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Andrea Hernandez - Wartsila - IMSF

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Key uncertainties lay the groundwork for scenarios<br />

The key uncertainties<br />

refined into five<br />

dimensions:<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

5<br />

Trade and economic<br />

growth<br />

Response to climate<br />

change and<br />

sustainability issues<br />

Geopolitical issues<br />

and global leadership<br />

Solutions to deal with<br />

scarcity issues<br />

Control of power<br />

Neo-colonialistic<br />

approach creates<br />

friction<br />

National<br />

governments<br />

control power<br />

Protectionistic,<br />

bilateral, uneven<br />

growth<br />

1<br />

Local means to deal<br />

with sustainability<br />

issues<br />

Scrambled<br />

geopolitics<br />

2<br />

3<br />

4<br />

Global leadership<br />

by China<br />

Global action<br />

against climate<br />

change<br />

5<br />

Free trade and<br />

flow of capital,<br />

strong growth<br />

Megacities and<br />

mega corporations<br />

form the power<br />

base<br />

Technological<br />

or market-driven<br />

solutions<br />

7

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