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RESEARCH<br />

MAPPING POVERTY: NATIONAL, REGIONAL<br />

AND COUNTY PATTERNS<br />

DOROTHY WATSON, CHRISTOPHER T. WHELAN,<br />

JAMES WILLIAMS, SYLVIA BLACKWELL


AA.Prelims 7/7/05 6:53 am Page iii<br />

<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong>:<br />

National, Regional and<br />

County Patterns<br />

Dorothy Watson<br />

Christopher T. Whelan<br />

James Williams<br />

Sylvia Blackwell


AA.Prelims 7/7/05 6:53 am Page iv<br />

First published 2005<br />

by the<br />

Institute of Public Administration<br />

57–61 Lansdowne Road<br />

Dublin 4<br />

and<br />

<strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong><br />

Bridgewater Centre<br />

Conyngham Road<br />

Islandbridge<br />

Dublin 8<br />

© 2005 <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong><br />

British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data<br />

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library.<br />

ISBN 1 904541 25 9<br />

This study forms part of the <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong> Research Series, in which it<br />

is No. 37.<br />

The views expressed in this text are the authors’ own and not necessarily those of<br />

<strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong>.<br />

Publications and printed matter will be made available, on request, in a range of<br />

formats, including audio tape, large print, Braille and computer disc.<br />

Cover design by Red Dog Design Consultants, Dublin<br />

Typeset by Computertype Limited, Dublin<br />

Printed in Ireland by Betaprint, Dublin


AA.Prelims 7/7/05 6:53 am Page v<br />

Table of Contents<br />

List of Tables<br />

List of Maps<br />

List of Figures<br />

About the Authors<br />

Acknowledgements<br />

Foreword<br />

Executive Summary<br />

ix<br />

xiv<br />

xvi<br />

xvii<br />

xx<br />

xxi<br />

xxxi<br />

Chapter 1: Introduction 1<br />

1.1 Background to the Study 1<br />

1.2 Rationales for Spatial Intervention 5<br />

1.3 Data Sources 9<br />

1.4 Outline of the Study 10<br />

Chapter 2: Spatial Trends in Deprivation Surrogates 11<br />

2.1 Introduction 11<br />

2.2 Age Structures 12<br />

2.3 Economic Status and Activity 16<br />

2.4 Variations in Levels of<br />

Educational Attainment 30<br />

2.5 Variations in Levels of Social Class 37<br />

2.6 Conclusions 45<br />

v


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Chapter 3: Measurement of <strong>Poverty</strong> at the<br />

Household Level 46<br />

3.1 Introduction 46<br />

3.2 Measuring <strong>Poverty</strong> and<br />

Deprivation in the LII Surveys 47<br />

3.3 Measuring <strong>Poverty</strong> and<br />

Deprivation in the NSHQ 49<br />

3.4 The National Context 55<br />

3.5 Conclusions 57<br />

Chapter 4: <strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by<br />

Region and Local Authority Area 59<br />

4.1 Introduction 59<br />

4.2 <strong>Poverty</strong> Risk and Incidence by Regional<br />

Authority in the LII Survey 60<br />

4.3 Disparities in Income <strong>Poverty</strong> Risk<br />

by Local Authority Area from the NSHQ 64<br />

4.4 Modified Consistent <strong>Poverty</strong> (MCP) 69<br />

4.5 MCP by Local Authority Area 70<br />

4.6 Direct and Indirect Measures of<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation 73<br />

4.7 Conclusions 76<br />

Chapter 5: <strong>Poverty</strong> by Area and Tenure Type 78<br />

5.1 Introduction 78<br />

5.2 Measuring Area Type and Tenure 79<br />

5.3 <strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Area Type 80<br />

5.4 <strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Tenure Type 85<br />

5.5 Disparities in <strong>Poverty</strong> Risk by Size<br />

of Place and Tenure 89<br />

5.6 Modified Consistent <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

by Area Type and Tenure 93<br />

5.7 Conclusions 95<br />

vi


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Contents<br />

Chapter 6: Disparities in Deprivation 97<br />

6.1 Introduction 97<br />

6.2 Methodology 97<br />

6.3 Disparities in Deprivation by<br />

Region and Local Authority Area 98<br />

6.4 Disparities in Deprivation by<br />

Size of Place and Tenure 113<br />

6.5 Conclusions 116<br />

Chapter 7: Understanding Variation in <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

by Area and Tenure Type 119<br />

7.1 Introduction 119<br />

7.2 Assessing the Net Effect of Location<br />

and Tenure 119<br />

7.3 Methodology 120<br />

7.4 Gross and Net Effects of Region<br />

on <strong>Poverty</strong> in the NSHQ 122<br />

7.5 Disparities in <strong>Poverty</strong> by<br />

Local Authority Areas (LAA) 125<br />

7.6 Gross and Net Effects of Size of<br />

Area and Tenure on Risk of<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> in the NSHQ 127<br />

7.7 Conclusions 136<br />

Chapter 8: Conclusions 139<br />

8.1 Introduction 139<br />

8.2 Surrogate Measures of Deprivation 140<br />

8.3 Overview of CSO Results 141<br />

8.4 Geographical Variation: Evidence from<br />

Analysis of Indirect Measures of<br />

Deprivation 141<br />

8.5 Variation by Size of Area and Tenure 143<br />

8.6 Policy Implications 143<br />

vii


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Appendix 1: Additional Tables 151<br />

Appendix 2: Methodology 167<br />

Glossary 193<br />

References 195<br />

viii


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List of Tables<br />

Table 2.1:<br />

Table 2.2:<br />

Table 2.3:<br />

Table 2.4:<br />

Table 2.5:<br />

Table 2.6:<br />

Table 2.7:<br />

Percentage of persons in each region<br />

according to age cohort 13<br />

Regional labour force participation and<br />

unemployment rates 19<br />

Distribution of the unemployed<br />

across regions 21<br />

Percentage of all persons engaged in<br />

farming by number of acres farmed 22<br />

Index of economic dependency<br />

in each region 28<br />

Distribution of persons 15 years and over<br />

whose education has ceased, classified by<br />

highest level of educational attainment 31<br />

Distribution of persons whose education<br />

has ceased in highest and lowest levels of<br />

educational attainment across regions 36<br />

Table 2.8: Percentage of persons in each social class 38<br />

Table 2.9:<br />

Table 3.1:<br />

Regional distribution of Professional and<br />

Unskilled Manual class categories 44<br />

Items used in the deprivation scales in<br />

the NSHQ 54<br />

ix


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Table 3.2:<br />

Table 4.1:<br />

Table 4.2:<br />

Table 4.3:<br />

Table 4.4:<br />

Table 4.5:<br />

Trends in percentage of households below<br />

poverty lines 57<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> risk in 2000 by regional authority<br />

and regional assembly 62<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> incidence in 2000: Per cent of<br />

poor in each regional authority and<br />

regional assembly area (relative income<br />

poverty and consistent poverty) 64<br />

Disparities in income poverty risk by local<br />

authority area 65<br />

Disparities in risk of modified consistent<br />

poverty by local authority area 71<br />

Correlation of socio-demographic<br />

characteristics of county with risk of poverty 75<br />

Table 5.1: Risk of poverty by type of area for 1987,<br />

1994 and 2000 82<br />

Table 5.2:<br />

Incidence of poverty by type of area for<br />

1987, 1994 and 2000 83<br />

Table 5.3: Risk of poverty by tenure type for 1987,<br />

1994 and 2000 88<br />

Table 5.4:<br />

Table 5.5:<br />

Incidence of poverty by tenure type for<br />

1987, 1994 and 2000 90<br />

Disparities in income poverty risk by<br />

urban/rural location 91<br />

Table 5.6: Disparities in income poverty risk by tenure 92<br />

Table 5.7:<br />

Disparities in risk of MCP by urban/rural<br />

location 94<br />

x


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List of Tables<br />

Table 5.8: Disparities in risk of MCP by tenure 95<br />

Table 6.1:<br />

Table 6.2:<br />

Table 6.3:<br />

Table 6.4:<br />

Table 6.5:<br />

Table 7.1:<br />

Table 7.2:<br />

Table A1.1:<br />

Table A1.2:<br />

Table A1.3:<br />

Table A1.4:<br />

Dimensions of deprivation (cannot afford<br />

items) 98<br />

Disparities in risk of basic, secondary,<br />

housing and environmental deprivation<br />

by regional authority area 100<br />

Disparities in risk of basic deprivation,<br />

secondary deprivation, housing<br />

deprivation and environmental deprivation<br />

by local authority 107<br />

Disparities in risk of basic, secondary,<br />

housing and environmental deprivation<br />

by urban/rural area 114<br />

Disparities in risk of basic, secondary,<br />

housing and environmental deprivation<br />

by tenure 115<br />

Gross and net odds ratios of being poor<br />

versus non-poor by regional authority 125<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> variation between and within<br />

local authority areas 126<br />

Percentage of persons in each county<br />

according to age cohort 152<br />

County-level labour force participation<br />

and unemployment rates 154<br />

Distribution of the unemployed across<br />

regions 155<br />

Percentage of all persons engaged in<br />

agriculture classified by number of acres<br />

farmed 156<br />

xi


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Table A1.5:<br />

Table A1.6:<br />

Table A1.7:<br />

Index of economic dependency in<br />

each county 157<br />

Distributions of persons 15 years and over<br />

classified by highest level of educational<br />

attainment 158<br />

Distribution of persons whose education<br />

has ceased in highest and lowest levels of<br />

educational attainment across counties 159<br />

Table A1.8: Percentage of persons in each social class 160<br />

Table A1.9:<br />

Distributions of persons in Professional<br />

and Unskilled Manual class categories<br />

across region 161<br />

Table A1.10: Risk of poverty by planning region, 1987,<br />

1994 and 2000 163<br />

Table A1.11: Incidence of poverty by planning region,<br />

1987, 1994 and 2000 164<br />

Table A2.1:<br />

External population characteristics used<br />

in the construction of household weights<br />

for the Living in Ireland Surveys 174<br />

Table A2.2: Population checks for sample weighting 179<br />

Table A2.3:<br />

Level of missing information on key<br />

variables and imputation procedure 181<br />

Table A2.4: Mean weekly household income (in £)<br />

using full measure and single-item<br />

measure by number of adults and number<br />

of persons at work 183<br />

xii


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List of Tables<br />

Table A2.5:<br />

Table A2.6:<br />

Table A2.7:<br />

Table A2.8:<br />

Table A2.9:<br />

Model based on LII to correct for<br />

understatement of income when a<br />

single-item measure is used 184<br />

Income category midpoints and coefficients<br />

applied to the survey of house quality 185<br />

Mean ‘corrected’ income for each original<br />

income category in the NSHQ 187<br />

Average income before and after correction<br />

by number of adults and number at work<br />

in the NSHQ 188<br />

Disparities in risk of income poverty by<br />

region, tenure, household size, economic<br />

status and social class from the LII Survey<br />

and the NSHQ 189<br />

Table A2.10: Disparities in risk of (modified) consistent<br />

poverty (60% mean and basic) by region,<br />

tenure, household size, economic status<br />

and social class from the LII Survey and<br />

the NSHQ 191<br />

xiii


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List of Maps<br />

Map 2.1:<br />

Map 2.2:<br />

Map 2.3:<br />

Per cent age-dependent by local authority<br />

area 15<br />

Per cent of persons age 65 and over and<br />

living alone 16<br />

Labour force participation rate by local<br />

authority area 17<br />

Map 2.4: Unemployment rate by local authority area 18<br />

Map 2.5: Per cent of persons in farming 23<br />

Map 2.6:<br />

Per cent of farmers farming less than<br />

30 acres 24<br />

Map 2.7: Per cent of farmers farming 30–49 acres 25<br />

Map 2.8: Per cent of farmers farming 50+ acres 26<br />

Map 2.9:<br />

Economic dependency rates by local<br />

authority area 29<br />

Map 2.10: Per cent of persons age 15+ who have left<br />

school with no education or primary<br />

education 32<br />

Map 2.11: Per cent of persons age 15+ who have<br />

left school with lower secondary education 33<br />

xiv


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List of Maps<br />

Map 2.12: Per cent of persons age 15+ who have left<br />

school with upper secondary education 34<br />

Map 2.13: Per cent of persons age 15+ who have left<br />

school with third-level education 35<br />

Map 2.14: Per cent of persons classified as<br />

Professional/ Managerial/Technical 39<br />

Map 2.15: Per cent of persons classified as ‘Other<br />

Non-Manual’ 40<br />

Map 2.16: Per cent of persons classified as Skilled<br />

Manual 41<br />

Map 2.17: Per cent of persons classified as<br />

Semi-skilled Manual 42<br />

Map 2.18: Per cent of persons classified as<br />

Unskilled Manual 43<br />

Map 4.1: Consistent poverty risk by region 63<br />

Map 4.2:<br />

Map 4.3:<br />

Map 4.4:<br />

Disparities in income poverty risk by local<br />

authority area (50 per cent poverty line) 67<br />

Disparities in income poverty risk by local<br />

authority area (60 per cent poverty line) 68<br />

Disparities in risk of modified consistent<br />

poverty by local authority area 72<br />

Maps 6.1a to 6.1e: Disparities in risk of deprivation by<br />

regional authority area 101<br />

Maps 6.2a to 6.2e: Disparities in risk of deprivation by<br />

local authority area 108<br />

xv


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List of Figures<br />

Figure 7.1: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus nonpoor<br />

at the 50 per cent income line by tenure<br />

and urban-rural location 129<br />

Figure 7.2: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus<br />

non-poor at the 50 per cent income line by<br />

tenure and Dublin versus elsewhere 131<br />

Figure 7.3: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus<br />

non-poor at the 60 per cent income line by<br />

tenure and urban-rural location 132<br />

Figure 7.4: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus<br />

non-poor at the 60 per cent income line<br />

by tenure and Dublin versus elsewhere 133<br />

Figure 7.5: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus<br />

non-poor at the MCP line by tenure and<br />

urban-rural location 134<br />

Figure 7.6: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus<br />

non-poor at the 50 per cent MCP line by<br />

tenure and Dublin versus elsewhere 136<br />

xvi


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About the Authors<br />

Dorothy Watson is a Senior Research Officer at the<br />

Economic and Social Research Institute. She managed the<br />

Living in Ireland Survey and, with James Williams, the<br />

2001/2002 Survey of Housing Quality and the 2003 National<br />

Survey of Domestic Abuse. Together with Bernadette Ryan<br />

and Bertrand Maitre of the ESRI, she is presently working on<br />

an international consortium to establish the Euro-Panel User<br />

Network to provide support and avenues of communication<br />

to users of the European Community Household Panel<br />

(ECHP). She has been a member of the EU-SILC Task Force<br />

and a consultant to Eurostat on the EU-SILC Pilot. Her<br />

current research includes a study of the changes in income<br />

associated with retirement (with Gerry Hughes), the<br />

development of a questionnaire for a national study of<br />

disability in Ireland (with Brian Nolan and James Williams) and<br />

an analysis of the spatial distribution of poverty and<br />

disadvantage in Ireland (with James Williams and Chris<br />

Whelan).<br />

Christopher T. Whelan is a Research Professor at the<br />

Economic and Social Research Institute. His current research<br />

interests include the causes and consequences of poverty<br />

and inequality, the measurement and monitoring of poverty<br />

and social exclusion, social mobility and inequality of<br />

opportunity and quality of life. He is involved in a range of<br />

xvii


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Irish and European projects involving analysis of the Living in<br />

Ireland Panel Survey and the European Community<br />

Household Panel Study. These activities include acting as a<br />

co-ordinator of an EU-funded network of European<br />

institutions focusing on the inter-disciplinary study of<br />

Economic Change, Unequal Life-Chances and Quality of Life<br />

(CHANGEQUAL). He has contributed on these topics to a<br />

range of academic journals. He is currently an associate<br />

editor of the European Sociological Review and is<br />

Chairperson of the Standing Committee for the Social<br />

Sciences of the European Science Foundation.<br />

James Williams is a Research Professor at the Economic<br />

and Social Research Institute and is also Head of the<br />

Institute’s Survey Unit, where he is responsible for all aspects<br />

of survey-based data collection. From 1993 to 1996 he<br />

managed the Irish component of the European Community’s<br />

Household Panel Survey (ECHP). In that role he had a major<br />

involvement with Eurostat in the planning and implementation<br />

of the survey. He has undertaken an extensive range of<br />

commissioned research and consultancy projects and has<br />

both contributed numerous chapters to books and coauthored<br />

others. He has also been involved in a wide range<br />

of commissioned reports and consultancy projects - both<br />

national and international - spanning a diverse range of<br />

topics. He also carries out both ad hoc and ongoing surveys<br />

for a range of organisations and bodies, mostly Irish public<br />

sector, European Commission and Eurostat.<br />

Sylvia Blackwell has been the Surveys Executive in the<br />

ESRI Survey Unit since 2000, where she has worked on<br />

business projects such as the Annual Business Surveys coordinated<br />

by Forfás among client bases of the IDA; Enterprise<br />

xviii


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About the Authors<br />

Ireland; Údarás na Gaeltachta and Shannon Development<br />

and the Survey of Business Expenditure on R & D within<br />

Ireland. More recently she has worked on such projects as<br />

the Dublin Docklands Authority on their Educational<br />

Database, a Survey of Employers’ and Employees’ Views and<br />

Experiences and also on the National Survey of Vacancies in<br />

the Private Non-Agriculture Sector and Public Sector.<br />

xix


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Acknowledgements<br />

This study forms part of on going research programme being<br />

carried out by the Economic and Social Research Institute<br />

(ESRI) that is sponsored by the Department of Social and<br />

Family Affairs. The study draws on a number of major data<br />

sources, including the National Survey of Housing Quality. The<br />

<strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong> has provided specific funding for this<br />

project and we would like to express our appreciation of their<br />

support.<br />

The Department of the Environment, Heritage and Local<br />

Government provided funding for the National Survey of<br />

Housing Quality 2001/2002, which is an important source of<br />

data for some of the detailed regional analysis presented here.<br />

In carrying out this study we have benefited from the<br />

comments of Jim Walsh and Vanessa Coffey of the <strong>Combat</strong><br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong> and an anonymous referee.<br />

We also gratefully acknowledge the assistance of Mary<br />

Dowling, Daphne McNamara Lancha and Pat Hopkins.<br />

xx


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Foreword<br />

Introduction<br />

<strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> is a state advisory body which develops and<br />

promotes evidence-based proposals and measures to<br />

combat poverty. The spatial aspects of poverty are a longstanding<br />

concern of <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong>, in terms of both<br />

research and area-based policies. 1 This study updates and<br />

extends previous research on the spatial distribution of<br />

poverty using recent national data sources: the Census of<br />

Population (2002), the Living in Ireland Survey (2000) and, for<br />

the first time, the National Survey of Housing Quality<br />

(2001/2002). It applies direct and indirect measures of poverty<br />

(household income, deprivation, socio-demographic<br />

1 Brian Nolan, et al. (1998), Where are Poor Households The Spatial<br />

Distribution of <strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation in Ireland, Dublin: Oak Tree<br />

Press and <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong>; Brian Nolan and Christopher<br />

Whelan (1999), Loading the Dice A Study of Cumulative<br />

Disadvantage, Dublin: Oak Tree Press and <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong>;<br />

Sarah Craig and Kieran McKeown (1994), Progress through<br />

Partnership: Final Evaluation Report on the PESP Pilot Initiative on<br />

Long-Term Unemployment, Dublin: <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong>; Brian<br />

Harvey (1994), <strong>Combat</strong>ing Exclusion: Lessons from the Third EU<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> Programme in Ireland 1989–1994, Dublin: <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

<strong>Agency</strong>; Barry Cullen (1994), A Programme in the Making: A Review of<br />

the Community Development Programme, Dublin: <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

<strong>Agency</strong>.<br />

xxi


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

indicators) to a range of spatial categories, including<br />

regional and local administrative units, area type and<br />

housing tenure. 2<br />

The study addresses three key aspects of the spatial<br />

distribution of poverty:<br />

• identifies patterns with regard to the concentration of<br />

poverty and how these have evolved over time<br />

• assesses if these patters are significant in terms of the<br />

overall incidence of poverty<br />

• considers the processes underlying poverty clustering,<br />

distinguishing between factors which influence the<br />

location and the causes of poverty.<br />

These questions are also relevant to the government policy<br />

priority attached to tackling ‘poverty blackspots’ in urban<br />

and rural areas. The National Anti-<strong>Poverty</strong> Strategy<br />

highlights the ‘concentrated and cumulative nature’ of<br />

poverty in urban and rural areas, which has prompted<br />

numerous area programmes and related initiatives. 3 The<br />

uneven distribution of poverty is also linked to a wider<br />

policy concern with balanced regional development, as is<br />

reflected in the regional and Peace II programmes under the<br />

National Development Plan. From this policy perspective,<br />

2 A fivefold area classification is used of open countryside, village, town,<br />

provincial city and Dublin. While tenure is not a spatial category per se,<br />

it does have a spatial expression through the segmented nature of the<br />

housing market. The categories include owned outright, owned with<br />

mortgage, tenant purchase, public rented and private rented.<br />

3 These include the Local Development Social Inclusion Programme,<br />

Community Development Programme, RAPID Programme and Clár<br />

Programme. Spatial initiatives also exist to address educational<br />

disadvantage, drug misuse, unemployment, child care and other forms<br />

of disadvantage.<br />

xxii


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Foreword<br />

research on the spatial dimension of poverty is needed to<br />

accurately identify poor areas in the first instance, to<br />

understand why these areas exist and to assess the impact<br />

of area policies.<br />

Key Research Findings<br />

The study finds a pattern of regional and county variation in<br />

poverty-related indicators such as age dependency,<br />

economic activity, educational attainment and social class.<br />

This provides an interpretative context for subsequent<br />

analyses of direct measures of poverty.<br />

The study identifies an uneven spatial distribution of poor<br />

households at regional and local levels, with a more<br />

differentiated pattern of poverty apparent for each<br />

descending unit of analysis. Thus, the slightly higher poverty<br />

rate in the NUTS 2 Border, Midlands and West region is<br />

accentuated in NUTS 3 planning regions such as the Border,<br />

Mid-West and West. Among local authorities, Donegal,<br />

Cavan, Leitrim, Longford, Mayo and the provincial cities<br />

record above-average rates of poverty.<br />

Turning to area differences, this study finds that the<br />

countryside and villages have a slighter higher poverty risk,<br />

especially compared to Dublin and the larger cities. The<br />

differential for income poverty has worsened in recent years,<br />

though the variation in the consistent poverty measure has<br />

narrowed.<br />

Tenure differences are very marked, with local authority<br />

tenants at particular risk of poverty and deprivation (33 per<br />

cent compared with an average of 6 per cent). Furthermore,<br />

their relative position has worsened over time though the<br />

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overall level of poverty has fallen and their share of the<br />

housing market has declined. Another high-risk category is<br />

tenants in private housing, who have twice the average<br />

poverty rate.<br />

The ranking of regional and local authorities varies a lot<br />

depending on the specific deprivation measures. Thus,<br />

Dublin, which otherwise has a low poverty risk, scores high in<br />

housing and environmental items. Deprivation disparities by<br />

tenure are striking, with public tenants experiencing the<br />

highest levels. Furthermore, these disparities are consistent,<br />

indicating a pattern of multiple deprivation among this<br />

housing tenure.<br />

In summary, poverty remains a spatially diffuse phenomenon,<br />

with variations in the risk of poverty being counterbalanced<br />

by a more even incidence of poverty as higher-risk areas tend<br />

to have a lower share of the total population. The greatest<br />

poverty concentration is by housing tenure, with local<br />

authority and private rented tenant households accounting for<br />

60 per cent of all households experiencing poverty and<br />

deprivation, though only representing 17 per cent of the total<br />

population.<br />

The study is constrained by data limitations in exploring the<br />

micro distribution of poverty within counties. However, it is<br />

likely that the more acute poverty clusters at this spatial level<br />

represent a relatively small proportion of the total numbers in<br />

poverty.<br />

In reviewing the factors which underlie the observed spatial<br />

patterns in poverty, the study finds little evidence of a causal<br />

relationship with particular locations or tenures. Where<br />

variation exists, the determining factors relate to the socioeconomic<br />

composition of poor households rather than<br />

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Foreword<br />

location per se. The significance of tenure over other spatial<br />

units is its selection effect: the housing market, aided by<br />

public policy, reserves public and social rented housing for<br />

low-income households in the main. However, the study does<br />

indicate an additional tenure effect in urban areas which<br />

warrants further investigation.<br />

Policy Implications<br />

The main policy implications arising from this study identified<br />

by <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> are as follows.<br />

• Policies to tackle poverty must continue to prioritise the<br />

structural causes of the problem over a focus on the<br />

spatial outcomes.<br />

• Area programmes cannot be justified on a targeting basis<br />

alone given the diffuse nature of poverty, though other<br />

rationales have merit.<br />

• Policies should distinguish between ‘people poverty’,<br />

which is linked to structural factors, and ‘place poverty’,<br />

which reflects more local issues.<br />

• Greater policy emphasis must be placed on<br />

neighbourhood issues, such as access to services and<br />

estate management in area regeneration policies.<br />

• Action must be taken to address the segregated nature of<br />

the housing market, which goes beyond a concern with<br />

planning issues to address core inequalities.<br />

• Regional and local poverty trends should be monitored<br />

and targets set for poverty reduction in line with national<br />

targets.<br />

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This study reaffirms that poverty is primarily a structural,<br />

rather than a spatial, phenomenon. It arises from sociodemographic<br />

variables associated with an increased risk of<br />

poverty, e.g. unemployment and low-paid work, low<br />

educational attainment, old age, child dependency and lone<br />

parenthood. The spatial distribution of poverty largely reflects<br />

variations in the existence of these variables among the<br />

population. Policies to tackle poverty must prioritise these<br />

structural issues. At the same time, there is a positive<br />

message in the report’s rejection of the idea of a spatially<br />

concentrated ‘underclass’ that is cut off socially and<br />

economically from the rest of society.<br />

From a targeting perspective, spatial categories are of limited<br />

benefit, especially as compared with a traditional focus on<br />

socio-demographic factors. While it may be possible to<br />

distinguish micro clusters of poor households, often<br />

associated with public housing estates, these are not<br />

significant in terms of the total number of households in<br />

poverty. Spatial programmes have other policy rationales<br />

besides targeting. They can improve the delivery of existing<br />

services through promoting greater integration, community<br />

access and user involvement and develop new outreach<br />

mechanisms to meet the needs of vulnerable groups. They<br />

also achieve a multiplier effect by combining investment in<br />

physical regeneration with economic and social initiatives.<br />

More attention should be focused on the added value of<br />

area-based interventions in relation to these objectives as<br />

distinct from a crude targeting mechanism.<br />

Targeting is relevant when applied to tenants in local authority<br />

and private accommodation. Even then, this must be<br />

contextualised in wider policy issues affecting this group,<br />

especially in urban areas. The main challenge is the selection<br />

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Foreword<br />

effect associated with social housing. While there has been<br />

a policy shift in regard to the scale of social housing in order<br />

to avoid large concentrations, there has been no change in<br />

the restrictive allocation of social housing. Furthermore, the<br />

dynamic nature of social housing ensures a constant<br />

recruitment of poor tenants to replace those who, having<br />

improved their situation, move on. In addition, there is an<br />

internal process within social housing whereby tenants<br />

move from different estates, usually from low-demand to<br />

high-demand areas. These often reflect differences in how<br />

estates are managed as much as the quality of housing.<br />

Previous research indicates that within local authority<br />

estates, there can be subtle differences between individual<br />

streets and blocks. 4 Urgent measures are required to<br />

counter this internal process of ghettoising vulnerable<br />

households.<br />

A stronger focus on ‘place’ or neighbourhood poverty is<br />

warranted. The residualisation of public housing has resulted<br />

in tenants experiencing inferior housing quality and a range<br />

of other neighbourhood drawbacks. The discontinuity<br />

between regeneration initiatives and social programmes is<br />

disconcerting, with the exception of some localised<br />

initiatives, e.g. Ballymun. One example of how the physical<br />

and social dimensions can be combined is in regard to fuel<br />

poverty. If combined with social programmes, energy<br />

efficiency measures can have a multiplier effect for poor<br />

tenants. For this synergy to develop, local authorities, along<br />

with other supporters and providers of social housing (health<br />

4 Tony Fahey (ed.) (1999), Social Housing in Ireland: A Study of Success,<br />

Failure and Lessons Learned, Dublin: Oak Tree Press in association<br />

with <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong> and the Katharine Howard Foundation.<br />

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boards and voluntary housing associations) should have a<br />

role in designing and delivering area programmes which<br />

address this high-risk poverty sector.<br />

A neighbourhood effect is also likely to arise from the<br />

limited access to services and opportunities for residents<br />

of poor areas. For example, employer recruitment<br />

practices may discriminate against people from certain<br />

localities, either through crude selection policies or<br />

because of limited access to informal recruitment<br />

networks. Also, the quantity and quality of services<br />

provided can be less than are available in other, more<br />

affluent areas, e.g. health care, schools, financial and retail<br />

services, sports and recreation facilities, transport. Antidiscrimination<br />

monitoring of public and private services is<br />

required to address these area effects. Another factor is<br />

the level of social capital, as reflected in voluntary activity<br />

and social networking, in poor neighbourhoods.<br />

Finally, there is a need to monitor poverty trends at<br />

regional and local levels on an ongoing basis and to relate<br />

these to national trends. The provision of sub-national data<br />

on poverty provides a baseline to measure progress and to<br />

inform regional and local poverty strategies. Regional and<br />

local poverty reduction targets should also be set in line<br />

with the national target to reduce the combined poverty<br />

and deprivation measure to 2 per cent by 2007. It is<br />

possible to adapt this target based on reducing the<br />

poverty differentials that exist between regional and local<br />

authorities. These targets should be set in the context of<br />

administrative authorities drawing up plans to reduce<br />

poverty in their areas as part of an overall national<br />

strategy.<br />

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Data Issues<br />

Geographical analysis of poverty remains underdeveloped.<br />

A key constraint is the lack of poverty-specific data on a<br />

spatially disaggregated basis. The limitations of survey data<br />

as used in this study have already been highlighted. The<br />

Census of Population, though inclusive of all households, has<br />

acute drawbacks in regard to the measurement of poverty<br />

and the spatial units of analysis. The Department of the<br />

Environment, Heritage and Local Government recently issued<br />

a consultation paper on spatial data infrastructure. Various<br />

avenues should be explored to gather specific data on<br />

poverty at the local level, including the Census of Population.<br />

A related task is to develop a system for the gathering and<br />

presentation of existing poverty-related data at the local level,<br />

e.g. welfare payments, medical cards, unemployment<br />

records. In Northern Ireland and the United Kingdom, quite<br />

advanced methodologies have been developed to analyse<br />

poverty-related indicators. In Ireland, Hasse has developed<br />

earlier work by <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> to produce a composite<br />

index of deprivation based on the Small Areas Statistics<br />

Population from the Census of Population. 5 Further work is<br />

required to refine this methodology and to incorporate other<br />

data sources so as to create a comprehensive spatial<br />

database on poverty.<br />

Separately, there is a requirement for better research and<br />

monitoring of poor neighbourhoods. A dedicated study is<br />

required which would address two key issues: what is the<br />

5 Trutz Haase (1999), ‘Affluence and Deprivation: A Spatial Analysis<br />

Based on the 1991 Census of Population’, in Dennis Pringle et al.<br />

(eds.), Poor People, Poor Places, Dublin: Oak Tree Press and the<br />

Geographical Society of Ireland.<br />

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neighbourhood effect on clusters of poor households, and<br />

what is the impact of government policies on the living<br />

conditions in poverty clusters An earlier study by <strong>Combat</strong><br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> and the Katharine Howard Foundation demonstrates<br />

the potential of micro studies in understanding the factors<br />

shaping local conditions. 6 Ideally, this type of study should be<br />

established on a longitudinal and a comparative basis so that<br />

change over time can be tracked and comparisons made<br />

between the evolution of different localities. Such a study will<br />

be considered in <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong>’s strategic plan 2005–2007.<br />

6 Tony Fahey (ed.), op cit.<br />

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Executive Summary<br />

Is poverty concentrated in certain ‘black spots’ If so, what is<br />

the extent of this concentration, what causes such<br />

concentration and which areas are particularly at risk These<br />

are important questions for policy analysts because of their<br />

implications for strategies to combat poverty and promote<br />

social inclusion.<br />

These are the questions addressed by this report on the<br />

spatial distribution of poverty in Ireland. The report was<br />

commissioned by the <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong> to look at the<br />

following questions:<br />

• Is poverty concentrated in particular areas If so, what is<br />

the extent of that concentration<br />

• Where are the concentrations of poverty<br />

• Why are there concentrations of poverty<br />

• What are the characteristics of such concentrations of<br />

poverty<br />

• What can be done about reducing such concentrations of<br />

poverty<br />

The study brings together data from three national sources:<br />

the 2002 Census, the 2000 Living in Ireland Survey, with very<br />

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detailed information on income and living standards for a<br />

sample of 3,400 households, and the 2001/2002 National<br />

Survey of Housing Quality, with a sample of over 40,000<br />

households.<br />

A key feature of the report is the concern with the causal<br />

processes underlying any association between area and<br />

poverty. Targeting programmes to combat poverty need<br />

to be fundamentally concerned with the causes of poverty<br />

rather than with patterns that are accidental. This is<br />

particularly important from the point of view of area-based<br />

programmes. Without an understanding of why people in<br />

certain areas experience a greater risk of poverty,<br />

programmes to improve their situation cannot be properly<br />

targeted to those in need.<br />

Key Findings<br />

There are clear regional and local differences in both the risk<br />

of poverty and in the levels of key related social indicators<br />

such as unemployment, education and social class. Further,<br />

the differences in risk become larger as we move to lower<br />

levels of aggregation, e.g. from region to county level. The<br />

highest poverty risk is found in counties Donegal, Leitrim and<br />

Mayo and the lowest in the counties around Dublin. However,<br />

there is considerable diversity within administrative planning<br />

regions. Louth and Sligo, for instance, show much lower<br />

relative poverty risk than the other counties in the Border<br />

region. This points to the importance of avoiding broad<br />

generalisations based on administrative units which are<br />

based on historical and political rather than socio-economic<br />

categories.<br />

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Executive Summary<br />

However, the scale of differences based on geographic<br />

location is rather modest compared to the differences<br />

between socio-economic groups or people with different<br />

housing tenures. Furthermore, the pattern varies depending<br />

on the dimension of deprivation being considered. For<br />

instance, Dublin, which has a low income poverty risk, scores<br />

high in terms of housing and environmental deprivation. On<br />

the other hand, Donegal has a much higher income poverty<br />

rate than the national average, but it is less likely than<br />

average to suffer deprivation in terms of housing deterioration<br />

or environmental deprivation.<br />

There are modest differences between urban and rural areas,<br />

but large differences by housing tenure. Local authority<br />

renters fare worst in terms of almost all measures of<br />

deprivation. This is largely due to a selection effect, whereby<br />

the dynamics of the housing market and public housing<br />

policy result in public and social rented housing being<br />

reserved for low-income households.<br />

Evidence of multiple deprivations structured along spatial<br />

lines is extremely weak. Over time, income poverty rates for<br />

local authority tenants have increased sharply, and while their<br />

consistent poverty rate (which takes account of living<br />

standard as well as income) has shown some improvement,<br />

they have fallen farther behind homeowners. The decline in<br />

their numbers, however, means that they constitute a smaller<br />

proportion of the poor.<br />

What accounts for the differences between areas at risk of<br />

poverty and deprivation The key factors accounting for<br />

poverty and deprivation are socio-economic: unemployment,<br />

non-participation in the labour force due to old age or illness,<br />

lone parenthood, low levels of education and social class.<br />

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However, the study does indicate an additional effect of<br />

tenure type. Differences between geographic areas in terms<br />

of poverty and deprivation are largely due to differences<br />

between these areas in the socio-economic composition of<br />

their populations.<br />

Implications<br />

The study clearly demonstrates that poverty is a structural<br />

rather than a spatial phenomenon. It arises from socioeconomic<br />

processes such as unemployment and low-paid<br />

work, low educational attainment, old age, child dependency<br />

and lone parenthood. The spatial distribution of poverty<br />

largely reflects spatial variations in these variables. Policies to<br />

tackle poverty must prioritise these structural issues.<br />

Area-based policies have little role in targeting poor<br />

households – most poor households do not live in clearly<br />

identifiable geographically concentrated areas. However,<br />

there may be a role for area-based initiatives in local authority<br />

estates, where they may enhance service delivery through<br />

promoting greater integration, community access and user<br />

involvement. The emphasis of such programmes should be<br />

on the efficient delivery of services and mobilisation of<br />

community resources rather than targeting poor households.<br />

Such locally based programmes may also be used to provide<br />

an outreach mechanism to meet the multiple needs of<br />

vulnerable populations, such as long-term unemployed, exprisoners,<br />

former drug users and early school-leavers. More<br />

attention should be focused on the added value of areabased<br />

interventions in relation to these objectives rather than<br />

as a simple targeting mechanism.<br />

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Chapter 1<br />

Introduction<br />

1.1 Background to the Study<br />

In 1998 the <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong> published Where are<br />

Poor Households The Spatial Distribution of <strong>Poverty</strong> in<br />

Ireland by Nolan, Whelan and Williams. The study employed<br />

data for the early to mid-1990s. It was conducted in the<br />

context of a growing concern about the extent of<br />

geographical concentration of poverty alongside increasing<br />

fears that such concentration was associated with processes<br />

of cumulative disadvantage of a vicious cycle nature. It<br />

addressed the extent to which poverty in Ireland is<br />

concentrated in particular areas or types of areas, the nature<br />

of the causal processes underlying the spatial distribution of<br />

poverty and the implications for policy.<br />

The key questions of the study were:<br />

• Is poverty concentrated in particular areas If so, what is<br />

the extent of that concentration<br />

• Where are the concentrations of poverty<br />

• Why are there concentrations of poverty<br />

• What are the characteristics of such concentrations of<br />

poverty<br />

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• What can be done about reducing such concentrations of<br />

poverty<br />

Ireland changed greatly over the second half of the 1990s,<br />

during which an unprecedented economic boom was<br />

experienced. Data are now coming on stream to allow these<br />

issues, which still remain highly relevant, to be addressed<br />

once again in light of these changes. These data comprise<br />

not only updated census data but a national survey that<br />

enables us to address these issues on a sample of<br />

households whose number goes well beyond anything that<br />

has been available to us in the past.<br />

Much of the debate about the impact of economic<br />

restructuring, industrial modernisation and infrastructural<br />

development in Ireland has a strong spatial dimension.<br />

Concern is expressed that the effects of socio-economic<br />

change vary not only by socio-economic group but also by<br />

location. In popular discourse in Ireland, certain places (often<br />

quite vaguely defined) are often said to have fared badly,<br />

such as ‘the West’, ‘remote rural areas’, ‘new suburbs’ and<br />

‘poverty black spots in the city’. More recently, concern in a<br />

number of European countries with vicious cycle processes<br />

of cumulative disadvantage and the emergence of an urban<br />

‘underclass’ has led to issues relating to spatial segregation<br />

figuring prominently in popular and academic debates.<br />

Since the early 1990s there has been a growing emphasis on<br />

policy options involving spatial programmes aimed at tackling<br />

unemployment, poverty and social exclusion. Following a<br />

number of pilot schemes, area-based programmes have<br />

become a significant part of government policy aimed at<br />

tackling poverty. As Walsh (1999: 279) notes, this is clearly<br />

evidenced in the National Anti-<strong>Poverty</strong> Strategy (1997), which<br />

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Chapter 01 7/7/05 6:53 am Page 3<br />

Introduction<br />

exhibits an explicit spatial dimension in two of its five priority<br />

themes: disadvantaged urban areas and marginalised rural<br />

communities. In 1992 the Irish government, in collaboration<br />

with the European Commission, established Area<br />

Development Management (ADM). Its primary objective was<br />

to promote social inclusion, reconciliation and equality and to<br />

counter disadvantage through local, social and economic<br />

development. As Haase, McKeown and Rourke (1996)<br />

document, the initiative was representative of a concern to<br />

develop area-based initiatives in response to emerging<br />

evidence relating to unemployment black spots.<br />

The number and range of projects managed by ADM has<br />

evolved considerably since 1992. Among its current<br />

programmes are the Local Development Social Inclusion<br />

(LDSIP) and Revitalising Areas by Planning Investment and<br />

Development (RAPID) programmes. The former is a National<br />

Development Programme aimed specifically at addressing<br />

social inclusion issues at local level. The LDSIP provides<br />

funding to Partnership Community Groups and Employment<br />

Pacts that adopt a partnership approach to tackling local<br />

issues on the basis of comprehensive, integrated local action<br />

plans. The RAPID programme is intended as a response to<br />

the need for more and better-targeted investment in<br />

disadvantaged areas. The focus in terms of service delivery is<br />

on integrating services more efficiently and tailoring them to<br />

community needs. It is also intended to encourage<br />

investment in new facilities and services. Among the<br />

objectives identified as fundamental to the RAPID programme<br />

are the development of an integrated focus on social groups<br />

experiencing cumulative disadvantage, reduction in spatial<br />

concentration of poverty, unemployment and social exclusion<br />

and the mobilisation of social capital and capacity for<br />

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economic and social development. Other programmes<br />

include the Equal Opportunities Childcare Programme (EOCP)<br />

and the Millennium Partnership Fund for Disadvantage.<br />

One of the important considerations, but by no means the<br />

only consideration, in the allocation of funding under these<br />

programmes is the socio-demographic profile of the<br />

geographical areas. This can involve the use of indices of<br />

deprivation, which rank district electoral divisions (DEDs)<br />

according to indicators such as unemployment, education,<br />

class composition and housing quality.<br />

This discussion of ADM activities illustrates that while area<br />

interventions all appear to share the objective of targeting<br />

scarce resources, the rationales or justifications associated<br />

with such interventions are variable and can take on a good<br />

deal of complexity. In our earlier report, Where Are Poor<br />

Households (Nolan, Whelan and Williams 1998), we pointed<br />

to the need to consider a number of related, but still relatively<br />

distinct, arguments for focusing on the spatial distribution of<br />

poverty. Some of these involve specific assumptions<br />

regarding the causal basis of poverty, while others take a<br />

more pragmatic form. The most straightforward justification is<br />

based on the assumption that if poor households are highly<br />

concentrated in specific areas, then it is possible to target<br />

resources on these areas in order to maximise the number of<br />

households reached. Thus, the argument outlined in the<br />

NESC (1990) document Strategies for the Nineties was based<br />

on the assumption that general measures to improve<br />

employment creation would not be sufficient to have an<br />

impact on those experiencing long-term unemployment.<br />

Special employment measures were required which would be<br />

‘targeted in an integrated fashion in the context of local areabased’<br />

strategies. Increased polarisation, and its spatial<br />

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Introduction<br />

manifestations, provides an important component of the<br />

rationale for spatial interventions.<br />

1.2 Rationales for Spatial Intervention<br />

A recent review of area-based targeting by Tunstall and<br />

Lupton (2003) distinguishes between five different rationales.<br />

• The first focuses on ‘efficiency’ and completeness in<br />

reaching poor individuals and derives its logic from the<br />

concentration of deprivation and disadvantage. Thus, as<br />

Walsh (1999: 283) notes, developments within mainstream<br />

welfare policy have encouraged a greater local focus on<br />

the design and delivery of services. In the context of a<br />

growing desire among policy makers for better targeting<br />

of resources, spatial programmes seem to offer an<br />

attractive means of responding to social needs. Here,<br />

evidence relating to the distribution of unemployment,<br />

unskilled manual work, lack of educational qualifications<br />

and low income plays a crucial role.<br />

• The second rationale is based on the argument that<br />

concentrated poverty may have cumulative and<br />

qualitatively different effects on individuals, organisations<br />

and infrastructure than less concentrated poverty. <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

‘black spots’ could result in a qualitatively different<br />

experience of poverty in terms of factors such as physical<br />

and mental health, degree of economic strain and<br />

alienation from social and political participation, ranging<br />

from social isolation to declining church attendance and<br />

participation and confidence in the political process. Thus,<br />

NESC (1993) referred to a localised process of interaction<br />

between labour market, education, housing and<br />

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environmental factors, which is most likely to be<br />

addressed effectively by an area-based strategy. This<br />

rationale could provide the justification for interventions<br />

offering support targeted not just at individuals, but<br />

organisations and infrastructure. A crucial objective<br />

from this perspective is to provide a focus for<br />

enhancing service provision in responses to multiple<br />

deprivation. Local co-ordination is a potentially effective<br />

means of improving the quality of services. Initiatives of<br />

this kind have been directed at service co-ordination<br />

relating to areas such as labour market and training<br />

access and indebtedness and access to credit.<br />

• The third justification relates to the choice of areas as a<br />

form of rationing by taking advantage of the fact that<br />

targeting areas may be a good deal simpler than<br />

targeting individuals. As Tunstall and Lupton (2003: 4–5)<br />

observe, in some cases governments make new money<br />

available for a specific purpose which will only be<br />

targeted towards areas with specific needs, though<br />

usually fewer than the total number of areas with such<br />

needs are reached on account of limited resources.<br />

• The fourth relates to the use of area-based initiatives as<br />

a form of piloting. In assessing such schemes’<br />

potential, capacity to innovate or deliver may also be<br />

taken into account. Thus, Walsh (1999: 288) notes that<br />

initiatives such as the Area-Based Response to Long-<br />

Term Unemployment (ABR) and its linked programme,<br />

the Global Grant for Local Development (GGLD),<br />

operated on a pilot basis between 1991 and 1995<br />

before being subsumed into the Local Development<br />

Programme.<br />

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Introduction<br />

• The fifth rationale focuses on additional benefits deriving<br />

from area initiatives such as community involvement and<br />

the development of partnerships. Among other things, this<br />

justification draws attention to the particular importance of<br />

co-ordination and more accurate identification of needs in<br />

deprived areas. Thus, the integration and co-ordination of<br />

existing services on the basis of partnership arrangements<br />

may be seen as of particular value in areas where<br />

deprivation takes a multidimensional form. The NESC<br />

document, referred to earlier, argues that intensive coordinated<br />

spatial interventions containing elements of<br />

housing and environment improvements, as well as<br />

retraining and employment schemes, could have an<br />

impact over and above their separate effects. In addition,<br />

it was argued that participation of local communities in<br />

the planning and delivery of area-based projects would<br />

help ensure that they more accurately reflected local<br />

needs and priorities. The community development<br />

rationales for spatial intervention attempt to develop the<br />

argument that involvement of local communities in the<br />

process of economic and social change has an intrinsic<br />

value. Thus, rather than such involvement being peripheral<br />

to a process of economic change, it is seen as a crucial<br />

means by which marginalised groups can come to share<br />

in the benefits of economic progress. This thesis relies not<br />

just on arguments relating to effectiveness and efficiency,<br />

but rather bases its arguments on an understanding of<br />

social exclusion which identifies loss of skills, selfconfidence<br />

and motivation as crucial elements in the<br />

process.<br />

A particular justification for targeted intervention does not<br />

necessarily involve a commitment to a specific understanding<br />

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of the causal processes. However, almost inevitably, some<br />

such set of assumptions underlies spatial interventions. It is<br />

possible, though, to see spatial concentration of deprivation<br />

as having no causal significance or distinctive consequences.<br />

Instead, concentration could be seen to arise simply as a<br />

consequence of variations across other genuinely causal<br />

variables such as human capital. Alternatively, location could<br />

be thought to play a potentially independent role in a number<br />

of ways. Thus, employers’ hiring behaviour could mean that<br />

merely residing at a particular address could increase one’s<br />

risk of unemployment and poverty at a given level of human<br />

capital. More broadly, those coming from areas where the<br />

resource stock, in terms of access to training, education,<br />

financial institutions, etc., is poorer could be seen as being<br />

additionally disadvantaged. Much more controversially, at the<br />

centre of recent debates concerning the creation of a<br />

spatially concentrated underclass is the highly contested idea<br />

that persistent poverty is transmitted through a fundamental<br />

altering of norms and ‘tastes’ in relation to welfare<br />

dependency, employment commitment and non-marital<br />

fertility.<br />

It is useful to keep in mind that area-based responses to<br />

poverty are not an entirely new phenomenon. Pringle (1999)<br />

notes that many of the initiatives pursued in Ireland in recent<br />

years, while innovative in the Irish context, are not entirely<br />

dissimilar to those introduced in others countries in the 1960s<br />

and 1970s. We should also acknowledge that there is a<br />

significant literature that is sceptical regarding the extent of<br />

the contribution that spatial strategies can make to reducing<br />

or ameliorating poverty. However, it seems more sensible to<br />

defer consideration of that debate until we have set the<br />

evidence for the nature and significance of spatial variation in<br />

poverty and deprivation.<br />

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Introduction<br />

1.3 Data Sources<br />

In the analysis that follows we shall seek to provide a<br />

relatively up-to-date account of the spatial distribution of<br />

poverty in Ireland and critically assess its implications for<br />

the range of issues that we have outlined. In so doing we<br />

draw on a number of different data sources. The 1998 study<br />

used several distinct data sources. The first was the 1994<br />

Living in Ireland Survey, where results could be compared<br />

with those from a comparable household survey conducted<br />

by the ESRI in 1987. The second source was the Small Area<br />

Population Statistics (SAPS) derived from the Census of the<br />

Population and available for 1986 and 1991, constituting the<br />

most geographically disaggregated and comprehensive<br />

information on the socio-demographic structure of the<br />

country. In seeking to look once again at the spatial<br />

concentration of poverty, we can now make use of the<br />

SAPS data from the 2002 Census, the Living in Ireland<br />

Survey conducted in 2000 and a major new source of<br />

information that has become available, namely the<br />

2001/2002 National Survey of Housing Quality (NSHQ). The<br />

NSHQ was conducted by the ESRI on behalf of the<br />

Department of the Environment and Local Government in<br />

over 40,000 households. By combining these sources we<br />

hope to provide a reasonably comprehensive account of the<br />

spatial distribution of poverty and deprivation, making use of<br />

both direct and indirect measures of deprivation.<br />

Furthermore, the fact that the NSHQ combines a very large<br />

sample with detailed household information will allow us to<br />

go beyond the analysis reported in the previous study in<br />

some important respects. While the NSHQ does not allow<br />

for the same level of disaggregation as the SAPS, crucially it<br />

contains measures of income and deprivation for the<br />

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participating households, which can be analysed at<br />

household level. It is precisely the absence of such<br />

information in the data made available from SAPS that leads<br />

to the use of composite indicators for small areas as<br />

indicators of socio-economic deprivation, about which<br />

researchers have expressed serious reservations. This issue<br />

is taken up in detail in the analysis of the 2002 SAPS that<br />

follows in Chapter 2.<br />

1.4 Outline of the Study<br />

In Chapter 2 we consider geographical variations in some of<br />

the underlying socio-demographic correlates of poverty and<br />

deprivation risk as contained in the 2002 Census of<br />

Population. Findings are reported at the level of the 34<br />

counties and county boroughs in the Republic of Ireland. In<br />

Chapter 3 we focus on measurement of poverty and<br />

deprivation at the household level. In so doing we draw<br />

primarily on the series of Living in Ireland Surveys but also<br />

make use of the National Survey of Housing Quality. Chapter<br />

4 documents variation in poverty and deprivation by regional<br />

authority and local authority areas. In Chapter 5 we deal with<br />

variations in poverty by area type in the sense of population<br />

density and type of housing tenure. In Chapter 6 we focus on<br />

non-monetary deprivation. In particular we address the issue<br />

of whether different types of deprivation tend to vary in a<br />

similar manner across spatial categories.<br />

A further question that is explored is the extent to which there<br />

is evidence of concentrations of multiple disadvantage within<br />

particular areas.<br />

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Chapter 2<br />

Spatial Trends in Deprivation<br />

Surrogates<br />

2.1 Introduction<br />

In this chapter we consider geographical variations in some<br />

of the underlying socio-demographic correlates of poverty<br />

and deprivation risk as contained in the 2002 Census of<br />

Population. The variables considered are largely consistent<br />

with those identified in other studies, e.g. Nolan, Whelan and<br />

Williams 1998; Nolan et al. 2002, as the main drivers of<br />

poverty and deprivation. By presenting this type of analysis<br />

we can provide an understanding of spatial variations in<br />

socio-demographic structures throughout the country and,<br />

accordingly, an interpretational framework for much of the<br />

subsequent analysis.<br />

Four main areas are considered below, as follows:<br />

• age structures<br />

• economic status and activity (including levels of<br />

farming)<br />

• levels of educational attainment<br />

• social class structures.<br />

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In the analysis that follows, we present figures and maps at<br />

the level of the 34 counties and County Boroughs in the<br />

Republic of Ireland. The maps presented are based on<br />

quintile distributions at county level, which explains why each<br />

map has five categories in its legend. Each of the five<br />

categories contains approximately seven counties. Therefore,<br />

the numeric range for each category is different from one<br />

map to the other. The legends distribute counties in five<br />

groups from the lowest to highest incidence of risk of the<br />

specific indicators under consideration, but they do not<br />

purport to have an equal distribution in terms of average rates<br />

or levels. Hence the maps provide a visual, graphic<br />

representation of a ranking of the county-level data from<br />

highest to lowest across the country in terms of the five<br />

categories. Each distribution must, of course, have a high<br />

and low point. To properly interpret the maps, the reader<br />

must take account of the difference between the highest<br />

figure in the top quintile and the lowest in the bottom quintile.<br />

The authors would also point out that we are acutely aware<br />

that the county distributions may mask very substantial subcounty<br />

variations at, for example, a rural/urban district<br />

(RD/UD) or district electoral division (DED) level. There are<br />

approximately 220 RD/UDs in the country and 3,400 DEDs.<br />

While it would clearly be preferable to undertake the analysis<br />

contained in this chapter at that level of spatial<br />

disaggregation, it would be well beyond the scope of the<br />

current report to do so.<br />

2.2 Age Structures<br />

Regional variations in age structures are outlined in Table 2.1.<br />

(Further county variations are shown in Appendix 1, Table<br />

A1.1.) Details are presented on the percentage of persons in<br />

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Table 2.1: Percentage of persons in each region according to age cohort<br />

Persons<br />

65+<br />

Age living<br />

0–14 15–29 30–44 45–64 65+ dependent alone<br />

Region % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank<br />

Border 22.5 3 22.3 8 21.0 7 21.7 5 12.5 2 35.0 1 3.5 1<br />

Midlands 23.0 2 22.5 6 21.8 4 21.0 6 11.6 5 34.6 2 3.1 3<br />

West 21.1 6 23.0 5 20.9 8 22.0 1 12.9 1 34.0 3 3.4 2<br />

Dublin 19.2 8 27.7 1 22.7 2 20.2 8 10.2 7 29.3 8 2.6 7<br />

Mid-East 23.4 1 23.6 3 24.2 1 20.6 7 8.2 8 31.6 7 1.9 8<br />

Mid-West 21.2 5 23.8 2 21.4 6 21.9 3 11.6 5 32.8 5 3.0 5<br />

South-East 22.1 4 22.4 7 21.8 4 21.9 3 11.8 4 33.9 4 3.0 5<br />

South-West 20.8 7 23.3 4 21.9 3 22.0 1 12.0 3 32.7 6 3.0 3<br />

Total 21.1 24.4 22.1 21.2 11.1 32.3 2.9<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

each of five age cohorts, i.e. 0–14 years, 15–29 years, 30–44<br />

years, 45–64 years and 65 years and over. At a broad regional<br />

level one can see that the West, Border and South-West<br />

regions have the oldest age profiles, with 12–13 per cent of<br />

their populations aged over 65 years. At the other extreme,<br />

the Mid-East region has the lowest proportion (8.2 per cent)<br />

aged over 65, followed by the Dublin region with 10.2 per<br />

cent.<br />

From the details of Appendix 1, Table A1.1 one can see that<br />

the counties with the oldest population structures include<br />

Leitrim (16.1 per cent aged 65 and over), Roscommon (15.5<br />

per cent), Mayo (14.7 per cent) and Cavan (13.8 per cent).<br />

An alternative, and more succinct, way of considering<br />

imbalances in age structures is with the concept of age<br />

dependency. This is expressed as the ratio of the combined<br />

population aged 0–14 years and 65+ years to the total<br />

population. As such, it gives a summary measure of the ratio<br />

of the dependent to the non-dependent population in a<br />

region. The summary age dependency figures are shown in<br />

Map 2.1 as well as Tables 2.1 and Appendix 1, Table A1.1.<br />

Map 2.1 graphically illustrates that there is a much higher<br />

level of age dependency in the Border and Western regions,<br />

especially in Donegal, Mayo, Roscommon, Leitrim, Longford<br />

and Cavan. It is equally obvious that the lowest levels are<br />

found in the Dublin and Mid-East regions.<br />

Details on the percentage of persons aged 65 years or more<br />

and living alone are outlined in Map 2.2. The concentrations<br />

of elderly persons in parts of the Border, Midland and<br />

Western (BMW) Region is very clear from the map,<br />

particularly in Leitrim, Roscommon, Mayo, Cavan and<br />

Longford. Rates of 4.0 to 5.1 per cent are obvious in each of<br />

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Spatial Trends in Deprivation Surrogates<br />

Map 2.1: Per cent age-dependent by local authority area<br />

these counties, compared with a national total of 2.9 per<br />

cent. This implies, for example, that Leitrim, with 5.1 per cent<br />

of its population aged 65 years and living alone, is ‘overrepresented’<br />

to the order of 76 per cent in terms of this<br />

elderly segment of its population.<br />

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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Map 2.2: Per cent of persons age 65 and over and living alone<br />

<br />

In summary, therefore, Maps 2.1 and 2.2 indicate a<br />

substantial over-representation of older persons in the Border<br />

and West regions.<br />

2.3 Economic Status and Activity<br />

Commonly used measures of disadvantage, deprivation and<br />

socio-economic imbalance are labour force participation<br />

rates, unemployment rates and levels of economic<br />

dependency.<br />

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Spatial Trends in Deprivation Surrogates<br />

Table 2.2 and Appendix 1, Table A1.2 along with Maps 2.3 and<br />

2.4 present details on labour force participation and<br />

unemployment rates. One can see from these that participation<br />

rates are highest in the Mid-East, Mid-West and Dublin. For<br />

example, counties Fingal and South Dublin have the highest<br />

levels of labour force participation with rates of 64.8 and 64.6<br />

per cent, respectively.<br />

Map 2.3: Labour force participation rate by local authority area<br />

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The lowest rates are in Cork County Borough, Leitrim,<br />

Roscommon, Mayo, Donegal and Longford, all in the range of<br />

52–54 per cent – nearly six percentage points below the<br />

national average. Generally, these are the areas identified in<br />

the previous section as having an above average percentage<br />

of their population in the older cohorts, most of whom are<br />

retired rather than economically active.<br />

Map 2.4: Unemployment rate by local authority area<br />

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Spatial Trends in Deprivation Surrogates<br />

Unemployment rates among labour force participants are also<br />

outlined in Table 2.2 and are plotted in Map 2.4. These show<br />

that the national rate was 8.8 per cent. Rates are the highest<br />

in the Border region (12 per cent) followed by the South-East<br />

(9.6 per cent), with Dublin and the West having the lowest per<br />

cent (5.2 per cent).<br />

Table 2.2: Regional labour force participation and<br />

unemployment rates<br />

Labour force Unemployment<br />

participation rate<br />

rate<br />

Rate Rank Rate Rank<br />

Border 56.1 6 12.0 1<br />

Midlands 57.4 4 9.1 3<br />

West 55.6 8 5.2 7<br />

Dublin 61.2 3 5.2 7<br />

Mid-East 61.5 1 6.8 6<br />

Mid-West 61.5 1 8.2 4<br />

South-East 56.6 5 9.6 2<br />

South-West 56.0 7 8.2 4<br />

Total 58.3 8.8<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

Some of these regional trends are strongly influenced by<br />

individual counties. For example, the unemployment rates in<br />

Donegal and Louth are significantly high compared to the<br />

national average of 8.8 percent, being 15.6 per cent and 13.2<br />

per cent, respectively. The levels in the county boroughs of<br />

Limerick and Cork are also particularly high.<br />

An alternative way of considering the spatial distribution of<br />

the unemployed is presented in Table 2.3 (the regional level)<br />

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and Appendix 1, Table A1.3 (the county level). The tables<br />

show the percentage of the total number of unemployed<br />

persons according to their distribution across regions and<br />

counties. For comparative purposes the table also shows the<br />

distribution of all persons aged 15 years and over who are in<br />

the labour force. If the unemployed were distributed on a pro<br />

rata basis across the counties in line with the total labour<br />

force, the percentage figures in Columns A and B of the table<br />

would be identical. The disparity between the figure in<br />

Columns A and B for any county is a measure of the over- or<br />

under-concentration of the unemployed in a given county. In<br />

Column C we provide details of the ratio of the percentage of<br />

the unemployed to the percentage of the labour force<br />

contained in each county. A figure which is greater than 1 in<br />

Column C indicates an over-representation of the<br />

unemployed in a given county. A figure of less than 1 in<br />

Column C indicates an under-representation of the<br />

unemployed in a county.<br />

If one considers the figures for Donegal as shown in<br />

Appendix 1, Table A1.3, for example, one can see that it<br />

contained 5.6 per cent of the unemployed, as recorded in the<br />

2002 Census of Population. The county contained 3.2 per<br />

cent of the labour force as a whole. This implies an overconcentration<br />

of the unemployed of the order of 76 per cent<br />

in the county. In order words, the proportion of unemployed<br />

in the county is 1.76 times the level it would be if the<br />

unemployed were distributed on a pro rata basis with the<br />

total labour force. The counties and regions are ranked in<br />

Column D in terms of their level of over- or underconcentration<br />

of the unemployed, using the total labour force<br />

as a comparator. This shows that Donegal has the highest<br />

level of over-concentration (1.76 times the proportion if<br />

distributed on a pro rata basis). This is followed by Limerick<br />

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Table 2.3: Distribution of the unemployed across regions<br />

% of the % 15+ in Ratio of<br />

Region unemployment labour force unemployment<br />

to labour force<br />

A B C D<br />

Ratio Rank<br />

Border 14.1 10.4 1.35 1<br />

Midlands 5.7 5.5 1.03 4<br />

West 9.8 9.3 1.05 3<br />

Dublin 29.7 30.8 0.96 5<br />

Mid-East 8.3 10.8 0.77 8<br />

Mid-West 7.9 8.5 0.93 6<br />

South-East 11.2 10.4 1.08 2<br />

South-West 13.3 14.3 0.93 6<br />

Total 100.0 100.0<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

County Borough (1.57 times), Louth (1.50 times), Cork and<br />

Waterford County Boroughs (each approximately 1.37–1.40<br />

times) and so on. At the other extreme, Dún Laoghaire-<br />

Rathdown and Kildare are as low as 0.65 and 0.70,<br />

respectively, followed by Cork county, Meath and Limerick<br />

county (each in the region of 0.72–0.74).<br />

Given the importance of unemployment as a determinant of<br />

poverty and deprivation, it would be tempting to focus on it in<br />

isolation as an all-encompassing proxy for disadvantage.<br />

Accordingly, given the very low levels of unemployment in the<br />

Border counties mentioned above, one may feel that the risk<br />

of poverty and disadvantage in these areas may be<br />

correspondingly below the national average.<br />

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In interpreting the figures, however, one must take account<br />

of the importance of farming in determining regional<br />

unemployment rates. Tables 2.4 and Appendix 1,<br />

Table A1.4 along with Maps 2.5 to 2.8 provide details<br />

on regional variations in the extent of farming in Ireland.<br />

Table 2.4: Percentage of all persons engaged in farming by<br />

number of acres farmed<br />

Region % of 15+ Farmers Farmers Farmers<br />

persons


Chapter 02 7/7/05 6:54 am Page 23<br />

Spatial Trends in Deprivation Surrogates<br />

Map 2.5: Per cent of persons in farming<br />

From Map 2.5 one can see that a high percentage of persons<br />

aged 15 years and over engaged in farming is found in the<br />

counties of Cavan, Roscommon and Leitrim – each with rates<br />

of the order of 10 to 12 per cent compared with the national<br />

total of 4.4 per cent.<br />

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In Maps 2.6 to 2.8 we present details on the scale of farming<br />

in question. These clearly indicate that counties with the<br />

greatest extent of small-scale farming activity are<br />

substantially located in the Border and West regions.<br />

Appendix 1, Table A1.4 indicates that at a national level 12.3<br />

per cent of all farmers work less than 30 acres. Apart from<br />

Dublin, where less than 1 per cent of the population is<br />

Map 2.6: Per cent of farmers farming less than 30 acres<br />

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Spatial Trends in Deprivation Surrogates<br />

engaged in farming, the regional rates of farming less than 30<br />

acres are highest in the Border and the West regions (18.4<br />

and 18.2 per cent, respectively). At a county level, excluding<br />

the county boroughs, we find that the figure for Mayo is 23.4<br />

per cent, 21.8 per cent in Donegal and 20.4 per cent in<br />

Monaghan. Similarly, from Map 2.7 one can see a high<br />

proportion of farmers in the range of 30–49 acres in these<br />

Map 2.7: Per cent of farmers farming 30–49 acres<br />

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same counties. In contrast, Map 2.8 shows the much higher<br />

percentages of larger commercial farming enterprises in the<br />

South-East region. A total of 74 per cent of all farmers in the<br />

country were recorded as farming 50 or more acres. In<br />

Kilkenny the figure was 86.9 per cent, with high rates also<br />

found in Waterford County (86.8 per cent) and North<br />

Tipperary (86.3 per cent).<br />

Map 2.8: Per cent of farmers farming 50+ acres<br />

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The pattern of agriculture in Ireland, therefore, can be<br />

characterised as being dominated by small-scale activity in<br />

the Western and Border counties with larger-scale<br />

enterprises being much more generally found in the South-<br />

East regions. Although no accurate figures are available,<br />

relatively higher levels of under-employment are often<br />

associated with small-scale farming. Accordingly, when<br />

considering regional trends in unemployment rates as<br />

shown in Map 2.4, one must take account of the role played<br />

by small-scale farming in determining measured<br />

unemployment rates. In general, therefore, although it would<br />

appear that unemployment rates are relatively low in many<br />

Border and Western counties, one must bear in mind that<br />

many of these same counties contain the highest levels of<br />

small-scale farming activity in the country. This latter may,<br />

at least to some degree, be masking recorded<br />

unemployment in the form of under-employment.<br />

In Table 2.5, Appendix 1, Table A1.5 and Map 2.9 we<br />

present details on a summary measure of economic<br />

dependency. This can be defined in various ways. For the<br />

purposes of the current report we have derived a<br />

dependency measure based on the ratio of those who are<br />

economically inactive to those who are economically active.<br />

The former includes the following categories: persons aged<br />

0–14 years, students, unemployed, first job seekers, those<br />

on home duties, retired, unable to work and ‘other’ labour<br />

force status categories. The economically active are simply<br />

those classified as being ‘at work’. The figures in Table 2.5<br />

and Map 2.9, therefore, provide details on the extent to<br />

which those who are economically active in each region or<br />

county are economically ‘supporting’ those who are<br />

inactive.<br />

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Table 2.5: Index of economic dependency in each region<br />

Region<br />

Economic Dependency<br />

Index<br />

Rank<br />

Border 1.61 1<br />

Midlands 1.49 4<br />

West 1.51 2<br />

Dublin 1.21 8<br />

Mid-East 1.28 7<br />

Mid-West 1.43 6<br />

South-East 1.51 2<br />

South-West 1.46 5<br />

Total 1.39<br />

From Table 2.5 one can see that at a national level we had<br />

1.39 inactive persons for every person who was ‘at work’ in<br />

the 2002 Census. In general terms the figures suggest that<br />

levels of economic dependency are quite mixed across the<br />

country.<br />

Highest levels are found in the Border region (1.61), but these<br />

are largely driven by Donegal (1.84 per cent). This reflects the<br />

relatively elderly age structure of the county, combined with<br />

its very high level of recorded unemployment. The South-East<br />

and West also have high levels of economic dependency<br />

(1.51 per cent each). This is followed by the Midlands and the<br />

South-West having levels of economic dependency higher<br />

than the national average (1.49 and 1.46 per cent,<br />

respectively). This variability across the country and lack of a<br />

well-defined regional pattern reflects the fact that economic<br />

dependency is substantially affected by a number of factors,<br />

including regional age structure, unemployment rates and the<br />

related issues of agricultural activity, especially small-scale<br />

farming, as discussed above.<br />

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Map 2.9: Economic dependency rates by local authority area<br />

In summary, therefore, in this section we saw that the lowest<br />

levels of labour force participation were in counties such as<br />

Leitrim, Cork County Borough, Roscommon, Mayo, Donegal<br />

and Longford. Unemployment rates were highest in parts of<br />

the Border region (largely driven by the very high rate<br />

recorded in Donegal) as well as the South-East. The level of<br />

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unemployment in some Border and Western counties seemed<br />

to be lower than national levels. For example, Cavan and<br />

Roscommon both had recorded unemployment rates below<br />

8 per cent compared with a national figure of 8.8 per cent.<br />

However, we found that the Border and Western counties<br />

which were associated with low levels of recorded<br />

unemployment were equally characterised with high levels of<br />

small-scale farming. One can surmise that this latter may<br />

reflect elderly age structures and may, at least to some<br />

degree, mask recorded unemployment by under-employment.<br />

2.4 Variations in Levels of Educational Attainment<br />

Given the demonstrated relationship between poverty and<br />

disadvantage on the one hand and level of educational<br />

attainment on the other, it is clearly important to consider<br />

regional variations in the level of education as an aid to<br />

understanding the spatial patterning of disadvantage. The<br />

relevant figures are outlined in Table 2.6, Appendix 1, Table<br />

A1.6 and Maps 2.10 to 2.13.<br />

It is clear that the Border and West regions stand out as<br />

having an above average percentage of persons with lower<br />

levels of attainment. The national figure of 22.2 per cent of<br />

persons who are recorded as having left education with no<br />

qualifications or primary level only compares with a figure of<br />

29 per cent in the Border counties and 26 per cent for the<br />

Western region. One can see that 34 per cent of persons in<br />

Donegal, 31 per cent in Cavan, 30 per cent in Mayo and 29<br />

per cent each in Leitrim and Monaghan have left full-time<br />

education with, at most, primary-level education. Outside the<br />

counties in the Border and West regions only Longford,<br />

Offaly, Laois and Wexford (each with 26–30 per cent) have a<br />

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Table 2.6: Distribution of persons 15 years and over whose<br />

education has ceased, classified by highest level of<br />

educational attainment<br />

Region None/ Lower Upper Third<br />

primary secondary secondary level<br />

% Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank<br />

Border 29.3 1 25.2 3 25.7 8 19.9 6<br />

Midlands 25.5 3 25.4 2 29.9 3 19.3 8<br />

West 25.9 2 21.2 7 29.1 6 23.7 4<br />

Dublin 18.7 7 19.2 8 28.7 7 33.5 1<br />

Mid-East 18.5 8 23.1 6 31.3 1 27.2 2<br />

Mid-West 22.3 5 23.8 4 30.6 2 23.3 5<br />

South-East 24.0 4 26.7 1 29.5 4 19.8 7<br />

South-West 21.3 6.0 23.8 4.0 29.4 5.0 25.5 3.0<br />

Total 22.2 22.7 29.1 26.0<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

particularly high percentage of persons with at most<br />

primary-level education (see Map 2.10). In contrast, the<br />

counties with the highest percentages of third-level<br />

graduates are generally in Dublin and the Mid-East regions<br />

(see Map 2.13).<br />

In interpreting these figures it is important to remember that<br />

educational structures are to a large extent influenced by age<br />

structures of a region. The areas identified above as having<br />

lower than average levels of attainment are generally regions<br />

of the country which have an over-concentration of older<br />

persons. Overall, therefore, Maps 2.10 to 2.13 would seem to<br />

confirm a relatively higher level of educational disadvantage<br />

(much of which is related to age structures) in the counties of<br />

the Border and Western regions.<br />

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Map 2.10: Per cent of persons age 15+ who have left school<br />

with no education or primary education<br />

In Table 2.7 we provide information on the levels of over- or<br />

under-concentration of those with the lowest and highest<br />

levels of educational attainment at a regional level. In Column<br />

A of the table we show the percentage of persons aged 15<br />

years and over in each county who have left full-time<br />

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Map 2.11: Per cent of persons age 15+ who have left school<br />

with lower secondary education<br />

education with no formal education or primary level only.<br />

Column B presents a comparable figure in respect of those<br />

who leave with third level. Column C provides details on the<br />

percentage of all persons who have left education in the<br />

region. This is the most appropriate comparator of the<br />

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Map 2.12: Per cent of persons age 15+ who have left school<br />

with upper secondary education<br />

distributions in Columns A and B. The ratio of the figures in<br />

Columns A and B to those in Column C provides a measure<br />

of the level of over- or under-concentration of persons into<br />

low and high levels of education. From Column D of the table<br />

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Map 2.13: Per cent of persons age 15+ who have left school<br />

with third-level education<br />

one can see that over-concentration of persons with lower<br />

levels of educational attainment is characteristic of Border,<br />

West and Midland regions to the extent of 33 per cent, 18 per<br />

cent and 15 per cent, respectively. In contrast, one can see<br />

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that only in the Mid-East and Dublin regions do we have an<br />

over-representation of those with third-level qualifications by<br />

5 per cent and 27 per cent, respectively.<br />

Table 2.7: Distribution of persons whose education has ceased<br />

in highest and lowest levels of educational attainment across<br />

regions<br />

A B C D E<br />

Region % None/ % Third % Pop. Ratio Ratio<br />

primary level who left none/ third level<br />

education primary to to total<br />

total left left<br />

education education<br />

Ratio Rank Ratio Rank<br />

Border 14.6 8.4 11.0 1.33 1 0.77 6<br />

Midlands 6.5 4.2 5.7 1.15 3 0.74 8<br />

West 11.3 8.8 9.6 1.18 2 0.92 4<br />

Dublin 24.0 36.8 29.0 0.83 8 1.27 1<br />

Mid-East 8.7 10.9 10.3 0.84 7 1.05 2<br />

Mid-West 8.7 7.8 8.6 1.01 5 0.91 5<br />

South-East 11.8 8.3 10.9 1.09 4 0.77 6<br />

South-West 14.3 14.7 14.9 0.96 6 0.99 3<br />

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

At a county level one can see from Appendix 1, Table A1.7<br />

that counties such as Donegal, Cavan, Mayo and Monaghan<br />

have over-concentrations of persons with low levels of<br />

education to the extent of 32–53 per cent. At the other<br />

extreme, Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown is over-represented by<br />

persons with higher level of attainment by 76 per cent. Also in<br />

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the Dublin region, Fingal is over-represented by 28 per cent.<br />

Galway County Borough also has a high over-representation<br />

of persons with higher levels of educational attainment by 55<br />

per cent.<br />

2.5 Variations in Levels of Social Class<br />

One of the more direct proxies of advantage and<br />

disadvantage available from census data is social class. The<br />

importance of class in determining poverty and disadvantage<br />

is well established. The census classifies all persons into five<br />

broad class categories, as follows:<br />

• higher professional workers/managerial/technical<br />

• non-manual<br />

• skilled manual<br />

• semi-skilled manual<br />

• unskilled manual.<br />

The classification is based on current or former occupation.<br />

Persons engaged in home duties, those classified as<br />

‘students’ and those who are otherwise economically inactive<br />

are assigned the class status of their family head. 1<br />

The percentage of persons in each social class is shown in<br />

Table 2.8, Appendix 1, Table A1.8 and Maps 2.14 to 2.18. If<br />

one concentrates initially on the percentage of persons in<br />

1 There is a residual ‘unknown’ category. This is used for persons who<br />

have no occupations in their own right and who live in households<br />

headed by someone who has never worked.<br />

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Professional/Managerial and Technical classes, one can see<br />

that the regions with the highest rates are in Dublin (44.4 per<br />

cent) and the Mid-East region (41 per cent). Counties such as<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown have an extremely high proportion<br />

of their population classified as Higher/Lower Professional –<br />

60 per cent compared with a national total of 39 per cent.<br />

This is followed by Fingal and Galway County Borough (both<br />

47 per cent). At the other extreme, counties in the Border and<br />

West regions have a much lower percentage of population<br />

classified in the highest class category. In Donegal only 30<br />

per cent are classified as Professional/Managerial or<br />

Technical. The rates are also low in Monaghan and Cavan<br />

(31 per cent each) and Offaly and Mayo (32 per cent each)<br />

and in some of the main urban areas such as Limerick<br />

County Borough, with only 31 per cent of the population<br />

classified as being Professional/Managerial/Technical.<br />

Table 2.8: Percentage of persons in each social class<br />

Professional/<br />

Managerial/ Non- Skilled Semi-<br />

Region Technical manual manual skilled Unskilled<br />

% Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank<br />

Border 32.2 8 19.7 6 23.9 1 15.8 1 8.4 2<br />

Midlands 33.9 7 20.2 2 23.1 2 14.5 3 8.3 3<br />

West 36.5 5 19.9 4 22.0 4 14.4 4 7.1 5<br />

Dublin 44.4 1 21.3 1 18.1 8 11.0 8 5.2 8<br />

Mid-East 41.0 2 19.5 7 21.1 6 11.8 7 6.6 7<br />

Mid-West 37.4 4 20.2 2 21.0 7 14.2 5 7.2 4<br />

South-East 34.5 6 19.0 8 23.1 2 14.7 2 8.8 1<br />

South-West 37.8 3 19.8 5 21.2 5 14.2 5 6.9 6<br />

Total 38.6 20.2 21.0 13.3 6.9<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

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Map 2.14: Per cent of persons classified as Professional/<br />

Managerial/Technical<br />

In broad terms one can see from Map 2.14 that the overall<br />

pattern across the country clearly indicates that the areas<br />

with the lowest percentage of higher/lower professionals are<br />

the Border and Western counties while Dublin, the Mid-East<br />

and Cork County have the highest proportions in the country.<br />

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Map 2.15: Per cent of persons classified as ‘Other Non-Manual’<br />

In contrast, one can see from Map 2.18 that at the other end<br />

of the social class spectrum, Donegal (10.3 per cent) and<br />

several counties in the South-East (South Tipperary 9.7 per<br />

cent, Wexford 9.3 per cent and Carlow 9.2 per cent) have the<br />

highest percentages of persons in the Unskilled Manual<br />

category.<br />

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Map 2.16: Per cent of persons classified as Skilled Manual<br />

In interpreting regional distributions of social class, the reader<br />

should note that farmers are assigned to social class<br />

categories according to acreage farmed. Small farmers (less<br />

than 30 acres) are assigned to the Semi-skilled Manual<br />

category. Large farmers (with 200 or more acres) are assigned<br />

to the Higher Professional category. No farmers are assigned<br />

to the unskilled manual category.<br />

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Map 2.17: Per cent of persons classified as Semi-skilled<br />

Manual<br />

Table 2.9 provides details on the over- or under-concentration<br />

of persons from the top and bottom social class categories<br />

across the regions. The details in the table are comparable to<br />

those presented in Table 2.7 in respect of level of educational<br />

attainment. From Columns D and E in the table one can see<br />

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Map 2.18: Per cent of persons classified as Unskilled Manual<br />

that the largest over-concentration of the Professional social<br />

class category is in the Dublin region (13 per cent), followed<br />

by the Mid-East (10 per cent). In contrast, we find the<br />

greatest over-concentration of the Unskilled Manual category<br />

in the South-East region (29 per cent). At the county level<br />

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(see Appendix 1, Table A1.9), the highest relative<br />

concentration of this class group is found in Donegal,<br />

Wexford and South Tipperary (each in the range of 41–49<br />

per cent).<br />

Table 2.9: Regional distribution of Professional and Unskilled<br />

Manual class categories<br />

Region<br />

A B C D E<br />

Professional/ Un- % Ratio Ratio<br />

Managerial/ skilled Total profes- Unskilled<br />

Technical Manual popula- sional- Manual<br />

tion to total to total<br />

ratio<br />

Ratio Rank Ratio Rank<br />

Border 9.2 13.5 11.0 0.84 8 1.23 2<br />

Midlands 5.0 6.9 5.8 0.87 7 1.19 3<br />

West 9.0 9.9 9.7 0.93 5 1.02 5<br />

Dublin 32.4 21.2 28.7 1.13 1 0.74 8<br />

Mid-East 11.6 10.4 10.5 1.10 2 0.99 7<br />

Mid-West 8.4 9.1 8.7 0.97 4 1.04 4<br />

South-East 9.8 14.0 10.8 0.90 6 1.29 1<br />

South-West 14.6 15.0 14.8 0.99 3 1.02 5<br />

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

In general terms, therefore, it would appear that Dublin, the<br />

Mid-East and parts of the South-West region (specifically<br />

Cork) have the highest levels of their populations in the<br />

Professional/Managerial/Technical category. In terms of the<br />

Unskilled Manual group, although some counties in the<br />

South-East of the country have among the highest rates,<br />

there would generally appear to be a less clearly defined and<br />

more mixed pattern than is apparent with some of the other<br />

distributions considered.<br />

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2.6 Conclusions<br />

In this chapter we considered spatial variations in sociodemographic<br />

variables related to poverty and deprivation<br />

from the 2002 Census of Population. The somewhat<br />

aggregated county level of the analysis undoubtedly masked<br />

a substantial degree of sub-county variation. Nonetheless,<br />

the chapter provides the reader with a clear picture of<br />

regional variations in the relevant indicators and in so doing<br />

adds considerably to the interpretative context for much of<br />

our discussion in later chapters of regional trends in direct<br />

measures of poverty and deprivation.<br />

Throughout the chapter we saw that the Border and West<br />

regions contained counties with the highest percentages of<br />

their population who were elderly, with the lowest levels of<br />

educational attainment, highest incidence of small farming<br />

activity and high levels of economic dependency.<br />

Throughout the chapter we emphasised that what we were<br />

examining were spatial patterns and outcomes. The<br />

underlying causal processes and drivers will be explored in<br />

later chapters, particularly in Chapter 7. These drivers may<br />

well be individual- or household-level characteristics such as<br />

age and housing tenure.<br />

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Chapter 3<br />

Measurement of <strong>Poverty</strong> at the<br />

Household Level<br />

3.1 Introduction<br />

In this chapter we focus on the measurement of poverty and<br />

deprivation at the household level. In doing so we draw<br />

primarily on the series of Living in Ireland Surveys (LII)<br />

conducted in 1987, 1994 and 2000 but also on the National<br />

Survey of Housing Quality (NSHQ), which was conducted in<br />

2001/2002. All four surveys were designed to provide a<br />

nationally representative sample of the population resident in<br />

private households. The technical properties of these surveys<br />

have been described in detail elsewhere 1 and a summary of<br />

their major features is contained in Appendix 2.<br />

The major advantage of the LII surveys is that they contain<br />

the key indicators on which national reports monitoring<br />

poverty and deprivation are based and they allow us to track<br />

change over time using the same set of indicators. The major<br />

limitation of the LII surveys for our present purposes is that<br />

despite the fact that they constitute very large samples by<br />

1 Full descriptions are provided in Callan et al. (1989 and 1996) and<br />

Nolan et al. (2002), respectively, and Watson and Williams (2003).<br />

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social science standards, the extent to which we can<br />

disaggregate by spatial units is strictly limited.<br />

The NSHQ, which was conducted by the ESRI on behalf of<br />

the Department of the Environment and Local Government,<br />

has a substantially larger sample with 40,000 households.<br />

The NSHQ contains measures of income and deprivation for<br />

the participating households, which can be analysed at<br />

household level. However, as will become clear, these<br />

measures do not correspond precisely to those employed in<br />

the LII surveys. Fortunately, as we explain below, steps can<br />

be taken to ensure that while statements concerning absolute<br />

levels of deprivation and poverty are not possible using the<br />

NSHQ data, conclusions concerning relativities are robust.<br />

This allows us to take advantage of the much larger sample<br />

size in the NSHQ to achieve a much greater degree of<br />

geographical disaggregation when considering such<br />

relativities.<br />

3.2 Measuring <strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation in the LII<br />

Surveys<br />

We have extensively discussed elsewhere the many issues<br />

involved in the definition and measurement of poverty<br />

(most recently in Layte et al. 2001 and Nolan et al. 2002).<br />

Without duplicating that discussion, for the present study<br />

we take as our starting point that the concept of poverty is<br />

an explicitly relative one, relating to exclusion from the<br />

ordinary life of society due to lack of resources. We<br />

continue to stress the importance of acknowledging, where<br />

relevant, any uncertainty and absence of robustness in<br />

results. We therefore employ several different relative<br />

income poverty lines and a measure that takes into<br />

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account both income and non-monetary indicators of<br />

deprivation.<br />

Relative income poverty lines are calculated as a particular<br />

percentage of average household income, taking differences<br />

in household size and composition into account. We take into<br />

account the fact that adults have greater needs than children<br />

and that there are economies of scale in consumption by<br />

using equivalence scales to adjust household income. Here<br />

we report results employing an equivalence scale of 0.66 for<br />

additional adults and 0.33 for children. The two relative<br />

income lines employed in this study are 50 and 60 per cent of<br />

mean equivalent income. For an adult living alone this<br />

produced poverty lines in 2000 of about £113/€144 and<br />

£136/€173 per week. The corresponding lines for 1994 were<br />

£65/€83 and £78/€99, respectively, and for 1987 they were<br />

£43/€55 and £51/€65, respectively.<br />

Reliance on income alone is open to the criticism that it may<br />

not be a good measure of low consumption and therefore<br />

deprivation. If poverty is defined as exclusion from the<br />

ordinary life of society due to lack of resources – understood<br />

as a state of generalised deprivation – it should be<br />

characterised by both a low standard of consumption and a<br />

low level of income. We therefore also make use of the<br />

consistent measure of poverty that has been employed in the<br />

National <strong>Poverty</strong> Strategy (Callan, Nolan and Whelan 1993;<br />

Nolan and Whelan 1996). This combines information on<br />

relative income with that relating to basic deprivation. This<br />

comprises a set of eight indicators (see Table 3.1) that relate<br />

to the enforced absence of such items as food, clothing and<br />

heat and going into debt to meet ordinary living expenses.<br />

Previous analysis has shown that these indicators reflect<br />

rather basic aspects of current material deprivation of items<br />

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Measurement of <strong>Poverty</strong> at the Household Level<br />

that are possessed by most people, are considered as<br />

necessities by most people and cluster together, providing<br />

support for the view that they serve as valid indicators of<br />

underlying generalised deprivation. The combined income<br />

and deprivation standard that we employ here requires that a<br />

household is counted as poor where it reports enforced lack<br />

of at least one of these basic items and also falls below 60<br />

per cent of mean income. This combined measure is one that<br />

we felt best captures our underlying conceptualisation of<br />

poverty as involving enforced absence of socially defined<br />

necessities. In the current context it is important to stress that<br />

unlike items such as cars, telephones and holidays, there is<br />

no evidence for significant urban-rural difference in the extent<br />

to which the items included in the basic deprivation index are<br />

considered to be necessities.<br />

3.3 Measuring <strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation in the NSHQ<br />

The discussion above outlined the issues involved in<br />

measuring poverty and deprivation using the LII surveys,<br />

which had been specifically designed for this purpose. In the<br />

NSHQ we are more limited in terms of what is possible.<br />

Income in the National Survey of Housing Quality is measured<br />

by a single item, which asks for the approximate level of net<br />

household income, and records the answer into one of 16<br />

categories. The wording is as follows:<br />

Finally, a few questions about how you are able to<br />

manage financially. Could I ask about the<br />

approximate level of net household income This<br />

means the total income, after tax and PRSI, of ALL<br />

MEMBERS of the household. It includes ALL TYPES<br />

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of income: income from employment, social welfare<br />

payments, Child Benefit, rents, interest, pensions etc.<br />

We would just like to know into which broad group<br />

the total income of your household falls. I’d like to<br />

assure you once again that all information you give<br />

me is entirely confidential.<br />

Respondents were first of all presented with a card showing<br />

four broad income categories. Then they were presented with<br />

a second card that broke down each of these four broad<br />

categories into four more detailed categories. The result was<br />

a 16-category variable for total household income. This item<br />

had a reasonably good response rate, with 87.7 per cent of<br />

respondents providing information on the initial four-category<br />

breakdown and 85.3 per cent providing information on the<br />

more detailed 16-category breakdown. Income category was<br />

imputed for the 12.3 per cent of households for whom the<br />

information was missing using information on household size,<br />

number of persons at work, social class, local authority area<br />

and sample cluster. Further details on the imputation of<br />

missing information in the NSHQ are given in Appendix 2.<br />

The NSHQ single-item measure of income will tend to<br />

understate total household income, particularly in larger<br />

households, in comparison with the Living in Ireland Survey.<br />

The understatement arises for a number of reasons:<br />

incomplete information on the part of the householder<br />

regarding earnings and income of other people in the<br />

household and a tendency to forget some components (such<br />

as Child Benefit and irregular payments) when responding to<br />

a single question.<br />

Data from the 2000 Living in Ireland Survey was used to<br />

develop a correction for the NSHQ single-item income<br />

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Measurement of <strong>Poverty</strong> at the Household Level<br />

measure. Details of how this was done are provided in<br />

Appendix 2. Nevertheless, because of the differences in the<br />

measurement of income compared to the LII, it is not<br />

possible to reproduce a measure with the same overall level. 2<br />

What we are relying on in this analysis is that the measure of<br />

poverty risk derived from the NSHQ will faithfully reproduce<br />

the same patterns of variation across sub-groups of<br />

households as the LII measure. To the extent that it was<br />

possible to compare the distribution of risk across regions,<br />

tenure, household size categories, economic status and<br />

social class, the NSHQ measure compares very favourably to<br />

the LII measure 3 of income.<br />

The non-monetary indicators of deprivation available on the<br />

NSHQ are also different from those available in the Living in<br />

Ireland Survey. Some of the items likely to capture an<br />

absence of very basic necessities (such as shoes, coat and a<br />

hot meal) are not available. There are also some important<br />

differences in how ‘basic’ deprivation items are measured. In<br />

the NSHQ, we ask whether the household can afford each<br />

item if it wanted it. In the LII, a two-step approach is taken to<br />

most deprivation items. The household is first asked if it<br />

possesses an item. If the answer is no, the household is<br />

asked if this is something it would like to have but cannot<br />

afford. ‘Enforced lack’ in the LII context, then, refers to a<br />

household (a) lacking an item (b) unable to afford it and (c)<br />

would like it. In the NSHQ, the last condition is missing, so<br />

some households who would not want an item would be<br />

counted as experiencing an enforced lack in the sense that<br />

2 In fact, the measure of average income in the NSHQ tends to be higher<br />

than in the LII and the ‘poverty’ levels about 5–6 percentage points<br />

lower.<br />

3 Detailed comparisons are provided in Appendix 2.<br />

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they could not afford the item, even if they did want it. For<br />

this reason, the levels on the NSHQ for enforced lack of<br />

comparable items tend to be higher.<br />

Table 3.1 shows the items used in each deprivation<br />

dimension and the percentage of households that lack them<br />

on the NSHQ. Note that the items are measured differently to<br />

those in the Living in Ireland Survey, as noted earlier, so that<br />

the levels are not directly comparable. A factor analysis 4 was<br />

undertaken to check if the same type of underlying factor<br />

structure emerged in the NSHQ data as in the LII. The<br />

factor loadings set out in Table 3.1 show which items figure<br />

prominently on each of the dimensions. The structure<br />

represented by the set of dimensions identified is very similar<br />

to that identified using the LII data, although there are some<br />

differences in terms of the factors on which specific items<br />

load most highly. The five-factor solution resulted in a basic<br />

dimension, a secondary dimension, two housing dimensions<br />

(housing amenities and housing deterioration) and an<br />

environment dimension.<br />

The basic dimension reflects an inability to afford items such<br />

as a meal with meat every second day, new clothes,<br />

adequate heating, an ability to replace worn furniture, to<br />

socialise with family or friends once a month and to go on a<br />

week’s annual holiday. It also includes an item on whether the<br />

household experienced arrears in the past 12 months on<br />

housing or utility bills. Note that this measure does not<br />

contain the same set of items as were used in the analysis of<br />

the LII data – the same set of items is not available on the<br />

NSHQ. However, this set of items emerged in analyses of the<br />

4 The method used was principal component extraction and oblique<br />

rotation.<br />

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Measurement of <strong>Poverty</strong> at the Household Level<br />

internationally comparable European Community Household<br />

Panel Survey (ECHP) as forming a coherent dimension of<br />

deprivation across European countries (Whelan et al. 2001).<br />

The secondary dimension includes an item on inability to<br />

afford a car, as well as items on whether the household would<br />

like but cannot afford a range of household appliances<br />

(microwave, dishwasher, colour TV, video recorder and<br />

telephone). The levels on these household appliance items<br />

are lower than on some of the basic items because of the use<br />

of the two-step method in measuring them. The household<br />

was first asked if it had the item. If not, it was asked whether<br />

the item was something it would like to have but could not<br />

afford. Unlike the basic items, then, households who would<br />

not like the item are not counted as deprived.<br />

The housing amenities dimension captures an absence of<br />

basic housing amenities: a flush toilet, bath or shower and<br />

hot running water.<br />

The housing deterioration index captures the presence of<br />

problems in the accommodation that are regarded as<br />

moderate or major problems by the householder. The<br />

problems are leaks (in roof/doors/windows), dampness (rising<br />

damp, condensation dampness or dampness of unknown<br />

origin), rot (in doors, windows or other timbers) and noise<br />

from neighbouring houses. The index also includes an item<br />

on the adequacy of the space available. It also measures the<br />

householder’s judgement as to whether the accommodation<br />

is too small for the household’s needs.<br />

The final dimension, labelled environment, refers more to the<br />

social environment than to the physical environment. It<br />

includes problems of public order such as vandalism, graffiti,<br />

rubbish or litter lying about, homes or gardens in bad<br />

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Table 3.1: Items used in the deprivation scales in the NSHQ<br />

Factor loading<br />

(principal component<br />

extraction; oblique rotation)<br />

Basic<br />

Secondary<br />

Housing<br />

amenities<br />

Housing<br />

deterioration<br />

Environment<br />

%<br />

Deprived<br />

Cannot afford:<br />

Meal with meat, etc. 0.55 4.5<br />

New clothes 0.66 8.0<br />

Adequate heating 0.60 7.9<br />

Socialising once a month 0.74 24.2<br />

Replacing worn furniture 0.76 27.3<br />

Week’s holiday per year 0.77 31.2<br />

Arrears on housing/utility bills 0.26 8.9<br />

Cannot afford car or van 0.24 22.0<br />

Would like but cannot afford:<br />

Microwave 0.66 4.1<br />

Dishwasher 0.51 14.7<br />

Colour TV 0.51 0.4<br />

Video recorder 0.70 2.9<br />

Telephone, incl. mobile 0.56 2.3<br />

Accommodation lacks:<br />

Flush toilet 0.65 1.6<br />

Bath/shower 0.83 1.4<br />

Hot running water 0.79 1.6<br />

Moderate or major problem with:<br />

Leaking roof/doors/windows 0.77 5.8<br />

Dampness 0.78 6.5<br />

Rot in doors/windows/floors 0.69 3.4<br />

Noise from neighbours 0.21 2.8<br />

Accommodation too small for needs 0.30 13.5<br />

Very common in area:<br />

Vandalism 0.79 2.8<br />

Graffiti 0.76 2.6<br />

Rubbish/litter 0.73 5.0<br />

Homes/gardens in bad condition 0.74 1.8<br />

Public drunkenness 0.70 3.1<br />

Reliability (alpha) 0.76 0.46 0.66 0.50 0.79 –<br />

Source: Irish National Survey of Housing Quality 2001/2002<br />

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condition or people being drunk in public. The items capture<br />

the householder’s judgement that these problems are very<br />

common in the area where the accommodation is located.<br />

The reliabilities of the scales, i.e. the extent to which the items<br />

are tapping a common underlying dimension, are shown in the<br />

last row of Table 3.1. The values of the indices of reliability are<br />

very respectable for the basic and environment dimensions<br />

and satisfactory for the housing amenity dimension. The<br />

reliability of the secondary dimension and of the housing<br />

deterioration dimension is lower than we would like.<br />

In constructing indices, the items were weighted by the<br />

proportion that does not lack the item. For instance, 96 per<br />

cent of households can afford a meal with meat, chicken or fish<br />

every second day while 69 per cent can afford a week’s annual<br />

holiday away from home. Enforced lack of a meal with meat,<br />

etc. is given a weight of 0.96, while enforced lack of a holiday<br />

is given a lower weight of 0.69. Such weighting by the<br />

proportion not lacking an item captures the intuition that<br />

enforced lack of something possessed by most people is more<br />

‘serious’ than enforced lack of something that fewer people<br />

possess.<br />

3.4 The National Context<br />

Before proceeding to a spatial analysis of poverty and<br />

deprivation, we wish to put our later results in context by<br />

presenting results from earlier Living in Ireland Surveys. This<br />

is done in Table 3.2. In 2000 over one in four respondents<br />

were below the 50 per cent line, in comparison with just less<br />

than one in five in 1994 and one in six in 1987. 5 The picture at<br />

5 The most up-to-date national poverty rate trends can be found in<br />

Whelan et al. (2003).<br />

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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

the 60 per cent line is somewhat different. By 2000 the<br />

poverty rate was lower that that observed in 1994 but higher<br />

than that for 1987. The actual number of households below<br />

the 50 and 60 per cent lines in 2000 was 26 per cent and 33<br />

per cent, respectively.<br />

Significant changes in the composition of households below<br />

the relative income lines took place during the period under<br />

study. Among the most striking findings was the increasing<br />

risk for those in single-person households, in households<br />

where the reference person is ill/disabled or retired and for<br />

those who are themselves aged 65 or over. Those in<br />

households where the reference person is unemployed still<br />

faced a relatively high risk of falling below the income<br />

thresholds but continued to decline as a proportion of all<br />

those below the lines. Conversely, those in households where<br />

the reference person is an employee still faced the lowest risk<br />

by far but are becoming more important among those below<br />

the thresholds (as the numbers of unemployed continued to<br />

fall and the number of employees continued to rise from 1998<br />

to 2000). Those aged 65 or over faced a much higher risk of<br />

falling below 60 or 70 per cent of median income than those<br />

aged 18–65, with children then facing an intermediate level of<br />

risk. Women faced a higher risk of falling below those lines<br />

than men, but this gap was most marked among the elderly.<br />

As well as household income, non-monetary indicators of<br />

deprivation have also been employed in attempting to identify<br />

those in each of the LII surveys who were experiencing<br />

exclusion from ordinary living patterns due to lack of<br />

resources. Analysis of available indicators led us to focus on<br />

the eight indicators included in the basic deprivation index.<br />

The combined income and deprivation consistent poverty<br />

standard employed here is that a household is counted as<br />

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Measurement of <strong>Poverty</strong> at the Household Level<br />

poor where it reports enforced lack of at least one of these<br />

basic items and falls below 60 per cent of mean income.<br />

About 16 per cent of households were in that position in<br />

1987. By 1994 the percentage had fallen marginally to 15 per<br />

cent. In 2000 we observed a substantial reduction to 6 per<br />

cent.<br />

Table 3.2: Trends in percentage of households below poverty<br />

lines<br />

(Equivalence Scale A – 1.0/0.66/0.33)<br />

1987 1994 2000<br />

Percentage of households<br />

below line:<br />

50% line 16.3 18.6 25.8<br />

60% line 28.5 34.2 32.9<br />

60% consistent line 16.0 15.1 6.2<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Surveys, 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

3.5 Conclusions<br />

In this chapter we have dealt with the manner in which<br />

income and deprivation are measured at the household level<br />

in the major data sources on which we have based our<br />

analysis. As we have pointed out, the manner of measuring<br />

both variables is sufficiently different in the NSHQ survey that<br />

we feel it would be confusing rather than helpful to report<br />

poverty rates from that survey. However, our exploratory<br />

analysis indicates that very similar conclusions emerge from<br />

both sources when we focus not on levels but on differentials<br />

or disparities and that is the strategy we will pursue when<br />

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utilising this data in our subsequent analysis. This will allow<br />

us to take advantage of the fact that the much greater<br />

sample size of the NSHQ allows us to make much finer<br />

distinctions in terms of units of analysis.<br />

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Chapter 4<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Region and<br />

Local Authority Area<br />

4.1 Introduction<br />

In this chapter we present results on poverty and deprivation<br />

by regional authority and by local authority area. Two different<br />

sources of data are used for this purpose: the Living in<br />

Ireland Survey (LII) for 2000 and the National Survey of<br />

Housing Quality (NSHQ) for 2001/2002. The LII Surveys were<br />

designed to provide nationally representative samples of the<br />

population resident in private households. While the numbers<br />

of households in the achieved samples 1 are relatively large,<br />

both sample size and the sampling designs limit the extent to<br />

which they can be disaggregated by geographical area. Thus,<br />

while it would be possible to derive poverty rates by county<br />

from the samples, it would not be sensible to do so because<br />

of the wide margin of error associated with the figures.<br />

Analysis at the level of planning region or regional authority,<br />

each comprising a number of counties, is possible. In this<br />

chapter we focus on the latter. 2 59<br />

1 The completed sample was 3,467 in 2000.<br />

2 However, in order to allow trends over time to be considered, we<br />

report figures for planning region by year in Appendix 1.


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On the other hand, at over 40,000 households, the NSHQ<br />

sample is large enough to provide reliable estimates at the<br />

level of local authority. The NSHQ data are used for this<br />

purpose in this chapter. In using the NSHQ data, we focus on<br />

disparities – or variations across local authorities – in poverty<br />

and deprivation. As noted in the previous chapter, it is not<br />

possible to use the NSHQ to replicate the levels of income<br />

and deprivation used in the LII Survey, but the patterns of<br />

variation across regions are very similar.<br />

In the final section of the chapter, the regional distribution of<br />

poverty and deprivation is compared to the distribution of<br />

characteristics of individuals and households from the 2002<br />

Census, as presented in Chapter 2.<br />

4.2 <strong>Poverty</strong> Risk and Incidence by Regional<br />

Authority in the LII Survey<br />

In Table 4.1 we show the distribution of risk of poverty across<br />

regional authority for all three poverty lines. The risk of<br />

poverty, or poverty rate, is the percentage of households with<br />

equivalised income below the relevant poverty line. 3 The<br />

regional authorities are made up as follows.<br />

• Border: Cavan, Donegal, Leitrim, Louth, Monaghan, Sligo.<br />

• Dublin: Dublin City, Fingal, Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown,<br />

Dublin South.<br />

• Mid-East: Kildare, Meath, Wicklow.<br />

3 Equivalised income, or income per adult equivalent, is calculated by<br />

allowing a ‘weight’ of 1 for the first adult in the household, 0.66 for<br />

each subsequent adult and 0.33 for each child under age 15. The<br />

poverty line is expressed in terms of a percentage, e.g. 50 or 60 per<br />

cent, of the average equivalised income.<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Region and Local Authority Area<br />

• Midlands: Laois, Longford, Offaly, Westmeath.<br />

• Mid-West: Clare, Limerick, Tipperary North Riding.<br />

• South-East: Carlow, Kilkenny, Tipperary South Riding,<br />

Waterford, Wexford.<br />

• South-West: Cork, Kerry.<br />

• West: Galway, Mayo, Roscommon.<br />

At the 50 per cent line the highest poverty rate of 36 per cent<br />

was observed for the Border region. However, it was closely<br />

followed by the South-West and West with rates of 32 per<br />

cent. Dublin has the lowest rate by far at 17 per cent. The<br />

remaining regions are found in the range running from 22 to<br />

30 per cent, with the Mid-East at the lower end of the range<br />

and the Midlands and South-East at the upper end. The<br />

highest rate at the 60 per cent line was for the Border region<br />

and the West, with rates of 46 per cent and 44 per cent,<br />

respectively. Once again, the lowest rate of 21 per cent was<br />

found for Dublin, followed by the Mid-East with a rate of 26<br />

per cent. The poverty risk for the remaining regions was<br />

about 35 to 40 per cent.<br />

The highest values for the consistent poverty line, as shown<br />

in Table 4.1 and Map 4.1, are found in the Border and Mid-<br />

West regions with rates of about 10 per cent. The lowest rate<br />

of 3 per cent is observed in Dublin. The values for the other<br />

regions range between 4 per cent and 8 per cent.<br />

The bottom panel of Table 4.1 aggregates the regional<br />

authorities into the two regional assembly areas: the Border,<br />

Midlands and West (BMW) and the South and East (Dublin,<br />

Mid-East, Mid-West, South-East and South-West). The<br />

greater risk of poverty in the BMW region compared to the<br />

South and East is very evident on all three measures.<br />

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Table 4.1: <strong>Poverty</strong> risk in 2000 by regional authority and<br />

regional assembly<br />

Region 50% 60% 60% line+<br />

income income deprivation<br />

line risk line risk risk<br />

Border 35.5 46.4 10.1<br />

Dublin 17.1 21.3 3.3<br />

Mid-East 22.2 25.9 5.8<br />

Midlands 29.7 34.5 4.2<br />

Mid-West 25.9 35.2 10.4<br />

South-East 26.9 35.4 7.7<br />

South-West 32.4 40.0 7.5<br />

West 31.6 43.5 5.0<br />

Regional Assembly<br />

BMW 32.9 42.7 7.1<br />

South & East 23.0 29.0 5.8<br />

Total 25.8 32.9 6.2<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Survey, 2000<br />

Table 4.2 sets out the incidence figures broken down by<br />

regional authority and regional assembly. The incidence of<br />

poverty refers to the percentage of all poor households that<br />

are located in each region. At all three lines approximately<br />

one in five to one in six of the poor are located in each of the<br />

Border regions, Dublin and the South-West; one in seven to<br />

one in eight are in the South-East. The figure for the<br />

consistent line is somewhat lower for Dublin and higher for<br />

the South-East. For the other regions the modal figure is 7<br />

per cent. However, the concentration of consistent poverty is<br />

rather higher in the Mid-West, at 13 per cent, and low in the<br />

Midlands, at 4 per cent.<br />

The figures in the bottom panel of Table 4.2 indicate that<br />

close to two-thirds of the poor are located in the South and<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Region and Local Authority Area<br />

Map 4.1: Consistent poverty risk by region<br />

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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

East, in spite of the higher risk of poverty (as seen in Table<br />

4.1) in the BMW region. This reflects the higher population of<br />

the South and East, as can be seen in the final column of the<br />

table: 72 per cent of households are located in the South and<br />

East, compared to 28 per cent in the BMW region.<br />

Table 4.2: <strong>Poverty</strong> incidence in 2000: Per cent of poor in each<br />

regional authority and regional assembly area (relative income<br />

poverty and consistent poverty)<br />

Region 50% relative 60% relative Consistent Per cent<br />

income income poverty of all<br />

poverty poverty 60% line+ households<br />

line line deprivation<br />

Border 17.4 17.8 20.5 12.6<br />

Dublin 20.7 20.3 16.7 31.3<br />

Mid-East 6.9 6.3 7.6 8.0<br />

Midlands 7.6 7.0 4.4 6.6<br />

Mid-West 7.7 8.2 13.1 7.7<br />

South-East 11.7 12.1 14.1 11.2<br />

South-West 16.8 16.3 16.3 13.4<br />

West 11.2 12.1 7.4 9.2<br />

Regional Assembly<br />

BMW 36.2 36.9 32.3 28.4<br />

South & East 63.8 63.1 67.7 71.6<br />

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Survey, 2000<br />

4.3 Disparities in Income <strong>Poverty</strong> Risk by Local<br />

Authority Area from the NSHQ<br />

At this point we turn to data from the NSHQ to examine<br />

regional variation in poverty risk at a more detailed level.<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Region and Local Authority Area<br />

Table 4.3: Disparities in income poverty risk by local authority<br />

area<br />

Region County Income poverty Income poverty<br />

risk (50%) risk (60%)<br />

Border Cavan 1.3 1.3<br />

Donegal 1.7 1.6<br />

Leitrim 1.3 1.4<br />

Louth 1.1 1.1<br />

Monaghan 1.1 1.0<br />

Sligo 1.2 1.1<br />

Midlands Laois 1.0 1.0<br />

Longford 1.5 1.4<br />

Offaly 1.3 1.2<br />

Westmeath 1.0 1.1<br />

West Galway City 0.7 0.7<br />

Galway County 1.2 1.2<br />

Mayo 1.5 1.4<br />

Roscommon 1.2 1.1<br />

Dublin Dublin City Council 1.0 1.0<br />

Dublin Fingal 0.4 0.5<br />

Dublin South 0.5 0.6<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 0.4 0.5<br />

Mid-East Kildare 0.7 0.7<br />

Meath 0.7 0.8<br />

Wicklow 0.9 1.0<br />

Mid-West Clare 1.0 1.1<br />

Limerick City 1.5 1.3<br />

Limerick County 1.1 1.1<br />

Tipperary North Riding 0.9 0.9<br />

South-East Carlow 1.3 1.2<br />

Kilkenny 0.9 0.9<br />

Tipperary South Riding 1.3 1.2<br />

Waterford City 1.2 1.1<br />

Waterford County 1.1 1.1<br />

Wexford 1.2 1.2<br />

South-West Cork City 1.4 1.3<br />

Cork County 1.0 0.9<br />

Kerry 1.3 1.3<br />

Total 1.0 1.0<br />

Source: National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

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Table 4.3 and Maps 4.2 and 4.3 show the disparities in<br />

poverty risk by local authority area using data from the<br />

NSHQ. The figures in the table show the ratio of the poverty<br />

risk in each local authority area to the national figure. Thus,<br />

for instance, the risk of poverty in Cavan – using the 50 per<br />

cent mean income line – is 30 per cent higher than the<br />

national average. On the other hand, it is 60 per cent lower<br />

than the national average in Dublin Fingal.<br />

It is clear from Table 4.3 that there are considerable<br />

differences within regions. For example, in the Border region,<br />

all of the counties (except Monaghan using the 60 per cent<br />

line) tend to have poverty risk levels above average. However,<br />

the risk of poverty is 60–70 per cent greater than the national<br />

average in Donegal, 30–40 per cent above that national figure<br />

in Cavan and Leitrim and drops to 10–20 per cent above the<br />

average in Louth, Monaghan and Sligo. There is a somewhat<br />

smaller level of variation among the Midland counties, with<br />

Longford and Offaly faring 20–50 per cent worse than<br />

average in terms of poverty risk, while Laois and Westmeath<br />

are close to average.<br />

The differences are even more dramatic in the West: Galway<br />

City has a poverty risk level that is well below average (30 per<br />

cent), while the risk in Mayo is 40–50 per cent above average.<br />

Galway County and Roscommon occupy an intermediate<br />

position, with risk levels 10–20 per cent above average. The<br />

risk of poverty is just at the national average in Dublin City,<br />

but is lowest of all the local authority areas nationally in the<br />

surrounding Dublin counties at 40–60 per cent below the<br />

average.<br />

In the Mid-East, Kildare and Meath have risk levels that tend<br />

to be 20–30 per cent below the national level, but the risk<br />

level in Wicklow is closer to the national average.<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Region and Local Authority Area<br />

Map 4.2: Disparities in income poverty risk by local authority<br />

area (50 per cent poverty line)<br />

Among the counties in the Mid-West, the risk is highest in<br />

Limerick City (30–50 per cent above average). In fact, the<br />

poverty risk level at the 50 per cent line in Limerick City is the<br />

highest among the five county boroughs (Dublin, Cork,<br />

Limerick, Galway and Waterford cities). The risk level is<br />

somewhat below average in Tipperary North (10 per cent<br />

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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Map 4.3: Disparities in income poverty risk by local authority<br />

area (60 per cent poverty line)<br />

below average), while Clare and Limerick County show risk<br />

levels that are slightly above average.<br />

In the South-Eastern region, only Kilkenny fares better than<br />

the nation as a whole (10 per cent below the average) in<br />

terms of poverty risk, while Tipperary South, Wexford and<br />

Carlow (20–30 per cent above) fare worst.<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Region and Local Authority Area<br />

In the South-West, the level of poverty risk is 30–40 per<br />

cent above the national level in Cork City and in Kerry, but<br />

is at or slightly below the overall average in Cork County<br />

(0–10 per cent below).<br />

4.4 Modified Consistent <strong>Poverty</strong> (MCP)<br />

As noted earlier, the NSHQ does not contain the set of<br />

basic deprivation items used in the construction of the<br />

measure of consistent poverty based on the LII data, so<br />

even if we could ignore the differences in how income is<br />

measured, it would not be possible to reproduce the<br />

measure of consistent poverty that is used in monitoring<br />

the National Anti-<strong>Poverty</strong> Strategy. Nevertheless, we can<br />

construct a ‘modified’ consistent poverty index which takes<br />

account of both income and living standard and examines<br />

the way in which it varies by region.<br />

Modified consistent poverty (MCP) is defined as<br />

households below 60 per cent of the mean equivalised<br />

household income (using the NSHQ income measure) and<br />

experiencing basic deprivation, i.e. lacking one or more of<br />

the items in the basic deprivation index. The basic<br />

deprivation items in the NSHQ include an inability to afford<br />

adequate food, clothing and heating for the home, as well<br />

as socialising, an annual holiday and the presence of<br />

arrears on utility bills.<br />

As before, we do not present levels of MCP in the following<br />

tables to avoid confusion with the full measure of<br />

consistent poverty based on the LII data. Instead, the<br />

results are presented in terms of ratios of the national<br />

average figure.<br />

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4.5 MCP by Local Authority Area<br />

Table 4.4 and Map 4.4 show the disparities in MCP by local<br />

authority area. Earlier tables revealed considerable variation in<br />

income poverty by local authority area within regions. As can<br />

be seen in Table 4.4, the differences persist when the<br />

combined measure of disadvantage is used, taking account<br />

of both income and basic deprivation. Overall, the highest<br />

level of MCP is found in Donegal (1.9 times the average) and<br />

the lowest level in Dún-Laoghaire-Rathdown (0.60 times the<br />

average). Nevertheless, within the Border region the range of<br />

MCP is from Monaghan’s low rate at 10 per cent below the<br />

average to Donegal’s high figure of 90 per cent above. The<br />

figures in the Midlands are all above average, but range from<br />

a modest 10 per cent above average in Laois, Offaly and<br />

Westmeath to 50 per cent above average in Longford.<br />

Galway City stands apart in the Western region with an MCP<br />

30 per cent below the average, while in the other counties in<br />

this region the figure ranges from 1.0 to 1.5.<br />

Dublin City has an MCP which is on a par with the national<br />

average, but it is well below the national figure in the<br />

surrounding counties of Fingal, Dublin South and Dún<br />

Laoghaire-Rathdown. The Mid-East evinces a similar, though<br />

less marked, pattern of variation: the level in Wicklow is the<br />

same as the national level but it is 20–30 per cent lower in<br />

Kildare and Meath. The MCP in the Mid-West ranges from a<br />

figure equal to the national average in Limerick County to 1.5<br />

in Limerick City.<br />

In the South-East, Kilkenny maintains its relatively favourable<br />

position with an MCP 20 per cent below the national figure,<br />

while high figures (30 per cent above the average) are found<br />

in Waterford City and Carlow. Cork City and Kerry have MCP<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Region and Local Authority Area<br />

Table 4.4: Disparities in risk of modified consistent poverty by<br />

local authority area<br />

Region County Modified consistent poverty<br />

Border Cavan 1.2<br />

Donegal 1.9<br />

Leitrim 1.5<br />

Louth 1.2<br />

Monaghan 0.9<br />

Sligo 1.3<br />

Midlands Laois 1.1<br />

Longford 1.5<br />

Offaly 1.1<br />

Westmeath 1.1<br />

West Galway City 0.7<br />

Galway County 1.0<br />

Mayo 1.5<br />

Roscommon 1.1<br />

Dublin Dublin City Council 1.0<br />

Dublin Fingal 0.5<br />

Dublin South 0.6<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 0.4<br />

Mid-East Kildare 0.7<br />

Meath 0.8<br />

Wicklow 1.0<br />

South-West Clare 1.2<br />

Limerick City 1.5<br />

Limerick County 1.0<br />

Tipperary North Riding 1.1<br />

South-East Carlow 1.3<br />

Kilkenny 0.8<br />

Tipperary South Riding 1.2<br />

Waterford City 1.3<br />

Waterford County 1.0<br />

Wexford 1.0<br />

South-West Cork City 1.3<br />

Cork County 0.9<br />

Kerry 1.3<br />

Total 1.0<br />

Source: Irish National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

levels 30 per cent above the national figure, while the level in<br />

Cork County is about 10 per cent lower.<br />

Map 4.4: Disparities in risk of modified consistent poverty by<br />

local authority area<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Region and Local Authority Area<br />

One pattern that is becoming clearer at this stage is a<br />

tendency for levels of deprivation to be higher in the large<br />

cities themselves (Dublin, Cork, Limerick, Waterford) than in<br />

the surrounding counties. This pattern fits with a model where<br />

better-off households move to newer and more spacious<br />

accommodation in the suburbs, which are often located<br />

outside the city boundaries or even in neighbouring counties.<br />

This leaves poorer households trapped in often older and less<br />

attractive accommodation in the cities. Galway is an<br />

important exception to this pattern: the city itself is in a more<br />

favourable situation than the county with respect to<br />

deprivation indicators.<br />

4.6 Direct and Indirect Measures of <strong>Poverty</strong> and<br />

Deprivation<br />

Having examined the direct measures of poverty and<br />

deprivation from the LII Survey and the NSHQ, we now turn<br />

to the relationship between these direct measures at an<br />

aggregate level and the indirect measures based on census<br />

data presented in Chapter 2.<br />

We saw earlier in this chapter that counties in the Border and<br />

Western regions emerge as having the highest risk in terms of<br />

relative income poverty. As previously shown in Chapter 2,<br />

these were areas with (a) the oldest and most age-dependent<br />

population structures (b) the lowest levels of educational<br />

achievement (c) the lowest levels of professional classes and<br />

(d) the highest levels of small farm activities. In contrast, at<br />

the other extreme, most of the Dublin and Mid-East region<br />

along with commuter counties such as Meath, Kildare and<br />

counties such as Kilkenny, North Tipperary and Cork County<br />

are among the lowest in terms of relative income poverty risk.<br />

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These were also identified in Chapter 2 as being among the<br />

counties with (a) the youngest age profiles (b) the highest<br />

levels of large-scale farming (c) the lowest unemployment<br />

rates and (d) the highest social class and educational<br />

attainment structures in the country.<br />

A useful tool in examining the relationship between direct and<br />

indirect measures of poverty is correlation analysis. A<br />

correlation coefficient ranges from –1.0 to +1.0 depending on<br />

the strength of a relationship between two variables. If the<br />

two variables in question move together in perfect unison, i.e.<br />

as one increases/decreases the other increases/decreases at<br />

exactly the same rate, the correlation coefficient will be +1.0.<br />

If one increases as the other decreases (and vice versa), the<br />

coefficient will be negative.<br />

The figures in Table 4.5 present correlation coefficients of the<br />

socio-demographic variables used throughout Chapter 2 with<br />

three key measures of poverty discussed in the present<br />

chapter. These figures provide a quantifiable measure of the<br />

strength of the relationship at the county level of trends in the<br />

poverty measures with the underlying characteristics.<br />

From the table one can see that there is a strong relationship<br />

between county-level poverty risk (using the 50 per cent, 60<br />

per cent and modified consistent lines) and several of the<br />

socio-demographic variables considered. For example, one<br />

can see that the percentage of the county population<br />

classified as being 65 years and over, having no formal<br />

education/primary certificate only and also being in the<br />

professional class categories are strongly correlated (some<br />

negatively) to risk of poverty.<br />

The reader should note that the correlation coefficients<br />

presented here refer to characteristics measured at the level<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Region and Local Authority Area<br />

Table 4.5: Correlation of socio-demographic characteristics of<br />

county with risk of poverty<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> MCP<br />

50% 60% line<br />

Per cent persons age 65+<br />

and living alone 0.693 0.718 0.653<br />

Age dependency index 0.576 0.628 0.536<br />

Unemployment rate 0.650 0.607 0.686<br />

Per cent all persons at work who<br />

are small farmers (


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

4.7 Conclusions<br />

This chapter drew on data from the 2000 LII Survey and the<br />

2001/2002 NSHQ to examine patterns of variation in income<br />

poverty and deprivation by area. At the level of regional<br />

authority, the Border area emerges as the most clearly<br />

disadvantaged area. The West and South-West tend to be<br />

next in line. At the other extreme is Dublin, and to a slightly<br />

lesser extent the Mid-East, with low levels of poverty and<br />

deprivation.<br />

When we differentiate within regions by identifying local<br />

authority areas, Donegal, Cavan, Leitrim, Longford, Mayo and<br />

the major urban centres outside Dublin emerge as<br />

experiencing the highest levels of disadvantage.<br />

One finding to emerge rather clearly is that there are big<br />

differences between the counties comprising a regional<br />

authority area. In other words, spatial contiguity does not<br />

correspond to a common fate in terms of income poverty and<br />

deprivation. The boundaries between regions are drawn on<br />

the basis of political and pragmatic considerations and do not<br />

necessarily reflect a confluence of similar causal processes.<br />

This has implications for area-based strategies to combat<br />

poverty in that any remedies applied at the broad level of<br />

regional authority will target areas that are quite different from<br />

each other in terms of the level and intensity of deprivation.<br />

In this chapter we complemented the direct measures of<br />

poverty risk and deprivation with a consideration of spatial<br />

variations in relevant socio-demographic variables from the<br />

Census of Population. The somewhat aggregated county<br />

level of the analysis undoubtedly masked a substantial<br />

degree of sub-county variation. Nonetheless, the correlation<br />

coefficients indicated that at the county level there is a<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Region and Local Authority Area<br />

reasonably strong relationship between the direct measures<br />

of poverty on the one hand and indirect measures such as<br />

age dependency, unemployment rate, rate of educational<br />

disadvantage and membership of the unskilled manual social<br />

class on the other.<br />

In the next chapter we turn to two other aspects of spatial<br />

variation: size of place (or urban-rural location) and tenure to<br />

ask to what extent these are associated with significant<br />

differences in income poverty and deprivation.<br />

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Chapter 5<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> by Area and Tenure Type<br />

5.1 Introduction<br />

In this chapter we draw on data from a number of sources to<br />

examine variations in poverty by area type, tenure and a<br />

combination of these two variables. As it is used here, ‘area<br />

type’ refers to the population density of the area where the<br />

household is located.<br />

The National Survey of Housing Quality (NSHQ) results<br />

consistently pointed to the importance of housing tenure as a<br />

marker of disadvantage. Local authority renters in particular<br />

tended to live in accommodation that was in poorer<br />

condition, to have lower incomes and to report experiencing<br />

more financial strain than those in other tenures (Watson and<br />

Williams 2003). The disadvantage experienced by local<br />

authority renters is largely a selection effect: households have<br />

to be low-income in order to qualify for local authority<br />

housing in the first place and if their income position<br />

improves they have traditionally bought out their rented<br />

dwellings, becoming homeowners.<br />

The data analysed in this chapter comes from the Living in<br />

Ireland (LII) Surveys of 1987, 1994 and 2000 and the National<br />

Survey of Housing Quality 2001/2002 (NSHQ). The inclusion<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> by Area and Tenure Type<br />

of the 1987 and 1994 LII Surveys permits us to examine<br />

trends over time. The larger sample size of the NSHQ allows<br />

us to examine the patterns in greater detail. We begin by<br />

describing how area type and tenure are measured. Next we<br />

examine the risk and incidence of poverty by area type and<br />

tenure using data from the LII surveys. Finally, we examine<br />

disparities in income poverty and in modified consistent<br />

poverty (MCP) by area type and tenure using data from the<br />

NSHQ. As in the previous chapter, since the measures of<br />

income poverty and consistent poverty derived from the LII<br />

cannot be replicated using the more limited variables<br />

available on the NSHQ, we focus on disparities in poverty<br />

rather than levels of poverty when analysing data from the<br />

NSHQ.<br />

5.2 Measuring Area Type and Tenure<br />

We distinguish the following five categories for area type:<br />

• Open country<br />

• Village or town with population of less than 3,000<br />

• Town with population of 3,000 or over<br />

• Cork, Limerick, Waterford or Galway cities<br />

• Dublin City or County.<br />

In both the LII Survey and the NSHQ we will make use of a<br />

variable that captures the nature of the household’s tenure<br />

arrangement. It is reasonable to expect that local authority<br />

housing, and in particular rented local authority housing, will<br />

account for a large proportion of concentrated pockets of<br />

poverty. In establishing the extent to which the poor are<br />

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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

located in such households, we will provide one estimate of<br />

the extent to which poverty is spatially concentrated.<br />

For the LII Survey we distinguish between the following<br />

categories in relation to tenure arrangements:<br />

• Property owned outright<br />

• Owned with mortgage<br />

• Local authority purchaser<br />

• Local authority tenant<br />

• Private rented.<br />

For the NSHQ data we further distinguish within the house<br />

owner categories (the first and second points above) between<br />

those who purchase through local authority tenant purchase<br />

schemes or mortgages on the one hand and those who<br />

purchase through a private lending agency on the other.<br />

5.3 <strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Area Type<br />

In Table 5.1 we examine the manner in which risk varies<br />

across area type and how this is patterned over time. As we<br />

have seen earlier, there was a substantial increase between<br />

1994 and 2000 in the numbers falling below the 50 per cent<br />

poverty line. This trend is evident in Table 5.1 for each of the<br />

types of area we identified. However, it is particularly true for<br />

open country areas where the poverty rate rose from 20 per<br />

cent in 1994 to 32 per cent in 2000 and for villages and<br />

towns with a population of less than 3,000 where the<br />

corresponding figures were 26 per cent and 36 per cent. For<br />

the other categories the rise was a good deal more modest,<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> by Area and Tenure Type<br />

being of the order of 6 per cent for towns greater than 3,000,<br />

3 per cent for the major urban centres outside Dublin and 2<br />

per cent for Dublin City and County.<br />

As in earlier years. the highest poverty rate at the 50 per cent<br />

line in 2000 (36 per cent) was observed in villages and towns<br />

of less than 3,000 followed by open country, where the rate<br />

was 32 per cent. In towns greater than 3,000 the rate fell to<br />

one in four; for urban centres outside Dublin it was just above<br />

one in five and for Dublin one in six. Thus the disparities<br />

between areas increased in the second half of the 1990s.<br />

At the 60 per cent line, on the other hand, the poverty rate fell<br />

slightly between 1994 and 2000. This occurred fairly evenly<br />

across areas, apart from an increase in the rate (from 37 to 41<br />

per cent) in open country areas. However, the ordering of<br />

areas remained constant over time and identical to that at the<br />

50 per cent line. The highest risk of 46 per cent was in<br />

villages and towns less than 3,000 followed by open country,<br />

with a rate of 42 per cent. The rate then fell significantly to 32<br />

per cent for towns less than 3,000, to 28 per cent for cities<br />

outside Dublin and finally to 21 per cent for Dublin.<br />

Turning to the consistent poverty line, involving falling below<br />

the 60 per cent income line and the enforced lack of at least<br />

one basic item, we can see that in earlier years variation by<br />

type of area was a good deal less evident than in the case of<br />

income poverty lines. In particular, the situation of those living<br />

in open country was more favourable. This remained true in<br />

2000. Between 1994 and 2000 there was a very sharp decline<br />

in consistent poverty. Substantial reductions were observed<br />

for all types of areas, but the most dramatic decline was for<br />

Dublin, where the rate fell from 19 per cent to 3 per cent. In<br />

the other urban centres it declined from 19 per cent to 7 per<br />

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Table 5.1: Risk of poverty by type of area for 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

50% income line 60% income line 60% income line<br />

and basic deprivation<br />

1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000<br />

Area: % of households<br />

Open country 21.6 19.6 32.4 34.7 37.4 41.5 15.5 9.6 5.3<br />

Village/town 3,000 14.2 19.2 25.2 31.5 37.2 32.4 18.1 18.7 10.2<br />

Waterford, Cork, Galway and<br />

Limerick cities 18.0 18.4 21.3 28.0 32.0 27.7 21.0 19.2 6.8<br />

Dublin City and County 8.7 15.1 17.1 16.7 27.4 21.3 12.0 19.2 3.3<br />

All 17.0 18.6 25.8 29.1 34.8 32.9 16.4 14.9 6.2<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Surveys, 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> by Area and Tenure Type<br />

Table 5.2: Incidence of poverty by type of area for 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

50% 60% 60% Percentage of<br />

income line income line income line and all households<br />

basic deprivation<br />

1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000<br />

Area: % of households<br />

Open country 46.5 34.3 40.0 42.7 35.6 40.2 33.9 21.3 27.3 35.8 33.1 31.9<br />

Village/town 3,000 15.1 19.0 19.1 19.5 19.4 19.3 19.8 22.8 32.4 18.0 18.1 19.6<br />

Waterford, Cork, Galway,<br />

Limerick cities 9.1 8.5 5.7 8.3 8.0 5.8 11.0 11.3 7.7 8.6 8.7 6.9<br />

Dublin City and County 13.5 23.5 20.7 15.1 22.9 20.3 19.2 29.5 16.7 26.3 29.5 31.3<br />

All 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Surveys, 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

cent and in towns of more than 3,000 from 19 per cent to 10<br />

per cent. In towns less than 3,000 the rate goes from 22 per<br />

cent to 10 per cent and in open country from 10 per cent to 5<br />

per cent.<br />

The highest level of consistent poverty in 2000 (10 per cent)<br />

is observed for villages and towns outside the country’s major<br />

urban centres. They are followed by urban centres outside<br />

Dublin with a rate of 7 per cent, open country (5 per cent) and<br />

Dublin (4 per cent).<br />

In Table 5.2 we turn from the risk of poverty to the incidence<br />

of poverty, i.e. the percentage of all poor people who are<br />

located in each type of area. At the 50 per cent line we<br />

observe a partial reversal between 1994 and 2000 of a trend<br />

observed between 1987 and 1994. During the earlier period<br />

there had been a sharp increase in the proportion of the poor<br />

located in Dublin (from 14 to 24 per cent), while there was a<br />

corresponding decline (47 to 34 per cent) in open country<br />

areas. The figures for the other areas remained relatively<br />

constant with 15 per cent located in towns and villages less<br />

than 3,000, 19 per cent in towns greater than 3,000 and 6 per<br />

cent in the county boroughs outside Dublin (Cork, Galway,<br />

Limerick and Waterford cities).<br />

A similar but less pronounced pattern was observed at the 60<br />

per cent line, once again giving a distribution by 2000 that<br />

was very close to that observed in 1987 and one just about<br />

identical to that just described for the 50 per cent line. For<br />

the consistent poverty line the change over time was uneven.<br />

In 1987 one-third were located in open country areas. This fell<br />

to one-fifth in 1994 but increased to over one-quarter in 2000.<br />

For Dublin, on the other hand, there was a sharp increase<br />

between 1987 and 1994 and a corresponding decrease by<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> by Area and Tenure Type<br />

2000. By that time one in six of the consistent poor were found<br />

in Dublin. For other urban areas a modest decrease was<br />

observed between 1994 and 2000, while for villages and towns<br />

there was no significant change. The clearest trend involved a<br />

steady increase over time for villages and towns with<br />

populations less than 3,000 from one in five to one in three.<br />

Overall, villages and towns of less than 3,000 emerge as<br />

having a disproportionate number of the poor for each of the<br />

income poverty lines but not for the consistent poverty<br />

measure. Towns greater than 3,000, on the other hand, are<br />

over-represented in terms of consistent poverty. Urban centres<br />

outside Dublin are slightly under-represented at the income<br />

lines but not for the consistent poverty line. Dublin, on the<br />

other hand, is significantly under-represented for all three lines.<br />

This pattern, whereby rural areas appear less disadvantaged<br />

according to the consistent poverty measure that takes<br />

account of standard of living as well as income, is largely due<br />

to the situation of farm households (see Whelan et al. 2003,<br />

Tables 4.11 and 5.10). On average, these households emerge<br />

as having a higher standard of living than their current income<br />

level would lead us to predict. This may reflect a number of<br />

factors, including the accumulation of wealth over time in the<br />

form of savings, the capacity to sell off assets and a lower cost<br />

of housing than in urban areas.<br />

5.4 <strong>Poverty</strong> and Deprivation by Tenure Type<br />

One of the limitations of the analysis conducted to this point is<br />

that it is perfectly possible that a more detailed disaggregation<br />

would reveal pockets of deprivation within the areas we have<br />

been able to distinguish. We will deal with this in two ways.<br />

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Later in the chapter we will take advantage of the<br />

opportunities provided by the NSHQ. In this section we focus<br />

on the relationship between poverty and tenure type and in the<br />

section that follows we combine information about type of<br />

area and type of tenure.<br />

In Table 5.3 we look at variation in poverty risk level by tenure<br />

across all three poverty standards and for each of the three<br />

years in our analysis. Between 1987 and 1994 there was a<br />

sharp increase in poverty risk at the 50 per cent line for local<br />

authority tenants from 37 per cent to 50 per cent, even though<br />

the overall increase in the poverty rate was rather modest.<br />

Between 1994 and 2000, in the context of a much sharper<br />

increase in the overall poverty rate, the poverty rate for local<br />

authority tenants rose to 66 per cent. At the same time, the<br />

rate for outright owners increased from 18 per cent to 33 per<br />

cent. There was also a more modest increase for private<br />

renters from 15 to 22 per cent. The other categories remained<br />

relatively stable.<br />

At the 60 per cent line the picture remained a good deal more<br />

stable between 1994 and 2000. A slight rise was noted for<br />

outright owners and local authority tenants and a slight decline<br />

for all other categories. The risk rate reaches a remarkably<br />

high level of 78 per cent for local authority tenants. The nexthighest<br />

rate was observed for outright owners, with a figure of<br />

42 per cent. This rather high figure is undoubtedly related to<br />

the relatively high proportion of elderly in this category. Local<br />

authority tenant purchasers display a risk rate of 33 per cent<br />

and private renters one of 28 per cent. By far the lowest rate<br />

is observed for mortgage holders, at 12 per cent.<br />

Turning our attention to the consistent poverty lines, we find<br />

that the rate for local authority tenants has fallen from 52 per<br />

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<strong>Poverty</strong> by Area and Tenure Type<br />

cent in 1994 to 32 per cent in 2000. However, given the<br />

marked decline in risk levels for all of the other categories,<br />

the relative position of local authority tenants actually<br />

deteriorated. Thus, for outright owners the rate went from<br />

11 to 4 per cent, for mortgage holders from 6 to 2 per<br />

cent and for local authority tenant purchasers from 25 to 5<br />

per cent. The decline was least for private tenants, where it<br />

went from 15 to 13 per cent. It is clear that the distribution<br />

of risk levels is rather different for the consistent poverty<br />

measure than for the income poverty lines. The greatest<br />

discrepancy is observed for private renters. Their relative<br />

position is much worse for the consistent poverty measures.<br />

Thus, a relatively clear hierarchy of disadvantage emerges<br />

for consistent poverty, with local authority tenants worst<br />

off by a significant margin, followed at a distance by private<br />

renters and then, at a further distance, by the remaining<br />

groups.<br />

In Table 5.4 we document the incidence of poverty by tenure<br />

type. This outcome depends on both the risk levels for each<br />

type of tenure and the distribution of households across<br />

tenure types.<br />

From the last two columns of Table 5.4 we can see that the<br />

main change in the distribution of households between 1994<br />

and 2000 involved the continuation of two trends already<br />

evident in the earlier period. The first involved a further<br />

decline in the number of local authority tenants from 12 to 7<br />

per cent. The second involved a continued increase in the<br />

number of private renters from 8 to 10 per cent. One<br />

consequence of these patterns, taken together with the<br />

overall increase in the poverty rate at the 50 per cent line, is<br />

that despite the sharp increase in the poverty risk for local<br />

authority tenants, by 2000 they constituted a substantially<br />

lower proportion of the poor than was previously the case. In<br />

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Table 5.3: Risk of poverty by tenure type for 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

50% income line 60% income line 60% income line<br />

and basic deprivation<br />

1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000<br />

% % %<br />

Owned outright 16.8 18.1 32.9 30.0 37.8 42.3 12.6 10.5 3.9<br />

Owned with mortgage 6.7 8.7 8.6 2.5 14.6 11.5 6.3 5.5 1.8<br />

Local Authority Tenant<br />

Purchase (LATP) 17.8 21.8 24.7 2.5 41.6 33.9 15.1 24.5 4.5<br />

Local authority rented 37.4 49.8 66.1 59.1 74.6 77.7 46.8 52.0 32.4<br />

Other rented* 14.4 15.1 21.9 27.7 34.0 27.5 21.3 15.3 12.6<br />

All 17.0 18.8 25.9 29.1 34.6 33.0 16.4 14.9 6.2<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Surveys, 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

*Most ‘Other rented’ dwellings are privately rented, but a small number are rented from voluntary housing<br />

associations.<br />

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1987 and 1994 they made up almost one-third of those below<br />

the 50 per cent line, but by 2000 this figure had fallen to less<br />

than one in five. At the same time, the corresponding figure for<br />

outright owners rose from 41 per cent in 1994 to 56 per cent in<br />

2000, while the corresponding figures for private renters went<br />

from 7 to 9 per cent. At the 60 per cent line a similar, although<br />

less pronounced, pattern was observed. Local authority<br />

tenants constituted 30 per cent of those below the 60 per cent<br />

line in 1987. By 1994 this had fallen to 25 per cent, and by<br />

2000 to 17 per cent.<br />

There was a corresponding increase between 1994 and 2000<br />

in the figure for outright owners from 46 to 57 per cent and for<br />

private renters from 8 to 9 per cent.<br />

For the consistent poverty line the changes were somewhat<br />

less dramatic, except in the case of private renters. In 1994<br />

this group made up 8 per cent of the consistent poor, but by<br />

2000 this had risen to 21 per cent. The most substantial<br />

decline was observed for local authority purchasers, with the<br />

rate going from 10 to 5 per cent. In all other cases the trend<br />

was downward but of very modest proportions.<br />

5.5 Disparities in <strong>Poverty</strong> Risk by Size of Place and<br />

Tenure<br />

In Tables 5.5 and 5.6 we present comparable figures from the<br />

NSHQ. In a later section we will move to a further level of<br />

disaggregation in this regard. Table 5.5 presents disparities in<br />

the risk of income poverty by size of place using a more<br />

detailed breakdown. The figures in the table show the relative<br />

risk in each category compared to the national average. Thus,<br />

at the 50 per cent line, the poverty risk in open country areas<br />

is 20 per cent higher than (or 1.2 times) the national average.<br />

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Table 5.4: Incidence of poverty by tenure type for 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

50% 60% 60% Percentage of<br />

income line income line income line and all households<br />

basic deprivation<br />

1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000<br />

% % % %<br />

Owned outright 44.2 40.5 56.2 45.9 45.9 56.7 34.0 29.4 28.1 44.4 42.0 44.2<br />

Owned with mortgage 11.1 14.5 10.6 12.2 13.5 11.1 10.8 11.8 9.4 28.1 32.0 31.9<br />

Local Authority Tenant<br />

Purchase (LATP) 8.1 7.3 6.2 7.3 7.6 6.6 7.1 10.2 4.7 7.7 6.3 6.4<br />

Local Authority rented 32.1 30.9 18.5 29.6 25.1 17.1 41.3 40.4 37.1 14.5 11.7 7.3<br />

Other rented* 4.5 6.5 8.6 5.0 7.9 8.5 6.8 8.2 20.8 5.2 8.0 10.2<br />

All 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Surveys, 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

*Most ‘Other rented’ dwellings are privately rented, but a small number are rented from voluntary housing<br />

associations.<br />

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Table 5.5: Disparities in income poverty risk by urban/rural<br />

location<br />

Urban/rural Income Income<br />

location poverty poverty<br />

risk<br />

risk<br />

(50%) (60%)<br />

Open country 1.2 1.2<br />

Town 10,000 1.0 1.0<br />

Cork, Galway,<br />

Limerick, Waterford 1.1 1.0<br />

Dublin City/County 0.7 0.8<br />

Total 1.0 1.0<br />

Source: Irish National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

The figures indicate that although the risk tends to be highest<br />

in rural areas and small towns (population under 3,000) and<br />

lowest in Dublin City and County, there is not a clear trend by<br />

size of place at intermediate population densities. The rate is<br />

below average in towns with a population between 3,000 and<br />

5,000, about 20 per cent above average in towns with a<br />

population between 5,000 and 10,000, at the average in<br />

towns over 10,000 and about 10 per cent above the average<br />

(but only at the 50 per cent line) in the group comprising the<br />

cities of Cork, Galway, Limerick and Waterford.<br />

Table 5.6 shows the disparities in income poverty risk by<br />

tenure. In this table, the group of householders who own their<br />

accommodation outright is split in two: those who purchased<br />

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through a Local Authority Tenant Purchase scheme (LATP)<br />

and others. The risk is by far the highest for local authority<br />

renters, at over twice the average. It is also considerably<br />

above average (70–90 per cent) for those who now own the<br />

home outright, but who purchased through a LATP scheme.<br />

Other households who own the home outright are above<br />

average in terms of poverty risk, but by a smaller amount (30<br />

per cent). Private sector renters and local authority tenant<br />

purchasers have income poverty risk levels that are 10–20 per<br />

cent below the average across households. Those purchasing<br />

their accommodation through a private mortgage with a<br />

lending institution fare best, with risk levels that are 20–30 per<br />

cent of the overall level.<br />

To a large extent, the variations across tenure types are due<br />

to selection issues. In order to obtain a mortgage, a<br />

household must demonstrate that it has the resources to<br />

make repayments. Similarly, with increasing rent levels, the<br />

Table 5.6: Disparities in income poverty risk by tenure<br />

Tenure Income Income<br />

poverty risk poverty risk<br />

(50%) (60%)<br />

Own outright, LATP 1.9 1.7<br />

Own outright, other 1.3 1.3<br />

Purchasing, LATP 0.8 0.9<br />

Purchasing, other 0.2 0.3<br />

Local authority renter 2.4 2.2<br />

Other renter 0.8 0.8<br />

Rent free 1.2 1.1<br />

Total 1.0 1.0<br />

Source: Irish National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

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private rental market has become increasingly unaffordable<br />

for households on low incomes. The local authority rented<br />

sector is a select group by definition: households are eligible<br />

for local authority housing by virtue of being unable to afford<br />

to provide adequate accommodation from their own<br />

resources. Traditionally, as the circumstances of a local<br />

authority tenant improve, they have become tenant<br />

purchasers.<br />

We will turn to a more complete examination of the factors<br />

accounting for these variations by size of place and tenure in<br />

the multivariate analysis of Chapter 7.<br />

5.6 Modified Consistent <strong>Poverty</strong> by Area Type<br />

and Tenure<br />

In the following section, we turn once more to the measure of<br />

modified consistent poverty (MCP) in the NSHQ data. As<br />

noted in the previous chapter, MCP involves having an<br />

equivalised household income below 60 per cent of the<br />

average and an enforced lack of at least one of the ‘basic’<br />

items.<br />

Table 5.7 presents the disparities in MCP by size of place.<br />

As we saw before, there is no clear trend by population<br />

density, and when both income and deprivation are taken into<br />

account the range of variation by type of area tends to be<br />

narrower. It is still the case that people living in the open<br />

countryside are more likely to experience MCP than those<br />

living in Dublin, but the pattern at intermediate population<br />

densities is mixed. The smallest towns (population under<br />

3,000) emerge as most disadvantaged (20 per cent above the<br />

national level).<br />

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Table 5.7: Disparities in risk of MCP by urban/rural location<br />

MCP<br />

Open country 1.1<br />

Town 10,000 1.0<br />

Cork, Galway, Limerick, Waterford 1.1<br />

Dublin City/County 0.7<br />

Total 1.0<br />

Source: Irish National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

Table 5.8 examines disparities in MCP by tenure. Not<br />

surprisingly, given their disadvantaged position on virtually all<br />

the measures examined so far, local authority renters emerge<br />

as most likely to experience MCP, with a rate 2.8 times the<br />

national average.<br />

It is also not surprising that those purchasing on a mortgage<br />

are least likely to experience MCP, with a rate only 30 per<br />

cent of the national figure. Among owners, there is a clear<br />

distinction between those who purchased through the local<br />

authority (80 per cent above average) and other owners<br />

(10 per cent above average). Those currently purchasing from<br />

the local authority are at the average level and private sector<br />

renters are slightly below the average in terms of MCP levels.<br />

The small group comprising people occupying the<br />

accommodation rent free have a MCP rate that is 10 per cent<br />

above the national figure.<br />

In order to interpret these patterns it is important to see if<br />

they can be accounted for by patterns of employment,<br />

unemployment and social class in the areas or tenure groups.<br />

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Table 5.8: Disparities in risk of MCP by tenure<br />

MCP<br />

Own outright, LATP 1.8<br />

Own outright, other 1.1<br />

Purchasing, LATP 1.0<br />

Purchasing, other 0.3<br />

Local authority renter 2.8<br />

Other renter 0.9<br />

Rent free 1.1<br />

Total 1.0<br />

Source: Irish National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

This is the type of analysis that we will turn to in Chapter 7.<br />

Before that, in the next chapter we consider the extent to<br />

which the different dimensions of non-monetary deprivation<br />

tend to occur together.<br />

5.7 Conclusions<br />

Over time the different measures of poverty behave quite<br />

differently. There was a sharp increase at the 50 per cent line,<br />

a modest decrease at the 60 per cent line and a sharp<br />

decrease for the consistent poverty measure. The increase at<br />

the 50 per cent line was much sharper in the less populated<br />

areas. As a consequence, urban-rural differentials, which had<br />

narrowed between 1987 and 1994, increased substantially<br />

between 1994 and 2000. At the 60 per cent line, differentials<br />

remained relatively stable. For the consistent poverty<br />

measure, differentials, which were already modest, narrowed<br />

even further.<br />

Overall, less-populated areas have a disproportionate risk of<br />

poverty for each type of measure. Analysis using the NSHQ<br />

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also indicates that poverty risk tends to be highest in rural<br />

areas and lowest in Dublin, although the pattern at<br />

intermediate levels tends to be mixed. However, differences<br />

connected with size of location are modest in comparison<br />

with those associated with type of tenure. As before, local<br />

authority tenants emerge as a particularly disadvantaged<br />

group. Over time, as they have declined as a proportion of<br />

the total number of households, they account for a smaller<br />

proportion of poor households. Their poverty rates for both<br />

income lines have increased sharply, such that two-thirds are<br />

below the 50 per cent line and three-quarters are below the<br />

60 per cent line. While their consistent poverty rate has<br />

shown some recent decline, the disparities with other groups<br />

have increased as the level has reached five times the<br />

average rate. However, the decline in their numbers means<br />

that they constitute a declining proportion of the income poor<br />

at each line and a relatively constant proportion of the<br />

consistent poor. Analysis based on the NSHQ and using a<br />

more differentiated measure of tenure confirms the major<br />

disadvantages experienced by local authority tenants and,<br />

indeed, local authority owners. These are issues to which we<br />

will return in our multivariate analysis in Chapter 7.<br />

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Chapter 6<br />

Disparities in Deprivation<br />

6.1 Introduction<br />

In this chapter we move the focus from income poverty to nonmonetary<br />

indicators of deprivation, again using data from the<br />

NSHQ. Five dimensions of deprivation are described in the<br />

next section, and the disparities in deprivation by spatial<br />

characteristics of households are analysed in the remainder of<br />

the chapter. The focus is on the extent to which the different<br />

dimensions of deprivation tend to vary across spatial<br />

categories such as region, local authority, area type and<br />

tenure group. A second focus in this chapter is on whether<br />

there is evidence of multiple deprivation, i.e. where relative<br />

disadvantage along one dimension of deprivation is<br />

associated with relative disadvantage along another.<br />

The dimensions of deprivation are as set out in Table 6.1.<br />

6.2 Methodology<br />

In the following tables, we will focus on disparities in<br />

deprivation across sub-groups in the population rather than on<br />

levels of deprivation. Five distinct dimensions of deprivation<br />

are discussed: basic, secondary, housing amenities, housing<br />

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Table 6.1: Dimensions of deprivation (cannot afford items)<br />

Basic<br />

Meal with meat, etc.<br />

New clothes<br />

Adequate heating<br />

Socialising once a month<br />

Replacing worn furniture<br />

Week’s holiday per year<br />

Arrears on housing/utility bills<br />

Housing amenities<br />

Flush toilet<br />

Bath/shower<br />

Hot running water<br />

Secondary<br />

Microwave<br />

Dishwasher<br />

Colour TV<br />

Video recorder<br />

Telephone, incl. mobile<br />

Housing deterioration<br />

Leaking roof/doors/windows<br />

Dampness<br />

Rot in doors/windows/floors<br />

Noise from neighbours<br />

Accommodation too small for needs<br />

Environment<br />

Vandalism<br />

Graffiti<br />

Rubbish/litter<br />

Homes/gardens in bad condition<br />

Public drunkenness<br />

deterioration and environment. The items included in each of<br />

the measures of deprivation are shown in Table 3.1 in Chapter<br />

3. As in the previous chapter, the results will be presented in<br />

terms of the ratio of the level in a sub-group, e.g. a local<br />

authority area, to the overall level nationally.<br />

6.3 Disparities in Deprivation by Region and Local<br />

Authority Area<br />

Table 6.2 presents the disparities in deprivation by regional<br />

authority area. The figures are also shown in Maps 6.1a to<br />

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6.1e. Basic deprivation involves an inability to afford basic<br />

necessities such as adequate food, clothing and heating for<br />

the home, as well as socialising, an annual holiday and the<br />

presence of arrears on utility bills. The Border and Midland<br />

regions fare worst in terms of basic deprivation, while Dublin<br />

and the South-East fare most favourably. The Dublin region<br />

fares best, with levels of basic deprivation 20 per cent lower<br />

than the average. Earlier we showed that the South-East<br />

and the West had higher levels of income poverty than the<br />

country as a whole, but this is not apparent for basic<br />

deprivation. The Western region is about average in terms of<br />

basic deprivation, while the South-East is somewhat below<br />

average.<br />

The pattern in terms of secondary deprivation is less<br />

variable across regions. Secondary deprivation consists of<br />

an inability to afford a car and an inability to afford various<br />

common household appliances that the householder would<br />

like to have (microwave, dishwasher, colour TV, video<br />

recorder and telephone). Levels tend to be below average in<br />

Dublin and the South-West and are highest in the West.<br />

The housing amenities items (absence of flush toilet, bath or<br />

shower and hot running water) will mainly reflect an older<br />

housing stock. The levels are highest in the Border (40 per<br />

cent above average), the South-East, South-West and Mid-<br />

West (20–30 per cent above average). The levels are lowest<br />

in the Mid-East (40 per cent below average) and Dublin (30<br />

per cent below), and are also below average in the Midlands<br />

and West.<br />

Housing deterioration includes items such as a leaking<br />

roof/doors/windows, dampness, rot in window or<br />

doorframes or other timbers and noise from neighbouring<br />

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Table 6.2: Disparities in risk of basic, secondary, housing and<br />

environmental deprivation by regional authority area<br />

Region Basic Secondary Housing Housing Environamenities<br />

deterioration ment<br />

Border 1.4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5<br />

Dublin 0.8 0.9 0.7 1.2 2.1<br />

Mid-East 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.9 0.8<br />

Midlands 1.2 1.1 0.9 1.1 0.4<br />

Mid-West 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.7<br />

South-East 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.7<br />

South-West 1.0 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.6<br />

West 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.2<br />

Total 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0<br />

Source: Irish National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

houses. The items are based on the householder identifying<br />

these problems as present in the accommodation and as<br />

constituting a moderate or major problem. It follows a<br />

different pattern by region than the housing amenities index,<br />

with the greatest level of problems in the Dublin area (20 per<br />

cent above average) and the lowest levels in the West (20 per<br />

cent below average).<br />

Finally, the environmental dimension of deprivation consists<br />

of various problems of public order being very common in the<br />

area, such as graffiti, vandalism and litter. The main contrast<br />

in terms of the environment index is between Dublin, with a<br />

level over twice the average, and the other regions. The<br />

lowest level of environmental problems is reported in the<br />

West (20 per cent of the average level).<br />

We saw in the last chapter that regional patterns may mask<br />

considerable levels of variation between local authority areas<br />

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Disparities in Deprivation<br />

Map 6.1a: Disparities in risk of deprivation by regional authority<br />

area – basic deprivation<br />

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Map 6.1b: Disparities in risk of deprivation by regional authority<br />

area – secondary deprivation<br />

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Disparities in Deprivation<br />

Map 6.1c: Disparities in risk of deprivation by regional authority<br />

area – housing amenities<br />

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Map 6.1d: Disparities in risk of deprivation by regional authority<br />

area – housing deterioration<br />

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Disparities in Deprivation<br />

Map 6.1e: Disparities in risk of deprivation by regional authority<br />

area – environmental deprivation<br />

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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

within a region. Table 6.2 and Maps 6.2a to 6.2e examine the<br />

disparities in deprivation by local authority area to see if this<br />

is also the case for the non-monetary items.<br />

This is clearly the case for basic deprivation within the Border<br />

region. The level is highest in Donegal, at 80 per cent above<br />

the average nationally, and is lowest in Monaghan, at 20 per<br />

cent below the national average. The variation is more muted<br />

for secondary deprivation, but some counties have a level<br />

below average (Monaghan, Leitrim and Louth), while the<br />

others have a level above the national average. Apart from<br />

Louth, all of the Border counties evince above average levels<br />

of deprivation in terms of housing amenities, rising to double<br />

the average in Cavan and Leitrim.<br />

In the Midland region, basic deprivation is highest in Laois<br />

and Longford (30–40 per cent above average) and is at the<br />

national average in Westmeath. Differences between the<br />

counties of the South-East in terms of basic deprivation are<br />

also quite marked: Carlow has a level 30 per cent above<br />

average while Kilkenny has a figure 40 per cent below<br />

average.<br />

Housing deterioration shows a more mixed pattern, but with<br />

levels in the Border counties tending to be close to or below<br />

the average nationally. The final column in Table 6.3 indicates<br />

that the Border counties are all considerably less likely than<br />

average to face problems in terms of public disorder in the<br />

environment.<br />

A similar set of points can be made in the case of the pattern<br />

by county in the other regions.<br />

• The patterns of deprivation do not necessarily correspond<br />

to the patterns in terms of income poverty. Counties<br />

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Table 6.3: Disparities in risk of basic deprivation, secondary<br />

deprivation, housing deprivation and environmental deprivation<br />

by local authority<br />

County Basic Secondary Housing Housing Environamenities<br />

deterioration ment<br />

Cavan 1.2 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.4<br />

Donegal 1.8 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.5<br />

Leitrim 1.1 0.9 2.1 0.5 0.2<br />

Louth 1.4 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.7<br />

Monaghan 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.3<br />

Sligo 1.6 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.4<br />

All Border region 1.4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5<br />

Laois 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.0 0.4<br />

Longford 1.3 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.2<br />

Offaly 1.2 0.9 0.6 1.0 0.4<br />

Westmeath 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.3 0.4<br />

All Midlands region 1.2 1.1 0.9 1.1 0.4<br />

Galway City 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.8 0.6<br />

Galway County 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.1<br />

Mayo 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.1<br />

Roscommon 1.2 1.1 1.6 0.7 0.1<br />

All West region 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.2<br />

Dublin City Council 0.9 1.3 1.0 1.3 3.0<br />

Dublin Fingal 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.9 0.9<br />

Dublin South 0.6 0.6 0.3 1.1 1.6<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 0.7 0.7 0.4 1.0 1.0<br />

All Dublin region 0.8 0.9 0.7 1.2 2.1<br />

Kildare 0.8 0.9 0.5 1.0 0.9<br />

Meath 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.8 0.4<br />

Wicklow 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.2<br />

All Mid-East region 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.9 0.8<br />

Clare 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.6<br />

Limerick City 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.5 2.0<br />

Limerick County 0.7 0.8 1.4 0.9 0.3<br />

Tipperary North Riding 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.5<br />

All Mid-West region 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.0 0.7<br />

Carlow 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.2<br />

Kilkenny 0.6 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.4<br />

Tipperary South Riding 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.5<br />

Waterford City 1.1 1.5 0.8 1.0 1.5<br />

Waterford County 0.9 0.7 1.5 0.7 0.4<br />

Wexford 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.5<br />

All South-East region 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.7<br />

Cork City 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.1 1.0<br />

Cork County 1.0 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.5<br />

Kerry 1.1 1.0 1.9 0.8 0.2<br />

All South-West region 1.0 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.6<br />

Total 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0<br />

Source: Irish National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

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Map 6.2a: Disparities in risk of deprivation by local authority<br />

area – basic deprivation<br />

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Disparities in Deprivation<br />

Map 6.2b: Disparities in risk of deprivation by local authority<br />

area – secondary deprivation<br />

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Map 6.2c: Disparities in risk of deprivation by local authority<br />

area – housing amenities<br />

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Disparities in Deprivation<br />

Map 6.2d: Disparities in risk of deprivation by local authority<br />

area – housing deterioration<br />

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Map 6.2e: Disparities in risk of deprivation by local authority<br />

area – environment<br />

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Disparities in Deprivation<br />

which rank least favourably in terms of income poverty<br />

within a region (see Table 4.3 in Chapter 4) do not<br />

necessarily rank at the bottom, or even as below average,<br />

in terms of deprivation.<br />

• Basic and secondary deprivation also appear to be<br />

patterned differently, particularly in the counties of the<br />

Border, Midlands and West regions.<br />

• Housing amenities and housing deprivation appear to be<br />

capturing phenomena with a very different distribution<br />

across areas. Counties which are below average on one<br />

dimension will often be above average on the other.<br />

• The environment dimension, which captures problems of<br />

public order, is clearly capturing problems which are more<br />

common in urban than in rural areas.<br />

6.4 Disparities in Deprivation by Size of Place<br />

and Tenure<br />

At this point we turn to disparities in the dimensions of<br />

deprivation by size of place and tenure. Table 6.4 presents<br />

disparities in the dimensions of deprivation by size of place.<br />

As with income poverty, basic deprivation tends to be more<br />

prevalent in rural areas and less prevalent in Dublin, but it is<br />

the smaller towns (under 3,000 and 3,000–5,000) rather than<br />

the open countryside that fare worst. The pattern in terms of<br />

secondary deprivation is different: the open countryside and<br />

the Dublin region are most advantaged in this respect, but<br />

differ from the average by only 10 per cent. An absence of<br />

housing amenities is clearly a problem of open country areas,<br />

where the prevalence is 70 per cent higher than nationally. On<br />

the other hand, dwellings in the open countryside fare better<br />

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than average in terms of housing deterioration, while the<br />

Dublin region fares worst. The final column again confirms<br />

that problems in the social environment are related to<br />

urbanisation: they are rarest in the open countryside and<br />

increasingly prevalent as population density increases.<br />

Table 6.4: Disparities in risk of basic, secondary, housing and<br />

environmental deprivation by urban/rural area<br />

Urban/ Basic Second- Housing Housing Environrural<br />

area ary amenities deteriora- ment<br />

tion<br />

Open country 1.1 0.9 1.7 0.8 0.2<br />

Town 10,000 1.0 1.1 0.8 1.0 0.9<br />

Cork, Galway, Limerick,<br />

Waterford 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.1<br />

Dublin City/County 0.8 0.9 0.7 1.2 2.1<br />

Total 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0<br />

Source: Irish National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

Table 6.5 shows that the disparities in deprivation by tenure<br />

tend to be greater than by size of place. Apart from housing<br />

amenities, local authority renters fare worst on all dimensions,<br />

although private sector renters are not far behind them in<br />

terms of secondary deprivation. Those who own outright<br />

having purchased through a local authority have levels of<br />

basic and secondary deprivation that are about 30 per cent<br />

above average, but they are closer to average in terms of the<br />

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housing and environment items. Other households who own<br />

the accommodation outright are somewhat below average in<br />

terms of basic deprivation and secondary deprivation,<br />

housing deterioration and problems in the environment.<br />

However, it is among this group and the much smaller group<br />

occupying the accommodation rent free that housing<br />

amenities are most likely to be lacking.<br />

Table 6.5: Disparities in risk of basic, secondary, housing and<br />

environmental deprivation by tenure<br />

Basic Second- Housing Housing Environary<br />

amenities deteriora- ment<br />

tion<br />

Own outright, LATP 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.9<br />

Own outright, other 0.9 0.8 1.6 0.7 0.6<br />

Purchasing, LATP 1.1 1.0 0.4 1.4 1.8<br />

Purchasing, other 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.7<br />

Local authority renter 2.6 2.8 1.3 2.6 4.0<br />

Other renter 1.3 2.0 0.9 1.5 1.2<br />

Rent free 1.1 1.3 2.4 1.0 0.3<br />

Total 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0<br />

Source: Irish National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

Tenant purchasers and those purchasing on a private<br />

mortgage looked rather similar in terms of income poverty<br />

risk, at least in so far as both groups had a lower risk than<br />

average. However, the deprivation items point to some<br />

important differences between these groups. While private<br />

purchasers are much less likely than average to experience<br />

any of the types of deprivation shown in the table and are<br />

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least likely to experience basic or secondary deprivation or<br />

to lack housing amenities, tenant purchasers fare worse<br />

than average on a number of dimensions. They are slightly<br />

above average in terms of basic deprivation and<br />

considerably above average in terms of housing<br />

deterioration (40 per cent) and problems of public disorder<br />

(80 per cent).<br />

Private sector renters rank second to local authority renters<br />

in terms of levels of basic and secondary deprivation and<br />

housing deterioration and are also less favourably placed<br />

than average in terms of problems of public order, but they<br />

fare slightly better than average in terms of housing<br />

amenities.<br />

6.5 Conclusions<br />

Regional disparities differ across the five dimensions of<br />

deprivation. For the basic deprivation items, the by now<br />

familiar pattern whereby the Border region is at one end of<br />

the continuum and Dublin at the other is observed. For the<br />

secondary deprivation index, which incorporates consumer<br />

items that can be accumulated over a period of time, spatial<br />

variation is extremely modest. When we focus on housing<br />

amenities, which cover the presence of rather basic<br />

facilities, Dublin and the Mid-East fare best. In contrast,<br />

housing deterioration is at its worst in Dublin, although<br />

regional variation is rather modest. Environmental problems,<br />

which are primarily of a social character, serve to sharply<br />

differentiate Dublin from all other regions.<br />

When we disaggregate the regions and look at the individual<br />

local authority it is clear that, as with income poverty, there<br />

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is considerable variation within regions. Further, the two<br />

housing deprivation sets of items – housing amenities and<br />

housing deterioration – are clearly seen to be independent<br />

phenomenon.<br />

The implications of urban or rural location vary by dimension<br />

of deprivation, as was clear from the analysis by area type.<br />

For the basic and secondary dimensions such variation is<br />

modest, although Dublin occupies the most favourable<br />

position on both dimensions. Variation is similarly modest for<br />

housing deterioration, but on this occasion Dublin occupies<br />

the least favourable position. Problems in the social<br />

environment display a clear urban-rural gradient, being<br />

considerably more prevalent in urban areas.<br />

The pattern by tenure shows both substantially higher<br />

disparities and more striking patterns of overlapping or<br />

multiple deprivation. Thus, local authority tenants are by<br />

some distance the most disadvantaged group on four of the<br />

five dimensions. The exception is housing amenities, where<br />

the least favourable circumstances are associated with being<br />

a private tenant.<br />

Overall, then, the main findings in this chapter were that:<br />

• The disparities in deprivation by tenure tend to be much<br />

greater than the differences between regions, local<br />

authority areas or by size of place.<br />

• As was the case for income poverty, there are substantial<br />

differences in deprivation level between the counties<br />

within a given regional authority area.<br />

• Apart from local authority renters who fare worst on four<br />

of the five dimensions of deprivation, there is only a weak<br />

association between the different types of deprivation.<br />

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Areas or tenures that fare badly on one dimension do not<br />

necessarily fare badly on the others. Evidence of multiple<br />

deprivation that is structured along spatial lines, then, is<br />

relatively weak.<br />

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Chapter 7<br />

Understanding Variation in <strong>Poverty</strong> by<br />

Area and Tenure Type<br />

7.1 Introduction<br />

In addition to documenting variation in poverty rates by<br />

location and tenure, we also need to get some sense of how<br />

the magnitude of such variation compares with the scale of<br />

variation within areas and tenure type. Following on from this,<br />

we seek to assess the extent to which such variation is<br />

causal in nature. To what extent could the patterns we<br />

observe arise solely because poverty and tenure/location are<br />

jointly associated with other factors that are the true<br />

determinants of poverty<br />

7.2 Assessing the Net Effect of Location and Tenure<br />

The fact that a specific type of area or tenure has a relatively<br />

high poverty rate does not in itself indicate anything about the<br />

impact of location or tenure per se on poverty – such effects<br />

could be entirely attributable to the socio-economic<br />

composition of the households involved. Households renting<br />

local authority housing could be at a high risk of poverty<br />

because applicants for such housing tend to be drawn from<br />

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the most vulnerable sectors of the population: the<br />

unemployed, lone parents, the elderly and those unable to<br />

work. Cross-tabulations can only take us so far in<br />

understanding variations in poverty risk by area/tenure type at<br />

a point in time or the changes in this pattern observed over<br />

time. We therefore need to systematically examine the extent<br />

to which the observed variation in risk of poverty by area and<br />

housing tenure may be attributable to differences in the<br />

measured characteristics of those located in different areas or<br />

tenure groups, using logistic regressions. This procedure<br />

allows one to assess the effect of any particular factor on the<br />

odds of being poor while holding the influence of other<br />

factors constant.<br />

7.3 Methodology<br />

The notion of odds is one familiar to all gamblers. Suppose<br />

20 per cent of the population are poor. Instead of saying that<br />

the probability of being poor is 0.2 and of not being poor is<br />

0.8, we can say that the odds of being poor is 0.25, i.e.<br />

0.2/0.8, and the odds on being non-poor is 4:1 (0.8/0.2). An<br />

actual example will help to further illustrate the relationship<br />

between risk of poverty and odds ratios. In 2000, 3.9 per cent<br />

of outright owners fell below the combined 60 per cent mean<br />

income and basic deprivation line, giving them a 0.04<br />

(3.9/96.1) odds of being poor. On the other hand, 32.4 per<br />

cent of local authority tenants were found to be below the<br />

consistent poverty line, giving them a 0.48 (32.4/67.6) odds of<br />

being poor. The disparity in risk of being consistently poor<br />

between these two groups (local authority tenants and<br />

outright owners) can be indexed by the ratio of these odds<br />

(.48/.04), which gives an odds ratio of 12:1. In other words,<br />

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the odds on local authority tenants being poor are 12 times<br />

higher than the odds for outright owners. By choosing any<br />

group as a reference point, we can summarise the set of<br />

inequalities between that group and all others. It is more<br />

convenient to work with odds rather than probabilities<br />

because it allows us to make explicit comparisons between<br />

groups.<br />

In the analysis that follows we focus on the NSHQ data in<br />

estimating gross and net effects, although we also report<br />

supplementary analysis relating the 2000 LII Survey in<br />

Appendix 1. We concentrate on the NSHQ because of the<br />

advantages conferred by its substantially larger sample size.<br />

This makes it possible to employ a variable relating to<br />

housing tenure that is a good deal more differentiated than<br />

the version we have used with LII data. Earlier, and in<br />

Appendix 2, we noted the similar patterns of disparities<br />

revealed by the LII Survey and NSHQ data sets. In the<br />

analysis that follows we would expect some differences to<br />

emerge. First, where a more differentiated tenure variable is<br />

employed, we would anticipate that larger disparities would<br />

be observed. In addition, since the range of sociodemographic<br />

variables for which we can control is narrower<br />

in the NSHQ, we would expect the net effects to be larger in<br />

this survey. However, the broad picture painted by both<br />

surveys is extremely consistent.<br />

The analysis proceeds as follows. First we will present the<br />

odds ratios for being poor rather than non-poor by type of<br />

region. We will then consider the impact on such ratios of<br />

controlling for a range of socio-demographic variables,<br />

including employment status, social class, age group of the<br />

householder, number at work in the household and household<br />

type. When implementing such a procedure it is impossible to<br />

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be sure that we have controlled for all relevant factors.<br />

However, the survey information available to us allows us<br />

to control for a comprehensive set of variables, and as the<br />

number of variables increases, the impact of such controls<br />

will substantially diminish because of the correlation of<br />

later control variables with earlier ones. We then proceed<br />

to consider the impact of size of location and tenure and,<br />

crucially, the manner in which they interact.<br />

7.4 Gross and Net Effects of Region on <strong>Poverty</strong> in<br />

the NSHQ<br />

In Table 7.1 we show the gross and net odds ratios for<br />

being poor at 50 per cent and 60 per cent of mean income<br />

and for the modified consistent poverty (MCP) measure<br />

broken down by regional authority, with Dublin taken as a<br />

reference point. The gross odds ratios summarise the<br />

differences between groups before taking account of the<br />

socio-demographic controls, whereas the net ratios refer<br />

to the remaining differences once the effects of the sociodemographic<br />

variables have been statistically controlled.<br />

We focus first on the gross effects. At the 50 per cent<br />

income line, Dublin is sharply differentiated from all other<br />

regions. The most disadvantaged regions are the West and<br />

the Border, with odds ratios of 1.78 and 1.75, respectively.<br />

The values for the remaining regions are located in the<br />

range running from 1.38 to 1.46. When we control for the<br />

socio-demographic characteristics of the householder, the<br />

range of differentials is slightly narrowed, with the West<br />

and the Border region now having odds ratios of 1.64 to<br />

1.66.<br />

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An explanation of this finding is provided when we examine<br />

the level of variance explained with and without the inclusion<br />

of socio-demographic controls. In order to assess the impact<br />

of variables such as region, we distinguish between the<br />

variance that is unique to each influence and that which is<br />

shared between them. We identify these components by<br />

varying the order of entry of each type of variable. Thus, the<br />

variance that is unique to the variable region is that which is<br />

added after socio-demographic variables have been taken<br />

into account and vice versa. The shared component is that<br />

which cannot be uniquely allocated to either variable. Unlike<br />

ordinary least squares regression, there is no universally<br />

accepted measure of explained variance for logistic<br />

regression. We have reported the Nagelkerke R 2 ; however,<br />

our conclusions relating the relative importance of the types<br />

of effects we are considering would not be substantially<br />

affected by opting for another measure.<br />

From Table 7.1 we can see that identifying the regional<br />

authority does very little to enhance our understanding of the<br />

factors leading to respondents being exposed to poverty at<br />

the 50 per cent income line. In fact, region uniquely accounts<br />

for effectively none of the variance. <strong>Poverty</strong> risk at this level is<br />

being predicted almost entirely by the socio-demographic<br />

characteristics of the householder. This indicates that rather<br />

than it being possible to explain how regional differences vary<br />

by taking socio-demographic differences into account, the<br />

scale of such difference is actually tiny in comparison with<br />

those being produced within regions by differences between<br />

households in socio-demographic background.<br />

When we focus on the 60 per cent line we find a similar but<br />

slightly less extreme position. In terms of gross effects, the<br />

Border region is now clearly the most disadvantaged area,<br />

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with a ratio exceeding two to one. At the other end of the<br />

continuum, the South-East is close to Dublin, with a ratio of<br />

1.23. All the remaining regions are found in the narrow range<br />

running from 1.71 to 1.87. Introducing socio-demographic<br />

controls actually increases the coefficients for all regions<br />

relative to Dublin, with the Border, Midlands, South-East,<br />

South-West and West regions also displaying odds ratios<br />

above two. This indicates that rather than it being possible to<br />

explain how regional differences vary by taking sociodemographic<br />

differences into account, the scale of such<br />

difference is actually less than we would have expected on<br />

the basis of socio-demographic variation across region. Once<br />

again, though, the explanatory power of region is modest,<br />

with less than 1 per cent of the explained variance being<br />

uniquely attributable to region, 2 per cent being shared<br />

between it and socio-demographic characteristics and 97 per<br />

cent being uniquely attributable to the latter.<br />

When we turn our attention to the MCP measure, regional<br />

differences are again found to be modest in terms of their net<br />

contribution to explained variation. The Border region is the<br />

only case where the odds ratio exceeds two, and with the<br />

exception of the Mid-East, which is closest to Dublin, all<br />

other regions are located in the range running from 1.77 to<br />

1.84. The pattern of gross coefficients is again very close to<br />

that of their net counterparts. Again, however, only 1 per cent<br />

of the explained variance is uniquely attributable to region.<br />

Thus, a clear picture emerges across poverty lines that while<br />

Dublin and the Mid-East are consistently at one end of the<br />

continuum of disadvantage and the Border region at the<br />

other, exposure to poverty has a great deal to do with sociodemographic<br />

differences between households within a region<br />

and very little to do with other characteristics of the regions.<br />

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Table 7.1: Gross and net odds ratios of being poor versus nonpoor<br />

by regional authority<br />

50% income 60% income MCP<br />

line<br />

line<br />

Region Gross Net Gross Net Gross Net<br />

Dublin 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00<br />

Border 1.75 1.66 2.06 2.53 2.23 2.39<br />

Mid-East 1.46 1.23 1.23 1.62 1.34 1.60<br />

Midlands 1.46 1.31 1.72 2.23 1.84 2.11<br />

Mid-West 1.38 1.43 1.71 1.83 1.83 1.85<br />

South-East 1.54 1.59 1.87 2.13 1.78 1.70<br />

South-West 1.47 1.56 1.80 2.02 1.84 1.76<br />

West 1.78 1.64 1.82 2.11 1.77 1.80<br />

% unique to<br />

region 0.00 0.94 1.18<br />

Nagelkerke R 2 1 0.005 0.551 0.014 0.640 0.014 0.509<br />

% common 0.09 2.26 1.57<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Survey, 2000<br />

7.5 Disparities in <strong>Poverty</strong> by Local Authority Areas<br />

(LAA)<br />

It might be argued that the relatively small number of regional<br />

units may lead us to underestimate the importance of spatial<br />

variation since a great deal of such variation may occur within<br />

rather than between regions. In Chapter 4 we observed<br />

1 Nagelkerke R 2 is a modification of Coz and Snell’s R 2 . The latter is an<br />

attempt to imitate the interpretation of the multiple R 2 in OLS.<br />

However, its maximum can be, and usually is, less than one.<br />

Nagelkerke R 2 involves a modification of the Cox and Snell coefficient<br />

to ensure that it can vary from 0 to 1.<br />

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that the risk of income poverty and of MCP could vary<br />

substantially between the counties within a region. In Table<br />

7.2 we extend our analysis to take variation across 34 local<br />

authority areas into account. From row one in Table 7.2, it<br />

is clear that spatial variation in poverty risk continues to be<br />

modest, even with a greatly differentiated set of spatial<br />

units. The Nagelkerke R 2 estimate varies from 0.02 at the<br />

50 per cent line to .039 at the 60 per cent line. When our<br />

set of socio-demographic controls is added, the range runs<br />

from .529 for the MCP line to .666 for the 60 per cent line.<br />

The unique contribution of the local authority variable<br />

ranges from 1.7 per cent of the explained variance at the<br />

60 per cent line to 2.6 per cent at the MCP. In contrast, the<br />

socio-demographic variables that we use as controls<br />

explain a low of 92.8 per cent of the explained variance for<br />

the MCP measure and a high of 96.4 per cent of such<br />

variance in the case of the 50 per cent line. Even with the<br />

substantially more differentiated measure, variation across<br />

geographical areas plays a very modest role in explaining<br />

exposure to risk of household poverty in comparison with<br />

variation in the socio-demographic characteristics of<br />

households within such areas.<br />

Table 7.2: <strong>Poverty</strong> variation between and within local authority<br />

areas<br />


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7.6 Gross and Net Effects of Size of Area and Tenure<br />

on Risk of <strong>Poverty</strong> in the NSHQ<br />

In Figure 7.1 we address the issue of the combined impact on<br />

risk of poverty of urban-rural location and tenure at the 50 per<br />

cent level. Urban is defined as being located in Dublin, Cork,<br />

Galway, Limerick or Waterford. For tenure the reference<br />

category is private purchasers and the remaining categories<br />

distinguish between local authority owners, private owners,<br />

local authority purchasers and local authority tenants. It is<br />

immediately evident that variation in risk of poverty by type of<br />

tenure within urban-rural location is a good deal sharper than<br />

by regional authority. There are two countervailing influences<br />

that it is necessary to take into account. In the first place,<br />

rural poverty rates are on average higher than urban rates.<br />

This is clearly the case with private purchasers, where the<br />

odds ratio for the rural group is almost twice that of their<br />

urban counterparts. However, as we shall see, variation in<br />

poverty risk by tenure is substantially weaker in rural areas.<br />

As a consequence, urban-rural differences are considerably<br />

weaker outside the private purchasers group.<br />

If we focus first on gross effects, we find that in urban areas<br />

private purchasers occupy a particularly favoured position.<br />

Private owners have an odds ratio almost five times higher,<br />

local authority (LA) purchasers six times higher, LA owners<br />

seven times higher, private tenants nine times higher and LA<br />

tenants 27 times higher. Thus, in urban areas private<br />

purchasers and LA tenants are found at opposite ends of the<br />

spectrum (1 and 27, respectively), while other tenure groups<br />

are located in a relatively modest range (5 to 9). When we<br />

compare urban and rural residents by type of tenure, we find<br />

fairly similar odds ratios. Thus, urban tenants are not more<br />

vulnerable than rural tenants. However, given the less<br />

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favourable position of rural private purchasers, this means<br />

that the impact of type of tenure is considerably stronger in<br />

urban areas. To illustrate this point, we focus on urban and<br />

rural LA tenants. These have almost identical odds ratios of<br />

27:1 and 28:1, in comparison with urban private purchasers.<br />

However, when we compare rural tenants with rural private<br />

purchasers, this reduces to less than 15:1. Similarly, for LA<br />

owners the rural specific ratio is 4:1 compared to 7:1 for their<br />

urban counterparts; for private tenants the respective figures<br />

are 5:1 and 9:1. Therefore, on an overall ranking of<br />

disadvantage, rural residents on average do slightly worse<br />

than their urban counterparts. However, this situation is<br />

brought about by the combined influence of being located in<br />

a rural area and a rather weaker impact of type of tenure than<br />

prevails in urban areas.<br />

When we focus on net odds ratios having taken into account<br />

a range of socio-demographic variables, we observe a<br />

substantial reduction in the magnitude of the observed<br />

coefficients. In particular in the case of LA tenants, we see a<br />

reduction in the size of the relevant odds ratio from 27:1 to<br />

4:1 for the urban group, constituting a reduction of 86 per<br />

cent in the size of the coefficient. For their rural counterparts,<br />

in comparison with rural private purchasers their relative<br />

disadvantage falls from just under 15:1 to just below 3:1,<br />

constituting a reduction of almost 80 per cent in the size of<br />

the effect. The range of effects for other forms of urban<br />

tenure decline from 4.6–8.9 to 1.6–3, involving reductions<br />

running from over two-thirds in the case of private tenants to<br />

just under a half in the case of LA purchasers. The<br />

corresponding rural relativities decline from 5:1–3:1 to<br />

1.8:1–1.4:1. Thus, the vast bulk of the impact of the<br />

combination of urban-rural location and tenure is accounted<br />

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for by the socio-demographic control variables. The<br />

remaining effects may be a consequence of the independent<br />

effect of location or tenure or it may, at least in part, be<br />

accounted for by selection effects relating to unmeasured<br />

variables. One further indication of the relative importance of<br />

different factors is provided by an examination of the division<br />

of the explained variances into its unique and common<br />

components. Our analysis shows that that 1.8 per cent of the<br />

variance can be uniquely attributed to the combination of<br />

location and tenure, 16.6 per cent is shared between these<br />

factors and the socio-demographic controls and finally, 81.6<br />

per cent can be uniquely attributed to the latter.<br />

Figure 7.1: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus non-poor<br />

at the 50 per cent income line by tenure and urban-rural<br />

location<br />

It could be argued that the limited importance of location in<br />

accounting for poverty risk arises because the urban category<br />

combines cities with different levels of poverty risk.<br />

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In Chapter 4 it was indeed clear that the risk of poverty in<br />

Dublin was quite different from that in the other large cities.<br />

In Figure 7.2 we report a comparable analysis that now<br />

distinguishes between Dublin and all other locations. Again,<br />

the introduction of socio-demographic controls<br />

substantially reduces the size of the coefficients. The<br />

net coefficients showing the impact of tenure within the<br />

Dublin area are not very different for those reported for<br />

urban areas generally in Figure 7.1. However, the net<br />

coefficient for LA tenants rises to almost six (from 4.4 in<br />

Figure 7.1).<br />

However, the comparable rural coefficients all show an<br />

increase indicating a sharper pattern of differentiation by<br />

tenure. The net non-Dublin odds ratios, showing the level of<br />

disadvantage in relation to Dublin private purchasers, are all<br />

(apart from LA purchasers) higher than the corresponding<br />

Dublin figure. Thus, exposure to risk of poverty is higher for<br />

those outside Dublin in each tenure category, including LA<br />

tenants. However, when internal Dublin and non-Dublin<br />

relativities are compared, the former are consistently higher.<br />

Thus, Dublin LA tenants exhibit a net odds ratio that is six<br />

times higher than private purchasers in Dublin, while the<br />

corresponding rural figure is only about half this size<br />

(6.8/2.12 = 3.4). The Dublin/non-Dublin gap is a good deal<br />

less sharp in net terms for other categories of tenure, but in<br />

every case the relative degree of disadvantage is clearly<br />

greater in the case of Dublin. The major factor contributing<br />

to this more substantial disparity in the case of Dublin is<br />

not a distinctive level of disadvantage experienced by<br />

urban LA tenants but the uniquely favourable situation<br />

associated with being a private purchaser in Dublin and the<br />

consequent disparity between the latter and the former.<br />

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Figure 7.2: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus non-poor<br />

at the 50 per cent income line by tenure and Dublin versus<br />

elsewhere<br />

Overall we can see that, with the exception of the urban local<br />

authority tenant effect, the net impact of tenure is relatively<br />

modest. Taken together, tenure and location in Dublin or<br />

outside Dublin uniquely account for just over 2 per cent of the<br />

explained variance and jointly account for 16 per cent<br />

together with the socio-demographic controls. The remaining<br />

80 per cent plus can be attributed uniquely to the latter.<br />

In Figure 7.3 we turn our attention to the 60 per cent income<br />

poverty line. Here we observe a pattern not very different<br />

from that observed for the 50 per cent line. Although the<br />

gross and net rural coefficients tend to be higher, relativities<br />

remain larger in the urban area. Once again, the introduction<br />

of socio-demographic controls substantially reduces the size<br />

of the coefficients. However, for urban LA tenants the<br />

reduction is somewhat smaller than was the case for the 50<br />

per cent line and the fall from 27:1 to just over 7:1 constitutes<br />

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a reduction of 74 per cent compared to one of 84 per cent in<br />

the case of the 50 per cent line. An almost identical degree of<br />

reduction is observed in the rural case, which once again is<br />

on a somewhat smaller scale than was the case for the 50<br />

per cent line.<br />

Figure 7.3: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus non-poor<br />

at the 60 per cent income line by tenure and urban-rural<br />

location<br />

Figure 7.4 presents a comparable analysis for the 60 per cent<br />

line that now distinguishes between Dublin and elsewhere.<br />

Here we observe higher coefficients, both gross and net, for<br />

those outside Dublin than was the case at the 50 per cent<br />

line. LA owners, both Dublin and other, are more<br />

disadvantaged than was the case at the 50 per cent line. The<br />

odds ratio relating to the comparison of rural local authority<br />

tenants with Dublin private purchasers now comes close to<br />

50:1. However, when the comparison is made to rural private<br />

purchasers, the figure falls to 16:1, a level of inequality that is<br />

just above half that observed when the corresponding Dublin<br />

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Understanding Variation in <strong>Poverty</strong> by Area and Tenure Type<br />

groups are compared. Once again we see the pattern<br />

whereby rural LA tenants constitute by some distance the<br />

most disadvantaged group, but their distinctive position<br />

comes from a combination of location and tenure effects. If<br />

on the other hand we focus on tenure effects per se within<br />

urban and rural locations, the relative disadvantage enjoyed<br />

by Dublin LA tenants is substantially greater. Similar contrasts<br />

exist between absolute and relative disadvantage for other<br />

tenure groups.<br />

Figure 7.4: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus non-poor<br />

at the 60 per cent income line by tenure and Dublin versus<br />

elsewhere<br />

Once again, the net coefficients are of a considerably smaller<br />

magnitude than their gross counterparts, although in each<br />

case they are substantially larger than those observed at the<br />

50 per cent line. However, despite such increases, the unique<br />

variance accounted for by location and tenure remains a<br />

modest 2.5 per cent compared to the corresponding figure of<br />

almost 80 per cent for socio-demographic factors.<br />

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Finally, we turn our attention to the modified consistent<br />

poverty (MCP) measure. Figure 7.5 shows the breakdown of<br />

odds ratios by urban-rural location and tenure. While the<br />

pattern here is broadly similar to that observed at the 60 per<br />

cent line, the position of rural local authority tenants appears<br />

to be rather worse than was the case in that instance. In both<br />

the urban and rural cases the gross odds ratio is higher for<br />

the MCP. In the former case it exceeds 30 and in the latter it<br />

exceeds 40. For the 60 per cent line, a focus on internal<br />

urban and rural relativities showed the latter to be<br />

approximately twice the former; for the MCP they come<br />

closer to 60 per cent higher. For both the urban and rural<br />

cases the net coefficients involve a sizeable reduction of 70<br />

per cent on their gross.<br />

Figure 7.5: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus non-poor<br />

at the MCP line by tenure and urban-rural location<br />

The combination of urban-rural location and tenure uniquely<br />

accounts for 4.7 per cent of the explained variance, which is<br />

rather higher than for either of the income lines. The shared<br />

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Understanding Variation in <strong>Poverty</strong> by Area and Tenure Type<br />

variance of 22 per cent is also slightly higher than in the<br />

earlier cases. The remaining 70 per cent plus is attributable<br />

solely to the socio-demographic controls.<br />

Figure 7.6 provides a comparable analysis for the MCP<br />

measure, distinguishing between Dublin and elsewhere. This<br />

analysis produces the highest odds ratios to date, particularly<br />

in the case of respondents from outside Dublin. However, we<br />

must take care in interpreting the substantive meaning of<br />

these coefficients. We start by focusing on the gross<br />

coefficients. A value of 54:1 is reported for rural local<br />

authority tenants. This implies that the odds of such tenants<br />

being below rather than above the MCP line is 54 times<br />

greater than is the case for private purchasers in Dublin. This<br />

rate is a good deal higher than for the comparison of rural LA<br />

tenants with urban private purchasers. However, the main<br />

reason for this higher effect is not the effect of tenure as such<br />

but the fact that the overall contrast between Dublin and<br />

elsewhere is sharper than in the case of the urban-rural<br />

contrast.<br />

To illustrate we will proceed to calculate the gross and net<br />

disadvantages of LA tenancy within rural areas. The gross<br />

effect has a value of 18.3 (54/2.95) and the corresponding net<br />

figure is 5.4. These figures are actually identical to those<br />

observed for the corresponding urban-rural comparisons.<br />

Thus, the contrast between the two sets of results is entirely<br />

a consequence of the fact that Dublin is more sharply<br />

differentiated from other areas than is the case for the urbanrural<br />

comparison. For both urban and rural local authority<br />

tenure, a reduction of 70 per cent is observed between the<br />

gross and the net coefficients. Taken together, location in<br />

Dublin versus elsewhere and tenure uniquely account for 5.5<br />

per cent of the explained variance and share a further 21.2<br />

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Figure 7.6: Gross and net ratios of being poor versus non-poor<br />

at the 50 per cent MCP line by tenure and Dublin versus<br />

elsewhere<br />

per cent with socio-demographic controls, leaving almost<br />

three-quarters uniquely accounted for by the latter.<br />

7.7 Conclusions<br />

Our analysis in this chapter shows that the impact of spatial<br />

variation per se, whether defined in terms of regional<br />

authority or local authority area, is extremely modest in<br />

comparison with that of the socio-demographic<br />

characteristics of householders. In this case we must stress<br />

that the most important finding relates not to differences<br />

between gross and net effects but to the modest level of both<br />

compared to the impact of household differences within areas<br />

associated with the socio-demographic characteristics of<br />

households. It is not that spatial effects are being explained<br />

by socio-demographic factors but that they are remarkably<br />

modest in comparison with the latter.<br />

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In contrast to our spatial findings, we do observe substantial<br />

gross effects that are then very significantly reduced when we<br />

control for socio-demographic factors. This suggests that in<br />

large part, tenure/type of area effects are a consequence of<br />

the socio-demographic profiles of households within each of<br />

the combinations of tenure and location. We observe<br />

significant net effects for the combination of tenure and type<br />

of area. Although we cannot entirely rule out the possibility<br />

that such differences are a consequence of unmeasured<br />

variables for which we cannot control, taken at face value<br />

they point to the operation of additional disadvantages<br />

associated with being a local authority tenant in particular.<br />

The combined effect of size of location and housing tenure is<br />

clearly more substantial than that of location, although still<br />

modest in comparison with factors such as unemployment,<br />

class and household type. The strength of the former arises<br />

from two distinct but interacting influences. The first relates to<br />

the disadvantage experienced by rural respondents and more<br />

generally to those outside Dublin. The second relates to the<br />

impact of tenure, which is generally considerably stronger in<br />

urban rather than rural areas. The consequence of this is that<br />

if we take urban purchasers as the reference category, the<br />

rural groups and, in particular, LA tenants are most exposed<br />

to poverty risk. However, the level of disadvantage is less<br />

than if the impact of location and tenure were operating in a<br />

straightforward cumulative matter. However, if we make our<br />

comparison within the urban and rural sectors and thus focus<br />

on tenure per se, the level of disadvantage associated with<br />

types of tenure, and most particularly with being a local<br />

authority tenant, is significantly greater in urban areas. These<br />

conclusions also hold if the location variable on which we<br />

focus involves Dublin versus elsewhere rather than urban<br />

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versus rural. Comparing our findings with those arising from<br />

earlier work, it would appear that there has been a significant<br />

reduction in the additional impact of tenure type in urban<br />

areas and in Dublin, although the differential remains<br />

substantial.<br />

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Chapter 8<br />

Conclusions<br />

8.1 Introduction<br />

In the earlier chapters we have sought to document the<br />

spatial distribution of poverty and deprivation in Ireland. In<br />

doing so we have made use of a variety of sources. Each of<br />

these has its own strengths and weaknesses. Thus, census<br />

data enables us to achieve a much greater degree of<br />

geographical differentiation than the survey data, but it lacks<br />

direct measures of poverty and deprivation. Survey data<br />

contains such measures, but there are strict limits to the<br />

range of geographical variation that we can encompass in our<br />

analysis. By using a variety of sources we hope to provide a<br />

rounded picture of the extent and implication of spatial<br />

variation in poverty and deprivation.<br />

As we have noted, there is no one rationale for spatial<br />

interventions. The justifications for area-based strategies can<br />

range from relatively straightforward efforts at rationing of<br />

scarce resources to much more complex arguments relating<br />

to efficient delivery of services and mobilisation of community<br />

resources. However, in every case the issue of the extent of<br />

geographical concentration of poverty and deprivation is<br />

relevant. Our first effort to address this issue involved analysis<br />

of CSO data relating to administrative counties and county<br />

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boroughs and focusing on indirect or surrogate measures of<br />

deprivation.<br />

8.2 Surrogate Measures of Deprivation<br />

In the absence of suitable income data from the census, one<br />

is obliged to use surrogate measures of deprivation such as<br />

age structure, economic status and activity, levels of farming<br />

and social class. In pursuing such analysis, a decision must<br />

be made whether to present results separately for a number<br />

of dimensions or to calculate a composite measure of<br />

multiple deprivation. In line with our earlier work and in<br />

agreement with the arguments made by Pringle et al. (2000),<br />

we have opted for the former strategy. There are a number of<br />

reasons underlying this choice, including the fact that there is<br />

no clear consensus on which indicators to include in such an<br />

index and the fact that crucial differences may be obscured<br />

by such aggregation. The most important factor underlying<br />

our decision, however, is the absence of any objective basis<br />

on which to assign weights to dimensions. While simply<br />

assigning equal weights to each dimension is obviously<br />

arbitrary, it emerges that apparently more sophisticated<br />

statistical approaches can be equally arbitrary.<br />

The most commonly used statistical technique for this<br />

purpose is factor analysis. This procedure can identify<br />

dimensions of socio-demographic characteristics that we<br />

have reason to expect to be associated with poverty and<br />

deprivation. However, as Nolan et al. (1998) observe, in the<br />

absence of direct measures of the latter, the weight derived<br />

for such an analysis can be informative only with regard to<br />

the relationship between the socio-demographic variables but<br />

not concerning the association between such variables and<br />

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Conclusions<br />

deprivation and poverty. Thus, as Pringle et al. (2000: 11)<br />

conclude, it is questionable whether the fact that a variable<br />

happens to be correlated highly with another variable<br />

provides a sound basis for according it more importance.<br />

Pursuing this strategy will give disproportionate weight to<br />

dimensions that have been tapped using multiple but similar<br />

indicators.<br />

8.3 Overview of CSO Results<br />

In Chapter 2 we considered spatial variations in sociodemographic<br />

variables related to poverty and deprivation<br />

from the Census of Population aggregated to the level of<br />

local authority area. Throughout the chapter we saw that the<br />

Border and West regions contained counties with the highest<br />

percentages of population who were elderly, with lowest<br />

levels of educational attainment, highest incidence of small<br />

farming activity and high levels of economic dependency. At<br />

the other end of the spectrum, Dublin and the Mid-East<br />

emerged as the regions with the lowest levels of economic<br />

dependency and the highest levels of labour force<br />

participation, percentage of the population with third-level<br />

education and percentage of the labour force in the higher<br />

social classes.<br />

8.4 Geographical Variation: Evidence from Analysis<br />

of Indirect Measures of Deprivation<br />

Our analysis of geographical variation in direct measures of<br />

poverty and deprivation based on household data from the LII<br />

Surveys and the NSHQ were broadly consistent with the<br />

analysis based on census data. At the level of regional<br />

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authority, the Border area clearly exhibits the highest levels of<br />

poverty and deprivation. The sharpest contrast is with Dublin<br />

and the Mid-East area. However, it should be kept clearly in<br />

mind that there is substantial variation between counties<br />

within regions. The boundaries between regions are drawn on<br />

the basis of political and pragmatic considerations and do not<br />

necessarily capture a confluence of similar causal processes.<br />

Further differentiation within regions reveals particularly higher<br />

levels of disadvantage in counties such as Donegal, Cavan,<br />

Leitrim, Longford and Mayo and urban centres other than<br />

Dublin.<br />

When we focus on dimensions of deprivation we find that<br />

regional disparities vary across the five dimensions of<br />

deprivation that we have identified. For the basic deprivation<br />

there is once again a continuum, with the Border region at<br />

one end and Dublin at the other. However, for other<br />

dimensions variation does not follow this familiar pattern. In<br />

the case of secondary deprivation, involving a range of<br />

consumer items, geographical location has little impact.<br />

Absence of basic housing facilities is a problem least<br />

frequently in Dublin, but physical deterioration is worst in<br />

Dublin, as is exposure to social problems. Once again, we<br />

observe very clear differentiation by county within regions. As<br />

one would expect from our summary thus far, the impact of<br />

urban-rural location is highly dependent on the particular<br />

dimension on which one focuses. Indeed, the only evidence<br />

for overlapping patterns of multiple disadvantage comes in<br />

the case of local authority renters, who fare worst on four of<br />

the five dimensions. Otherwise, geographical locations or<br />

types of areas or forms of tenure that fare worst on one<br />

dimension do not necessarily do so on the reminder.<br />

Evidence of multiple deprivation structured along spatial lines<br />

is extremely weak.<br />

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Conclusions<br />

8.5 Variation by Size of Area and Tenure<br />

While there is clear variation in risk of poverty and deprivation<br />

by geographical location, such differentiation is modest in<br />

comparison with that associated with size of area and, more<br />

particularly, tenure. Overall, less populated areas are more<br />

disadvantaged while Dublin is most favoured. The picture at<br />

intermediate levels is somewhat mixed. However, although<br />

variation by size of area is larger than that associated with<br />

geographical location per se, it is extremely modest in<br />

comparison with the impact of housing tenure. Local authority<br />

tenants are a particularly disadvantaged group. Over time<br />

their income poverty rates have increased sharply, and while<br />

their consistent poverty rate has shown some decline, their<br />

relative positions have shown further deterioration. The<br />

decline in their numbers, however, means that they constitute<br />

a smaller proportion of the poor than heretofore.<br />

8.6 Policy Implications<br />

In order to draw sensible policy conclusions from the results<br />

of our analysis it is necessary to go beyond descriptions of<br />

differences by location, type of area or tenure and address<br />

the issue of the underlying processes. In order to do so, in<br />

Chapter 7 we looked not only at the gross or observed<br />

effects of geographical location and the combination of size<br />

of area and location but also at the net effect after controlling<br />

for a range of socio-demographic household characteristics.<br />

In doing so we sought to address issues relating to the<br />

distinction made by such authors as Pringle and Walsh (1999)<br />

between geographical causal processes that increase the<br />

relative risks of people living in one area experiencing poverty<br />

or deprivation compared with individuals living in other areas.<br />

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In other words, the risk of poverty is a function of<br />

geographical distribution processes that influence the<br />

likelihood of individuals who experience poverty or<br />

deprivation being located or concentrated in particular areas,<br />

but these geographical processes do not directly influence<br />

the likelihood of an individual experiencing poverty or<br />

deprivation. Such processes influence only the spatial<br />

distribution of poverty – they do not have a major influence<br />

on the total number of poor.<br />

In relation to the impact of geographical location, we found<br />

that such effects were not in any sense statistically spurious.<br />

Even after controlling for a variety of household factors, the<br />

magnitude of such effects remains largely unaffected. The<br />

crucial point that needs to be made in relation to<br />

geographical effects is not that the differences we observe<br />

are in any sense misleading, but that they are extremely<br />

modest when placed in the context of overall variation in risk<br />

between households. Furthermore, the regional and local<br />

authority spatial units that we have employed in our analysis<br />

do not in any way constitute homogeneous blocks in relation<br />

to risk of poverty and deprivation. Finally, as we have<br />

observed, different dimensions of deprivation have rather<br />

different spatial distributions.<br />

It is of course possible to conduct a more fine-grained<br />

analysis of spatial location than it was possible for us to<br />

undertake on this occasion by going to the level of a district<br />

electoral division (DED). However, while such an analysis<br />

would inevitably reveal a more marked pattern of spatial<br />

differentiation, the regional and local authority patterns that<br />

we have documented will also break up, yielding a more<br />

scattered overall picture of spatial differentiation. Thus, using<br />

1996 SAPS data, Nolan and Fahey (2002: 240–41) concluded<br />

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Conclusions<br />

that the national picture is something akin to a partially<br />

patterned mosaic: the DEDs with the highest unemployment<br />

rates are far worse off than those with the lowest<br />

unemployment rates and there is some tendency towards a<br />

clustering of the worst with the worst and the best with the<br />

best. However, the clustering effect is relatively modest when<br />

placed in the context of overall variation, so that the effect is<br />

not of sharply delineated black spots in which the bulk of the<br />

poor or unemployed are concentrated. The most reasonable<br />

conclusion remains that while some geographical<br />

concentration of disadvantage exists, poverty and deprivation<br />

are spatially pervasive and affect almost all parts of the<br />

country at all levels of geographical disaggregation. Our<br />

current analysis confirms earlier findings (Nolan, Whelan and<br />

Williams 1994, 1999; Fahey and Williams 2000) that from a<br />

pure targeting perspective, a focus on geographical location<br />

offers the crudest basis for reaching ‘at-risk populations’. As<br />

Nolan et al. (1999) concluded, area-based strategies cannot<br />

be the panacea for spatially pervasive problems.<br />

When we focus on size of area and type of tenure, a<br />

somewhat different picture emerges. While the effect of the<br />

former per se is modest, in combination they do produce a<br />

level of differentiation in terms of poverty and deprivation that<br />

far exceeds anything arising from geographical location.<br />

Furthermore, although the magnitude of such effects is still<br />

modest in comparison with those associated with the sociodemographic<br />

characteristics of households, unlike those<br />

relating to geographical location they remain highly significant<br />

even after we control for socio-demographic characteristics.<br />

To a very large extent the relative disadvantages suffered by,<br />

for example, local authority tenants are a consequence of the<br />

socio-demographic composition of such households. It is<br />

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necessary to caution against assuming that such residual<br />

effects can be entirely attributed to the causal effect of the<br />

combination of type of location and form of tenure. It is<br />

impossible to rule out the possibility that such effects arise as<br />

a consequence of differences relating to unmeasured<br />

household characteristics for which we have been unable to<br />

control. However, the significant net effects that we have<br />

observed do leave open the possibility that such households<br />

face significant additional disadvantages associated with their<br />

tenure that cannot be accounted for by selection on the basis<br />

of socio-demographic characteristics associated with poverty<br />

and deprivation.<br />

As we noted in our introduction, such effects could arise as a<br />

consequence of discriminatory behaviour, a low level of<br />

community resources or as a consequence of cumulative<br />

processes of disadvantage that undermine the coping<br />

capacities of households. However, the methodological<br />

problems that confront one in attempting to establish<br />

neighbourhood effects are formidable. Even in the United<br />

States, where we would expect such effects to be a good<br />

deal more substantial and where data sources and<br />

investment in research on the topic go beyond anything we<br />

can imagine in the Irish situation, it is necessary to adopt a<br />

cautious stance. Thus, Jencks and Mayer (1990), in a review<br />

of the US neighbourhood literature, were ultimately<br />

pessimistic because few studies succeeded in isolating and<br />

measuring the social processes or mechanisms that could<br />

count for such effects. While a great deal of subsequent work<br />

in the US has attempted to rectify these deficiencies and<br />

progress has been made, Sampson et al. (2002: 473–4)<br />

conclude that we continue to know relatively little about key<br />

processes or whether they are responsive to neighbourhood<br />

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Conclusions<br />

policy interventions. Conclusions regarding such effects must<br />

be qualified by a range of caveats relating to intervening<br />

mechanisms, identification of appropriate spatial units and<br />

the role of selection effects (Jargowsky 1996; Brooks-Gunn<br />

et al. 1997).<br />

Efforts by Nolan and Whelan (2000) and Layte, Nolan and<br />

Whelan (2000) to examine the possibility of the emergence of<br />

vicious cycles of deprivation in urban areas exposed to<br />

patterns of multiple disadvantage have also resulted in<br />

cautious conclusions regarding the independent effect of<br />

neighbourhood or community. This stance is in line with that<br />

arising out of a review of the evidence, both US and<br />

European, by Friedrichs (1999). In evaluating the available<br />

European evidence, Friedrichs (1999) cautions that it is<br />

necessary to take into account that many of the most<br />

frequently cited sources are descriptive and small-scale<br />

studies which are highly selective since only neighbourhoods<br />

with high poverty rates are sampled. His overall conclusion is<br />

as follows: ‘The general evidence presented on<br />

neighbourhood effects indicates low or negligible effects;<br />

most context effects can be explained by either individual or<br />

institutional effects’ (Friedrichs 1998: 93). Fahey and Williams<br />

(2000: 241) suggest that if neighbourhoods matter, it is<br />

perhaps in a more complex and fine-grained way than can be<br />

captured by statistical analysis. They suggest an<br />

understanding of neighbourhood that views deprived areas<br />

not as large uniform social environments but as complex<br />

composites of micro areas, each micro area having its own<br />

character and neighbourhood quality.<br />

Effects associated with both geographical location and the<br />

combination of size of area and form of tenure are modest in<br />

comparison with those associated with the<br />

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socio-demographic characteristics. <strong>Poverty</strong> and deprivation<br />

are spatially pervasive and it is extremely difficult to justify a<br />

strategy of spatial intervention on the basis of straightforward<br />

targeting arguments. It is difficult to avoid the conclusion that<br />

in discussions of poverty in Ireland, disproportionate attention<br />

has been focused on spatial and community issues in<br />

comparison with that devoted to vulnerable social groups.<br />

However, as we stressed in our introduction, it is possible to<br />

disentangle arguments for area-based intervention from a<br />

focus on rationing or targeting.<br />

Most recent interventions have relied on more complex<br />

justifications that have encompassed factors such as<br />

improved service delivery and mobilisation of community<br />

resources involving a somewhat broader quality of life<br />

perspective. Thus, as Pringle and Walsh (1999: 339) observe,<br />

policies aimed at promoting social inclusion involve more<br />

than simply providing resources and have the objective of<br />

creating mechanisms whereby the disadvantaged can<br />

participate more actively in all aspects of life, including<br />

decision making.<br />

It goes well beyond the brief of this report to offer an<br />

evaluation of the impact of such more complex interventions.<br />

Any assessment of such initiatives would need to be made in<br />

light of evaluations designed specifically to address the<br />

stated objectives of the initiatives. However, the evidence we<br />

have presented relating to the limited role of spatial factors in<br />

comparison with the socio-demographic composition of<br />

households would lead us to warn against developing<br />

unrealistic expectations of area-based initiatives. This is<br />

particularly true in circumstances where, as Pringle and Walsh<br />

(1999: 343) argue, area-based funding has been extremely<br />

modest in comparison to what one would expect to be<br />

148


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Conclusions<br />

required to have a major impact. It is necessary to strike a<br />

balance between an unduly deterministic perspective that<br />

views area-based initiatives as serving no purpose until<br />

fundamental structural problems are resolved and a<br />

perspective that encourages unrealistic expectations of the<br />

extent to which disadvantaged communities can find<br />

solutions to problems, many of which can be addressed only<br />

by national policies and mobilisation of substantial resources.<br />

149


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Appendix 1<br />

Additional Tables<br />

151


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

A1.1 Additional Tables from Census 2002<br />

Table A1.1: Percentage of persons in each county according to age cohort<br />

County % 0–14 % 15–29 % 30–44 % 45–64 % 65+ % age % age 65+<br />

dependent live alone<br />

% Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank<br />

Cavan 22.8 7 21.1 26 20.7 25 21.5 19 13.8 4 36.6 3 4.1 3<br />

Donegal 23.4 3 21.6 22 20.5 29 21.8 17 12.6 12 36.0 6 3.5 8<br />

Leitrim 21.0 25 18.7 34 20.1 32 24.1 1 16.1 1 37.1 1 5.1 1<br />

Louth 22.7 9 24.0 12 22.4 8 20.5 27 10.3 28 33.0 21 2.9 21<br />

Monaghan 22.4 16 23.2 14 20.8 24 21.4 20 12.3 15 34.7 10 3.5 8<br />

Sligo 20.8 27 22.5 16 20.7 25 22.8 7 13.2 8 34.0 16 3.7 6<br />

Border 22.5 3 22.3 8 21.0 7 21.7 5 12.5 2 35.0 1 3.5 1<br />

Laois 23.2 4 22.4 17 22.5 7 20.6 23 11.3 22 34.5 13 2.9 21<br />

Longford 22.5 12 20.7 29 20.1 32 22.9 6 13.7 5 36.2 4 4.0 5<br />

Offaly 23.2 4 22.4 17 21.7 15 21.0 21 11.6 21 34.9 9 3.0 19<br />

Westmeath 22.9 6 23.4 13 22.2 12 20.6 23 11.0 24 33.9 18 3.0 19<br />

Midlands 23.0 2 22.5 6 21.8 4 21.0 6 11.6 5 34.6 2 3.1 3<br />

Galway County Borough 16.3 33 37.3 1 20.7 25 17.6 34 8.2 31 24.5 34 1.9 31<br />

Galway County 22.8 7 20.3 31 21.6 18 22.5 10 12.8 10 35.6 7 3.2 15<br />

Mayo 21.5 23 20.2 32 20.4 31 23.2 4 14.7 3 36.2 4 4.1 3<br />

Roscommon 21.2 24 19.2 33 20.6 28 23.5 3 15.5 2 36.7 2 4.4 2<br />

West 21.1 6 23.0 5 20.9 8 22.0 1 12.9 1 34.0 3 3.4 2<br />

Dublin County Borough 16.2 34 29.5 2 22.3 9 19.2 33 12.8 10 29.0 31 3.7 6<br />

Fingal 22.7 9 26.6 7 24.5 2 20.2 29 5.9 34 28.6 33 1.3 33<br />

South Dublin 22.5 12 27.8 5 22.9 6 20.6 23 6.3 33 28.7 32 1.3 33<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 19.2 31 24.1 11 21.7 15 22.6 9 12.4 14 31.6 25 3.1 17<br />

Dublin 19.2 8 27.7 1 22.7 2 20.2 8 10.2 7 29.3 8 2.6 7<br />

Kildare 23.7 1 24.9 9 25.0 1 19.7 32 6.7 32 30.4 29 1.5 32<br />

152


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Appendix 1<br />

Table A1.1: Percentage of persons in each county according to age cohort (cont’d)<br />

County % 0–14 % 15–29 % 30–44 % 45–64 % 65+ % age % age 65+<br />

dependent live alone<br />

% Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank<br />

Meath 23.6 2 23.0 15 24.1 3 20.5 27 8.7 30 32.3 23 2 30<br />

Wicklow 22.5 12 22.4 17 23.2 4 21.9 16 10.0 29 32.5 22 2.4 29<br />

Mid-East 23.4 1 23.6 3 24.2 1 20.6 7 8.2 8 31.6 7 1.9 8<br />

Clare 22.1 19 21.1 26 22.3 9 22.7 8 11.8 17 34.0 16 3.1 17<br />

Limerick County Borough 19.4 30 28.7 4 20.5 29 19.8 31 11.7 18 31.1 28 3.2 15<br />

Limerick County 20.9 26 25.3 8 21.3 21 22.0 13 10.5 26 31.4 27 2.7 27<br />

Tipperary N.R. 21.8 22 21.2 25 21.1 22 22.5 10 13.4 7 35.2 8 3.4 13<br />

Mid-West 21.2 5 23.8 2 21.4 6 21.9 3 11.6 5 32.8 5 3 5<br />

Carlow 21.9 21 24.9 9 22.3 9 20.6 23 10.4 27 32.2 24 2.6 28<br />

Kilkenny 22.5 12 21.8 21 22.0 13 22.0 13 11.7 18 34.2 15 2.9 21<br />

Tipperary S.R. 22.0 20 21.5 24 21.5 20 22.4 12 12.6 12 34.6 11 3.5 8<br />

Waterford County Borough 20.2 28 26.7 6 21.6 18 20.2 29 11.3 22 31.5 26 2.8 25<br />

Waterford County 22.3 18 20.7 29 21.7 15 23.0 5 12.3 15 34.6 11 3.3 14<br />

Wexford 22.7 11 21.6 22 22.0 13 22.0 13 11.7 18 34.4 14 2.9 21<br />

South-East 22.1 4 22.4 7 21.8 4 21.9 3 11.8 4 33.9 4 3 5<br />

Cork County Borough 17.2 32 29.2 3 19.8 34 21.0 21 12.9 9 30.0 30 3.5 8<br />

Cork County 22.4 16 22.0 20 23.1 5 21.6 18 10.9 25 33.3 20 2.8 25<br />

Kerry 20.2 28 21.1 26 21.1 22 23.9 2 13.7 5 33.9 18 3.5 8<br />

South-West 20.8 7.0 23.3 4.0 21.9 3.0 22.0 1.0 12.0 3.0 32.7 6 3.1 3<br />

Total 21.1 24.4 22.1 21.2 11.1 32.3 2.9<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

153


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Table A1.2: County-level labour force participation and<br />

unemployment rates<br />

County Labour force Unemployment<br />

participation rate<br />

rate<br />

Rate Rank Rate Rank<br />

Cavan 55.8 26 7.9 24<br />

Donegal 54.4 30 15.6 1<br />

Leitrim 53.7 33 8.7 17<br />

Louth 58.2 9 13.2 3<br />

Monaghan 57.4 14 9.9 11<br />

Sligo 56.8 17 8.7 17<br />

Border 56.1 6 12.0 1<br />

Laois 58.3 8 9.8 12<br />

Longford 54.9 29 10.1 9<br />

Offaly 57.4 14 8.8 16<br />

Westmeath 57.6 11 8.5 21<br />

Midlands 57.4 4 9.1 3<br />

Galway County Borough 56.9 16 10.0 10<br />

Galway County 56.5 20 8.7 17<br />

Mayo 54.4 30 10.7 6<br />

Roscommon 54.0 32 7.0 28<br />

West 55.6 8 5.2 7<br />

Dublin County Borough 60.2 5 10.4 8<br />

Fingal 64.8 1 6.9 29<br />

South Dublin 64.6 2 8.0 23<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 56.0 25 5.7 34<br />

Dublin 61.2 3 5.2 7<br />

Kildare 63.4 3 6.2 33<br />

Meath 61.7 4 6.6 30<br />

Wicklow 58.5 7 8.1 22<br />

Mid-East 61.5 1 6.8 6<br />

Clare 58.8 6 7.6 25<br />

Limerick County Borough 55.1 28 13.9 2<br />

Limerick County 56.5 20 6.6 30<br />

Tipperary N.R. 56.7 18 7.6 25<br />

Mid-West 61.5 1 8.2 4<br />

Carlow 56.4 22 9.5 13<br />

Kilkenny 57.5 13 7.6 25<br />

Tipperary S.R. 56.1 23 9.5 13<br />

Waterford County Borough 57.6 11 12.1 5<br />

Waterford County 56.6 19 8.7 17<br />

Wexford 56.1 23 10.5 7<br />

South-East 56.6 5 9.6 2<br />

Cork County Borough 52.3 34 12.4 4<br />

Cork County 57.8 10 6.4 32<br />

Kerry 55.3 27 9.0 15<br />

South-West 56.0 7 8.2 4<br />

Total 58.3 8.8<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

154


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Appendix 1<br />

Table A1.3: Distribution of the unemployed across regions<br />

County % of the % of those Ratio of<br />

unemployed 15 + in unemployment to<br />

labour force labour force<br />

Col. % Col. % Ratio Rank<br />

Cavan 1.2 1.4 0.90 23<br />

Donegal 5.6 3.2 1.76 1<br />

Leitrim 0.6 0.6 0.98 19<br />

Louth 3.8 2.5 1.50 3<br />

Monaghan 1.5 1.3 1.12 11<br />

Sligo 1.4 1.5 0.99 16<br />

Border 14.1 10.4 1.35 1<br />

Laois 1.6 1.5 1.11 12<br />

Longford 0.8 0.7 1.14 9<br />

Offaly 1.5 1.6 0.99 16<br />

Westmeath 1.7 1.8 0.96 21<br />

Midlands 5.7 5.5 1.03 4<br />

Galway County Borough 2.0 1.7 1.13 10<br />

Galway County 3.4 3.5 0.99 16<br />

Mayo 3.4 2.8 1.21 6<br />

Roscommon 1.0 1.3 0.79 28<br />

West 9.8 9.3 1.05 3<br />

Dublin County Borough 16.3 13.9 1.18 7<br />

Fingal 4.2 5.5 0.77 29<br />

South Dublin 6.0 6.6 0.90 23<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 3.1 4.8 0.65 34<br />

Dublin 29.7 30.8 0.96 5<br />

Kildare 3.1 4.4 0.70 33<br />

Meath 2.6 3.5 0.74 31<br />

Wicklow 2.7 2.9 0.92 22<br />

Mid-East 8.3 10.8 0.77 8<br />

Clare 2.3 2.6 0.86 25<br />

Limerick County Borough 2.1 1.3 1.57 2<br />

Limerick County 2.3 3.0 0.75 30<br />

Tipperary N.R. 1.3 1.5 0.85 25<br />

Mid-West 7.9 8.5 0.93 6<br />

Carlow 1.2 1.1 1.08 13<br />

Kilkenny 1.7 2.0 0.86 25<br />

Tipperary S.R. 2.1 1.9 1.07 14<br />

Waterford County Borough 1.6 1.1 1.37 5<br />

Waterford County 1.4 1.4 0.98 19<br />

Wexford 3.3 2.8 1.18 7<br />

South-East 11.2 10.4 1.08 2<br />

Cork County Borough 4.2 3.0 1.40 4<br />

Cork County 5.9 8.1 0.72 32<br />

Kerry 3.3 3.3 1.01 15<br />

South-West 13.3 14.3 0.93 6<br />

Total 100.0 100.0<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

155


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Table A1.4: Percentage of all persons engaged in agriculture<br />

classified by number of acres farmed<br />

County % of persons Farmers Farmers Farmers 50+<br />

15 years+


xAppendix 1 7/7/05 6:59 am Page 157<br />

Appendix 1<br />

Table A1.5: Index of economic dependency in each county<br />

County<br />

Economic dependency<br />

Index<br />

Rank<br />

Cavan 1.52 10<br />

Donegal 1.84 1<br />

Leitrim 1.58 6<br />

Louth 1.56 8<br />

Monaghan 1.49 14<br />

Sligo 1.43 22<br />

Border 1.61 1<br />

Laois 1.48 18<br />

Longford 1.61 5<br />

Offaly 1.49 14<br />

Westmeath 1.46 20<br />

Midlands 1.49 4<br />

Galway County Borough 1.34 28<br />

Galway County 1.51 12<br />

Mayo 1.62 3<br />

Roscommon 1.53 9<br />

West 1.51 2<br />

Dublin County Borough 1.21 31<br />

Fingal 1.14 34<br />

South Dublin 1.17 33<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 1.34 28<br />

Dublin 1.21 8<br />

Kildare 1.21 31<br />

Meath 1.27 30<br />

Wicklow 1.40 24<br />

Mid-East 1.28 7<br />

Clare 1.36 27<br />

Limerick County Borough 1.62 3<br />

Limerick County 1.39 25<br />

Tipperary N.R. 1.44 21<br />

Mid-West 1.43 6<br />

Carlow 1.51 12<br />

Kilkenny 1.43 22<br />

Tipperary S.R. 1.52 10<br />

Waterford County Borough 1.48 18<br />

Waterford County 1.49 14<br />

Wexford 1.58 6<br />

South-East 1.51 2<br />

Cork County Borough 1.64 2<br />

Cork County 1.38 26<br />

Kerry 1.49 14<br />

South-West 1.46 5<br />

Total 1.39<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

157


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Table A1.6: Distributions of persons 15 years and over<br />

classified by highest level of educational attainment<br />

County None/primary Lower sec. Upper sec. Third level<br />

% Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank<br />

Cavan 31.3 2 24.7 13 25.6 31 18.4 26<br />

Donegal 33.7 1 25.4 11 22.5 34 18.3 28<br />

Leitrim 28.7 6 24.3 18 27.6 27 19.3 24<br />

Louth 25.4 12 25.8 9 27.4 29 21.4 21<br />

Monaghan 29.2 5 28.2 1 25.0 33 17.6 33<br />

Sligo 23.9 16 21.9 29 29.6 17 24.5 12<br />

Border 29.3 1 25.2 3 25.7 8 19.9 6<br />

Laois 25.4 12 26.2 8 30.2 13 18.3 28<br />

Longford 29.5 4 24.4 14 28.3 26 17.8 31<br />

Offaly 26.1 10 26.4 6 29.8 16 17.7 32<br />

Westmeath 23.4 19 24.2 20 30.3 11 22.1 16<br />

Midlands 25.5 3 25.4 2 29.9 3 19.3 8<br />

Galway County Borough 13.5 33 15.5 33 30.3 11 40.8 2<br />

Galway County 27.4 8 21.3 30 28.8 21 22.5 14<br />

Mayo 29.6 3 22.5 26 28.7 23 19.1 25<br />

Roscommon 27.7 7 24.4 14 29.6 17 18.3 28<br />

West 25.9 2 21.2 7 29.1 6 23.7 4<br />

Dublin County Borough 23.6 18 19.2 32 25.1 32 32.1 4<br />

Fingal 13.6 32 19.8 31 33.5 1 33.1 3<br />

South Dublin 18.0 30 22.7 25 32.0 3 27.3 7<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 11.7 34 14.3 34 29.0 19 45.0 1<br />

Dublin 18.7 7 19.2 8 28.7 7 33.5 1<br />

Kildare 17.1 31 22.2 28 32.3 2 28.4 5<br />

Meath 19.1 29 24.3 18 31.3 5 25.3 10<br />

Wicklow 19.7 27 22.9 24 29.9 15 27.5 6<br />

Mid-East 18.5 8 23.1 6 31.3 1 27.2 2<br />

Clare 21.4 25 22.4 27 31.7 4 24.4 13<br />

Limerick County Borough 26.0 11 24.4 14 27.6 27 22.1 16<br />

Limerick County 20.7 26 23.7 22 30.6 7 25.0 11<br />

Tipperary N.R. 23.3 20 25.8 9 31.3 5 19.5 23<br />

Mid-West 22.3 5 23.8 4 30.6 2 23.3 5<br />

Carlow 24.1 15 26.8 4 28.8 21 20.3 22<br />

Kilkenny 22.0 24 26.3 7 30.2 13 21.5 20<br />

Tipperary S.R. 23.7 17 27.3 3 30.6 7 18.4 26<br />

Waterford County Borough 22.6 22 26.7 5 29.0 19 21.7 19<br />

Waterford County 22.2 23 25.1 12 30.5 10 22.1 16<br />

Wexford 26.7 9 27.4 2 28.4 25 17.5 34<br />

South-East 24.0 4 26.7 1 29.5 4 19.8 7<br />

Cork County Borough 22.8 21 24.1 21 27.2 30 25.9 9<br />

Cork County 19.3 28 23.5 23 30.6 7 26.7 8<br />

Kerry 24.8 14 24.4 14 28.5 24 22.3 15<br />

South-West 21.3 6.0 23.8 4.0 29.4 5.0 25.5 3.0<br />

Total 22.2 22.7 29.1 26.0<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

158


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Appendix 1<br />

Table A1.7: Distribution of persons whose education has<br />

ceased in highest and lowest levels of educational attainment<br />

across counties<br />

County A B C D E<br />

% none/ % third % pop. Ratio Ratio<br />

primary level left none/primary third level<br />

education to total to total<br />

left<br />

left<br />

education education<br />

% % % Ratio Rank Ratio Rank<br />

Cavan 2.0 1.0 1.4 1.42 2 0.71 27<br />

Donegal 5.3 2.5 3.5 1.53 1 0.71 27<br />

Leitrim 0.9 0.5 0.7 1.29 6 0.74 25<br />

Louth 3.0 2.2 2.6 1.16 11 0.84 19<br />

Monaghan 1.8 0.9 1.3 1.32 4 0.68 32<br />

Sligo 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.07 16 0.94 12<br />

Border 14.6 8.4 11.0 1.33 1 0.77 6<br />

Laois 1.7 1.1 1.5 1.16 11 0.71 27<br />

Longford 1.0 0.5 0.8 1.30 5 0.67 33<br />

Offaly 1.9 1.1 1.6 1.16 11 0.67 33<br />

Westmeath 1.9 1.5 1.8 1.06 18 0.86 15<br />

Midlands 6.5 4.2 5.7 1.15 3 0.74 8<br />

Galway County Borough 0.9 2.4 1.6 0.60 33 1.55 2<br />

Galway County 4.5 3.2 3.6 1.24 8 0.87 14<br />

Mayo 4.1 2.3 3.0 1.35 3 0.75 24<br />

Roscommon 1.8 1.0 1.4 1.27 7 0.72 26<br />

West 11.3 8.8 9.6 1.18 2 0.92 4<br />

Dublin County Borough 13.6 15.7 13.3 1.02 20 1.18 4<br />

Fingal 3.0 6.2 4.9 0.62 32 1.28 3<br />

South Dublin 4.8 6.3 6.0 0.81 30 1.05 7<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 2.6 8.6 4.9 0.53 34 1.76 1<br />

Dublin 24.0 36.8 29.0 0.83 8 1.27 1<br />

Kildare 3.1 4.5 4.0 0.78 31 1.10 5<br />

Meath 2.9 3.3 3.4 0.87 29 0.99 9<br />

Wicklow 2.6 3.1 2.9 0.89 27 1.06 6<br />

Mid-East 8.7 10.9 10.3 0.84 7 1.05 2<br />

Clare 2.6 2.5 2.7 0.97 25 0.94 12<br />

Limerick County Borough 1.6 1.2 1.4 1.19 10 0.86 15<br />

Limerick County 2.8 2.9 3.0 0.95 26 0.98 11<br />

Tipperary N.R. 1.7 1.2 1.6 1.06 18 0.76 23<br />

Mid-West 8.7 7.8 8.6 1.01 5 0.91 5<br />

Carlow 1.3 0.9 1.2 1.10 14 0.79 22<br />

Kilkenny 2.1 1.7 2.1 1.01 23 0.84 19<br />

Tipperary S.R. 2.2 1.4 2.0 1.07 16 0.71 27<br />

Waterford County Borough 1.1 0.9 1.1 1.00 24 0.82 21<br />

Waterford County 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.02 20 0.86 15<br />

Wexford 3.7 2.1 3.0 1.23 9 0.69 31<br />

South-East 11.8 8.3 10.9 1.09 4 0.77 6<br />

Cork County Borough 3.2 3.1 3.2 1.02 20 0.99 9<br />

Cork County 7.2 8.6 8.2 0.88 28 1.04 8<br />

Kerry 3.9 3.0 3.5 1.10 14 0.85 18<br />

South-West 14.3 14.7 14.9 0.96 6 0.99 3<br />

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

159


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Table A1.8: Percentage of persons in each social class<br />

County Professional/ Non- Skilled Semi- Unskilled<br />

managerial/ manual Manual skilled<br />

technical<br />

% Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank % Rank<br />

Cavan 30.6 32 21.5 5 25.1 3 15.1 8 7.7 17<br />

Donegal 30.1 34 18.4 33 24.3 4 16.9 3 10.3 1<br />

Leitrim 33.0 25 21.1 7 23.4 9 14.9 12 7.5 18<br />

Louth 33.0 25 19.6 20 23.2 10 16.1 4 8.1 13<br />

Monaghan 30.9 31 19.4 22 26.8 1 14.9 12 8.0 15<br />

Sligo 38.0 12 21.1 7 20.2 29 14.5 17 6.2 28<br />

Border 32.2 8 19.7 6 23.9 1 15.8 1 8.4 2<br />

Laois 33.0 25 20.1 15 22.8 13 15.6 7 8.4 10<br />

Longford 33.2 23 20.3 10 24.1 6 13.9 19 8.5 8<br />

Offaly 32.0 30 18.7 31 25.3 2 15.0 10 8.9 5<br />

Westmeath 36.5 17 21.6 4 21.0 25 13.4 21 7.5 18<br />

Midlands 33.9 7 20.2 2 23.1 2 14.5 3 8.3 3<br />

Galway County Borough 46.6 3 20.1 15 15.5 33 13.1 25 4.7 31<br />

Galway County 36.6 15 19.2 25 23.1 11 14.1 18 7.1 22<br />

Mayo 32.4 29 19.4 22 23.6 8 16.1 4 8.5 8<br />

Roscommon 34.5 18 22.6 1 22.8 13 13.0 27 7.0 23<br />

West 36.5 5 19.9 4 22.0 4 14.4 4 7.1 5<br />

Dublin County Borough 39.2 10 21.3 6 19.2 31 13.1 25 7.2 21<br />

Fingal 46.9 2 21.9 3 17.5 32 9.7 33 4.0 33<br />

South Dublin 39.3 9 22.5 2 22.0 19 11.7 31 4.5 32<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 60.2 1 18.9 28 11.6 34 6.5 34 2.8 34<br />

Dublin 44.4 1 21.3 1 18.1 8 11.0 8 5.2 8<br />

Kildare 41.3 5 20.3 10 20.3 28 11.7 31 6.3 27<br />

Meath 39.5 7 19.2 25 22.8 13 11.8 30 6.7 25<br />

Wicklow 42.2 4 18.9 28 20.1 30 12.1 29 6.7 25<br />

Mid-East 41.0 2 19.5 7 21.1 6 11.8 7 6.6 7<br />

Clare 38.9 11 20.2 13 21.4 22 13.4 21 6.1 29<br />

Limerick County Borough 30.5 33 20.3 10 21.5 21 18.9 1 8.8 6<br />

Limerick County 39.4 8 19.7 19 20.4 27 13.5 20 7.0 23<br />

Tipperary N.R. 36.6 15 21.0 9 21.3 23 13.2 24 7.9 16<br />

Mid-West 37.4 4 20.2 2 21.0 7 14.2 5 7.2 4<br />

Carlow 33.1 24 18.6 32 24.3 4 14.8 15 9.2 4<br />

Kilkenny 37.7 13 19.2 25 23.1 11 12.5 28 7.5 18<br />

Tipperary S.R. 33.3 21 19.8 18 22.2 17 15.1 8 9.7 2<br />

Waterford County Borough 33.3 21 18.8 30 22.3 16 17.2 2 8.4 10<br />

Waterford County 37.5 14 17.5 34 21.7 20 15.0 10 8.3 12<br />

Wexford 32.5 28 19.3 24 24.1 6 14.7 16 9.3 3<br />

South-East 34.5 6 19.0 8 23.1 2 14.7 2 8.8 1<br />

Cork County Borough 34.1 20 19.9 17 21.3 23 16.0 6 8.7 7<br />

Cork County 40.3 6 19.6 20 20.8 26 13.4 21 5.9 30<br />

Kerry 34.5 18 20.2 13 22.2 17 14.9 12 8.1 13<br />

South-West 37.8 3.0 19.8 5.0 21.2 5.0 14.2 5.0 6.9 6.0<br />

Total 38.6 20.2 21.0 13.3 6.9<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

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Table A1.9: Distributions of persons in Professional and<br />

Unskilled Manual class categories across region<br />

County A B C D E<br />

Professional/ Unskilled % total Ratio Ratio<br />

Managerial/ Manual population Professional Unskilled<br />

Technical to total Manual<br />

to total<br />

Col. % Col. % Col. % Ratio Rank Ratio Rank<br />

Cavan 1.2 1.6 1.4 0.81 28 1.13 17<br />

Donegal 2.7 5.2 3.5 0.78 33 1.49 1<br />

Leitrim 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.84 24 1.07 20<br />

Louth 2.3 3.1 2.6 0.87 21 1.19 10<br />

Monaghan 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.82 27 1.19 10<br />

Sligo 1.4 1.3 1.5 0.96 13 0.88 30<br />

Border 9.2 13.5 11.0 0.84 8 1.23 2<br />

Laois 1.3 1.9 1.5 0.88 20 1.26 6<br />

Longford 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.81 28 1.16 14<br />

Offaly 1.3 2.1 1.6 0.81 28 1.27 5<br />

Westmeath 1.7 2.0 1.8 0.94 16 1.08 19<br />

Midlands 5.0 6.9 5.8 0.87 7 1.19 3<br />

Galway County Borough 1.8 1.0 1.7 1.05 7 0.59 33<br />

Galway County 3.5 3.7 3.7 0.95 15 1.02 24<br />

Mayo 2.5 3.7 3.0 0.84 24 1.24 8<br />

Roscommon 1.2 1.4 1.4 0.91 18 1.03 21<br />

West 9.0 9.9 9.7 0.93 5 1.02 5<br />

Dublin County Borough 11.7 12.0 12.7 0.93 17 0.95 26<br />

Fingal 6.4 3.0 5.0 1.27 2 0.60 32<br />

South Dublin 6.3 4.1 6.1 1.04 8 0.67 31<br />

Dún Laoghaire-Rathdown 7.9 2.1 4.9 1.62 1 0.43 34<br />

Dublin 32.4 21.2 28.7 1.13 1 0.74 8<br />

Kildare 4.6 4.0 4.2 1.11 4 0.95 26<br />

Meath 3.7 3.5 3.4 1.08 6 1.03 21<br />

Wicklow 3.3 2.9 2.9 1.12 3 0.99 25<br />

Mid-East 11.6 10.4 10.5 1.10 2 0.99 7<br />

Clare 2.7 2.4 2.6 1.03 9 0.90 28<br />

Limerick County Borough 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.74 34 1.21 9<br />

Limerick County 3.2 3.2 3.1 1.03 9 1.03 21<br />

Tipperary N.R. 1.5 1.8 1.6 0.96 13 1.17 12<br />

Mid-West 8.4 9.1 8.7 0.97 4 1.04 4<br />

Carlow 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.84 24 1.31 4<br />

Kilkenny 2.1 2.3 2.1 1.00 12 1.13 17<br />

Tipperary S.R. 1.7 2.9 2.0 0.86 23 1.41 2<br />

Waterford County Borough 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.81 28 1.14 16<br />

Waterford County 1.5 1.8 1.5 1.01 11 1.25 7<br />

Wexford 2.6 4.2 3.0 0.87 21 1.40 3<br />

South-East 9.8 14.0 10.8 0.90 6 1.29 1<br />

Cork County Borough 2.6 3.7 3.1 0.81 28 1.16 14<br />

Cork County 9.1 7.4 8.3 1.09 5 0.90 28<br />

Kerry 3.0 4.0 3.4 0.89 19 1.17 12<br />

South-West 14.6 15.0 14.8 0.99 3 1.02 5<br />

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

Source: Census 2002<br />

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A1.2 Risk of <strong>Poverty</strong> by Planning Region from the LII<br />

Survey<br />

In Chapter 4 we reported poverty and deprivation results for<br />

regional authorities and local authorities. Here, drawing on the<br />

series of Living in Ireland Surveys, we report trends over time<br />

for planning regions, in which counties are grouped as<br />

follows.<br />

• East: Dublin, Kildare, Meath, Wicklow<br />

• South-West: Cork, Kerry<br />

• South-East: Carlow, Kilkenny, South Tipperary, Waterford,<br />

Wexford<br />

• North-East: Cavan, Louth, Monaghan<br />

• Mid-West: Clare, Limerick, North Tipperary<br />

• Midlands: Laois, Longford, Offaly, Roscommon,<br />

Westmeath<br />

• West: Galway, Mayo<br />

• North-West: Leitrim, Sligo<br />

• Donegal: Donegal.<br />

Risk of <strong>Poverty</strong> by Planning Region<br />

In Table A1.10 we show risk of poverty by planning region<br />

for 50 per cent and 60 per cent of mean income and for<br />

the consistent poverty line. At the 50 per cent line, with the<br />

exception of the East and the Mid-West, and to a lesser<br />

extent the South-East, there has been a sharp increase<br />

in the level of poverty between 1994 and 2000. The lowest<br />

rate by far of 18 per cent is observed in the East, while the<br />

highest rate of 37 per cent is observed in Donegal and the<br />

North-West. The range of regional variation is modest, with<br />

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Table A1.10: Risk of poverty by planning region, 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

Planning Region 50% income 60% income 60% line +<br />

line risk line risk deprivation risk<br />

1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000<br />

% % %<br />

East 9.6 16.0 18.1 19.3 29.1 22.2 13.6 13.6 3.8<br />

South-West 17.7 17.9 32.4 31.0 34.4 40.0 16.3 13.0 7.5<br />

South-East 20.8 23.0 26.9 33.3 40.0 35.4 16.9 18.3 7.7<br />

North-East 24.6 15.9 34.1 35.7 38.2 46.2 20.6 12.8 11.6<br />

Mid-West 20.5 22.0 25.9 32.9 39.2 35.2 19.7 13.4 10.4<br />

Midlands 21.7 21.4 31.4 41.1 39.7 40.4 19.7 13.1 3.8<br />

West 19.6 20.2 30.2 31.0 35.5 39.0 13.8 7.3 5.6<br />

North-West & Donegal 27.3 24.7 36.7 42.6 43.5 46.5 22.9 23.5 8.9<br />

Total 16.9 18.9 25.8 29.0 34.7 32.9 16.4 14.9 6.2<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Surveys, 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

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Table A1.11: Incidence of poverty by planning region, 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

Planning Region 50% income 60% income 60% income Percentage of<br />

line incidence line incidence line + basic households<br />

deprivation incidence<br />

1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000 1987 1994 2000<br />

% % % %<br />

East 20.2 32.2 27.6 23.7 31.9 26.6 29.5 39.9 24.3 35.6 38.1 39.8<br />

South-West 16.1 14.8 16.8 16.5 15.4 16.3 15.3 13.7 16.3 15.4 15.5 13.6<br />

South-East 11.0 12.7 11.7 10.2 12.0 12.1 9.2 13.0 14.1 8.9 10.4 9.9<br />

North-East 8.6 4.5 7.5 7.3 5.9 8.0 7.4 4.7 10.8 5.9 5.4 5.8<br />

Mid-West 13.2 10.2 7.7 12.4 9.9 8.2 13.0 7.8 13.1 10.9 8.9 7.7<br />

Midlands 8.6 8.3 10.0 9.5 8.4 10.2 7.9 6.3 5.0 6.7 7.3 8.5<br />

West 11.0 7.9 8.8 10.2 7.6 8.9 8.0 3.6 6.8 9.5 7.4 7.7<br />

North-West & Donegal 11.3 9.2 9.9 10.3 8.8 9.8 9.8 11.0 9.6 9.0 6.9 7.1<br />

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100 100.0 100.0 100.0<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Surveys, 1987, 1994 and 2000<br />

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five of the eight regions being found between 29 and 37 per<br />

cent.<br />

At the 60 per cent line, reductions in the level of poverty<br />

between 1994 and 2000 were observed for the East, with<br />

the figure going from 29 to 22 per cent, the Mid-West (39 to<br />

35 per cent) and the South-East (40 to 35 per cent).<br />

Elsewhere slight increases were observed. The lowest rate<br />

of 22 per cent was again observed in the East and the<br />

highest rates of 46 to 47 per cent were found in the North-<br />

East and Donegal and in the North-West. In 2000, seven of<br />

the eight regions were found in the range running from 35 to<br />

47 per cent.<br />

For the combined income and deprivation measure, a sharp<br />

decline in poverty was found in all regions between 1994<br />

and 2000, with the exception of the North-East, where the<br />

decline was more modest. The largest absolute decline was<br />

in Donegal and the North-West, where it went from 24 to 9<br />

per cent, but similar proportionate increases were observed<br />

in a number of areas. The lowest poverty rate in 2000 of<br />

less than 4 per cent was observed in the East and the<br />

Midlands, followed by the West, where the figure was 6 per<br />

cent. It then rises to 8 to 9 per cent for the South-East and<br />

the South-West and the North-West and Donegal. It then<br />

reaches almost 12 per cent for the North-East.<br />

A1.3 Incidence of <strong>Poverty</strong> by Planning Region from<br />

the LII Survey<br />

In Table A1.11 we set out incidence of poverty by planning<br />

region. At the 50 per cent line changes in the distribution of<br />

poverty across planning region over time were extremely<br />

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modest. The most notable change was a decline from 32 to<br />

28 per cent of poor households located in the East.<br />

The picture is very similar for the 60 per cent line, where the<br />

largest change between 1994 and 2000 is a reduction in the<br />

percentage for the East from 32 to 27 per cent. The changes<br />

for the consistent poverty line are somewhat more<br />

substantial. The number located in the East (including Dublin)<br />

increased significantly, from 30 to 40 per cent between 1987<br />

and 1994, and declined very significantly between 1994 and<br />

2000 to 24 per cent. Corresponding increases between 1994<br />

and 2000 are observed in the North-East, where the figure<br />

goes from 5 to 11 per cent, and in the West, where it goes<br />

from 4 to 7 per cent.<br />

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Appendix 2<br />

Methodology<br />

A2.1 The Surveys<br />

As well as drawing on data from the 2002 Census of<br />

Population, this report makes extensive use of data from<br />

two surveys: the Living in Ireland Surveys (LII) and the<br />

National Survey of Housing Quality (NSHQ). The key<br />

features of each of these surveys are outlined below.<br />

The Living in Ireland Surveys<br />

The Living in Ireland Surveys form the Irish component of<br />

the European Community Household Panel (ECHP), an<br />

EU-wide project co-ordinated by Eurostat to conduct<br />

harmonised longitudinal surveys dealing with household<br />

income and labour situations in the member states. The aim<br />

of the ECHP is to produce a fully harmonised data set<br />

providing information on the social situation, financial<br />

circumstances and living standards of a panel of<br />

households to be followed over several years. The fact that<br />

the same set of households is interviewed each year means<br />

that it is possible to study changes in the characteristics<br />

and circumstances of particular households or individuals<br />

over time.<br />

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The first wave of the LII was conducted in 1994, and the<br />

same individuals and households were followed each year.<br />

The wave conducted in 2001, therefore, was the eighth wave<br />

of the survey. In 2000, the Irish sample of individuals and<br />

households followed from Wave 1 was supplemented by the<br />

addition of 1,500 new households to the total. This was done<br />

in order to increase the overall sample size, which had<br />

declined due to attrition since 1994. A larger sample size<br />

ensures that the precision of estimates of key figures, such as<br />

the poverty rate and average equivalised household income,<br />

remained at a high level. It also allows a greater<br />

disaggregation of the data so that the situation of policyrelevant<br />

sub-groups, such as the unemployed or older adults,<br />

can be examined. These additional households, as well as<br />

the original sample, were followed in 2001.<br />

Survey Structure<br />

The ECHP involves a household questionnaire which is<br />

completed by the ‘reference person’ or person responsible for<br />

the accommodation, and an individual questionnaire which is<br />

completed by each adult (age 16 or over) in the household.<br />

The main items of information collected on the questionnaires<br />

were household size and composition, tenure, standard of<br />

living (things the household has or can afford to do), financial<br />

strain, economic activity, training and education, general<br />

health and very detailed information on income from<br />

employment, self-employment, personal and occupational<br />

pensions, social welfare, education and training-related<br />

allowances and grants, property (interests, dividends, rental<br />

income) and other sources. Income was measured in great<br />

detail and income information was collected from each adult<br />

in the household.<br />

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The questionnaires were administered in a face-to-face<br />

interview by the ESRI’s team of interviewers. In farm<br />

households, a farm questionnaire was also completed to<br />

collect information to be used in conjunction with Teagasc’s<br />

National Farm Survey to estimate the income flow (family<br />

farm income) of farm households. This approach was<br />

necessary because the nature of farm income, being a<br />

combination of market profit or loss, grants and subsidies,<br />

makes it difficult for respondents to provide the figure directly.<br />

The Sample<br />

The sample of households was originally selected for the<br />

1994 wave of the survey. The objective of the sample design<br />

was to obtain a representative sample of private households<br />

in Ireland. Those living in institutions such as hospitals,<br />

nursing homes, convents, monasteries and prisons are<br />

excluded from the target population, in line with the<br />

harmonised guidelines set down by Eurostat and standard<br />

practice adopted in surveys of this kind (such as the<br />

Household Budget Survey conducted by the Central<br />

Statistics Office 1 ). Among those effectively excluded from the<br />

target population are a number of small groups that face a<br />

relatively high risk of poverty, such as the homeless and<br />

Travellers. To do justice to the particular circumstances of<br />

groups such as these would require a different research<br />

methodology.<br />

1 Collective households, however, were included. These are private<br />

households containing five or more unrelated persons with a looser<br />

budget-sharing relationship than in the standard private household.<br />

The main examples are boarding or lodging houses and army<br />

barracks. An individual living in a collective household is treated as a<br />

one-person ‘sub-household’.<br />

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The sample was selected using the ESRI’s RANSAM system,<br />

which was developed at the institute and has been<br />

successfully used for selecting random samples from the<br />

electoral register for over two decades. RANSAM allows one<br />

to pre-stratify the sampling frame according to any<br />

combination of census variables. In selecting the sample for<br />

the Living in Ireland Survey, the following strata were used:<br />

• Province: Four categories – Dublin, rest of Leinster,<br />

Munster, Ulster/Connaght.<br />

• Urban/rural: Two categories – district electoral divisions<br />

(DEDs) with more than 50 per cent of their population in<br />

towns with a population of 1,500 or more versus the rest.<br />

• Unemployment: Two categories – DEDs with an<br />

unemployment rate of 16 per cent or more versus the rest.<br />

The target sample selected using the ESRI’s RANSAM<br />

procedure was a sample of persons, not of households. Since<br />

the probability of selection is greater for households with a<br />

larger number of registered voters, this means that the<br />

resulting sample will tend to over-represent larger<br />

households. This was taken into account in reweighting the<br />

sample for analysis.<br />

The total number of households successfully interviewed in<br />

1994 was 4,048, representing 57 per cent of the valid sample.<br />

This response rate is as one would expect in an intensive and<br />

demanding survey of this nature, and is comparable to the<br />

response rates achieved in the Household Budget Surveys. A<br />

total of 14,585 persons were members of the completed<br />

households. Of these, 10,418 were eligible for personal<br />

interview, i.e. born in 1997 or earlier, and 9,904 eligible<br />

respondents completed the full individual questionnaire (964<br />

on a proxy basis).<br />

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Reinterviewing Households and Tracing Individuals Who<br />

Move<br />

The sample from the Wave 1 (1994) Living in Ireland Survey<br />

was followed in subsequent years and reinterviewed. The<br />

follow-up rules for the survey meant that new households<br />

might be included in each wave where a sample person from<br />

Wave 1 moved to another household. All individuals in the<br />

Wave 1 sample were to be followed in subsequent waves and<br />

household and individual interviews were to be conducted, as<br />

long as the person still lived in a private or collective<br />

household within the EU.<br />

Sample Supplementation in 2000<br />

Even with a relatively high year-on-year response rate, there<br />

was a substantial loss of respondents over time. Of the<br />

original sample individuals who were still ‘in scope’ in 2000,<br />

5,530 individuals still in scope 2 (40 per cent) were in<br />

completed households.<br />

The main reason for household non-response was refusal<br />

(ranging from 9 per cent of the eligible sample in Wave 2 to 5<br />

per cent in Wave 5). Among the newly generated households,<br />

difficulties in obtaining forwarding addresses for those who<br />

moved also contributed to the non-response rate.<br />

Detailed checks on the pattern of attrition between waves<br />

showed that there was no evidence of a disproportionate loss<br />

of households from the upper or lower ends of the income<br />

distribution of the kind that would tend to bias estimates of<br />

average household incomes or poverty measures.<br />

2 Of the original 14,585 individuals, a total of 400 had died by 2000 and<br />

324 had moved to an institution or outside the EU. This left 13,861<br />

individuals still ‘in scope’ by 2000.<br />

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However, the reduced sample size was addressed by<br />

supplementing the sample in Wave 7. The new sample was<br />

selected using the same procedure as for the first wave of the<br />

survey in 1994, using the ESRI’s RANSAM programme based<br />

on the electoral register. The household response rate<br />

reached 57 per cent for the 2,661 new sample households<br />

contacted by interviewers. This is the same as the rate<br />

achieved in Wave 1 and is in line with the typical response<br />

rate in other surveys of a demanding nature, such as the<br />

Household Budget Survey.<br />

The sample supplementation exercise, together with the<br />

follow-up of continuing households, resulted in a completed<br />

sample in 2000 of 11,450 individuals in 3,467 households.<br />

Individual interviews were conducted with 8,056 respondents,<br />

representing 93 per cent of those who were eligible (born in<br />

1983 or earlier).<br />

Sample Weights for the LII Data<br />

The purpose of sample weighting is to compensate for any<br />

biases in the distribution of characteristics in the completed<br />

survey sample compared to the population of interest,<br />

whether such biases occur because of sampling error, from<br />

the nature of the sampling frame used, differential response<br />

rates or attrition.<br />

Whatever the source of the discrepancy between the sample<br />

and population distributions, we would like to adjust the<br />

distributional characteristics of the sample in terms of factors<br />

such as age, sex, economic status and so on to match that<br />

of the population. In a cross-sectional survey, or in the first<br />

wave of a panel survey, the only way to check the<br />

distributional characteristics of the sample is to compare<br />

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sample characteristics to external population figures from<br />

sources such as the census, the Labour Force Survey, official<br />

statistics on the number of social welfare recipients from the<br />

Department of Social Welfare and so on. In waves following<br />

the first wave of a panel survey, we can also compare the<br />

characteristics of the individuals and households successfully<br />

followed to those of the individuals and households in a<br />

previous wave of the survey. In constructing the weights for<br />

the Living in Ireland Survey in Waves 2 and subsequently,<br />

both of these methods were used.<br />

The household weights were developed in a number of steps:<br />

• The first step involved adjusting the continuing sample for<br />

attrition.<br />

• The second step was to calibrate the sample totals<br />

against population totals from external sources.<br />

The external sources of information used were the Quarterly<br />

National Household Survey (QNHS), the Department of<br />

Social, Community and Family Affairs statistics on social<br />

welfare recipiency levels and figures from Teagasc on the<br />

total number of farms by farm size. The result of the<br />

weighting procedure was to ensure as close a match as<br />

possible between the sample and the population in terms of<br />

the distribution of the characteristics shown in Table A2.1.<br />

Apart from incorporating weights to control for attrition from<br />

previous waves and the availability of new technology for<br />

constructing weights, the logic and general strategy in<br />

developing the weights for Waves 2 to 7 was very similar to<br />

that used in Wave 1. The resulting match between the<br />

weighted sample characteristics and the population<br />

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characteristics for the 2001 data was highly satisfactory,<br />

confirming that the weights are effective in adjusting the<br />

achieved sample to population characteristics.<br />

Table A2.1: External population characteristics used in the<br />

construction of household weights for the Living in Ireland<br />

Surveys<br />

Household characteristics:<br />

Household size (total size, number over 18 and number over 65)<br />

Location (Dublin, other county borough, rural)<br />

Number of persons at work (0, 1 and 2 or more)<br />

Head age (under 25, age 25 and over)<br />

Number of farms in each of six size categories<br />

Individual characteristics:<br />

Number of males and females by 10 age categories<br />

Number of males and females age 15+ by 11 age/marital status<br />

categories<br />

Number of recipients of 12 major social welfare payments<br />

Number of males and females by seven economic status categories (at<br />

work (ILO), unemployed (ILO), unemployed (not ILO), student, home<br />

duties, retired, other)<br />

Number of males and females age 20–64 by level of education (four<br />

categories)<br />

The National Survey of Housing Quality (NSHQ)<br />

The Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) was<br />

commissioned by the Department of the Environment to carry<br />

out the Irish National Survey of Housing Quality (NSHQ) in<br />

2001/2002. The purpose of the survey was to record very<br />

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detailed information on the condition of the national housing<br />

stock. Similar surveys were undertaken in 1981 and 1991, but<br />

were conducted by the local authorities themselves. This is<br />

the first time that the methodology, administration and<br />

protocols for the survey have been completely centralised,<br />

ensuring a harmonised set of data across local authority<br />

areas.<br />

The survey collected detailed information on the condition of<br />

the dwelling; on residents’ satisfaction with aspects of their<br />

dwelling, such as costs, heating system and water supply; on<br />

problems in the area where the dwelling is located; and on<br />

problems with the affordability of the dwelling itself, with<br />

heating the dwelling or with home appliances and furnishings.<br />

The Sample<br />

One of the requirements of the survey was to provide a<br />

database to the Department with a large enough sample to<br />

yield separate breakdowns at local authority level. The NSHQ<br />

completed sample size was over 40,000 households<br />

throughout the country. This is an extremely large sample by<br />

the standards of other sample surveys which have been<br />

previously carried out in Ireland. The sample of addresses<br />

was selected using the ESRI’s RANSAM programme, which<br />

uses a multi-stage randomised design based on the electoral<br />

register.<br />

The Survey<br />

The survey is based on a questionnaire interview of a<br />

household respondent. In each household, the person<br />

responsible for the accommodation (the owner, purchaser or<br />

tenant) was interviewed. A pilot test of the questionnaire was<br />

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conducted in August 2001 and the main survey went into the<br />

field in September. The fieldwork for the main survey<br />

extended from September 2001 to summer 2002. The<br />

questionnaire had an average completion time of 30 minutes.<br />

The overall response rate was 75 per cent. By the standards<br />

of statistical probability surveys currently undertaken in<br />

Ireland, these response levels are extremely high. The higher<br />

than usual response level in the NSHQ can be attributed to<br />

intensive interviewer training and sustained call-backs on the<br />

part of the interviewers.<br />

Sample Weights<br />

As noted above, sample weights are constructed to ensure<br />

that the sample is representative of the population along a<br />

number of key dimensions, such as region, household size,<br />

labour force participation, age of dwelling and so on. These<br />

weights adjust the sample for any lack of overall<br />

representativeness arising from sample design, the sampling<br />

frame available and patterns of non-response. The sample<br />

design for the NSHQ would have over-represented rural areas<br />

because of the requirement, noted above, for a sample of<br />

sufficient size to provide local authority-level tables. This<br />

meant that smaller local authority areas were overrepresented<br />

in the sample compared to their populations. The<br />

sampling frame, based on the electoral register, also tends to<br />

over-represent households with a larger number of persons<br />

over age 18. Differences in response rates are typically found<br />

between urban and rural areas, with higher response rates in<br />

the latter.<br />

The sample weights were constructed by adjusting the<br />

sample proportions to population figures based on the most<br />

176


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Appendix 2<br />

up-to-date information available. The population figures drew<br />

on data from reliable external sources, such as the<br />

preliminary figures from the 2002 census, from the Quarterly<br />

National Household Surveys and from the 1996 census with<br />

adjustments for population change.<br />

There were a number of steps involved in constructing the<br />

weights. The first involved constructing a weight to control for<br />

the fact that the sampling frame (based on the electoral<br />

registers) will tend to over-represent households with a larger<br />

number of adults. The weight was Wt1 = 1/A, where A is the<br />

number of adults age 18 or over in the household.<br />

The second weight grossed the number of sample cases in<br />

each local authority area up to the total number of private<br />

households in that local authority area, using preliminary<br />

figures provided by the Central Statistics Office based on the<br />

2002 census. Wt2 = (Wt1*PL )/SL, where PL refers to the total<br />

number of households in the local authority area and SL<br />

refers to the number of sample households in that local<br />

authority area.<br />

The next stage involved what is normally referred to as<br />

calibration (see, for example, Deville and Särndal 1992) – the<br />

second weight (Wt2) was adjusted so as to match the sample<br />

distribution of a given set of characteristics to the population<br />

distribution of these characteristics derived from external<br />

sources. The Gross programme was used to gross this<br />

second weight to local authority- and region-level totals for a<br />

set of control variables. 3 177<br />

3 This programme, developed by Johanna Gomulka, uses a minimum<br />

distance algorithm to adjust an initial weight (in this case Wt2) so that<br />

the distribution of cases in the sample matches a set of control totals.


xAppendix 2 7/7/05 6:59 am Page 178<br />

<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

The region-level totals were obtained from the Central<br />

Statistics Office, which provided special tabulations from<br />

the QNHS (second quarter, 2001). The local authority-level<br />

totals were obtained from the 1996 census (household size,<br />

number of persons at work) and the Department of the<br />

Environment Housing Statistics (number of local authority<br />

rented dwellings, new dwellings built after 1991). The countylevel<br />

figures from the 1996 census were updated to 2002<br />

figures using region-level information from the QNHS and<br />

preliminary county-level population and household totals from<br />

the 2002 census.<br />

At the time of constructing the weights, only the total males,<br />

total females and an estimate of the total number of<br />

households was available from the 2002 census. These<br />

figures were used to adjust the total number of males,<br />

females and households for each local authority to the figures<br />

for 2002.<br />

Table A2.2 shows the population checks that were included<br />

and the level (county or region level). For some variables,<br />

recent information was only available at the level of planning<br />

region (from the QNHS).<br />

A2.2 Imputation of Missing Information on NSHQ<br />

Missing information on key background variables in the<br />

NSHQ 2001/2002 was imputed based on other data on the<br />

household. This was done to ensure that all figures in a table<br />

were based on the same set of cases. Imputation was also<br />

conducted for the variables used to construct the weights.<br />

The variables where the level of missing information<br />

exceeded 5 per cent are shown in Table A2.3. The figure also<br />

178


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Appendix 2<br />

Table A2.2: Population checks for sample weighting<br />

Population checks at county level:<br />

• Household size (number of persons age 18 or over). From 1996<br />

census adjusted to 2002 figures using QNHS 2001 at region level and<br />

preliminary figures from 2002 census of number of males, females<br />

and households by local authority area.<br />

• Number of persons in household at work (three categories: none, one,<br />

two or more). From 1996 census adjusted to 2002 figures using<br />

QNHS at region level for second quarter 2001 and preliminary figures<br />

from 2002 census.<br />

• Number of local authority rented dwellings (from Department of the<br />

Environment Housing Statistics, September 2001).<br />

• Age of dwelling (from the 1991 census, updated using figures from the<br />

Department of the Environment Housing Statistics 2002 on new<br />

dwellings built since then 4 ).<br />

Population checks at level of planning region:<br />

• Household size (six categories, persons of all ages; from QNHS 2001).<br />

• Household type (five categories; from QNHS 2001).<br />

• Tenure (owner occupied, renter, other tenure; from QNHS 2001).<br />

• Age by sex (10 age groups; from QNHS 2001).<br />

• Occupation of oldest person, if at work (ISCO88, five categories; from<br />

QNHS 2001).<br />

• Education by sex (three categories of education; from QNHS 2001).<br />

• Economic status by sex (at work, unemployed, home duties, retired,<br />

student, other; from QNHS 2001).<br />

4 It was assumed that 0.6 per cent per annum of the 1991 housing stock<br />

was lost through demolition by 2002 – a total of 64,471 dwellings. It<br />

was further assumed that older dwellings would be lost at a greater<br />

rate: 70 per cent from the pre-1919 stock; 20 per cent from the<br />

1919–40 stock and 10 per cent from the 1941–60 stock. Of dwellings<br />

built since 1991, it was assumed that 1 per cent of the total built from<br />

1991–96 were for holiday use, rising to 1.5 per cent of the total built<br />

after 1996.<br />

179


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

shows the percentage of values imputed and the basis on<br />

which imputation was conducted.<br />

The imputation involved matching the household where the<br />

data was missing to a similar household with non-missing<br />

data using a set of related characteristics (typically county,<br />

cluster, tenure, household size and other variables that are<br />

predictive of the variable to be imputed). The imputed value<br />

was taken from the household with the closest match in<br />

terms of these characteristics. This approach is preferable to<br />

imputing an average value since it preserves the variation of<br />

the variable being imputed.<br />

Information on household members (age, sex, education,<br />

economic status and occupation of the oldest person) was<br />

needed for all households to weight the sample.<br />

A2.3 Income Correction Factor<br />

Measures of household income based on a single item, as is<br />

done in the NSHQ, will tend to understate income compared<br />

to the figure obtained if all household members are asked<br />

about their income from different sources. We know this from<br />

the Living in Ireland (LII) Surveys. The LII Surveys make use of<br />

both a single-item measure on the household questionnaire<br />

and a detailed set of questions on each income source posed<br />

to all adults in the household. The single-item measure<br />

understates total household income by 19 per cent (of the full<br />

measure) on average (or 24 per cent of the single-item<br />

measure). Table A2.4 shows that the degree to which the<br />

single-item measure understates total income is greater for<br />

households with a large number of income sources (typically<br />

associated with a larger number of adults) and households<br />

180


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Appendix 2<br />

Table A2.3: Level of missing information on key variables and<br />

imputation procedure<br />

Variable % imputed Variables used to impute the value<br />

Sex of household 1.4 Household size, local authority area,<br />

member<br />

cluster, sex of spouse (where applicable)<br />

Age of household 5.8 Age of spouse/parent/child (where<br />

member (all members)<br />

applicable), economic status (retired),<br />

household size, local authority area,<br />

cluster<br />

Highest level of 19.8 Occupation, age, sex, household size,<br />

education achieved<br />

housing tenure, local authority area,<br />

by each household<br />

cluster<br />

member<br />

Economic status 3.7 Age, sex, household size, local<br />

of household<br />

authority area, cluster<br />

member<br />

Occupational group 3.3 Housing tenure, age, education, Local<br />

of oldest person in<br />

authority area, cluster<br />

the household, if<br />

at work<br />

Household income 12.3 Social class of householder, number of<br />

persons at work, number of adults, local<br />

authority area, cluster<br />

Housing tenure 2.2 Household size, local authority area,<br />

cluster<br />

Household type 1.3 Household size, age of reference person,<br />

age of other persons, local authority area,<br />

cluster<br />

Size of place 2.3 Local authority area, cluster<br />

Age of dwelling 1.7 Local authority area, cluster<br />

Floor area 75.0 No imputation<br />

Presence of wall 18.0 No imputation<br />

insulation<br />

Source: National Survey of Housing Quality, 2001/2002<br />

181


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

where the main source of income is from self-employment or<br />

agriculture. The difference between the two measures is<br />

smallest for one-adult or two-adult households relying on<br />

pension or social welfare income.<br />

The understatement is particularly marked where there is<br />

income from work and where there are a large number of<br />

adults in the household. A regression-based model was<br />

developed to correct for this understatement using variables<br />

that are measured on both the NSHQ and the LII Survey from<br />

2000. The model was developed using the LII Survey and<br />

then the coefficients for the model were used to ‘correct’ the<br />

income measure on the NSHQ. The single-item measure of<br />

income in the LII Survey recorded income as a continuous<br />

amount, or into 10 categories if an exact amount could not<br />

be provided. Since the NSHQ used a categorical variable, the<br />

LII incomes were recoded into a categorical format before<br />

running the model. This would enable us to simulate the<br />

relationship between the continuous distribution of income<br />

based on aggregating information collected in detail from all<br />

adults in the household and a categorical measure recorded<br />

by the householder.<br />

The coefficients from the model are shown in Table A2.5. The<br />

r-squared for the model is .644, indicating that the variables<br />

included in the model explain about 64 per cent of the<br />

variance in income. 5<br />

The model used the income category (coded as a<br />

dichotomous variable with a value of 1 for each category), the<br />

number of adults in the household, the number of children in<br />

the household and the number of persons at work. 6 Table<br />

5 The r-square for the model with the income categories alone is .54.<br />

182


xAppendix 2 7/7/05 6:59 am Page 183<br />

Appendix 2<br />

Table A2.4: Mean weekly household income (in £) using full<br />

measure and single-item measure by number of adults and<br />

number of persons at work<br />

Single- Full Difference Difference Difference<br />

item measure as % of as % of<br />

measure single-item full<br />

measure measure<br />

Number over 18<br />

1 184 195 11 6% 5%<br />

2 422 495 73 17% 15%<br />

3 483 633 149 31% 24%<br />

4 or more 621 932 311 50% 33%<br />

Number at work<br />

0 170 169 –2 –1% –1%<br />

1 345 407 62 18% 15%<br />

2 or more 569 748 179 31% 24%<br />

Total 389 482 93 24% 19%<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Survey, 2000<br />

A2.5 shows that incomes clearly bear a strong relationship to<br />

the income category. The category coefficients in Table A2.4<br />

are below the lower bound of the category itself because they<br />

are shown net of the effect of number of adults and number<br />

of persons at work. Each household will have at least one<br />

adult and at higher levels of income are likely to have at least<br />

one person at work. The number of adults and the number of<br />

6 A number of more complex models were tested, including variables<br />

such as tenure, region, education and age of householder and<br />

dichotomous variables for number of adults and number at work, but<br />

no improvement in the predictive power of the model was achieved.<br />

183


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

adults at work also have strong coefficients. The effect of<br />

additional children is much weaker and does not reach<br />

statistical significance. Nevertheless, it was included in the<br />

model because in a household survey such as the NSHQ,<br />

which does not have income as a central focus, it is likely<br />

that many householders did not include Child Benefit in their<br />

estimate of total income.<br />

Table A2.5: Model based on LII to correct for understatement<br />

of income when a single-item measure is used<br />

Variables Coefficient Std. error<br />

Constant –9.18 89.62<br />

Number of adults over 18 55.42 5.03<br />

Number of children under 18 2.73 3.45<br />

Number of adults at work 96.44 5.73<br />

Income £50–£99 50.41 90.43<br />

Income £100–£149 67.34 90.55<br />

Income £150–£199 81.62 90.06<br />

Income £200–£249 110.00 90.48<br />

Income £250–£299 173.06 90.28<br />

Income £300–£399 215.77 89.98<br />

Income £400–£499 275.46 90.16<br />

Income £500–£599 374.17 90.45<br />

Income £600–£999 521.26 90.30<br />

Income over £1,000 888.55 92.44<br />

Source: Living in Ireland Survey, 2000. Note: The omitted category for<br />

income is ‘under £50’.<br />

184


xAppendix 2 7/7/05 6:59 am Page 185<br />

Appendix 2<br />

Table A2.6: Income category midpoints and coefficients applied<br />

to the survey of house quality<br />

Lower Upper Point Lower Upper Point Coeffibound<br />

bound estimate bound bound estimate cients<br />

£ £ £ € € €<br />

Four-category 0 190 132 0 241 167 0.54<br />

measure 191 360 267 243 457 339 0.63<br />

(2.4% of 361 570 454 458 724 576 0.61<br />

households) 571 1,000 787 725 1270 999 0.65<br />

Sixteen- 0 85 75 0 108 54 0.00<br />

category 86 110 98 109 140 124 0.63<br />

measure 111 150 131 141 190 166 0.54<br />

(85.3% of 151 190 171 192 241 216 0.47<br />

households) 191 220 206 243 279 261 0.49<br />

221 270 246 281 343 312 0.63<br />

271 320 296 344 406 375 0.63<br />

321 360 341 408 457 432 0.62<br />

361 400 381 458 508 483 0.62<br />

401 450 426 509 571 540 0.61<br />

451 500 476 573 635 604 0.61<br />

501 570 536 636 724 680 0.68<br />

571 650 611 725 825 775 0.68<br />

651 750 701 827 952 889 0.65<br />

751 950 851 954 1,206 1,080 0.65<br />

951 Open 1,100 1,208 Open 1,333 0.81<br />

In the NSHQ, there were 16 income categories, rather than 10<br />

as in the LII data, and the amounts were presented to the<br />

respondents either in Irish pounds or in euro, depending on<br />

respondent preference, since the survey spanned the period<br />

of the euro changeover. The midpoints of the NSHQ income<br />

185


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

categories were matched to the nearest category from the<br />

LII so that the appropriate correction could be applied to<br />

the income category. The coefficients used were obtained<br />

by dividing the midpoint of each income category (shown<br />

in Table A2.6) by the corresponding coefficient in the<br />

model. The coefficients applied to each category are<br />

shown in Table A2.6.<br />

Table A2.7 shows the mean ‘corrected’ income for each<br />

household income category. Overall, incomes are adjusted<br />

upwards by about 24 per cent (see Table A2.8). In general,<br />

incomes in the lower categories tend to be adjusted<br />

upwards to a greater extent than incomes in the higher<br />

categories.<br />

The final column of Table A2.7 shows the percentage by<br />

which the predicted income would have been understated<br />

if the midpoint of the categories based on the single item<br />

had been used instead of the ‘corrected’ income. The<br />

biggest change is to the lowest category (€0 to €108).<br />

For the lowest income category, taking the midpoint of the<br />

category as a point estimate would not have been a good<br />

choice in any case. The general shape of the income<br />

distribution, rising steeply towards the lower end, would<br />

indicate the choice of a point estimate towards the upper<br />

bound of this category rather in the middle of it.<br />

Table A2.8 shows that the difference between the singleitem<br />

measure and the ‘corrected’ income is minimal where<br />

there is only one adult in the household or where there is<br />

nobody at work in the household. The difference is much<br />

larger where there are several adults in the household (the<br />

average increase is 65 per cent where there are four or<br />

more adults in the household) and where there are adults at<br />

186


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Appendix 2<br />

Table A2.7: Mean ‘corrected’ income for each original income<br />

category in the NSHQ<br />

Lower Upper Mean Implied<br />

bound (€) bound (€) ‘corrected’ ‘under-<br />

Income statement’<br />

(€)<br />

Four-category 0 241 292 43<br />

measure 243 457 562 40<br />

(2.4% of households) 458 724 759 24<br />

725 1,270 1,142 13<br />

Sixteen-category 0 108 198 73<br />

measure (85.3% of 109 140 219 43<br />

households) 141 190 260 36<br />

192 241 333 35<br />

243 279 386 32<br />

281 343 491 37<br />

344 406 572 34<br />

408 457 633 32<br />

458 508 678 29<br />

509 571 723 25<br />

573 635 781 23<br />

636 724 899 24<br />

725 825 981 21<br />

827 952 1,050 15<br />

954 1,206 1,193 9<br />

1,208 Open 1,607 17<br />

work. The increase is 12 per cent where there is one person<br />

at work and 37 per cent, on average, where there are two or<br />

more people at work.<br />

187


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Table A2.8: Average income before and after correction by<br />

number of adults and number at work in the NSHQ<br />

A B C D<br />

Household Household Difference Difference<br />

income income (B – A) %<br />

(uncorrected) (corrected) (C ÷ A)<br />

€ per week € per week<br />

Number of adults (18+)<br />

1 316 316 0 0<br />

2 559 643 84 15<br />

3 601 815 214 36<br />

4 or more 726 1195 470 65<br />

Number at work<br />

0 261 260 –2 –1<br />

1 499 558 59 12<br />

2 or more 719 983 263 37<br />

Total 519 641 122 24<br />

A2.4 Comparing Disparities in Relative <strong>Poverty</strong> Risk<br />

in the LII and NSHQ<br />

As noted in Chapter 3, the analysis of poverty risk using the<br />

NSHQ focuses on disparities in risk, i.e. on the ratio of the<br />

risk faced by a particular sub-group to the overall risk at a<br />

national level. The following tables compare the disparities in<br />

risk of income poverty found using the NSHQ to those using<br />

the LII for a comparable set of variables.<br />

As can be seen from Table A2.9, the figures from both<br />

sources are very similar for relative income poverty. However,<br />

there is some tendency for the relative risk associated with<br />

working or not working to be exaggerated in the NSHQ. This<br />

188


xAppendix 2 7/7/05 6:59 am Page 189<br />

Appendix 2<br />

Table A2.9: Disparities in risk of income poverty by region,<br />

tenure, household size, economic status and social class from<br />

the LII Survey and the NSHQ<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> risk, 50% <strong>Poverty</strong> risk, 50%<br />

mean, Scale A mean, Scale A over<br />

over household household<br />

LII NSHQ LII NSHQ<br />

Region Border 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3<br />

Dublin 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.8<br />

Mid-East 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8<br />

Midlands 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.2<br />

Mid-West 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1<br />

South-East 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1<br />

South-West 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1<br />

West 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.1<br />

Tenure Owner 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8<br />

LATP 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.4<br />

Rent free 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1<br />

LA tenant 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.2<br />

Private tenant 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8<br />

Household 1 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.8<br />

size (all ages) 2 1.0 1.3 1.1 1.0<br />

3 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7<br />

4 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.5<br />

5 or more 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9<br />

Economic Work 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.3<br />

status of Unemployed 2.5 3.9 2.3 3.3<br />

householder Retired 1.5 2.6 1.6 2.4<br />

Home duties 2.5 3.4 2.1 3.1<br />

Student 2.4 2.2 2.4 2.2<br />

Other 2.7 3.8 2.6 3.2<br />

Social High professional/<br />

class of managerial 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3<br />

householder Low professional/<br />

managerial 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5<br />

Other non-manual 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8<br />

Skilled manual 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.8<br />

Semi-skilled manual 1.5 1.1 1.5 1.1<br />

Unskilled manual 2.0 1.5 1.9 1.5<br />

Unknown 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1<br />

Number at 0 2.7 3.2 2.4 2.8<br />

work in 1 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.5<br />

household 2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1<br />

3 or more 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0<br />

Total 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0<br />

189


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<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

is likely to be due to the use of the work variable in the<br />

income correction equation described above. As we shall<br />

see later, the differences disappear when material<br />

deprivation, as well as income, is taken into consideration.<br />

A2.5 Comparing the Pattern of Disparities in<br />

Deprivation in the LII Survey and NSHQ<br />

Table A2.10 presents corresponding results for the<br />

modified consistent poverty (MCP) measure discussed in<br />

Chapter 3. Note that the measures use different sets of<br />

items for the ‘basic deprivation’ set so that the results from<br />

the NSHQ are for ‘modified’ consistent poverty, rather than<br />

for consistent poverty as measured in the LII Survey.<br />

Consistent poverty in the LII Survey is measured as being<br />

below 60 per cent of the mean equivalised household<br />

income (using Scale A) and lacking at least one item from<br />

the set of basic deprivation items (meat, new clothes,<br />

adequate heat, overcoat, shoes, roast, debt, do without<br />

meal, do without heat). MCP in the NSHQ is measured as<br />

being below 60 per cent of the mean equivalised<br />

household income (Scale A) and lacking at least one of the<br />

items in the basic set from the NSHQ (meat, new clothes,<br />

adequate heat, arrears, socialising, furniture and holiday).<br />

Given the differences between the measures of deprivation,<br />

it should not be surprising that the results diverge to a<br />

greater extent than for income poverty risk. Nevertheless,<br />

the main patterns still hold up well across both measures.<br />

The NSHQ measure shows somewhat less variation by<br />

regional authority, but the Border region remains most<br />

deprived and the Dublin region least deprived. The<br />

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xAppendix 2 7/7/05 6:59 am Page 191<br />

Appendix 2<br />

Table A2.10: Disparities in risk of (modified) consistent poverty<br />

(60% mean and basic) by region, tenure, household size,<br />

economic status and social class from the LII Survey and the<br />

NSHQ<br />

Consistent<br />

poverty LII<br />

Modified<br />

consistent<br />

poverty NSHQ<br />

Regional authority area<br />

Border 1.8 1.4<br />

Dublin 0.5 0.7<br />

Mid-East 1.0 0.8<br />

Midlands 0.6 1.2<br />

Mid-West 1.5 1.1<br />

South-East 1.1 1.1<br />

South-West 1.1 1.1<br />

West 1.0 1.1<br />

Tenure<br />

Owner 0.5 0.7<br />

LATP 0.8 1.5<br />

Rent free 2.0 1.1<br />

LA tenant 5.2 2.8<br />

Private tenant 1.6 0.9<br />

Household size<br />

1 1.8 1.8<br />

2 0.9 1.0<br />

3 0.9 0.7<br />

4 0.5 0.6<br />

5 0.8 0.9<br />

Economic status of householder<br />

Work 0.3 0.3<br />

Unemployed 5.7 4.1<br />

Retired 1.2 2.2<br />

Home duties 2.4 3.3<br />

Student – 2.6<br />

Other 2.4 4.0<br />

Social class of householder<br />

High professional/managerial 0.1 0.2<br />

Low professional/managerial 0.3 0.4<br />

Other non-manual 1.0 0.7<br />

Skilled manual 0.8 0.8<br />

Semi-skilled manual 2.1 1.1<br />

Unskilled manual 1.7 1.7<br />

Unknown 1.8 2.2<br />

Number at work<br />

0 2.7 2.9<br />

1 0.7 0.5<br />

2 0.1 0.1<br />

3 0.0 0.0<br />

Total 1.0 1.0<br />

191


xAppendix 2 7/7/05 6:59 am Page 192<br />

<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Midlands appears more deprived than average on the NSHQ<br />

measure, but less deprived than average on the LII measure.<br />

The Mid-West appears 50 per cent more likely than average<br />

to face consistent poverty on the LII, but is only 10 per cent<br />

above average on the NSHQ.<br />

In terms of tenure, the local authority tenant purchasers show<br />

50 per cent more deprivation than average on the NSHQ<br />

measure, but 20 per cent less on the LII measure. On the<br />

other hand, private sector renters appear 60 per cent more<br />

deprived than average on the LII measure, but 20 per cent<br />

less deprived than average on the NSHQ. The relative<br />

disadvantage of local authority renters is much greater on the<br />

LII measure (5.2 times the average versus 2.8 times).<br />

The patterns using both measures are very similar across<br />

household size categories and for number of persons in the<br />

household at work and are broadly similar for social class of<br />

householder.<br />

Differences are also apparent for economic status of the<br />

householder. The extent of disadvantage experienced by the<br />

unemployed is greater on the LII, while the extent of<br />

disadvantage experienced by those retired, engaged on<br />

home duties or otherwise inactive (including people unable to<br />

work due to illness or disability) is greater on the NSHQ.<br />

192


xxGlossary/Refs 7/7/05 6:59 am Page 193<br />

Glossary<br />

Consistent poverty A measure of poverty that takes account<br />

of living standards as well as income. To be ‘consistently<br />

poor’, a household must fall below 60 per cent of the mean<br />

equivalised household income and lack basic necessities.<br />

Equivalised income An adjustment to total household<br />

income to take account of the household size and<br />

composition. It is the income per ‘adult equivalent’ in the<br />

household. It is calculated by giving a weight to each adult<br />

(age 15 and over) and each child (under age 15) in the<br />

household and dividing total household income by the sum of<br />

the weights for household members.<br />

Incidence of poverty This term refers to the proportion of all<br />

poor households who are found in a specific sub-group or<br />

region, e.g. the percentage of all poor households that are<br />

located in the Border-Midlands-West (BMW) region.<br />

LII The Living in Ireland Surveys – a panel survey of several<br />

thousand households that followed the same individuals over<br />

time between 1994 and 2000. It collected detailed information<br />

on incomes, economic activity, household composition and<br />

living standards. In 2000 the sample was supplemented by<br />

adding 1,500 new households.<br />

193


xxGlossary/Refs 7/7/05 6:59 am Page 194<br />

<strong>Mapping</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong><br />

Nagelkerke R 2 A measure of how much of the variation in a<br />

dependent variable is explained by a set of independent<br />

variables. Like the R 2 in ordinary least squares regression<br />

(OLS), it can vary between 0 and 1. A value closer to 1<br />

indicates that more variation is ‘explained’ by the<br />

independent variables.<br />

NAPS National Anti-<strong>Poverty</strong> Strategy.<br />

NSHQ National Survey of Housing Quality conducted in<br />

2001/2002, with a sample size of over 40,000 households.<br />

Odds ratio A measure used to compare the risk of different<br />

groups. For instance, in 2000, 3.9 per cent of homeowners<br />

(without a mortgage) fell below the consistent poverty line,<br />

giving them a 0.04 (3.9/96.1) odds of being poor. On the other<br />

hand, 32.4 per cent of local authority tenants were found<br />

below the consistent poverty line, giving them a 0.48<br />

(32.4/67.6) odds of being poor. The difference in risk of being<br />

consistently poor between these two groups (local authority<br />

tenants and outright owners) can be indexed by the ratio of<br />

these odds (.48/.04), which gives an odds ratio of 12:1. Thus,<br />

local authority tenants had a 12 times greater risk of being<br />

poor than homeowners.<br />

Risk of poverty The percentage of persons or households in<br />

a group that fall below the poverty line, e.g. the percentage of<br />

households in the Border-Midlands-West (BMW) region that<br />

are poor.<br />

194


xxGlossary/Refs 7/7/05 6:59 am Page 195<br />

References<br />

Callan, T., Nolan, B. and Whelan, C.T. (1993), ‘Resources, Deprivation and<br />

the Measurement of <strong>Poverty</strong>’, Journal of Social Policy, vol. 22, no. 2,<br />

pp. 141–72.<br />

Callan, T., Nolan, B., Whelan, B.J., Hannan, D.F. and Creighton, S. (1989),<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong>, Income and Welfare, Dublin: Economic and Social Research<br />

Institute.<br />

Callan, T., Nolan, B., Whelan, B.J., Whelan, C.T. and Williams, J. (1996),<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> in the 90s: Evidence from the 1994 Living in Ireland Survey,<br />

Dublin: Oak Tree Press.<br />

Deville, J.C. and Särndal, C.E. (1992), ‘Calibration Estimators in Survey<br />

Sampling’, Journal of the American Statistical Association, no. 87,<br />

pp. 376–82.<br />

Fahey, T. and Williams, J. (2000), ‘The Spatial Distribution of Disadvantage<br />

in Ireland’, in B. Nolan, P. O’Connell and C.T. Whelan (eds.), Bust to<br />

Boom: The Irish Experience of Growth and Inequality, Dublin:<br />

Institute of Public Administration.<br />

Friedrichs, J. (1998), ‘Do Poor Residents Make their Residents Poorer<br />

Context Effects of Poor Neighbourhoods on Residents’, in H.J.<br />

Andreß (ed.), Empirical <strong>Poverty</strong> Research in Comparative<br />

Perspective, Aldershot: Ashgate.<br />

Gomulka, J. (1992), ‘Grossing-up Revisited’, in R. Hancock and H.<br />

Sutherland (eds.), Microsimulation Models for Public Policy Analysis:<br />

New Frontiers, STICERD Occasional Paper 17, LSE.<br />

Gomulka, J. (1994), ‘Grossing Up: A Note on Calculating Household<br />

Weights from Family Composition Totals’, Microsimulation Unit<br />

Research Note MU/RN/4, University of Cambridge Department of<br />

Economics, March 1994.<br />

195


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Haase, T., McKeown, K. and Rourke, S. (1996), Local Development<br />

Strategies for Disadvantaged Areas, 192-195: Evaluation of the<br />

Global Grant in Ireland, Dublin: Area Development Management<br />

(ADM) Ltd.<br />

Jargowski, P.A. (1996), <strong>Poverty</strong> and Place: Ghettos, Barrios and the<br />

American City, New York: Russell Sage Foundation.<br />

Jencks, C. and Mayer, S. (1990), ‘The Social Consequences of Growing<br />

Up in a Poor Neighbourhood’, in L. Lynn, Jr. and M. McGeary,<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong> in the United States, Washington, DC: National Academy<br />

Press.<br />

Layte, R., Nolan, B. and Whelan, C.T. (2000), ‘Cumulative Disadvantage<br />

and Polarisation’, in B. Nolan, P. O’Connell and C.T. Whelan (eds.),<br />

Bust to Boom: The Irish Experience of Growth and Inequality, Dublin:<br />

Institute of Public Administration.<br />

Layte, R., Nolan, B. and Whelan, C.T. (2001), ‘Reassessing Income and<br />

Deprivation Approaches to <strong>Poverty</strong> in Ireland’, Economic and Social<br />

Review, vol. 32, no. 3, pp. 239–61.<br />

Murray, C. (1984), Losing Ground: American Social Policy, 1950–1980,<br />

New York: Basic Books.<br />

National Economic and Social Council (1990), Strategies for the Nineties:<br />

Economic Stability and Structural Change: Report 89, Dublin: NESC.<br />

Nolan, B. and Whelan, C.T. (1996), Resources, Deprivation and <strong>Poverty</strong>,<br />

Oxford: Clarendon Press.<br />

Nolan, B. and Whelan, C.T. (2000), ‘“Urban Housing” and the Role of<br />

“Underclass” Processes: The Case of Ireland’, Journal of European<br />

Social Policy, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 5–21.<br />

Nolan, B., Gannon, B., Layte, R., Watson, D., Whelan, C.T. and Williams,<br />

J. (2002), Monitoring <strong>Poverty</strong> Trends in Ireland: Results from the<br />

2000 Living in Ireland Survey, Dublin: Economic and Social Research<br />

Institute.<br />

Nolan, B., Whelan, C.T. and Williams, J. (1998), Where are Poor<br />

Households: The Spatial Distribution of <strong>Poverty</strong> in Ireland, Dublin:<br />

Oak Tree Press.<br />

Pringle, D., Cook, S., Poole, M.A. and Moore, A.J. (2000), Cross-border<br />

Deprivation Analysis, Dublin: <strong>Combat</strong> <strong>Poverty</strong> <strong>Agency</strong>.<br />

Pringle, D.G. (1999), ‘Something Old, Something New: Lessons to be<br />

Learnt from Previous Strategies of Positive Territorial Discrimination’,<br />

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References<br />

in D.G. Pringle, J. Walsh and M. Hennessy (eds.), Poor People: Poor<br />

Places, Dublin: Oak Tree Press.<br />

Pringle, D.G and Walsh, J. (1999), ‘Poor People, Poor Places: Conclusion’<br />

in D.G. Pringle, J. Walsh and M. Hennessy (eds.), Poor People: Poor<br />

Places, Dublin: Oak Tree Press.<br />

Sampson, R.J., Morenoff, J.D. and Gannin-Rowley, T. (2002), ‘Assessing<br />

“Neighbourhood Effects”: Social Processes and New Directions in<br />

Research’, Annual Review of Sociology, no. 28, pp. 443–78.<br />

Tunstall, R. and Lupton, R. (2003), ‘Is Targeting Deprived Areas an<br />

Effective Means to Reach Poor People An Assessment of One<br />

Rationale for Area-Based Gunning Programmes’, CASE paper 70,<br />

Centre for Analysis of Exclusion, London School of Economics.<br />

Walsh, J. (1999), ‘The Role of Area-based Programmes in Tackling<br />

<strong>Poverty</strong>’, in D.G. Pringle, J. Walsh and M. Hennessy, (eds.), Poor<br />

People: Poor Places, Dublin: Oak Tree Press.<br />

Watson, D. and Williams, J. (2003), Irish National Survey of Housing<br />

Quality 2001–2002, Dublin: Economic and Social Research<br />

Institute/Department of the Environment, Local Government and<br />

Heritage, ESRI Books and Monographs Series No. 173.<br />

Wilson (1987), The Truly Disadvantaged: The Inner City, The Underclass<br />

and Public Policy, Chicago, IL: Chicago University Press.<br />

197


<strong>Mapping</strong> poverty is a longstanding concern, both for researchers and<br />

policy makers. This study updates and extends previous research on<br />

the spatial distribution of poverty using recent national data sources:<br />

the Census of Population (2002), the Living in Ireland Survey (2000)<br />

and, for the first time, the National Survey of Housing Quality (2001).<br />

The research uses three poverty indicators (household income,<br />

material deprivation and socio-demographic variables) to measure the<br />

distribution of poverty at various spatial and administrative levels,<br />

including county and city councils for the first time.<br />

The study addresses three key aspects of the spatial distribution<br />

of poverty:<br />

■ It identifies patterns with regard to the concentration of poverty<br />

and how these have evolved over time.<br />

■ It assesses if these patterns are significant in terms of the overall<br />

incidence of poverty.<br />

■ It considers the processes underlying poverty clustering,<br />

distinguishing between factors that influence the location and the<br />

causes of poverty.<br />

The findings of this study increase our understanding of the location<br />

of poverty and highlight numerous implications for policy on<br />

combating poverty and social exclusion, including area programmes,<br />

social housing and local anti-poverty strategies. The study will be of<br />

relevance to anti-poverty organisations, regional and local government<br />

and teachers/students of social policy and geography.<br />

€ 20.00

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