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Tobacco Taxes in China - Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids

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<strong>Tobacco</strong> <strong>Taxes</strong> <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a<br />

<strong>Tobacco</strong> <strong>Taxes</strong> <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a are Low and<br />

Inefficient<br />

There are several types of tax on tobacco <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a.<br />

• Cigarette tax: The cigarette tax comb<strong>in</strong>es an ad<br />

valorem tax and a specific excise tax. The ad valorem<br />

tax is currently two tiered, allow<strong>in</strong>g producers to<br />

adjust brand prices to pay lower tax rates. The total<br />

cigarette tax rate <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a is approximately 40%* at<br />

the retail price level, far below the median range of tax<br />

rates of the <strong>in</strong>ternational community, which is between<br />

65 and 70%.<br />

<strong>Tobacco</strong> <strong>Taxes</strong> Save Lives and Increase<br />

Government Revenue<br />

If Ch<strong>in</strong>a raised their tax rate from its current rate to<br />

51% of retail price (via a 1 RMB <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the specific<br />

excise tax per pack), the number of smokers would<br />

decrease and health would improve. <strong>Tobacco</strong> tax revenue<br />

would <strong>in</strong>crease to RMB 235.1 billion ($28.7 billion USD)<br />

— an <strong>in</strong>crease of RMB 64.9 billion.<br />

Table 1: Impact of Cigarette Tax Increase of<br />

1 RMB (-.05 elasticity)<br />

Figure 2: Tax Rates <strong>in</strong> Ch<strong>in</strong>a and Neighbor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Jurisdictions<br />

Reduction <strong>in</strong> number of smokers<br />

13.7 million<br />

S<strong>in</strong>gapore<br />

Philipp<strong>in</strong>es<br />

Thailand<br />

Hong Kong SAR<br />

Korea<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>a<br />

40%<br />

63%<br />

63%<br />

60%<br />

60%<br />

69%<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80<br />

Tax rate as a percent of retail price<br />

• <strong>Tobacco</strong> leaf tax: As the only legitimate buyer of<br />

tobacco leaf, CNTC provides a 20% tobacco leaf<br />

tax to local governments as tax revenue. CNTC sets<br />

quotas on production of tobacco leaf. The current tax<br />

revenue shar<strong>in</strong>g mechanism between central and local<br />

governments acts as an <strong>in</strong>centive to encourage local<br />

governments to over-produce tobacco leaf.<br />

The Case <strong>for</strong> Excise Tax Increase<br />

A specific excise tax, by limit<strong>in</strong>g brand switch<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

cheaper cigarettes, is effective <strong>in</strong> reduc<strong>in</strong>g smok<strong>in</strong>g<br />

prevalence. In contrast, ad valorem excise taxes lead to<br />

a greater spread <strong>in</strong> prices between cheaper and higherpriced<br />

cigarettes, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the potential <strong>for</strong> switch<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to cheaper cigarettes when excise rates are <strong>in</strong>creased and<br />

underm<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the public health benefit of tobacco taxation.<br />

Specific excise taxes are easier to adm<strong>in</strong>ister because it is<br />

only necessary to determ<strong>in</strong>e the physical quantity of the<br />

product taxed and not its value.<br />

Lives saved<br />

Medical cost sav<strong>in</strong>gs<br />

Increase <strong>in</strong> tobacco tax revenue<br />

3.4 million<br />

RMB 2.68 billion<br />

RMB 64.9 billion<br />

• Productivity losses would decrease, generat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

an additional 9.92 billion ($1.2 billion USD) <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Ch<strong>in</strong>ese economy.<br />

• Projected <strong>in</strong>dustry losses of 1.63 billion RMB would<br />

be negligible compared to the ga<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> government tax<br />

revenue.<br />

• Employment losses, at approximately 5,500<br />

employees, would be m<strong>in</strong>imal compared with the loss<br />

of 59,000 employees due to mergers and efficiencies <strong>in</strong><br />

the Ch<strong>in</strong>ese tobacco <strong>in</strong>dustry.<br />

• <strong>Tobacco</strong> farmers could lose 6% of their total revenue,<br />

or RMB 873 million. However, farmers could use the<br />

land to produce other more profitable crops and thus<br />

potentially <strong>in</strong>crease earn<strong>in</strong>gs.<br />

• The local governments could lose RMB 174.53<br />

million. However, these local government revenue<br />

losses could be easily compensated <strong>for</strong> by the<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased central government tax revenue.<br />

*The precise total tax rate as a percent of retail price is uncerta<strong>in</strong>, but is estimated to be between 32 and 40 percent.

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