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Direct and Indirect Investment for International Diversification

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Switching Model – <strong>Indirect</strong> or <strong>Direct</strong><br />

4.0<br />

3.0<br />

IPD EY less 5-year Swap Rate (%)<br />

2.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.0<br />

-1.0<br />

-2.0<br />

-3.0<br />

-4.0<br />

-5.0<br />

<strong>Direct</strong> market to outper<strong>for</strong>m<br />

over following 12 months<br />

<strong>Indirect</strong> market to outper<strong>for</strong>m<br />

over following 12 months<br />

Point of indifference<br />

Oct-03 to Sept-04<br />

Oct-02 to Sept-03<br />

Oct-01 to Sept-02<br />

-6.0<br />

-6.5 -5.5 -4.5 -3.5 -2.5 -1.5<br />

FTSE Real Estate DY less IPD EY (%)<br />

Sources: Datastream, IPD

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