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GPS-X Technical Reference

GPS-X Technical Reference

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413 Miscellaneous<br />

CHAPTER 15<br />

Miscellaneous<br />

STATISTICAL CRITERIA TO EVALUATE SIMULATION RESULTS IN<br />

WASTEWATER TREATMENT MODELLING<br />

Introduction<br />

The simulation results from dynamic wastewater treatment plant models are usually<br />

compared to the measured time-series datasets during model calibration and validation<br />

studies. Typically, the comparison between the dynamic simulation results and the time<br />

series measured data is based on qualitative assessment that involves visual inspection.<br />

Although, visual inspection based qualitative assessment is useful method to check the fit<br />

between the measured data and simulation results, the methods does not help in<br />

differentiating between goodness of one simulation results over the others when many<br />

simulation results can pass the qualitative assessment. In such situations it may be more<br />

meaningful to use quantitative statistical criteria to select the results of one calibration<br />

parameter set over the other.<br />

Considering the usefulness of quantitative statistical criteria in evaluating and improving<br />

the model calibration and validation, a set of selected statistical indices were<br />

implemented in the <strong>GPS</strong>-X v6.4. The direct calculation of statistical indices inside <strong>GPS</strong>-<br />

X will significantly reduce the efforts of exporting and manipulating the simulation and<br />

measured data for estimation of the statistical indices. The statistical measures<br />

implemented will be explained in following sections using the predicted and measured<br />

BOD data as shown in a typical <strong>GPS</strong>-X output graph (see Figure 15-1).<br />

<strong>GPS</strong>-X <strong>Technical</strong> <strong>Reference</strong>

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