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The returns to cognitive and non-cognitive abilities in Germany

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11 We calculate the Inverse Mills Ratio (IMR) by estimat<strong>in</strong>g a probit model for the employment<br />

participation equations separately for males <strong>and</strong> females with the follow<strong>in</strong>g regressors: a dummy on<br />

whether the <strong>in</strong>dividual is liv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> East <strong>Germany</strong>, a dummy for be<strong>in</strong>g married, a dummy for not hav<strong>in</strong>g<br />

German citizenship, the <strong>in</strong>dividual’s years of education, age <strong>and</strong> age squared. <strong>The</strong> exclusion<br />

restrictions are dummies for the highest educational atta<strong>in</strong>ment of the respondent’s mother <strong>and</strong>/or<br />

father.<br />

12<br />

In particular, they show that changes <strong>in</strong> reli<strong>abilities</strong> can be computed as R 1 =R 0·((k 0 + Δk) / (k 0 + R 0·<br />

Δk)), where R 0 is the given reliability <strong>and</strong> k are the number of items measur<strong>in</strong>g the respective scale.<br />

For example, presume a fixed reliability of 0.54. If this ratio were obta<strong>in</strong>ed with 6 <strong>in</strong>stead of 3 items,<br />

like the orig<strong>in</strong>al agreeableness measure, the ratio would rise <strong>to</strong> 0.7 <strong>and</strong> thus reach the critical<br />

threshold.<br />

13 Note that there is another potential approach, the fixed effects vec<strong>to</strong>r decomposition, as <strong>in</strong>troduced<br />

by Plümper <strong>and</strong> Tröger (2007). <strong>The</strong>ir estima<strong>to</strong>r is a three-stage procedure <strong>in</strong> which estimated unit<br />

effects from a fixed effects regression are decomposed <strong>in</strong> an expla<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>and</strong> unexpla<strong>in</strong>ed part. <strong>The</strong> latter<br />

is then <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> a f<strong>in</strong>al pooled OLS regression that comprises both time-vary<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> –<strong>in</strong>variant<br />

regressors. <strong>The</strong>y use Monte-Carlo simulations <strong>and</strong> try <strong>to</strong> demonstrate that their estima<strong>to</strong>r outperforms<br />

the fixed effects, r<strong>and</strong>om effects <strong>and</strong> HTIV estima<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>in</strong> models that <strong>in</strong>clude either time-<strong>in</strong>variant or<br />

almost time-<strong>in</strong>variant variables that are correlated with unit effects. However, while they claim that<br />

their estima<strong>to</strong>r is consistent if the unobserved unit effects are orthogonal <strong>to</strong> the time-<strong>in</strong>variant variables<br />

they do not provide any theoretical proof about the properties of their estima<strong>to</strong>r so this should be dealt<br />

with caution. Experiments with this estima<strong>to</strong>r <strong>in</strong> any case yield results that are qualitatively similar <strong>to</strong><br />

the ones presented.<br />

14 In l<strong>in</strong>e with Mueller <strong>and</strong> Plug (2006), we ran additional regressions that <strong>in</strong>clude further controls for<br />

occupation <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry. <strong>The</strong> idea is that <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g occupation <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry should <strong>to</strong> some extent<br />

capture that workers who differ <strong>in</strong> <strong>cognitive</strong> skills <strong>and</strong>/or personality might self-select <strong>in</strong><strong>to</strong> specific<br />

jobs that either reward certa<strong>in</strong> traits or off-set the lack of some traits (cf., e.g., Filer, 1986 or Jackson,<br />

2006). However, these controls are potentially endogenous <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g them will "over-control" <strong>and</strong><br />

45

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