National Electric Transmission Congestion Study - W2agz.com

National Electric Transmission Congestion Study - W2agz.com National Electric Transmission Congestion Study - W2agz.com

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Contents Executive Summary ................................................................. Acronyms Used in This Report ........................................................ 1. Introduction...................................................................... 1 1.1. Organization of This Study ...................................................... 2 1.2. Definitions of Key Terms and Concepts ............................................ 3 1.3. Consultation with States and Regional Entities. ...................................... 6 2. Study Approach and Methods ....................................................... 9 2.1. Review of Historical Transmission Studies. ......................................... 9 2.2. Simulations .................................................................. 9 2.3. Scenario Analyses and Economic Assumptions ...................................... 10 2.4. Estimating and Evaluating Congestion ............................................. 13 2.5. The Eastern Interconnection ..................................................... 14 2.6. The Western Interconnection..................................................... 17 3. Congestion and Constraints in the Eastern Interconnection ............................... 21 3.1. Historical Transmission Constraints and Congestion Areas ............................. 21 3.2. Results from Simulations of the Eastern Interconnection ............................... 25 4. Congestion and Constraints in the Western Interconnection .............................. 31 4.1. Historical Transmission Constraints in the Western Interconnection ...................... 31 4.2. Congestion Findings From Modeling for the Western Interconnection .................... 34 5. Critical Congestion Areas, Congestion Areas of Concern, and Conditional Congestion Areas . . . 39 5.1. Overview .................................................................... 39 5.2. Congestion Areas in the Eastern Interconnection ..................................... 41 5.3. Congestion Areas in the Western Interconnection .................................... 44 5.4. Enabling New Resource Development: Conditional Constraint Areas. .................... 49 5.5. Conclusion................................................................... 57 6. Request for Comments on Designation of National Corridors and on This Study .............. 59 6.1. Request for Comments Concerning Designation of National Corridors. ................... 59 6.2. General Request for Comments on the Congestion Study .............................. 62 7. Next Steps Regarding Congestion Areas and Considerations for Future Congestion Studies..... 63 7.1. Next Steps Regarding Congestion Areas. ........................................... 63 7.2. Considerations for Future Congestion Studies ....................................... 64 vii xi U.S. Department of Energy / National Electric Transmission Congestion Study / 2006 iii

Contents<br />

Executive Summary .................................................................<br />

Acronyms Used in This Report ........................................................<br />

1. Introduction...................................................................... 1<br />

1.1. Organization of This <strong>Study</strong> ...................................................... 2<br />

1.2. Definitions of Key Terms and Concepts ............................................ 3<br />

1.3. Consultation with States and Regional Entities. ...................................... 6<br />

2. <strong>Study</strong> Approach and Methods ....................................................... 9<br />

2.1. Review of Historical <strong>Transmission</strong> Studies. ......................................... 9<br />

2.2. Simulations .................................................................. 9<br />

2.3. Scenario Analyses and Economic Assumptions ...................................... 10<br />

2.4. Estimating and Evaluating <strong>Congestion</strong> ............................................. 13<br />

2.5. The Eastern Interconnection ..................................................... 14<br />

2.6. The Western Interconnection..................................................... 17<br />

3. <strong>Congestion</strong> and Constraints in the Eastern Interconnection ............................... 21<br />

3.1. Historical <strong>Transmission</strong> Constraints and <strong>Congestion</strong> Areas ............................. 21<br />

3.2. Results from Simulations of the Eastern Interconnection ............................... 25<br />

4. <strong>Congestion</strong> and Constraints in the Western Interconnection .............................. 31<br />

4.1. Historical <strong>Transmission</strong> Constraints in the Western Interconnection ...................... 31<br />

4.2. <strong>Congestion</strong> Findings From Modeling for the Western Interconnection .................... 34<br />

5. Critical <strong>Congestion</strong> Areas, <strong>Congestion</strong> Areas of Concern, and Conditional <strong>Congestion</strong> Areas . . . 39<br />

5.1. Overview .................................................................... 39<br />

5.2. <strong>Congestion</strong> Areas in the Eastern Interconnection ..................................... 41<br />

5.3. <strong>Congestion</strong> Areas in the Western Interconnection .................................... 44<br />

5.4. Enabling New Resource Development: Conditional Constraint Areas. .................... 49<br />

5.5. Conclusion................................................................... 57<br />

6. Request for Comments on Designation of <strong>National</strong> Corridors and on This <strong>Study</strong> .............. 59<br />

6.1. Request for Comments Concerning Designation of <strong>National</strong> Corridors. ................... 59<br />

6.2. General Request for Comments on the <strong>Congestion</strong> <strong>Study</strong> .............................. 62<br />

7. Next Steps Regarding <strong>Congestion</strong> Areas and Considerations for Future <strong>Congestion</strong> Studies..... 63<br />

7.1. Next Steps Regarding <strong>Congestion</strong> Areas. ........................................... 63<br />

7.2. Considerations for Future <strong>Congestion</strong> Studies ....................................... 64<br />

vii<br />

xi<br />

U.S. Department of Energy / <strong>National</strong> <strong>Electric</strong> <strong>Transmission</strong> <strong>Congestion</strong> <strong>Study</strong> / 2006<br />

iii

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