achieved three discoveries. As a result of our intensive exploration<br />

and appraisal programs, carried out together with our partners, we<br />

expect reserve bookings from Shaikan and Akri-Bijeel blocks in 2013<br />

and 2014, respectively. Moreover, the fast track development<br />

program in the Shaikan field will deliver the first visible barrels from<br />

the region which may not only stabilise Group-level production but<br />

support unit profitability as well.<br />

Beyond that, there will be more and more emphasis on our new core<br />

country, Kazakhstan, where we further increased our presence in<br />

2012. We have acknowledged recoverable resource potential of 135<br />

MMboe which is planned to be derisked in 2013 and 2014. Barrels<br />

from Kazakhstan should be one of the main pillars of our midterm<br />

production growth. In the CEE, our mission has remained<br />

unchanged; our aim is to mitigate the natural decline rate of below<br />

5% by maximising recovery rates and continuing exploration of<br />

remaining CEE upside.<br />

Due to previous years’ exploration successes, our hydrocarbon<br />

resource potential could well be a solid basis to reach our strategic<br />

target of a 100% reserve replacement ratio in 3 years, on average.<br />

We expect Group-level production to achieve 170-180 mboepd by<br />

2017-2020 with relatively stable unit profitability.<br />

In our Downstream business, the main focus remained on efficiency<br />

improvements, especially considering that a very challenging<br />

environment is also expected for the coming years. The New<br />

Downstream ProgramProgram was launched in 2012 and is now in<br />

full swing. USD 150mn in efficiency improvements were delivered in<br />

2012 compared to the 2011 base year. The goal for 2013 is to<br />

achieve a further USD 250mn in improvements while the ultimate<br />

goal is to deliver USD 500-550mn in cost savings and revenue<br />

increases compared to the base period. As part of the program, the<br />

entire value chain is being reviewed. However, the main focus on key<br />

cost elements aimed at significant operating cost reduction. Beyond<br />

that, management continues to evaluate all possible options for<br />

profitable operations of small, less efficient assets.<br />

8/94

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