Small/Mid Cap Strategy and Stock Picks - the DBS Vickers ...
Small/Mid Cap Strategy and Stock Picks - the DBS Vickers ...
Small/Mid Cap Strategy and Stock Picks - the DBS Vickers ...
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Regional <strong>Small</strong>/<strong>Mid</strong> <strong>Cap</strong> <strong>Strategy</strong> Q2 2008<br />
Earnings Guide<br />
MALAYSIA: EARNINGS GUIDE<br />
FYE Mkt Mkt Price Target Share Price Avg CAGR EV/EBITDA Price/ Price/ Dividend Yield Net Debt<br />
Company <strong>Cap</strong> <strong>Cap</strong> (RM) Price % Performance (%) 6-mth Net Profit (Before EI) EPS (Sen) 07-09 PE (x)<br />
(x) BV x Sales x (%) /Equity ROA ROE Disclosure<br />
(RMm) (US$m) 25-Mar (RM) Upside Rcmd 3M 6M 12M Vol (m) 07 08F 09F 08F 09F (%) 08F 09F 08F 09F 08F 08F 08F 09F 07 07 07 Analyst Legend<br />
Gaming<br />
Berjaya Sports Toto Apr 6,823 2,135 5.05 5.30 5% H -1 3 9 1.1 400 422 453 33.0 35.4 6 15.3x 14.3x 10.9x 10.1x 5.1x 1.9x 5.9% 6.4% cash 20% 33% Lee Len Chong<br />
Genting Dec 24,073 7,535 6.50 8.80 35% B -16 -18 -18 5.5 1,502 1,705 1,701 46.1 46.0 6 14.1x 14.1x 7.2x 7.1x 1.7x 2.6x 1.0% 1.1% cash 6% 15% Chong Lee Len<br />
Magnum Dec 4,838 1,514 3.34 3.45 3% H 2 16 2 1.9 264 292 311 20.2 21.5 9 16.6x 15.6x 10.2x 9.7x 2.4x 1.5x 4.2% 4.8% cash 11% 14% Lee Len Chong<br />
Multi-purpose Dec 1,642 514 1.72 3.60 109% B -25 0 -27 2.5 204 160 164 16.8 17.2 -10 10.2x 10.0x 13.0x 11.6x 0.9x 0.5x 5.0% 5.9% cash 11% 27% Lee Len Chong<br />
Resorts World Dec 19,525 6,111 3.34 4.70 41% B -11 -15 8 8.7 1,035 1,246 1,329 21.1 22.5 13 15.8x 14.8x 8.4x 7.4x 2.2x 4.4x 1.8% 2.1% cash 16% 20% Chong Lee Len<br />
Tanjong Jan 6,412 2,007 15.90 20.10 26% B -13 -15 1 0.3 510 527 593 130.7 147.0 8 12.2x 10.8x 7.5x 6.6x 1.8x 2.4x 3.9% 4.2% 0.84 7% 17% Chong Lee Len<br />
Sector 63,313 19,816 3,915 4,352 4,551 14.5x 13.9x<br />
Plantation<br />
IOI Corporation Jun 41,354 12,943 6.75 8.70 29% B -10 15 62 12.7 1,482 2,035 2,250 32.7 36.3 23 20.7x 18.6x 15.4x 13.7x 5.5x 4.3x 2.4% 2.7% 0.11 12% 22% Ben Santoso<br />
CB Industrial Dec 553 173 4.02 7.90 97% B -35 -11 -3 0.3 46 73 91 52.8 66.3 40 7.6x 6.1x 7.7x 6.5x 2.4x 1.4x 3.9% 4.9% 0.07 17% 29% Kok Chiew Sia<br />
IJM Plantation Dec 2,247 703 3.52 4.75 35% B 10 50 107 1.2 44 120 164 21.4 29.2 91 16.4x 12.1x 10.2x 7.6x 2.8x 4.2x 0.4% 0.5% 0.15 5% 8% Juliana Ramli<br />
KL Kepong Sep 17,827 5,580 16.70 20.60 23% B 0 27 37 1.5 694 962 978 90.1 91.6 19 18.5x 18.2x 11.8x 11.5x 3.2x 2.8x 2.8% 2.8% 0.11 11% 15% Ben Santoso<br />
Asiatic Development Dec 6,049 1,893 8.00 9.35 17% B -2 29 54 1.3 344 471 428 62.6 56.9 12 12.8x 14.1x 8.3x 8.7x 2.5x 5.4x 1.8% 1.6% cash 16% 18% Juliana Ramli<br />
TSH Resources Dec 1,115 349 2.70 5.00 85% B -16 -4 10 0.3 83 123 134 29.7 32.6 27 9.1x 8.3x 7.8x 7.2x 1.6x 1.0x 1.9% 1.9% 0.27 8% 16% Juliana Ramli<br />
TH Plantations Dec 592 185 3.02 4.70 56% B -6 -4 -10 0.2 62 89 75 45.3 38.1 10 6.7x 7.9x 4.7x 5.5x 2.3x 2.5x 7.2% 6.1% cash 23% 34% Ben Santoso<br />
Sector 69,739 21,827 2,755 3,873 4,120 18.0x 16.9x<br />
Power<br />
Tenaga Nasional Aug 31,851 9,969 7.35 9.80 33% B -23 -25 -36 6.7 3,575 3,593 3,481 83.0 80.4 -1 8.9x 9.1x 5.6x 5.3x 1.2x 1.3x 5.3% 5.3% 0.77 6% 19% June Ng<br />
YTL Power Jun 13,177 4,124 2.45 3.00 22% B -2 6 7 2.7 1,269 1,097 1,111 16.4 16.6 1 14.9x 14.7x 9.4x 9.2x 2.5x 4.0x 4.6% 4.6% 1.31 5% 21% June Ng<br />
Sector 45,028 14,093 4,845 4,690 4,592 9.6x 9.8x<br />
Property<br />
SP Setia Oct 3,680 1,152 3.62 6.10 69% B -25 -37 -31 3.9 260 272 319 26.9 31.6 11 13.4x 11.4x 10.4x 8.2x 1.8x 2.7x 3.1% 3.6% 0.14 9% 15% Tan Siang Hing<br />
KLCC Property Mar 2,597 813 2.78 4.40 58% B -20 -23 -19 1.1 203 203 230 23.5 24.6 6 11.9x 11.3x 10.6x 10.9x 0.6x 3.1x 3.1% 3.2% 0.26 15% 36% Tan Siang Hing<br />
Sunway City Jun 1,316 412 2.80 5.50 96% B -44 -41 -22 0.4 131 151 202 35.8 48.0 24 7.8x 5.8x 5.0x 4.0x 0.8x 0.9x 1.3% 1.3% 0.46 4% 14% Tan Siang Hing<br />
Eastern & Oriental Bhd Mar 754 236 1.80 3.80 111% B -31 -31 -16 0.3 61 63 79 14.9 18.7 5 12.1x 9.6x 9.0x 8.6x 1.3x 1.3x 1.4% 1.4% 0.58 3% 14% Tan Siang Hing<br />
E & O Property Mar 1,245 390 1.88 4.30 129% B -32 -40 -33 0.5 121 121 131 18.9 20.3 4 10.0x 9.2x 8.1x 7.6x 1.3x 2.2x 0.0% 0.0% 0.47 7% 16% Tan Siang Hing<br />
Axis REIT Dec 435 136 1.70 2.60 53% B -7 -12 -3 0.2 28 25 20 9.8 7.9 -15 17.4x 21.4x 20.0x 19.5x 1.3x 7.9x 5.5% 4.5% 0.63 14% 22% June Ng<br />
Sunrise Berhad Jun 959 300 2.14 4.00 87% B -35 -35 -10 0.8 108 114 192 26.5 44.6 33 8.1x 4.8x 6.0x 3.6x 1.2x 1.3x 0.0% 7.3% 0.25 10% 19% Tan Siang Hing<br />
YTL L<strong>and</strong> Jun 812 254 1.02 2.70 165% B -30 -37 -14 0.4 16 31 88 8.7 25.2 134 11.7x 4.1x 7.8x 2.8x 0.6x 2.0x 0.0% 0.0% 0.11 2% 3% Tan Siang Hing<br />
Sector 11,798 3,693 928 979 1,261 12.0x 9.4x<br />
Telecommunication<br />
Digi.Com Dec 18,300 5,728 24.40 30.00 23% B 2 16 32 1.3 1,047 1,149 1,246 150.4 160.2 7 16.2x 15.2x 8.1x 7.3x 10.2x 3.8x 4.5% 4.9% cash 27% 64% Ong Boon Leong<br />
Telekom Dec 38,994 12,205 10.90 11.90 9% B -4 15 8 7.0 2,168 2,471 2,766 71.9 80.5 16 15.2x 13.5x 5.9x 5.6x 1.8x 1.9x 3.2% 3.5% 0.38 6% 12% Ong Boon Leong<br />
Green Packet Dec 740 232 2.22 3.60 62% B -8 -20 -33 0.3 39 46 56 13.7 16.9 20 16.2x 13.1x 11.3x 9.0x 1.6x 3.9x 1.9% 2.3% cash 6% 7% Ong Boon Leong<br />
Sector 58,034 18,164 3,255 3,665 4,068 15.8x 14.3x<br />
Technology<br />
BCT Technology Dec 40 13 0.30 0.80 167% B -42 -59 -67 0.1 8 12 18 9.2 13.5 50 3.2x 2.2x 1.6x 0.9x 0.6x 0.7x 0.0% 0.0% cash 9% 17% Ong Boon Leong<br />
Sector 40 13 8 12 18 3.2x 2.2x<br />
Transport<br />
Malaysia Airlines Dec 5,982 1,872 3.58 5.80 62% B -26 -27 -44 0.7 363 643 827 51.3 66.0 51 7.0x 5.4x 2.6x 0.5x 0.9x 0.3x 0.0% 0.0% cash 9% 31% Tan Siang Hing<br />
MISC-F Mar 30,317 9,489 8.15 9.90 22% H -17 -17 -11 0.8 2,415 2,267 2,185 60.9 58.7 -5 13.4x 13.9x 8.3x 8.2x 1.6x 2.6x 3.7% 3.7% 0.24 10% 16% Wong Ming Tek<br />
Sector 36,299 11,361 2,779 2,910 3,012 12.5x 12.1x<br />
Logistics<br />
Century Logistics Dec 109 34 1.68 3.60 114% B -15 -29 87 0.1 18 23 27 44.0 51.3 39 3.8x 3.3x 4.0x 3.3x 1.1x 0.7x 4.0% 4.0% 0.64 11% 21% Juliana Ramli<br />
Malaysia Airports Dec 3,146 985 2.86 3.55 24% B -5 4 2 0.4 210 221 20.1 n.a 14.2x 3.9x 3.7x 1.0x 2.2x 4.9% 5.1% cash 6% 9% Wong Ming Tek<br />
Sector 3,255 1,019 228 244 13.3x n.a<br />
* June year end<br />
** 18 months to December. Legend<br />
^ PE for Motor Sector has exclued Proton Note 2 <strong>DBS</strong>VR, <strong>DBS</strong>VS, <strong>DBS</strong> Bank Ltd <strong>and</strong>/or o<strong>the</strong>r affiliates of <strong>DBS</strong>VUSA, within <strong>the</strong> past 12 months, have received<br />
Companies with FYE before April have been classified as preceeding year's results<br />
compensation <strong>and</strong>/or within <strong>the</strong> next 3 months seek to obtain compensation for investment banking services<br />
RM/USD Exch rate: RM3.19595<br />
We have to remove Quill <strong>Cap</strong>ital Trust due to Blackout:<br />
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