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National Electric Transmission Congestion Study - W2agz.com

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production by dispatching a fixed fleet of generation<br />

to meet a known set of hourly electricity loads.<br />

Both also take into account limitations on the ability<br />

of the transmission system to support imports and<br />

exports of power within the interconnection.<br />

Loads<br />

The WECC 2005 Load and Resources forecast was<br />

the primary basis for load modeling. Existing and<br />

predicted demand-side management is embedded in<br />

area load forecasts, and transmission losses are included<br />

in the load forecast as a fixed percentage of<br />

each load. The Northwest Power and Conservation<br />

Council’s models were used to determine loads for<br />

Oregon, Washington and parts of Idaho. The California<br />

Energy Commission’s September 2005 load<br />

forecast was used to represent California loads.<br />

Load forecasts for Colorado, Montana, Utah, Wyoming,<br />

northern Nevada and parts of Idaho were<br />

based on the RMATS September 2004 study, escalated<br />

out to 2008 and 2015.<br />

<strong>Transmission</strong> paths<br />

The basic units of analysis for the study of congestion<br />

in the Western Interconnection are the existing<br />

catalogued major transmission paths defined by<br />

WECC. The system’s historical patterns of power<br />

flow, and the long history of coordination and information<br />

sharing among western transmission planners<br />

and operators have led to the identification of<br />

67 major transmission paths. A path can represent<br />

either a single transmission line or a <strong>com</strong>bination of<br />

lines from one area or <strong>com</strong>bination of areas to another<br />

area or <strong>com</strong>bination of areas. A path may be<br />

between control areas or internal to a control area. 17<br />

Interactions between the power flows on various<br />

transmission paths and resource output levels are<br />

described by technical nomogram 18 relationships.<br />

17 Recall that as directed by DOE, CRAI developed the functional equivalent of even more granular “paths” for the study of the Eastern<br />

Interconnection by applying heuristic and statistical methods, essentially in a bottom-up fashion. By contrast, in the Western Interconnection, the<br />

major transmission paths have already been defined on the basis of extensive planning studies and years of operating experience. They are<br />

well-documented through a formal WECC process.<br />

18 A nomogram is a graphic representation that depicts operating relationships between generation, load, voltage, or system stability in a defined<br />

network. On lines where the relationship between variables does not change, a nomogram can be represented simply as a single transmission<br />

interface limit; in many areas, the nomogram indicates that an increase in transfers into an area via one line will require a decrease in flows on<br />

another line.<br />

U.S. Department of Energy / <strong>National</strong> <strong>Electric</strong> <strong>Transmission</strong> <strong>Congestion</strong> <strong>Study</strong> / 2006 19

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