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538 QUANTITATIVE DATA ANALYSIS<br />

Box 24.30<br />

Ascatterplotwithgridlinesandregressionline<br />

Hours of study<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

20<br />

30<br />

40<br />

50<br />

60<br />

Level of achievement<br />

line. In fact this is all calculated automatically by<br />

SPSS.<br />

Let us lo<strong>ok</strong> at a typical SPSS output here<br />

(Box 24.31).<br />

This table provides the R square. The R square<br />

tells us how much variance in the dependent<br />

variable is explained by the independent variable<br />

in the calculation. First, it gives us an R square<br />

value of 0.632, which indicates that 63.2 per<br />

cent of the variance is accounted for in the<br />

model, which is high. The adjusted R square<br />

is more accurate, and we advocate its use, as<br />

it automatically takes account of the number of<br />

independent variables. The adjusted R square is<br />

usually smaller than the unadjusted R square, as it<br />

also takes account of the fact that one is lo<strong>ok</strong>ing at<br />

Box 24.31<br />

AsummaryoftheR,RsquareandadjustedR<br />

square in regression analysis<br />

Model summary<br />

Adjusted SE of the<br />

Model R R square R square estimate<br />

1 0.795 a 0.632 0.625 9.200<br />

a. Predictors: (Constant), Hours of study<br />

70<br />

80<br />

asampleratherthanthewholepopulation.Here<br />

the adjusted R square is 0.625, and this, again,<br />

shows that, in the regression model that we have<br />

constructed, the independent variable accounts<br />

for 62.5 per sent of the variance in the dependent<br />

variable, which is high, i.e. our regression model<br />

is robust. Muijs (2004: 165) suggests that, for a<br />

goodness of fit with an adjusted R square:<br />

0.5: strong fit<br />

Second, SPSS then calculates the analysis of<br />

variance (ANOVA) (Box 24.32). At this stage<br />

we will not go into all of the calculations<br />

here (typically SPSS prints out far more than<br />

researchers may need; for a discussion of df<br />

(degrees of freedom) we refer readers to the<br />

earlier section). We go to the final column here,<br />

marked ‘Sig.’; this is the significance level, and,<br />

because the significance is 0.000, we have a very<br />

statistically significant relationship (stronger than<br />

0.001) between the independent variable (hours<br />

of study) and the dependent variable (level of<br />

achievement) (Box 24.32).<br />

This tells us that it is useful to proceed with<br />

the analysis, as it contains important results.<br />

SPSS then gives us a table of coefficients, both<br />

unstandardized and standardized. We advise to<br />

opt for the standardized coefficients, the Beta<br />

weightings. The Beta weight (β) istheamount<br />

of standard deviation unit of change in the<br />

dependent variable for each standard deviation<br />

unit of change in the independent variable. In<br />

the example in Box 24.33 the Beta weighting<br />

is 0.795; this tell us that, for every standard<br />

deviation unit change in the independent variable<br />

(hours of study), the dependent variable (level of<br />

achievement) will rise by 0.795 (79.5 per cent)<br />

of one standard deviation unit, i.e. for every<br />

one unit rise in the independent variable there<br />

is just over three-quarters of a unit rise in the<br />

dependent variable. This also explains why the<br />

slope of the line of best fit is steep but not quite 45<br />

degrees – each unit of one is worth only 79.5 per<br />

sent of a unit of the other (Box 24.33).

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