National Electric Transmission Congestion Study - W2agz.com
National Electric Transmission Congestion Study - W2agz.com
National Electric Transmission Congestion Study - W2agz.com
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3. Development of analytical procedures to aggregate<br />
modeling results into constraint areas for<br />
analysis;<br />
4. Specification of sensitivity studies; and,<br />
5. Collecting and aggregating modeling results to<br />
estimate congestion. 14<br />
Base data<br />
The Eastern Interconnection study used 2008 and<br />
2011 as the base years for evaluation. Input data for<br />
these two study years came from two primary<br />
sources. The majority of input data were taken directly<br />
from CRAI’s proprietary database of Eastern<br />
Interconnection generator production cost characteristics,<br />
transmission ratings, and electricity demands.<br />
This database has been developed over<br />
many years and is itself based on a variety of public<br />
(e.g., annual utility reports to FERC on Form 714)<br />
and private data sources. DOE also directed CRAI<br />
to collect information from transmission planning<br />
and regional/inter-regional reliability studies; in<br />
particular, the NERC Multiregional Modeling<br />
Working Group (MMWG) 2005 series load flow<br />
cases for the summer of 2007 and the summer of<br />
2010 served as input data on the configuration and<br />
capabilities of generation and transmission in the<br />
Eastern Interconnection. In order to resolve particular<br />
questions and resolve any discrepancies between<br />
data sources, DOE directed CRAI to consult with<br />
industry representatives about projects under development<br />
or special cases such as the Cross-Sound<br />
and Neptune high voltage DC cables, which were<br />
added to the MMWG study case as resources for<br />
2011.<br />
GE-MAPS, a <strong>com</strong>mercially available multi-area<br />
production cost simulation tool, was used to study<br />
future congestion in the Eastern Interconnection.<br />
Production cost simulation tools estimate the cost of<br />
serving the electrical load in a given area by calculating<br />
on an hour-by-hour basis the least-cost<br />
dispatch of a fleet of generation units, each with<br />
known fixed and variable costs of production.<br />
Multi-area production cost simulation tools conduct<br />
this least-cost dispatch for more than one area<br />
simultaneously while considering the capability of<br />
transmission lines connecting the areas to support<br />
imports and exports of power to further lower the<br />
overall total cost of production. GE-MAPS assesses<br />
the electrical capability of transmission lines to support<br />
such inter-regional transfers using a technical<br />
approach called decoupled power flow.<br />
Development of nodes<br />
CRAI’s GE-MAPS tool represents the Eastern Interconnection<br />
as having approximately 46,000 distinct<br />
electrical elements (buses). Some of these elements<br />
represent points of load demand, some<br />
represent points where generators interconnect with<br />
the grid, and others represent transformers, phase<br />
shifters, substations and interconnections of transmission<br />
line segments. DOE directed CRAI to aggregate<br />
the load and generation buses in the Eastern<br />
Interconnection into a set of nodes, each of which<br />
represents significant concentrations of loads<br />
and/or generation within electrically and geographically<br />
contiguous areas. A total of 253 nodes were<br />
developed and analyzed.<br />
The goal was to create nodes that have: (1) significant<br />
excess generating capability (exporting areas),<br />
(2) significant excess loads (importing areas), or (3)<br />
both significant generation and loads (such areas<br />
can shift between being importing and exporting areas).<br />
<strong>Transmission</strong> paths connect the nodes on the<br />
power grid. Each node is connected to one or more<br />
adjacent nodes via transmission paths, each with a<br />
known and limited capability. The nodes were designed<br />
to exclude—rather than contain—major<br />
transmission facilities, so as to make congestion<br />
visible between nodes rather than obscured within a<br />
node. <strong>Electric</strong> power system control areas 15 are not<br />
good proxies for nodes because they vary widely in<br />
size and electrical capacity, and congestion frequently<br />
occurs within control areas.<br />
This approach to defining nodes varied by market:<br />
• For markets administered by NYISO and<br />
ISO-NE, LMP zones were used as a proxy for<br />
nodes. This is because congestion typically<br />
occurs between these zones rather than within<br />
14 These steps involved the use of CRAI’s in-house post-processing tools, TRANZER (a <strong>com</strong>mercial product of Cambridge Energy Solutions)<br />
and PowerWorld Simulator (a <strong>com</strong>mercial product of PowerWorld Corporation).<br />
15 See Glossary for definition of “control area.”<br />
16 U.S. Department of Energy / <strong>National</strong> <strong>Electric</strong> <strong>Transmission</strong> <strong>Congestion</strong> <strong>Study</strong> / 2006