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The Death of Ramon Gonzalez and the 21st Century Dilemma

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governments. <strong>The</strong> big issues were about <strong>the</strong> control <strong>of</strong> money, real property, <strong>and</strong><br />

resources, not about trade per se. <strong>The</strong> results <strong>of</strong> NAFTA reflected this intention; between<br />

1994 <strong>and</strong> 2002, U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in Mexico grew by 259%, while trade<br />

growth attributable to NAFTA was quite modest, with <strong>the</strong> exception <strong>of</strong> such particular<br />

areas as corn exports to Mexico. Prior to NAFTA, barriers to industrial trade in most<br />

sectors were fairly low <strong>and</strong> were subject to a variety <strong>of</strong> exceptions, such as <strong>the</strong> maquila<br />

program encouraging manufacturing enterprises in Mexico financed by foreigners. Much<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> debate over NAFTA was a bit hysterical in describing “<strong>the</strong> sucking sound <strong>of</strong> U.S.<br />

jobs going south.” Some manufacturing firms did move operations to Mexico <strong>and</strong> some<br />

manufacturing enterprises in <strong>the</strong> U.S. gained new markets in Mexico. <strong>The</strong> net effect on<br />

industrial employment on both sides, however, has been small. vi<br />

In agriculture, however, NAFTA brought some powerful changes that particularly<br />

affected peasant farmers. NAFTA negotiators proposed an immediate elimination <strong>of</strong><br />

many agricultural tariffs, including <strong>the</strong> high tariffs on U.S. grains entering <strong>the</strong> Mexican<br />

market. Some Mexican observers noted that this would mean that corn, or maize, grown<br />

on <strong>the</strong> superb <strong>and</strong> vast prairie soils <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S. Midwest in highly mechanized operations<br />

would flood Mexico with cheap corn <strong>and</strong> cause a collapse in small-scale Mexican corn<br />

production. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, under NAFTA’s terms, <strong>the</strong> Mexican government’s program to hold<br />

up producer prices <strong>of</strong> corn while providing subsidized, cheaper prices to urban people<br />

would have to be eliminated. Predictions <strong>of</strong> up to fifteen million people leaving <strong>the</strong> l<strong>and</strong><br />

due to <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong> tariff reductions on corn imported into Mexico led to an agreement to<br />

phase in <strong>the</strong> reductions over a fifteen-year period. In return, <strong>the</strong> United States government<br />

promised to eliminate subsidies to U.S. farmers, which would have moderated <strong>the</strong> effect

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