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General DVD 15<br />

• Toshiba (1996) 120 million DVD-ROM drives in 2000 (80 percent<br />

penetration of 100 million PCs). Toshiba says they will no longer make<br />

CD-ROM drives in 2000.<br />

• AMI (1997) An installed base of 7 million DVD-ROM drives by 2000.<br />

• BASES 3 million DVD-Video players sold in the first year, with 13 million<br />

sold in the sixth year.<br />

• CEMA (1997) 400,000 DVD-Video players in United States in 1997,<br />

with 1 million in 1998.<br />

• Dataquest (1997) Over 33 million shipments of DVD players and<br />

drives by 2000.<br />

• Forrester Research (1997) A U.S. base of 53 million DVD-equipped<br />

PCs established by 2002 and 5.2 percent of U.S. households (5 million)<br />

will have a DVD-V player in 2002; 2 percent will have a DVD-Audio<br />

player.<br />

• IDC (1997) 10 million DVD-ROM drives sold in 1997, 70 million in<br />

2000 (surpassing CD-ROMs), and 118 million in 2001, with over 13<br />

percent of all software available on DVD-ROM in 1998. DVD-R drives<br />

will be more than 90 percent of combined CD/DVD-R market in 2001.<br />

• Intel (1997) 70 million DVD-ROM drives by 1999 (sales will surpass<br />

CD-ROM drives in 1998).<br />

• Paul Kagan (1997) 800,000 DVD players in the United States in<br />

1997, 10 million in 2000, and 40 million in 2006 (43 percent penetration),<br />

and 5.6 million discs sold in 1997, 172 million discs in 2000, and<br />

623 million in 2006.<br />

• Microsoft (Peter Biddle, 1997) 15 million DVD PCs sold in 1998,<br />

with 50 million DVD PCs sold in 1999.<br />

• SMD (1997) 100 million DVD-ROM/RAM drives shipped in 2000.<br />

• InfoTech (January 1998) 20 million DVD-Video players worldwide in<br />

2002, with 58 million by 2005. 99 million DVD-ROM drives worldwide<br />

in 2005. No more than 500 DVD-ROM titles available by the end of<br />

1998. About 80,000 DVD-ROM titles available by 2005.<br />

• Microsoft (Jim Taylor, 1998) An installed base of 35 million DVD<br />

PCs in 1999.<br />

• Screen Digest (December 1998) In 1998, 125,000 DVD-Video players<br />

will be in European homes, with 485,000 in 1999, and 1 million in<br />

2000.

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