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Lung function measurements in children - copsac

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showed the median age of hospitalization was 10 months of age similar to our f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

(145).<br />

Most importantly, the power of our study is limited by the low number of 37 paired<br />

cases, and the 95% confidential <strong>in</strong>terval is correspond<strong>in</strong>gly wide particularly for the<br />

cl<strong>in</strong>ical end-po<strong>in</strong>t though less so for the objective surrogate markers of asthma such as<br />

lung <strong>function</strong> and F E NO. However, our study was based on the complete national<br />

database and not power calculations.<br />

Mean age at the cl<strong>in</strong>ical exam<strong>in</strong>ation was 7.6 years. A difference <strong>in</strong> asthma prevalence<br />

later <strong>in</strong> life cannot be excluded but seems low <strong>in</strong>asmuch as those studies show<strong>in</strong>g higher<br />

asthma prevalence after severe RSV found this ma<strong>in</strong>ly <strong>in</strong> early childhood (96) and most<br />

cases of asthma debut before school age.<br />

Interpretation of the study<br />

We studied the direction of the causal relation between severe RSV bronchiolitis and<br />

asthma. RSV bronchiolitis has been associated with wheez<strong>in</strong>g, asthma and abnormal<br />

pulmonary <strong>function</strong> <strong>in</strong> childhood (94-99). One particular cohort study reported an<br />

asthma rate of 43% versus 8% and sensitization to common allergens of 45% versus<br />

26% by age 13 years <strong>in</strong> <strong>children</strong> with <strong>in</strong>fant hospitalization for RSV bronchiolitis<br />

compared with a matched control group (98). A review of pooled data from 10<br />

controlled studies concluded that wheez<strong>in</strong>g (but not recurrent wheez<strong>in</strong>g) is more<br />

common after severe RSV bronchiolitis up till 5 years of follow-up (146). Two F<strong>in</strong>nish<br />

studies reported only marg<strong>in</strong>ally <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the prevalence of asthma after RSV<br />

bronchiolitis <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>fancy (145, 147). On the other hand, predisposition to asthma and<br />

atopy was associated with <strong>in</strong>creased risk of lower respiratory tract <strong>in</strong>fection and<br />

hospitalization for RSV <strong>in</strong>fection (112, 113, 116) and early wheezy symptoms were<br />

found to be a strong risk factor for subsequent hospitalisation for RSV (114). Therefore<br />

the direction of causality is unknown: Does RSV <strong>in</strong>crease risk of asthma or is asthma<br />

constitution <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the risk of severe response to RSV <strong>in</strong>fection, or are both shar<strong>in</strong>g<br />

a common undisclosed environmental exposure.<br />

The model we used adjusted for genetic variation by analyz<strong>in</strong>g long-term outcome <strong>in</strong><br />

monozygotic tw<strong>in</strong> pairs, <strong>in</strong> which one <strong>in</strong>fant had been hospitalized for severe lung<br />

43

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