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your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

ISSN 075-0780<br />

Vol. 4 No. 18<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

N750<br />

<strong>Waiting</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>market</strong><br />

<strong>stabilisation</strong> <strong>fund</strong><br />

Diaspora <strong>fund</strong> coming


your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

Market News 2<br />

Agriculture 4<br />

Okomu Oil 4<br />

Presco 4<br />

Airline services 5<br />

Airline Services& Logistics 5<br />

NAHCO 5<br />

Automobile & tyre 6<br />

Dunlop 6<br />

R T Briscoe 6<br />

Banking 7<br />

Access Bank 7<br />

Afribank 7<br />

Diamond Bank 8<br />

Ecobank 8<br />

Ecobank Transnational 9<br />

Fidelity Bank 9<br />

First Bank 10<br />

FCMB 10<br />

First Inland Bank 11<br />

Guaranty Trust Bank 11<br />

Stanbic IBTC Bank 12<br />

Intercontinental Bank 12<br />

Oceanic Bank Int. 14<br />

Bank PHB 14<br />

Skye Bank 15<br />

UBA 15<br />

Union Bank 16<br />

Unity Bank 16<br />

Wema Bank 17<br />

Content<br />

Guide<br />

Zenith Bank 17<br />

Breweries 18<br />

Guinness 18<br />

Nigerian Breweries 18<br />

Building materials 19<br />

Ashakacem 19<br />

Benue Cement Company 19<br />

Cement Co. of N. Nigeria 20<br />

Lafarge Wapco Plc. 20<br />

Chemical & paints 21<br />

Berger Paints 21<br />

Chemical & Allied Products 21<br />

DN Meyer 22<br />

Nig.German Chemicals 22<br />

Conglomerates 23<br />

PZ Industries 23<br />

Transcorp 23<br />

UACN 24<br />

Unilever 24<br />

Construction 25<br />

Julius Berger 25<br />

Food & beverages 25<br />

7-Up Bottling Company 25<br />

Cadbury 26<br />

Dangote Sugar Refinery 26<br />

Flour Mills 27<br />

Nestle 27<br />

Nigerian Bottling Company 28<br />

Healthcare 28<br />

Evans Medical 28<br />

Glaxo Smithkline 29<br />

May & Baker 29<br />

Neimeth 30<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

Hotel & tourism 30<br />

Ikeja Hotels 30<br />

Industrial & domestics 31<br />

Vitafoam 31<br />

Insurance 31<br />

AIICO 31<br />

Cornerstone Insurance 32<br />

Crusader Insurance 32<br />

Intercont. Wapic Insurance 33<br />

Lasaco Assurance 33<br />

Law Union & Rock Insurance 34<br />

Mutual Benefits Assurance 34<br />

Niger Insurance 35<br />

Prestige 35<br />

Royal Exch. Assurance 36<br />

Standard Alliance 36<br />

Maritime 37<br />

Japaul Oil & Maritime Services 37<br />

Leasing 37<br />

C & I Leasing 37<br />

Mortgages 38<br />

Union Home Savings & Loans 38<br />

Petroleum <strong>market</strong>ing 38<br />

African Petroleum 38<br />

Chevron 39<br />

Conoil 39<br />

Mobil Oil 40<br />

Oando 40<br />

Total 42<br />

Real estate 42<br />

UACN Property 42<br />

Datatrust Consulting Limited is a firm of financial analysts and investment advisers incorporated in Nigeria<br />

Our mission is to help savvy individual and institutional investors achieve consistent profits in both bull and bear <strong>market</strong>s based on the<br />

strongest <strong>fund</strong>amental and technical analyses around.<br />

Enquiries should be directed to:<br />

Abuja Sales Office<br />

Datatrust Consulting Limited<br />

Millifrends Investment Limited<br />

Basement A1 Art and Culture Complex<br />

No. 1, Fadeyi Aladura Street, off Awolowo Way<br />

Area 10 Garki Abuja<br />

By Balogun Bus Stop, Ikeja<br />

Please call David—07025419337<br />

Tel. 01-7367956, 7431204, 0803 - 5810522, 0805-7535491<br />

E-mail: info@datatrustltd.com<br />

Port Harcourt Sales office<br />

michaeldata@datatrustltd.com<br />

Bookworld Concepts<br />

Web site: www.datatrustltd.com<br />

No. 3A Trans Amadi Road<br />

Port Harcourt<br />

Please call Chidi—08068222808<br />

1


your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

Market makers<br />

<strong>Waiting</strong> <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>stabilisation</strong><br />

<strong>fund</strong><br />

Top Rising Stocks<br />

2008<br />

Company Price/Jan %<br />

Chevron Oil<br />

Mobil<br />

DN Meyer<br />

Oando<br />

Total<br />

AP<br />

C & I Leasing<br />

AIICO<br />

Berger Paints<br />

156.3<br />

90.3<br />

38.2<br />

36.2<br />

35.6<br />

35.3<br />

30.6<br />

23.6<br />

18.9<br />

The stock <strong>market</strong> is waiting <strong>for</strong> new money support expected to come from the <strong>market</strong><br />

<strong>stabilisation</strong> <strong>fund</strong> promised in the government’s rescue package. The flicker of confidence<br />

seen from the announcement of the <strong>market</strong> rescue agenda now needs actual<br />

<strong>fund</strong>ing support to take stronger roots. There is no clue yet about how much is to be expected<br />

but the <strong>market</strong> needs not less than N500 billion naira immediate injection to find<br />

its feet again.<br />

The equities <strong>market</strong> is seen to have lost so much money <strong>for</strong> any rescue ef<strong>for</strong>t not supported<br />

by a strong capital inflow to drive a sustainable recovery. A <strong>market</strong> that was<br />

headed <strong>for</strong> N13 trillion in capitalisation fell back to below N9 trillion be<strong>for</strong>e the rescue<br />

plan-induced mild recovery. Actual losses are estimated to be in the region of N2.0 trillion—enough<br />

to wipe off the equity resources that banks have raised in the process of<br />

consolidation.<br />

It is considered quite imperative <strong>for</strong> the stock <strong>market</strong> to receive the <strong>fund</strong>ing support now<br />

as a move to save the banking industry. Much of the recapitalisation <strong>fund</strong>s raised by<br />

banks were moved into the capital <strong>market</strong> by way of direct trading on their own account<br />

and massive margin financing. Hardly any bank can claim to have come out unscathed.<br />

A number of banks sustained heavy losses while rushing out of the <strong>market</strong> and not<br />

many of them were able to sell clients’ investments early enough to recover margin facilities<br />

fully. In the worst cases, values realized from clients’ investments that initially<br />

covered bank facilities by one and half times, were insufficient to cover the principal<br />

loans. Some banks are even now calling on investors who have lost everything in the<br />

margin deals to bring in more money to fill in the hollows of losses in their books.<br />

The huge losses in the <strong>market</strong> have spread cash flow crisis to various corners of the economic<br />

society. Banks and other lenders that are being called upon to restructure their<br />

facilities <strong>for</strong> traders are themselves facing serious liquidity pressures. Rather than restructure<br />

existing facilities or create new credit, they have seized the opportunity of the<br />

mild recovery in share prices to liquidate existing assets. This is sustaining selling pressures<br />

in the stock <strong>market</strong> and undermining the rescue plan of government.<br />

How soon and how far the stock <strong>market</strong> recovers depends on how soon the promised<br />

stabilization <strong>fund</strong> reaches the trading floor and how big it will be. With the dry up of<br />

bank credit and other sources of margin facilities, private capital isn’t likely to be sufficient<br />

to patch up the broken <strong>market</strong>.<br />

Stock Market’s<br />

Technical Outlook<br />

Many high net worth investors have lost their investments in margin trading deals and<br />

presently lack the capacity to re-enter the <strong>market</strong>. With serious cash flow problems facing<br />

many stock broking firms, there is the danger too that even the trickles of new investments<br />

being made by individual investors presently aren’t likely to reach the trading<br />

floor immediately.<br />

Short-term<br />

Medium-term<br />

Long-term<br />

oversold<br />

bullish<br />

bearish<br />

It is not expected that the <strong>market</strong> intervention money will be structured to permit government<br />

direct investment in equities. The idea is to empower investors and traders to<br />

return to active trading and gradually pull out of significant dependence on the <strong>fund</strong>.<br />

For the <strong>fund</strong> to be able to accomplish this in a <strong>market</strong> gasping <strong>for</strong> liquidity, it is expected<br />

to be big. It seems to be the only hope <strong>for</strong> many institutional traders and big time<br />

investors who have lost <strong>for</strong>tunes in the <strong>market</strong> to find a new opportunity to begin all<br />

over again.<br />

2


your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

Market makers<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

Diaspora <strong>fund</strong> coming<br />

Diaspora Investment <strong>fund</strong>, a dollar-denominated mutual <strong>fund</strong>, is presently in the process of floatation in Nigeria.<br />

PHB Asset Management Ltd, the managers of the <strong>fund</strong>, envisage that the <strong>fund</strong> will be operated as a <strong>for</strong>eign<br />

collective investment scheme, designed <strong>for</strong> those who wish to invest on behalf of their wards as a means of<br />

securing their future. The $200 million <strong>fund</strong> is to be issued in units of $1.0 each at par. The minimum subscription<br />

will be 1,000 units and multiples of 100 units thereafter.<br />

The <strong>fund</strong> provides an opportunity to attract investment capital from Nigerians based overseas <strong>for</strong> investment in<br />

the domestic <strong>market</strong>. This is in recognition that Diaspora <strong>fund</strong>ing has become a veritable source of development<br />

capital with annual remittance estimated at $4 billion.<br />

The objective of the <strong>fund</strong> is to invest in the emerging Nigerian economy with the underlying intent of fostering<br />

accelerated macro-economic development of the country. The <strong>fund</strong> is targeting the participation of Nigerian<br />

citizens, <strong>for</strong>eign and non-resident investors, companies and other institutional investors. Its special attraction is<br />

the opportunity to subscribe in the name of minors, who are expected to keep such investments till they attain<br />

18 years of age.<br />

The <strong>fund</strong> is essentially equity <strong>market</strong> focused and intends to invest in a variety of blue chip companies with<br />

strong earnings <strong>fund</strong>amentals. Equities are expected to constitute 65% of the <strong>fund</strong>’s investment basket while<br />

money <strong>market</strong> investments will account <strong>for</strong> 15%. Another 15% is allocated to real estate investments and the<br />

remaining 5.0% is <strong>for</strong> fixed income instruments and cash.<br />

The <strong>fund</strong> is targeting equities of companies having the potential <strong>for</strong> accelerated growth driven by technology<br />

application, superior products and services and exceptional management quality. The choice of investments is<br />

in<strong>for</strong>med by the objective of providing investors with regular income and capital appreciation.<br />

The <strong>fund</strong>, which is expected to be issued in a first tranch of $50 million, is projected to generate gross income<br />

of $24.4 million in the first year– 2009, $34 million in the second year and $49.4 million in the third. Profit<br />

after tax is projected at $13.8 million, $19.5 million and $28.8 million over the next three year-period respectively.<br />

These indicate return on investments of 30.2%, 32.8% and 40.2% over the years respectively.<br />

Earnings per share is <strong>for</strong>ecast at 28 cents, 39 cents and 57 cents over the period. The <strong>fund</strong> is expected to commence<br />

dividend payment in the second year—2010 with a <strong>for</strong>ecast dividend of 19 cents, rising to 29 cents in<br />

2011. Based on the assumed exchange rate of N116 to the dollar <strong>for</strong> the <strong>for</strong>ecast, the dividend per share<br />

amounts to N22 and N33.64 per N116 unit of investment.<br />

Market outlook<br />

Strong gains in share prices that followed the announcement of government’s rescue package<br />

proved unsustainable last week. The <strong>market</strong> recorded an all-week decline that can be expected<br />

to extent to the current week and perhaps the next.<br />

The all-share index of the Nigerian Stock Exchange last week closed 877.4 points or 1.8%<br />

down from the preceding week’s close. The index stands at 17.6% below January opening and<br />

26.6% down from all time peak in May 2008. It is currently 15.1% below its 200-period moving<br />

average and is on the downward trend. Volatility is normal, our volume indicators are<br />

bearish and trend <strong>for</strong>ecasting oscillators are currently bullish and have had this outlook <strong>for</strong> the<br />

O<br />

past 6 periods.<br />

Corporate Results at a Glance<br />

FCMB<br />

Bank PHB<br />

Guinness Nigeria<br />

Nig-German Chemicals<br />

Flour Mills<br />

Union Homes<br />

1st quarter -<br />

- -<br />

Full year -<br />

2nd quarter -<br />

1st quarter -<br />

1st quarter -<br />

All-share<br />

Index<br />

NSE ALL-SHARE INDEX (0, 0, 0, 48,738.15, -175.203)<br />

P<br />

O P O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P OPO<br />

PP P O P P<br />

PO<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O PO<br />

O<br />

P O P P O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P O<br />

P O O PO<br />

P O<br />

007 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2008 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep T<br />

Earnings stable but growth may slow down — P. 10<br />

EPS set to decline with further build up in share volume — P. 14<br />

Defending profit from moderating revenue — P. 18<br />

Looking good to double profit — P. 22<br />

Profit may decline <strong>for</strong> the second year — P. 26<br />

Profit prospects dim on shrinking margin — P. 37<br />

PO<br />

PO<br />

P<br />

O P OP<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O POP<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OPO<br />

69000<br />

68000<br />

67000<br />

66000<br />

65000<br />

64000<br />

63000<br />

62000<br />

61000<br />

60000<br />

59000<br />

58000<br />

57000<br />

56000<br />

55000<br />

54000<br />

53000<br />

52000<br />

51000<br />

50000<br />

49000<br />

48000<br />

47000<br />

46000<br />

45000<br />

44000<br />

43000<br />

42000<br />

41000<br />

40000<br />

39000<br />

38000<br />

37000<br />

36000<br />

35000<br />

34000<br />

33000<br />

3


43.0<br />

42.5<br />

42.0<br />

41.5<br />

41.0<br />

40.5<br />

40.0<br />

39.5<br />

39.0<br />

38.5<br />

38.0<br />

37.5<br />

37.0<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

20<br />

19<br />

18<br />

17<br />

16<br />

15<br />

14<br />

13<br />

12<br />

11<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

OKOMUOIL (33.7800, 33.4500, 33.4500, 33.7800, +0.33000)<br />

PRESCO (12.4300, 12.3100, 12.3100, 12.4300, +0.12000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

42.0<br />

41.5<br />

41.0<br />

40.5<br />

40.0<br />

39.5<br />

39.0<br />

38.5<br />

38.0<br />

37.5<br />

37.0<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

20<br />

19<br />

18<br />

17<br />

16<br />

15<br />

14<br />

13<br />

12<br />

11<br />

10<br />

9<br />

8<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

OKOMU OIL PALM PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

1.8<br />

200 moving average +3.4%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 27<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

106.4<br />

1,257.1<br />

5.8<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

0.89<br />

49.4<br />

186<br />

124.5<br />

-<br />

1.9<br />

32.8<br />

398<br />

8.8<br />

804.5<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 13.3 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 2,810 2,740 2,500 2,311 2,136<br />

Net Profit 140 396 701 655 493<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 25.3<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 52.5<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

PRESCO PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

0.77<br />

207<br />

26.9<br />

20<br />

23.3<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

3.2<br />

860<br />

26.9<br />

86<br />

18.6<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-10.9<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.8<br />

PAT [Nm] 889.3<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

44 124 221 209 155<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

25 - 100 100 100<br />

OKOMU OIL made a strong first quarter start <strong>for</strong> the current year that has set the company on a strong recovery<br />

process in 2008. Revenue growth virtually doubled over the corresponding quarter in 2007 and after tax profit<br />

stands at more than 12 times the full year figure <strong>for</strong> 2007. The last two quarters of the year aren’t critical in<br />

revenue and profit growth and that moderates our full year earnings outlook. We project that revenue will more<br />

that double and profit will jump more than 13 times over the 2007 full year number. Net profit margin is up from<br />

only 5% in 2007 full year to 49.4% in the first quarter.<br />

Trading momentum overbought<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

39.1<br />

2,224.3<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 13.3 Dividend Status – Ex Div 30/6/08<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 2,300 2,100 2,350 2,300 2,128<br />

Net Profit 37 217 341 606 375<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 2.7<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth -25.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 71.4<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

1,128.6<br />

33.78<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-15.8<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 2<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 477 318 318 318 318<br />

12.43<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-14.3<br />

From Year’s<br />

High%<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 0.767<br />

PAT [Nm] 207<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

7 43 68 121 75<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

5 60 60 50 50<br />

PRESCO made a strong first quarter starting that has positioned it <strong>for</strong> a major advance in earnings in<br />

2008. We expect that revenue growth will accelerate after some years of stagnation and the declining<br />

trend in profit will give way <strong>for</strong> a new profit high. We project a 39.1% leap in revenue and a major recovery<br />

in after tax profit <strong>for</strong> the company at full year. Net profit margin has recovered from 1.6% in 2007 to<br />

26.9% in the first quarter.<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

-59.9<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

- 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 - - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,000 500 500 500 500<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P PP<br />

200 moving average - 22.5%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bearish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 25<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication bearish<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO O<br />

OO<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O O OO<br />

P<br />

4<br />

Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish


Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 26 2 9 16 23 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March<br />

April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

35<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

20<br />

19<br />

18<br />

17<br />

16<br />

15<br />

14<br />

13<br />

12<br />

11<br />

AIRSERVICE NIGERIA (16.1600, 16.0000, 16.0000, 16.0000, +0.000)<br />

NAHCO (16.6300, 16.4700, 16.4700, 16.4700, -0.16000)<br />

35<br />

34<br />

P<br />

33<br />

P<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

P<br />

28<br />

O<br />

P<br />

27<br />

26<br />

O<br />

25<br />

P<br />

24<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

23<br />

O<br />

22<br />

O O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

21<br />

O<br />

20<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

19<br />

O<br />

18<br />

P<br />

O<br />

17<br />

16<br />

15<br />

O<br />

14<br />

O<br />

13<br />

O<br />

12<br />

11<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

22 2<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

AIRLINE SERVICES & LOGISTICS PLC<br />

FULL YEAR RESULT<br />

- 4TH QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Final Dividend [K]<br />

3.5<br />

322.8<br />

9.2<br />

50<br />

33.2<br />

5<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

3.7<br />

448<br />

12.1<br />

70<br />

24.3<br />

Deviation from<br />

Forecast %<br />

-5.4<br />

-27.9<br />

-2.9<br />

-28.6<br />

+8.9<br />

Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - March 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.2 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006* 2006 2005 2004<br />

Turnover 3,500 1,847 1,646 910 572<br />

Net Profit 323 179 200 27 29<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 60.4<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 175.9<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 20.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

16.16<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-8.1<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.54 2.5 3.5<br />

PAT [Nm] 192.9 314.5 322.8<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006* 2006 2005 2004<br />

50 34 771 104 111<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006* 2006 2005 2004<br />

10 3 - - -<br />

AIRLINE SERVICES raised turnover by 89.5% in 2007, the highest revenue growth in five years. Profit<br />

failed to keep equal pace with revenue in the third quarter, which depressed full year profit outlook. Net<br />

profit grew at a lower pace than projected in reflection of the decline in profit margin from 12.6% in the<br />

third quarter to 9.2% at full year. Profit growth was however strong enough to begin a recovery in earnings<br />

per share after a major drop in 2006.<br />

-40.7<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 634 26 26 26 13.9<br />

200 moving average - 10.3%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 3<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

PO<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

PP P<br />

OOO<br />

O OO<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

P PP<br />

O O O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

NIGERIAN AVIATION HANDLING COMPANY PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

2.35<br />

454<br />

19.3<br />

52<br />

27.0<br />

-<br />

200 moving average - 32.8%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

* 9-month account<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

5.2<br />

920<br />

17.7<br />

105<br />

22.9<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

40.5<br />

55.9<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter – September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.2 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 3,700 3,250 3,050 2,344 2,173<br />

Net Profit 590 434 318 93 187<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 14.6<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 66.0<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 29.4<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

56.7<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

5<br />

16.47<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.02<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-43.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-48.5<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.22 2.35<br />

PAT [Nm] 208.6 454<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

67 144 106 62 125<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

30 30 30 48 98<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

3 <strong>for</strong> 2<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 875 300 300 150 150<br />

NAHCO maintained the good revenue growth prospects seen in the first quarter and the full year growth<br />

projection is unchanged in the second quarter at 40.5%. Profit growth however accelerated and we revise<br />

full year net profit growth projection from 43.2% to 55.9%. This reflects a gain in net profit margin from<br />

17.1% in the first quarter to 19.3% in the second. Accelerating growth in revenue and profit is likely to be<br />

the key point in the company’s operating per<strong>for</strong>mance in 2008. Revenue is projected to grow by the highest<br />

margin in five years and profit is expected to maintain rapid growth <strong>for</strong> the fourth year running.<br />

O P<br />

OOP<br />

O O P<br />

O O P<br />

PP<br />

T


Bullish<br />

25 3 10<br />

March<br />

37.0<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

DUNLOP (2.10000, 2.20000, 2.20000, 2.20000, +0.10000)<br />

Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />

17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />

April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

RTBRISCOE (19.7100, 19.5200, 19.5200, 19.5200, -0.19000)<br />

Bullish<br />

18 25 1 8 15<br />

September<br />

March April May June July August September U<br />

22 2<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

37.0<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

DUNLOP NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

1.8<br />

[333.7]<br />

-<br />

[44]<br />

-<br />

200 moving average - 41.6%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

-<br />

-<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2007<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

Turnover 209 183 103.1 63.4 47.2<br />

Net Profit [648] [246] [306] [685] 97<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 47.1<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth -<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

R T BRISCOE PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

4.35<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm] 181.9<br />

Net Profit Margin [%] 4.2<br />

EPS [K]<br />

32<br />

P/E Ratio [Times] 21.9<br />

Interim Dividend [K] -<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-33.3<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.8<br />

PAT [Nm] [337.7]<br />

EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

[13] [33] [51] [113] 16<br />

Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

- - - - -<br />

Dunlop Nigeria is refocusing operations under a major restructuring that involves shutting down tyre<br />

manufacturing early in 2009. The company’s business will be shifting to importation and sales of tyres,<br />

petroleum <strong>market</strong>ing and real estate. Its strategy is to run filling stations in different part of the country,<br />

which will give it sales outlets <strong>for</strong> the tyre products. The company’s ownership of several landed properties<br />

in prime locations across the country places it at a good advantage to tap into the booming real estate<br />

<strong>market</strong>.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

18.2<br />

750<br />

4.1<br />

132<br />

22.7<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

12.3<br />

24.0<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter — June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Mar 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 16,240 13,200 7,726 5,582 4,200<br />

Net Profit 605 532 200 155 419<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 41.3<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 36.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 37.6<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

-0.8<br />

2.20<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.39<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-68.6<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - - 1 f0r 4<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 4,772.5 4,772.5 756 756 605<br />

19.52<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O P O O P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.19<br />

O O<br />

P O<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-34.9<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 - Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 4.35<br />

PAT [Nm] 181.94<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

133 146 55 43 279<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

50 50 35 25 35<br />

RT BRISCOE is maintaining stable growth in revenue in 2008 and profit growth is accelerating.<br />

Based on the first quarter growth rate, turnover is projected to grow by 12.3% and after tax<br />

profit is expected to grow twice as fast. Net profit margin has stretched out from 3.7% in the<br />

2007 full year to 4.2% in the first quarter. Earnings per share growth is likely to be flat in reflection<br />

of the scrip of 1 <strong>for</strong> 4.<br />

P<br />

O P O O P<br />

-45.0<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 567.5 454 363 363 363<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O P P O<br />

O O O<br />

T<br />

200 moving average -25.4%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bearish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 53<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication bullish<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

PP<br />

P<br />

P O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P O P<br />

P<br />

O O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P O P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

OOO O O<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

PO<br />

PO O<br />

O O<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

6


25 3 10<br />

March<br />

17 31 7<br />

April<br />

ACCESS (12.9200, 12.8000, 12.8000, 12.8000, -0.12000)<br />

14 21 28<br />

May<br />

12 26 9<br />

June<br />

16 23 30 7<br />

July<br />

14 21 28 4 11<br />

August<br />

AFRIBANK (29.3400, 30.8000, 29.0700, 30.8000, +1.46000)<br />

18 25 1 8 15<br />

September<br />

Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

22 2<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

ACCESS BANK PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Expected Full<br />

Year Forecast %<br />

45.5<br />

60.4<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

20.6<br />

6.11<br />

29.7<br />

37<br />

24.7<br />

-<br />

84.4<br />

25.5<br />

30.2<br />

156<br />

12.8<br />

60.8<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - March31 Final Result Expected -<br />

Yr. to March 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Turnover 58,000 27,900 13,359 7,500 5,515<br />

Net Profit 15,900 6,100 737 501 637<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 69.0<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 188.0<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 67.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

12.80<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.64<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-46.7<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Jun Q2 - Sept Q3 Dec Q4 –Mar<br />

Gross Income[Nb] 20.6<br />

PAT [Nb] 6.11<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

97 87 3 7 21<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

65 40 - - 10<br />

ACCESS BANK is maintaining high growth track in revenue and profit in the current financial year. Based<br />

on first quarter report, we project a 45.5% growth in revenue. With further gain in profit margin, we project<br />

that after tax profit will grow by 60.4% in 2008. Net profit margin has improved from 27.4% at the end of<br />

the 2008 financial year to 29.7% in the first quarter. The bank is expected to grow earnings per share as<br />

rapidly as net profit in the current year.<br />

-49.8<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 7 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 16,365 6,978 14,520 8,156 3,000<br />

200 moving average - 36.0%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 10<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication bullish<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O P P<br />

OO O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

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O O<br />

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AFRIBANK NIGERIA PLC<br />

FULL YEAR RESULT<br />

- 4TH QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Final Dividend [K]<br />

49.2<br />

10.0<br />

20.3<br />

98<br />

14.8<br />

50<br />

200 moving average +17.1%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility norrmal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 4<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

40.5<br />

10.7<br />

26.4<br />

105<br />

15.5<br />

Deviation from<br />

Forecast %<br />

+21.5<br />

-6.3<br />

-6.1<br />

-6.6<br />

-0.7<br />

Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Cum Div—18/9/08<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 09<br />

Yr. to Mar 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Gross Income 49,200 27,540 15,637 15,031 14,889<br />

Net Profit 10,030 5,100 2,625 427 1,156<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 39.9<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 160.7<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 30.7<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

7<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+1.0<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Hold<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />

Turnover [Nb] 8.75 19.48 29.31 49.2<br />

PAT [Nb] 2.73 5.5 7.51 10.03<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

98 99 51 9 52<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

50 30 - - 20<br />

AFRIBANK NIGERIA recorded a strong growth in gross earnings by 78.6% in 2008 and after tax profit<br />

grew faster at 96.7% during the year. Revenue growth accelerated in the last quarter to lift full year position<br />

to 21.5% better than <strong>for</strong>ecast. However the bank could not convert the additional earnings to profit in<br />

reflection of an appreciable decline in profit margin. After tax profit margin declined from 25.6% in the<br />

third quarter to 20.3% at full year.<br />

Trading momentum overbought<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

30.80<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+5.61<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-0.0<br />

Bonus Issue 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 3 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 13,507 10,130 5,108 5,108 4,708<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

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P<br />

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23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

25 3 10<br />

March<br />

DIAMONDBNK (12.7900, 12.6700, 12.6700, 12.6700, -0.12000)<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

Neutral<br />

17 31 7<br />

April<br />

ECOBANK (8.16000, 8.50000, 8.08000, 8.40000, +0.24000)<br />

Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />

14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

DIAMOND BANK PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

21.8<br />

4.71<br />

21.6<br />

32<br />

19.1<br />

-<br />

200 moving average - 30.1%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 3<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

88.9<br />

19.5<br />

21.9<br />

135<br />

14.8<br />

-<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

47.1<br />

52.1<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - October 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div— 15/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - April 30 Final Result Expected - July 08<br />

Yr. to April 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Gross Income 60,440 39,500 22,661 15,950 10,531<br />

Net Profit 12.820 7,100 3,960 2,510 902<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 55.0<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 100.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 57.7<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

ECOBANK NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

25.0<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm] 4.1<br />

Net Profit Margin [%] 16.4<br />

EPS [K]<br />

19<br />

P/E Ratio [Times] 23.4<br />

Interim Dividend [K] -<br />

39.2<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-36.7<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008/09 Q1 - July Q2 - Oct Q3 - Jan Q4 –April<br />

Turnover [Nb] 21.8<br />

PAT [Nb] 4.71<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

97 91 59 41 29<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

56 55 - - 15<br />

DIAMOND BANK is expected to maintain normal growth in revenue and profit in the 2008/9 financial year.<br />

We expect that gross earnings will grow by 47.1% and after tax profit will rise a little faster at 52.1%. We<br />

expect further marginal gain in net profit margin from 21.2% in 2008 to about 22% in 2009. Growth in<br />

profit will expectedly be strong enough to counter the effect of the scrip of 1 <strong>for</strong> 10 and there<strong>for</strong>e sustain<br />

the improving trend in earnings per share. Earnings growth is expected to step up in the coming quarters.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

52.5<br />

8.8<br />

16.8<br />

40<br />

17.5<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

60.6<br />

18.1<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter — September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected—March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Gross Income 32,710 17,300 7,310 6,699 4,819<br />

Net Profit 7,450 3,600 1,700 894 817<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 68.5<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 79.6<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 70.6<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

17.6<br />

12.67<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.63<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-46.0<br />

Bonus Issue 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />

- 1 <strong>for</strong> 10 - - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 14,374 13,158 7,604 7,604 6,915<br />

8.40<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

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Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+1.48<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+5.7<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - June Q3 - Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Gross Income[Nb] 11.35 25.04<br />

PAT [Nb] 1.74 4.1<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

34 16 15 51 54<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

24 9 9 - 16<br />

Ecobank improved its growth rate in earnings in the second quarter and growth in profit improved as well<br />

from the weak per<strong>for</strong>mance seen in the first quarter. We mark up our revenue growth projection from<br />

41.2% to 60.6% <strong>for</strong> the bank in 2008. Growth projection <strong>for</strong> after tax profit is also revised upwards from<br />

the initial flat growth to 18.1%. Net profit margin improved slightly from 15.3% in the first quarter to 16.4%<br />

in the second but remains below the 22.8% recorded in the 2007 full. Earnings per share prospects have<br />

also improved and we expect that profit growth will accelerate further in the subsequent interims.<br />

O<br />

O<br />

PO<br />

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P<br />

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-21.9<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 21,654 21,654 10,827 1,741 1,523<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

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200 moving average +8.3%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 6<br />

Trading momentum overbought<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

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OO<br />

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8


Bullish<br />

11 18 25 3 10 17 31 7<br />

ruary<br />

March<br />

April<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

ETI (40.6000, 40.6000, 40.6000, 40.6000, +0.00)<br />

Bearish<br />

14 21 28 5<br />

May<br />

12 19 26 2 9<br />

June<br />

Bearish<br />

16 23 30<br />

July<br />

Bullish<br />

14 21 28 4 11<br />

August<br />

FIDELITY BANK (7.57000, 7.50000, 7.50000, 7.50000, -0.07000)<br />

18 25 1 8<br />

300<br />

290<br />

280<br />

270<br />

260<br />

250<br />

240<br />

230<br />

220<br />

210<br />

200<br />

190<br />

180<br />

170<br />

160<br />

150<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

ECOBANK TRANSNATIONAL INC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

61.3<br />

9.0<br />

14.7<br />

133<br />

16.8<br />

-<br />

200 moving average -74.4%<br />

Price trend<br />

flat<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 5<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

124<br />

18.6<br />

15.0<br />

276<br />

15.9<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

41.9<br />

6.7<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter — September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Gross Income 87.4 45.6 30.4 26.3<br />

Net Profit 17.4 8.8 5.2 4.1<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 52.4<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 64.6<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 33.6<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

FIDELITY BANK PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 3RD QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

27.3<br />

9.34<br />

34.2<br />

32<br />

21.5<br />

-<br />

-97.7<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-80.4<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - June Q3 - Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 28.5 61.3<br />

PAT [Nb] 4.35 9.0<br />

EPS [N] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

12 11 18 60<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

375 506 387 968 -<br />

ECOBANK TRANSNATIONAL has issued its second quarter interim report, which shows a slight improvement<br />

in earnings growth over the first quarter position. Revenue growth is still likely to slow down<br />

at current rate but our full year growth projection has been revised from 33% to 41.9%. Net profit margin<br />

is further down from 19.9% in 2007 full year to 15.3% in the first quarter and to 14.7% in the second, the<br />

lowest since 2004. Full year profit growth <strong>for</strong>ecast is a little improved from 2.9% to 6.7%. We expect that<br />

profit prospects will improve in the remaining quarters.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

36.8<br />

12.8<br />

34.9<br />

44<br />

16.9<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

47.8<br />

188.5<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - June 30 Final Result Expected - Sept 08<br />

Yr. to Jun30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Goss Income 24,859 11,931 6,159 5,471 4,386<br />

Net Profit 4,437 3,177 1,237 914 857<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 68.7<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 60.5<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 59.3<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

63.0<br />

40.60<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-85.7<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

5 <strong>for</strong> 1 - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 6,734 1,346.8 802 401 66.6<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P O O<br />

O<br />

7.50<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.35<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-36.6<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - Sept Q2 - Dec Q3 - March Q4 –June<br />

Gross Income[Nb] 7.68 16.03 27.3<br />

PAT [Nb] 2.6 5.75 9.34<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

27 19 14 30 36<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

16 11 - - 20<br />

Fidelity Bank improved its strong growth in revenue and profit further in the third quarter and an outstanding<br />

per<strong>for</strong>mance in profit can be expected. We mark up our projected growth in revenue from<br />

37.8% to 47.8% and after tax profit from 175% to 188% <strong>for</strong> the bank at full year. Net profit margin remains<br />

very good at 34.2% against 17.8% in the 2007 full year. Growth in earnings per share will be significantly<br />

moderated by the bank’s public offer, which has increased volume of shares by 75.9%.<br />

PO<br />

O O O<br />

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P<br />

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-42.3<br />

Septembe T<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 10 1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 28,963 16,463.7 16,463.7 8,550 1,534<br />

O<br />

P<br />

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OO<br />

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200 moving average - 28.8%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 44<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term<br />

bearish<br />

P<br />

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O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

9<br />

March April May June July August September U


52<br />

51<br />

50<br />

49<br />

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33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

25 3 10<br />

March<br />

FIRSTBANK (30.9500, 30.6500, 30.6500, 30.6500, -0.30000)<br />

52<br />

51<br />

50<br />

49<br />

48<br />

47<br />

46<br />

45<br />

44<br />

43<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

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32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

17 31 7<br />

April<br />

FIRST MONUMENT BANK (12.8100, 12.6900, 12.6900, 12.6900, -0.12000)<br />

14 21 5 12 19 26 2<br />

May<br />

June<br />

16 30 7<br />

July<br />

14 21 28 4 11<br />

August<br />

18 25 1 8 15<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

FIRST BANK OF NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

43.3<br />

10.7<br />

24.7<br />

43<br />

22.4<br />

-<br />

200 moving average - 27.1%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 4<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

175.5<br />

44.0<br />

25.1<br />

177<br />

33.9<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div—8/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 09<br />

Yr. to Mar 31 [Nb] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Gross Income 155.3 90.32 67.44 57.23 51.32<br />

Net Profit 36.5 18.4 17.4 13.1 11.6<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 33.8<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 37.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 65.6<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

13.0<br />

20.5<br />

-3.3<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-32.4<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008/09 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />

Gross Income [Nb] 43.3<br />

PAT [Nb] 10.7<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

183 177 335 335 399<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

120 100 100 160 155<br />

FIRST BANK is looking <strong>for</strong>ward to a year of consolidation with earnings outlook indicating a moderation<br />

from the preceding year’s high growth. We project a 13% improvement in gross earnings <strong>for</strong> the bank in<br />

the 2008/9 financial year and a 20.5% growth in net profit. There is a further gain in net profit margin from<br />

23.5% in the 2008 full year to 24.7% in the first quarter. Profit growth isn’t strong enough to prevent a<br />

decline in earnings per share at current rate but we expect earnings to accelerate in the coming quarters.<br />

Trading momentum oversold<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

FIRST CITY MONUMENT BANK PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

18.53<br />

4.83<br />

26.1<br />

29<br />

13.7<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

76.2<br />

20.4<br />

26.8<br />

124<br />

14.5<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

44.3<br />

35.0<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - October 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Cum Div—22/9/08<br />

Financial Year End - April 30 Final Result Expected - July 09<br />

Yr. to April 30 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Gross Income 52,800 24,679 11,185 6,121 3,127<br />

Net Profit 15,110 5,949 2,834 798 337<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 103.2<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 164.0<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 34.7<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

34.8<br />

30.65<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-1.55<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-44.1<br />

Bonus Issue 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 6 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 24,862.5 19,890 10,360 5,180 3,947<br />

12.69<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OP<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.63<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-34.9<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Hold<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008/09 Q1 - July Q2 - Oct Q3 - Jan Q4 –April<br />

Turnover [Nb] 18.53<br />

PAT [Nb] 4.83<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

92 63 36 25 17 4<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

50 35 13 8 2 -<br />

FCMB is expected to maintain stable growth in earnings in the current financial year. Revenue and profit<br />

growth is likely to slow down from the triple digit record seen in the preceding two years. Based on the<br />

first quarter growth rate, we project a 44.3% increase in gross earnings and a 35% improvement in after<br />

tax profit <strong>for</strong> the bank in 2009. The slower growth in profit than revenue reflects a decline in net profit<br />

margin from 28.6% in the 2008 full year to 26.1% in the first quarter. We expect that earnings growth rate<br />

will step up in the coming quarters.<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

-41.3<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 16,379.5 9,549 9,549 4,452 3,000<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O P O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

200 moving average - 26.9%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 10<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O P P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

U<br />

10


your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

KNOW WHAT TO TRADE<br />

KNOW WHEN TO TRADE<br />

ACCESS (23.9900, 23.9800, 22.9000, 23.0000, -0.99000)<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

P<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

DATATRUST ADVERT<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

Bearish<br />

Neutral<br />

Bearish<br />

Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish<br />

3 15 17 31<br />

13 20 27 10 17 24 2 8<br />

22 29 5 12 19 26 3 10 24 31 7 14 21 11 1<br />

September<br />

October<br />

November<br />

December<br />

2008<br />

February<br />

For further in<strong>for</strong>mation, please call or visit us at No. 22.<br />

Fadeyi Aladura Street, Off Balogun Bus Stop, Ikeja,<br />

Lagos. Tel. 7431204, 08035810522, 08057535491<br />

T<br />

16.5<br />

Inside front cover (full colour)......................................................N200,000<br />

Bottomstrip front cover (full colour)............................................N100,000<br />

Outside back cover (full colour)....................................................N200,000<br />

Inside back cover (full colour).......................................................N150,000<br />

Centre page (full colour)................................................................N250,000<br />

11


13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

39<br />

38<br />

37<br />

36<br />

35<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

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26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

20<br />

19<br />

18<br />

17<br />

FIRSTINLND (7.30000, 7.23000, 7.23000, 7.23000, -0.07000)<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

GUARANTY (23.8000, 23.5700, 23.5700, 23.5700, -0.23000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

39<br />

38<br />

37<br />

36<br />

35<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

20<br />

19<br />

18<br />

17<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

FIRST INLAND BANK PLC<br />

RESULT ANALYSIS<br />

FULL YEAR<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

27.5<br />

2.65<br />

9.6<br />

27<br />

28.3<br />

-<br />

200 moving average -31.5%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 6<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - November 2007<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - April 30 Final Result Expected - June 08<br />

Yr. to April 30 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Gross Income 27,500 3,000 2,300 2,128 1,369<br />

Net Profit 2,650 (10,350) 606 375 154<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 13.7<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 31.2<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 139.5<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

GUARANTY TRUST BANK PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

28.0<br />

8.4<br />

30.0<br />

55<br />

23.9<br />

-<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-45.6<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - July Q2 - Oct Q3 - Jan Q4 –April<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

PAT [Nb]<br />

EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

22<br />

Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

FIRST INLAND BANK has announced its audited result <strong>for</strong> the 14-month period ended April 30, 2007. It<br />

posted gross earnings of N27.5 billion, a high leap of more than 816% from the N3.0 billion in the preceding<br />

11-month account last year. The bank is out of the red from the big loss of N10.4 billion in the preceding<br />

year to an after tax profit of N2.65 billion. After tax profit margin is quite low at 9.6% compared with<br />

average industry benchmark of 20.3%.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

86.2<br />

26.0<br />

30.2<br />

172<br />

20.3<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

9.3<br />

22.6<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - August 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - Feb 28 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Feb28 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Gross Income 78,830 49,051 33,614 25,459 18,053<br />

Net Profit 21,200 13,194 8,546 5,362 4,057<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 44.8<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 51.7<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 45.8<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

12.4<br />

7.23<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.35<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-45.6<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 9,688.6 9,688.6<br />

23.57<br />

Neutral<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

PO O<br />

Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-1.19<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-34.5<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - May Q2 - Aug Q3 - Nov Q4 –Feb<br />

Gross Income [Nb] 28.0<br />

PAT [Nb] 8.4<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

153 165 143 90 135<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

70 75 95 70 70<br />

Guaranty Trust Bank is expected to run a three-quarter financial year ending December in compliance<br />

with uni<strong>for</strong>m accounting date <strong>for</strong> banks. Revenue is growing strong enough to make a projected 9.3%<br />

improvement on the preceding 12-month financial year and profit is expected to rise 22.6% above the<br />

preceding year’s full year figure. Profit margin is up from 26.9% in the 2007/8 full year to 30% in the first<br />

quarter. Earnings per share is expected to make a new high in the year despite the scrip of 1 <strong>for</strong> 11.<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO O<br />

P<br />

O P O<br />

P<br />

-41.1<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />

- 1 <strong>for</strong> 11 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 15,109 13,850 8,000 6,000 6,000<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

200 moving average -24.0%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 8<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O P O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

P O<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

OP<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

*Change of accounting date<br />

12


24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

IBTC (13.2100, 13.0800, 13.0800, 13.0800, -0.13000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

INT ERCONT (27.5600, 27.2900, 27.2900, 27.2900, -0.27000)<br />

Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

49<br />

48<br />

47<br />

46<br />

45<br />

44<br />

43<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

39<br />

38<br />

37<br />

36<br />

35<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

STANBIC IBTC BANK PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

40.12<br />

8.2<br />

20.4<br />

43<br />

48.5<br />

-<br />

200 moving average -28.8%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast +<br />

82.4<br />

17.9<br />

21.7<br />

95<br />

21.1<br />

-<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

185.1<br />

128.0<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec. 31 [Nm] 2007* 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Gross Income 28,900 21,120 11,286 6,500 4,510<br />

Net Profit 7,850 5,800 3,987 2,445 1,586<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 50.8<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 42.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 81.1<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

131.7<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-34.7<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />

Gross Income [Nb] 40.12<br />

PAT [Nb] 8.2<br />

EPS [K] 2007* 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

41 49 34 44 79<br />

Dividend [K] 2007* 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

25 20 20 20 40<br />

Stanbic IBTC BANK recorded a strong growth in earnings in the second quarter, indicating an exceptional<br />

year of growth <strong>for</strong> the bank. Based on current growth rate we project that gross income will advance<br />

by 185.1% in 2008 and after tax profit will rise by 128%. Net profit margin declined from 27.2% in December<br />

2007 to 20.4% in the second quarter. We expect some recovery in profit margin in the remaining<br />

quarters. Earnings per share is expected to hit a new high this year, having declined from its 2004 peak.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

INTERCONTINENTAL BANK PLC<br />

FULL YEAR RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

60.9<br />

7.8<br />

12.8<br />

34<br />

78.0<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

178<br />

25.8<br />

14.5<br />

113<br />

32.7<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

2.5<br />

-25.9<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - August 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - Feb 28 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Feb 28 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006* 2004 2003<br />

Gross Income 173,600 87,400 41,517 32,800 21,410<br />

Net Profit 34,800 15,120 7,217 6,121 3,337<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 72.2<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 85.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 49.3<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

-25.7<br />

13.08<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.65<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-43.1<br />

Bonus Issue 2007*<br />

-<br />

2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 18,750 11,661 11,661 11,661 2,000<br />

27.29<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-1.38<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-30.1<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - May Q2 - August Q3 - Nov Q4 –Feb<br />

Gross Income [Nb] 60.9<br />

PAT [Nb] 7.82<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2004 2003<br />

152 81 93 159 95<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2004 2003<br />

75 65 45 42 40<br />

INTERCONTINENTAL BANK isn’t maintaining the rapid growth rate in earnings achieved last year.<br />

Based on first quarter report, we project a flat growth in revenue <strong>for</strong> the bank <strong>for</strong> the period while after tax<br />

profit is likely to drop by25.9%. Net profit margin dropped from 20% in the 2007/8 full year to 12.8% in the<br />

first quarter. Earnings per share is expected to drop by 25.7% but will be good enough to sustain the<br />

improving trend in dividend per share.<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

P<br />

O<br />

-40.4<br />

Sell<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2004 2003<br />

- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 10<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 22,836 18,536 10,725 3,548 3,548<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

200 moving average - 28.0%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 3<br />

*Change of accounting date<br />

+Adjusted<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

13<br />

P P O<br />

PP P<br />

O<br />

PP P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

PP P P PP P<br />

O O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P PP<br />

O<br />

T


32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

Bullish<br />

25 3 10<br />

March<br />

OCEANIC (21.0500, 20.8400, 20.8400, 20.8400, -0.21000)<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

PLATINUM (17.9100, 17.7400, 17.7400, 17.7400, -0.17000)<br />

Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />

Bearish<br />

17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />

April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

18 25 1 8 15<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

OCEANIC BANK INT. [NIG] PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2NDQUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

66.5<br />

20.3<br />

30.5<br />

91<br />

14.3<br />

-<br />

200 moving average -21.9%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 8<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

136.6<br />

42.3<br />

31.0<br />

190<br />

18.4<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

82.3<br />

141.3<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - Sept 30 Final Result Expected - Jan 09<br />

Yr. to Sept 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Gross Income 74,940 44,685 24,300 13,889 11,054<br />

Net Profit 17,530 9,559 5,900 3,289 2,816<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 64.6<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 60.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 68.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

BANK PHB PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 3RD QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

55.2<br />

14.85<br />

26.9<br />

73<br />

23.3<br />

-<br />

26.7<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-46.6<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/8 Q1 - Dec Q2 - Mar Q3 - June Q4 –Sept<br />

Turnover [Nb] 31.11 66.5<br />

PAT [Nb] 8.85 20.3<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

150 115 63 55 70<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

102 42 32 25 32<br />

OCEANIC BANK maintained its rapidly growing earnings track record in the second quarter. Revenue is<br />

accelerating and profit is growing ahead of it. We mark up our projected growth in gross income from 70%<br />

to 82.3% <strong>for</strong> the bank at full year. Profit after tax is also revised upward from 108.2% to 141.3%. Net profit<br />

margin has improved further from 28.4% in the first quarter to 30.5% in the second. Earnings per share<br />

growth will however be moderate in reflection of more than 90% increase in volume of shares from recent<br />

public offer. Earnings can be expected to be sufficient to defend dividend payout.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

75.4<br />

20.5<br />

27.2<br />

101<br />

18.3<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

108.5<br />

164.7<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - March 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - June 30 Final Result Expected - September 08<br />

Yr. to June 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Gross Income 36,163 13,280 6,658 - -<br />

Net Profit 7,745 2,443 703 617 234<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 86.0<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 160.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 58.8<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

-15.1<br />

20.84<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+1.05<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-46.6<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 22,222.8 11,642 9,313.6 9,313.6 6,000<br />

17.74<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P O<br />

P<br />

Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.89<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-30.3<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - Sept Q2 - Dec Q3 - Mar Q4 –June<br />

Turnover [Nb] 14.6 33.54 55.2<br />

PAT [Nb] 3.55 8.45 14.85<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

119 16 17 4 3<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

70 6.5 - -<br />

BANK PHB rein<strong>for</strong>ced its rapid growth in revenue and profit in the third quarter and general earnings<br />

prospects have improved further. Based on the accelerating growth rate, our projected revenue growth is<br />

again revised upward from 95.8% to 108.5%. Projected growth in after tax profit is also raised from<br />

129.8% to 164.6%. With increased volume of shares from the public offer and additional shares from<br />

placing, earnings per share is expected to decline by 15.1% in 2008.<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

-47.0<br />

Bonus Issue 2008<br />

-<br />

2007<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 20,155 6,435 19,305 - -<br />

PO<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O P O O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

200 moving average - 31.0%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 6<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

OO P P<br />

P P<br />

O O P<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O OP P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

T<br />

14


21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

SKYEBANK (12.5100, 12.3900, 12.3900, 12.3900, -0.12000)<br />

March April May June July August September U<br />

UBA (28.3700, 28.0900, 28.0900, 28.0900, -0.28000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

SKYE BANK PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 3RD QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

47.3<br />

10.9<br />

23.0<br />

94<br />

30.7<br />

-<br />

200 moving average - 22.8%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 4<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

64.8<br />

15.4<br />

23.8<br />

133<br />

11.3<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

64.5<br />

180.0<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - Sept 30 Final Result Expected - January 09<br />

Yr. to Sept 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Gross Income 39,367 21,056 6,159 5,252 4,334<br />

Net Profit 5,517 1,961 493 610 576<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 91.8<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 116.5<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 48.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

UBA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 3RD QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

120.3<br />

28.9<br />

24.0<br />

169<br />

27.4<br />

25<br />

82.2<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-27.9<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - Dec Q2 - Mar Q3 - June Q4 –Sept<br />

Turnover [Nb] 12.55 27.7 47.3<br />

PAT [Nb] 2.85 7.7 10.9<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

73 26 10 20 19<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

35 - 10 10 -<br />

SKYE BANK recorded further improvement in revenue growth in the third quarter but profit growth slowed<br />

down during the period. Despite the slow down, the bank is set to achieve an exceptional growth in profit<br />

in the 2008 financial year. We mark up revenue growth projection from 43.9% to 64.8% <strong>for</strong> the bank at full<br />

year. Profit growth projection is revised slightly down from 186.2% to 180%. Net profit margin declined<br />

from 27.8% in the second quarter to 23% in the third.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

164.2<br />

40.2<br />

24.5<br />

236<br />

14.8<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

50.0<br />

87.9<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End—Sept 30 Final Result Expected - Jan 09<br />

Yr. to Sept 30 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 109.5 90.4 26.1 24.5 24.2<br />

Net Profit 21.4 11.6 4.9 4.5 3.3<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 65.7<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 72.8<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 60.1<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

24.2<br />

12.39<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.61<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-37.6<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

- - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m 11,585 7,503 7,503 4,528 3,048<br />

28.09<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

Bullish<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-1.42<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-42.8<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - Dec Q2 - Mar Q3 - June Q4 –Sept<br />

Gross Income [Nb] 39 78.1 120.3<br />

PAT [Nb] 9.2 18.42 28.85<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

190 165 161 177 129<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

120 100 60 60 45<br />

UBA stepped up revenue growth further in the third quarter and the strong growth in profit remains on<br />

track <strong>for</strong> the third year running. We mark up our <strong>for</strong>ecast revenue growth from 46.4% to 50% <strong>for</strong> the bank<br />

in 2008. Our profit growth projection is raised from 75.7% to 87.9% <strong>for</strong> the bank at full year. Net profit<br />

margin is slightly improved from 23.6% to 24% but earnings per share will be moderated by the mid year<br />

stock split of 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 and conversion of loan stock. Earnings projections do not incorporate the expectation<br />

of the bank running a 15-month irregular account to December 2008.<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

Bearish<br />

Bullish<br />

-56.1<br />

Bearish<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 2 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 17,038 11,290 7,060 3060 2,550<br />

O O P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

200 moving average -38.6%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

PP<br />

P O P O<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O P P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O OO O<br />

P<br />

O P P<br />

O O O<br />

O<br />

Bearish Bullish<br />

Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />

15


45.0<br />

44.5<br />

44.0<br />

43.5<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

42.0<br />

41.5<br />

41.0<br />

40.5<br />

40.0<br />

39.5<br />

39.0<br />

38.5<br />

38.0<br />

37.5<br />

37.0<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

7 31 7<br />

April<br />

Bearish<br />

14 21 28 5<br />

May<br />

UBN (42.0000, 42.0000, 42.0000, 42.0000, +0.000)<br />

12 19 26 2 9<br />

June<br />

Bearish<br />

16 23 30<br />

July<br />

UNITYBNK (4.36000, 4.32000, 4.32000, 4.32000, -0.04000)<br />

Bullish<br />

7 14 21 28 4 11<br />

August<br />

Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 28 12 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

18 25 1<br />

22 2<br />

45.0<br />

44.5<br />

44.0<br />

43.5<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

42.0<br />

41.5<br />

41.0<br />

40.5<br />

40.0<br />

39.5<br />

39.0<br />

38.5<br />

38.0<br />

37.5<br />

37.0<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

UNION BANK OF NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 3RD QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

66.9<br />

17.3<br />

25.9<br />

149<br />

21.1<br />

-<br />

200 moving average +2.6%<br />

Price trend<br />

flat<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 24<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

92.2<br />

24.0<br />

26.0<br />

207<br />

20.3<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

4.7<br />

81.8<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year - March 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 08<br />

Yr. to Mar 31 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Gross Income 88.1 66.6 58.9 48.2 44.0<br />

Net Profit 13.2 10.8 9.8 8.3 8.3<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 17.8<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 19.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 70.4<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

UNITY BANK PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

45.8<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-2.4<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Long-term<br />

buy<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />

Gross Income [Nb] 50.55 66.9<br />

PAT [Nb] 13.5 17.3<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 20023<br />

142 181 219 247 328<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

100 100 140 140 135<br />

UNION BANK is likely to record moderate growth in revenue in its 2008 financial year but profit prospects<br />

look better than any time in the past several years. At the end of the third quarter, net profit was already<br />

30.6% above the 2007 full year figure. Based on the growth rate in the third quarter, we mark down our<br />

projected growth in gross earnings from 19.5% to 4.7% and after tax profit from 104.8% to 81.8%. Net<br />

profit margin went down from 26.7% in the second quarter to 25.9% in the third. Profit growth remains<br />

strong enough to cause a V-turn in the bank’s declining earnings per share.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - December 2007<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 08<br />

Yr. to Jun 30 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

Gross Income 12,000 5,050<br />

Net Profit 1,400 409<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

42.0<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-6.9<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 5 1 <strong>for</strong> 10 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 1 <strong>for</strong> 3<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 11,579.8 9,649.8 6,269.8 4,475 3,356<br />

4.32<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.20<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-52.1<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

PAT [Nb]<br />

EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

10 3<br />

Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

-<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 10 - - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 14,737 13,397<br />

UNITY BANK raised gross earnings by 137% to N12 billion naira in 2006 and after tax profit<br />

grew more rapidly by 242.3% to N1.4 billion. Profit margin improved from 8.1% to 11.7% over<br />

the period but remains quite low by industry standard. The strong growth in revenue is expected<br />

in the 2007 full year with further improvement in profit margin.<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P P P<br />

-56.6<br />

S T<br />

200 moving average - 38.8%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 5<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O P P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O P P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O P O OO PP P<br />

16<br />

T


30 6<br />

August<br />

53.0<br />

52.5<br />

52.0<br />

51.5<br />

51.0<br />

50.5<br />

50.0<br />

49.5<br />

49.0<br />

48.5<br />

48.0<br />

47.5<br />

47.0<br />

46.5<br />

46.0<br />

45.5<br />

45.0<br />

44.5<br />

44.0<br />

43.5<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

42.0<br />

41.5<br />

41.0<br />

40.5<br />

40.0<br />

39.5<br />

39.0<br />

38.5<br />

38.0<br />

37.5<br />

37.0<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

13 20 27 3 10<br />

September<br />

17 24 2 8<br />

October<br />

WEMABANK (15.0000, 15.0000, 15.0000, 15.0000, +0.0000)<br />

15 22 29 5<br />

November<br />

12 19 26 3 10<br />

December<br />

ZENITHBANK (38.5900, 38.2100, 38.2100, 38.2100, -0.38000)<br />

17 24 31 7<br />

2008<br />

14 21 28<br />

March April May June July August September U<br />

15 .5<br />

15 .0<br />

14 .5<br />

14 .0<br />

13 .5<br />

13 .0<br />

12 .5<br />

12 .0<br />

11 .5<br />

11 .0<br />

10 .5<br />

10 .0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

53.0<br />

52.5<br />

52.0<br />

51.5<br />

51.0<br />

50.5<br />

50.0<br />

49.5<br />

49.0<br />

48.5<br />

48.0<br />

47.5<br />

47.0<br />

46.5<br />

46.0<br />

45.5<br />

45.0<br />

44.5<br />

44.0<br />

43.5<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

42.0<br />

41.5<br />

41.0<br />

40.5<br />

40.0<br />

39.5<br />

39.0<br />

38.5<br />

38.0<br />

37.5<br />

37.0<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

WEMA BANK PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

20.59<br />

6.5<br />

31.6<br />

63<br />

36.54<br />

-<br />

200 moving average + 0.0%<br />

Price trend<br />

flat<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 176<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

42.2<br />

13.5<br />

32.0<br />

132<br />

11.4<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

59.8<br />

419.2<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - December 2007<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 08<br />

Yr. to Mar 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Gross Income 26,430 14,840 15,288 12,856 9,716<br />

Net Profit 2,600 [6,600] 844 967 1,448<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 36<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 21.8<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

ZENITH BANK PLC<br />

FULL YEAR RESULT<br />

- 4TH QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

158.3<br />

41.04<br />

25.9<br />

245<br />

12.2<br />

-<br />

428.0<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+0.0<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />

Gross Income[Nb] 9.29 20.59<br />

PAT [Nb] 2.85 6.5<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

25 - 9 31 47<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - - 10 25<br />

WEMA BANK is driving earnings growth rapidly to catch up with the competition in a rapidly growing<br />

industry. The bank’s strong growth in revenue and profit in the first quarter accelerated in the second.<br />

Based on current growth rate, we mark up projected growth in revenue from 45.3% to 59.8% <strong>for</strong> the bank<br />

in the 2007/8 financial year. After tax profit is also revised upward from 365.3% to 419.2%. Profit margin,<br />

which is already at the industry peak, improved further from 30.7% in the first quarter to 31.6% in the<br />

second.<br />

Trading momentum overbought<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term neutral<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

15-Month<br />

Forecast<br />

198.9<br />

52.0<br />

26.1<br />

310<br />

10.0<br />

Full Period Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

109.6<br />

178.1<br />

Next Result Expected - 15th Month - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - June 30 Final Result Expected - November 08<br />

Yr. to June 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Gross Income 94,900 58,222 34,913 23,931 17,844<br />

Net Profit 18,700 11,489 7,146 5,191 4,424<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 55.5<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 40.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 49.5<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

53.5<br />

15.0<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-0.0<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 20 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 10,186 10,186 8,904 3,115 3,054<br />

38.21<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-1.94<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-17.1<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />

Gross Income[Nb] 28.86 57.6 120.31 158.3<br />

PAT [Nb] 8.1 15.71 33.32 41.04<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

202 124 136 168 375<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

100 110 70 70 70<br />

Zenith Bank is expected to run a 15-month account to September 2008. Its normal full year unaudited<br />

result shows a 66.8% growth in revenue and a 119.5% jump in after tax profit. Our full 15-month projections<br />

indicate a likely growth of 109.6% in gross earnings and a lifting of 178.1% in after tax profit <strong>for</strong> the<br />

bank against the 2007 figures. Earnings per share will grow less rapidly in reflection of increased volume<br />

of shares arising from the bank’s recent public offer.<br />

-25.3<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

- 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 16,744 9,265 6,000 3,098 1,549<br />

200 moving average - 16.1%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 5<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

17<br />

O<br />

P<br />

Bullish<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O P O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />

Bearish Bearish<br />

O OO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O


141<br />

140<br />

139<br />

138<br />

137<br />

136<br />

135<br />

134<br />

133<br />

132<br />

131<br />

130<br />

129<br />

128<br />

127<br />

126<br />

125<br />

124<br />

123<br />

122<br />

121<br />

120<br />

119<br />

118<br />

117<br />

116<br />

115<br />

114<br />

113<br />

112<br />

58.0<br />

57.5<br />

57.0<br />

56.5<br />

56.0<br />

55.5<br />

55.0<br />

54.5<br />

54.0<br />

53.5<br />

53.0<br />

52.5<br />

52.0<br />

51.5<br />

51.0<br />

50.5<br />

50.0<br />

49.5<br />

49.0<br />

48.5<br />

48.0<br />

47.5<br />

47.0<br />

46.5<br />

46.0<br />

45.5<br />

45.0<br />

44.5<br />

44.0<br />

43.5<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

42.0<br />

41.5<br />

41.0<br />

GUINNESS (123.750, 122.520, 122.520, 123.750, +1.23000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

NB (47.1500, 46.6900, 46.6800, 46.6800, -0.47000)<br />

58.0<br />

57.5<br />

57.0<br />

56.5<br />

56.0<br />

55.5<br />

55.0<br />

54.5<br />

54.0<br />

53.5<br />

53.0<br />

52.5<br />

52.0<br />

51.5<br />

51.0<br />

50.5<br />

50.0<br />

49.5<br />

49.0<br />

48.5<br />

48.0<br />

47.5<br />

47.0<br />

46.5<br />

46.0<br />

45.5<br />

45.0<br />

44.5<br />

44.0<br />

43.5<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

42.0<br />

41.5<br />

41.0<br />

March April May June July August September U<br />

141<br />

140<br />

139<br />

138<br />

137<br />

136<br />

135<br />

134<br />

133<br />

132<br />

131<br />

130<br />

129<br />

128<br />

127<br />

126<br />

125<br />

124<br />

123<br />

122<br />

121<br />

120<br />

119<br />

118<br />

117<br />

116<br />

115<br />

114<br />

113<br />

112<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

GUINNESS NIGERIA PLC<br />

FULL YEAR RESULT<br />

- 4TH QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Final Dividend [K]<br />

69.2<br />

11.9<br />

17.1<br />

800<br />

15.5<br />

600<br />

200 moving average - 3.7%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 9<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

67.5<br />

10.8<br />

16.0<br />

732<br />

17.8<br />

Deviation From<br />

Forecast %<br />

+2.5<br />

+10.2<br />

+1.1<br />

+9.3<br />

-2.3<br />

Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 21.4 Dividend Status – Cum Div—31/10/08<br />

Financial Year End - June 30 Final Result Expected - Sept 09<br />

Yr. to June 30 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Turnover 69,200 62,300 53,650 47,000 47,500<br />

Net Profit 11,900 10,700 7,440 4,900 7,900<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 10.1<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 17.2<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 75.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

NIGERIAN BREWERIES PLC<br />

FULL YEAR RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

32.4<br />

6.2<br />

19.1<br />

81<br />

25.0<br />

-<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-4.8<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Cautious<br />

buy<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/08 Q1 - Sept Q2 - Dec Q3 - Mar Q4– June<br />

Turnover [Nb] 13.65 32.13 49.5 69.2<br />

PAT [Nb] 1.3 5.24 7.55 11.9<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

800 726 630 415 671<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

600/680* 450 400 300 525<br />

GUINNESS NIGERIA raised sales revenue by 11.1% in 2008, a slow down from 16.1% in 2007. After tax<br />

profit grew at par with revenue at 11.2% but also slowed down from 43.8% growth in the preceding year.<br />

Growth in profit stepped up in the final quarter with an improvement in net profit margin from 15.3% in the<br />

third quarter to 17.1% at full year. Net profit margin was virtually unchanged from the preceding full year’s<br />

record of 17.2%. An improving trend in earnings per share was maintained <strong>for</strong> the third year running.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

132.4<br />

26.2<br />

19.8<br />

346<br />

15.9<br />

-<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

18.4<br />

38.6<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter – June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 21.4 Dividend Status – Ex div<br />

Financial Year End - Dec 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 111.8 86.3 80.2 73.6 56.5<br />

Net Profit 18.9 10.9 8.25 5.1 7.3<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 19.6<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 41.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 100<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

38.4<br />

123.75<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-9.1<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,474.3 1,474.3 6179.4 1,179.4 1.179.4<br />

46.68<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

Bearish<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-2.35<br />

Bullish Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-4.7<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 - Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 32.4<br />

PAT [Nb] 6.2<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

250 144 109 67 193<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

250 144 105 40 110<br />

NIGERIAN BREWERIES isn’t likely to match the strong growth in revenue and profit last year <strong>for</strong> the<br />

current year but growth is expected to be strong enough to keep key indices looking up. Turnover is projected<br />

to growth by 18.4% in the year and with further gain in net profit margin, net profit is projected to<br />

grow at a faster rate of 38.6%. Net profit margin has improved from 16.9% in 2007 full year to 19.1% in<br />

the first quarter.<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

-16.5<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 1<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 7,562.6 7,562.6 7,562.6 7,562.6 3,781<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

200 moving average - 7.7%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bearish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 3<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OP<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

*Special dividend of 680k<br />

18


57.0<br />

56.5<br />

56.0<br />

55.5<br />

55.0<br />

54.5<br />

54.0<br />

53.5<br />

53.0<br />

52.5<br />

52.0<br />

51.5<br />

51.0<br />

50.5<br />

50.0<br />

49.5<br />

49.0<br />

48.5<br />

48.0<br />

47.5<br />

47.0<br />

46.5<br />

46.0<br />

45.5<br />

45.0<br />

44.5<br />

44.0<br />

43.5<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

42.0<br />

41.5<br />

41.0<br />

40.5<br />

40.0<br />

39.5<br />

39.0<br />

38.5<br />

38.0<br />

37.5<br />

37.0<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

59<br />

58<br />

57<br />

56<br />

55<br />

54<br />

53<br />

52<br />

51<br />

50<br />

49<br />

48<br />

47<br />

46<br />

45<br />

44<br />

43<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

39<br />

38<br />

37<br />

36<br />

35<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

ASHAKACEM (29.2500, 28.9600, 28.9600, 28.9600, -0.29000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

BCC (46.0000, 45.5400, 45.5400, 45.5400, -0.46000)<br />

March April May June July August September U<br />

59<br />

58<br />

57<br />

56<br />

55<br />

54<br />

53<br />

52<br />

51<br />

50<br />

49<br />

48<br />

47<br />

46<br />

45<br />

44<br />

43<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

39<br />

38<br />

37<br />

36<br />

35<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

57.0<br />

56.5<br />

56.0<br />

55.5<br />

55.0<br />

54.5<br />

54.0<br />

53.5<br />

53.0<br />

52.5<br />

52.0<br />

51.5<br />

51.0<br />

50.5<br />

50.0<br />

49.5<br />

49.0<br />

48.5<br />

48.0<br />

47.5<br />

47.0<br />

46.5<br />

46.0<br />

45.5<br />

45.0<br />

44.5<br />

44.0<br />

43.5<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

42.0<br />

41.5<br />

41.0<br />

40.5<br />

40.0<br />

39.5<br />

39.0<br />

38.5<br />

38.0<br />

37.5<br />

37.0<br />

36.5<br />

36.0<br />

35.5<br />

35.0<br />

34.5<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

ASHAKACEM PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 4TH QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Final Dividend [K]<br />

16.5<br />

1.6<br />

9.7<br />

93<br />

57.1<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

18.2<br />

3.7<br />

20.3<br />

216<br />

20.8<br />

Deviation from<br />

Forecast %<br />

-9.3<br />

-56.8<br />

-10.6<br />

-56.9<br />

-36.3<br />

Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - March 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 17.6 Dividend Status – Ex Div 25/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 16,500 16,800 15,800 12,300 10,199<br />

Net Profit 1,600 3,380 4,430 3,400 2,123<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 13.4<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 3.5<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

28.96<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-1.14<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-46.6<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 8.92 16.5<br />

PAT [Nb] 1.82 1.6<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

93 231 303 387 242<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- 150 232 285 171<br />

ASHAKACEM recorded a more rapid slow down in revenue and profit in the second half of the 2007<br />

financial year and full year profit figure fell below half year position. Production shortfalls caused a 1.8%<br />

decline in sales revenue and rising input cost led to a 52.7% drop in net profit, following a 23.7% fall in the<br />

preceding year. Net profit margin fell to the lowest mark in many years at 9.7%, down from 20.1% in<br />

2006. Earnings per share continued on a downward slide <strong>for</strong> the third year running.<br />

-48.4<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 6<br />

2006<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 6<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

2 <strong>for</strong> 3<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,990 1,706 1,462.5 1,462.5 877.5<br />

Sell<br />

200 moving average - 35.0%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bearish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 4<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O P<br />

PO<br />

O O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

BENUE CEMENT COMPANY PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

1.04<br />

139<br />

13.6<br />

4<br />

115.9<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

4.4<br />

575<br />

13.1<br />

18<br />

222<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

-20.0<br />

-54.0<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 17.6 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 5,500 6,030 4,005 - 391<br />

Net Profit 1,250 [1,150] 2,244 [912] [727]<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth -<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 49.6<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

-59.0<br />

45.54<br />

Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.30<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-13.8<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.04<br />

PAT [Nb] 139.1<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

44 [61] 453 [184] [146]<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - - - -<br />

BCC recorded a disappointing earnings per<strong>for</strong>mance in the first quarter with sales revenue indicating a<br />

likely decline <strong>for</strong> the second year. Based on the first quarter growth rate, revenue is <strong>for</strong>ecast to drop by<br />

20% in 2008 and after tax profit is projected to fall much faster at 54%. There is a further decline in net<br />

profit margin from 22.7% in the 2007 full year to 13.6% in the first quarter. Earnings per share is expected<br />

to drop significantly and dividend pay-out capacity can be expected to remain weak.<br />

-16.5<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 8<br />

2006<br />

1 f0r 8<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 3,132 2,784 1,980 495 495<br />

200 moving average - 5.6%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 3<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P O<br />

P<br />

O O P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

19<br />

Bullish<br />

Bearish Bullish<br />

Bearish Bearish


Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

CCNN (13.9300, 13.9300, 13.9300, 13.9300, +0.000)<br />

WAPCO (40.4200, 40.0200, 40.0200, 40.0200, -0.40000)<br />

30<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

CEMENT COMPANY OF NORTHERN NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

4.4<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

0.611<br />

13.9<br />

49<br />

28.2<br />

45<br />

200 moving average - 21.4%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 9<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

10.4<br />

1.3<br />

12.5<br />

104<br />

19.2<br />

-<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

29.4<br />

835.3<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 17.6 Dividend Status – Cum Div 4/9/08<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 8,040 6,400 5,920 5,500 3,306<br />

Net Profit 139 [35] 224 827 [108]<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 27.0<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 293.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 90.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

LAFARGE WAPCO PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

11.03<br />

1.95<br />

17.7<br />

65<br />

22.4<br />

-<br />

200 moving average - 32.8%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

700.0<br />

20<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-42.0<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Buy<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 2.2 4.4<br />

PAT [Nm] 135.3 610.9<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

13 [3] 21 85 [111]<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

10 - 10 10 -<br />

CCNN maintained its earlier growth rate in revenue in the second quarter but there was a major leap in<br />

after tax profit growth during the quarter. Revenue growth projection is unchanged at 29.4% <strong>for</strong> the company<br />

in 2008 while we mark up after tax profit growth significantly to 835.3%. There is a further widening<br />

in profit margin from 6.1% in the first quarter to 13.9% in the second. Earnings per share is expected to<br />

advance by 700% to a new high after declining from the 2004 peak.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

45.1<br />

8.3<br />

18.4<br />

276<br />

19.9<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

16.5<br />

-22.4<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter — June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 17.6 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 38,700 39,650 26,630 22,100 13,729<br />

Net Profit 10,700 10,950 2,800 [3,400] [3,175]<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 33.4<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 108.1<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 28.1<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

-22.5<br />

13.93<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.42<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-43.1<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 10<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,243 1,069 1,069 971 971<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-51.8<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 11.03<br />

PAT [Nb] 1.95<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

356 356 93 [193] [185]<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

120 100 30 - -<br />

LAFARGE WAPCO is expected to strengthen sales revenue in 2008 from a decline in 2007. But the<br />

weakness in profit per<strong>for</strong>mance seen last year is very likely to worsen. Our projected revenue growth of<br />

16.5% isn’t likely to absorb the rapid cost increases facing the company. Net profit margin has dropped<br />

from 27.6% in 2007 full year to 17.7% and after tax profit is likely to fall <strong>for</strong> the second year at 22.4%. A<br />

much stronger growth in revenue will be needed to defend profit margin.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

O<br />

40.02<br />

P<br />

P<br />

OO P O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-1.21<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-53.2<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 3,001.6 3,001.6 3,001.6 1,715 1,715<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

OP<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

OO P<br />

O<br />

Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

22 2 T


Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish Bearish Bullish Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 28 12 19 26 9 16 23 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

BERGER (12.6600, 13.2900, 13.0100, 12.6600, -0.35000)<br />

CAP (48.0000, 47.5200, 47.5200, 48.0000, +0.48000)<br />

March April May June July August September U<br />

22 2<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

BERGER PAINTS PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

13.0<br />

27.4<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

0.64<br />

35<br />

5.5<br />

16<br />

98<br />

-<br />

2.6<br />

144<br />

5.5<br />

66<br />

30.3<br />

26.9<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.8<br />

Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 2,300 2,300 1,900 1,800 1,800<br />

Net Profit 113 81 [511] 101 108<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 6.7<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth -85.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

12.66<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+18.9<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Cautious<br />

buy<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 0.637<br />

PAT [Nm] 34.95<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

52 37 [235] 46.5 49.8<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - - 30 40<br />

BERGER PAINTS is pushing revenue to grow from the flat growth position recorded in 2007.<br />

We project that turnover will grow by 13% at full year based on current growth rate. Profit is<br />

expected to grow far above revenue at 27.4%. The strength in profit is coming from an increase<br />

in profit margin, which stands at a four-year best at 5.5%. The earnings prospects could<br />

improve slightly in the remaining quarters.<br />

-45.8<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 217.4 217.4 217.4 217.4 217.4<br />

200 moving average - 7.4%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bearish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 4<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

O O O<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O O OOO O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O PO<br />

CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCTS PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

0.554<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm] 172.7<br />

Net Profit Margin [%] 31.2<br />

EPS [K]<br />

77<br />

P/E Ratio [Times] 17.3<br />

Interim Dividend [K] -<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

2.3<br />

725<br />

31.5<br />

323<br />

18.6<br />

-<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

9.5<br />

-12.7<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter — June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 2,100 2,000 1,500 1,500 1,203<br />

Net Profit 830 313 202 161 152<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 15.8<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 62.9<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 101.4<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

-12.7<br />

52.48<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-25.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 0.554<br />

PAT [Nm] 172.74<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

370 139 90 72 90<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

375 300 70 55 50<br />

CAP is recording slowly growing revenue in the 2008 financial year and the strong growth in profit seen<br />

the preceding year isn’t being sustained. We project an increase of 9.5% in revenue <strong>for</strong> the company at<br />

full year and a decline of 12.7 per cent in after tax profit. Net profit margin, which soared from 15.7% in<br />

2006 to 39.5% in 2007, is down to 31.5 % in the first quarter. Earnings growth prospects will become<br />

clearer in the next quarter.<br />

-48.4<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 3<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 224 224 224 224 168<br />

U<br />

200 moving average - 18.9%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 39<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

O P<br />

PPP<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

P P P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

O O O<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

PO O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

21<br />

Bullish<br />

Bearish Volume Bullish(6,000)<br />

Bearish Bearish


21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

DNMEYER (11.5100, 11.5100, 11.5100, 11.5100, +0.000)<br />

Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 26 1116 23 30 7 14 28 5 11 18 1 9 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August September<br />

Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7<br />

March<br />

April<br />

NIG-GERMAN (19.4200, 19.4200, 19.4200, 19.4200, +0.000)<br />

Bearish<br />

14 21 28 5<br />

May<br />

12 20 26 2 10<br />

June<br />

Bearish<br />

16 23 7<br />

July<br />

Bullish<br />

14 21 4 11<br />

August<br />

22<br />

19 9 22<br />

September<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

DN MEYER PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

-2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

1.1<br />

34.8<br />

3.1<br />

12<br />

37.9<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

2.5<br />

72.2<br />

2.9<br />

24<br />

50.0<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

19.0<br />

13.2<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 2,100 2,010 1,369 1,761 1,500<br />

Net Profit 63.8 60.8 [209] 63 67<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 11.6<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth -76.0<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 45.5<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

9.1<br />

11.51<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+38.2<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 0.492 1.11<br />

PAT [Nm] 13.2 34.8<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

22 25 [86] 43 46<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

10 - - 20 45<br />

DN MEYER improved its revenue growth rate in the second quarter and profit growth also accelerated<br />

during the period. Based on the accelerated growth rate, we mark up revenue growth <strong>for</strong>ecast from 4.8%<br />

to 19%. We revise profit projection from possible decline to a 13.2% growth in 2008. Net profit margin is a<br />

little improved from 2.7% in the first quarter to 3.1% in the second. A further improvement in revenue and<br />

additional gain in profit margin are needed to raise per<strong>for</strong>mance prospects in 2008.<br />

-44.3<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 291.5 242.9 242.9 146 146<br />

200 moving average -5.3%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 12<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

O OO<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

OO O<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

P PP<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

NIGERIAN-GERMAN CHEMICALS PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

48.3<br />

97.2<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

1.83<br />

132.7<br />

7.3<br />

86<br />

29.2<br />

-<br />

3.9<br />

270.2<br />

6.9<br />

175<br />

11.4<br />

96.6<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 2,630 2,490 2,470 2,100 1,603<br />

Net Profit 137 149 121 95 62<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 13.8<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 23.9<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 50.6<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

19.42<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-25.3<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 0.902 1.83<br />

PAT [Nm] 60.44 132.71<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

89 97 79 62 40<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

45 45 35 30 30<br />

NIGERIAN-GERMAN CHEMICALS stepped up growth in revenue and profit further in the second quarter,<br />

expecting to make up <strong>for</strong> two years of a slow down. Revenue growth rate has been marginal over the<br />

past two years and profit growth has been decelerating since 2004. We revise upwards projected revenue<br />

growth from 42.3% to 48.3%. With further gain in profit margin, we mark up after tax profit projection from<br />

31.3% to 97.2% <strong>for</strong> the company in 2008.<br />

-39.3<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 153.8 153.8 153.8 153.8 153.8<br />

T<br />

200 moving average - 18.1%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 3<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O O O O P P<br />

OO O P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

OO P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

T<br />

22


34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

PZ (24.2000, 23.9600, 23.9600, 23.9600, -0.24000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

UACN (45.0000, 44.5500, 44.5500, 45.0000, +0.45000)<br />

Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

63<br />

62<br />

61<br />

60<br />

59<br />

58<br />

57<br />

56<br />

55<br />

54<br />

53<br />

52<br />

51<br />

50<br />

49<br />

48<br />

47<br />

46<br />

45<br />

44<br />

43<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

39<br />

38<br />

37<br />

36<br />

35<br />

34<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

PZ INDUSTRIES PLC<br />

FULL YEAR RESULT<br />

- 4TH QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Deviation from<br />

Forecast %<br />

+6.6<br />

+21.9<br />

+0.7<br />

+24.0<br />

-10.1<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Final Dividend [K]<br />

65.9<br />

3.9<br />

5.9<br />

124<br />

16.9<br />

62<br />

61.8<br />

3.2<br />

5.2<br />

100<br />

27.0<br />

Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - August 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 16.0 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - May 31 Final Result Expected - August 09<br />

Yr. to May 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Turnover 65,940 54,220 43,500 34,135 27,995<br />

Net Profit 3,950 3,510 3,240 3,270 2,078<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 23.9<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 19.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 50.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

23.96<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.02<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-11.3<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/8 Q1 - August Q2 - Nov Q3 Feb Q4 –May<br />

Turnover [Nb] 13.51 29.95 65.94<br />

PAT [Nm] 0.443 1.4 3.95<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

124 138 126 150 119<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

62 71 69 75 75<br />

PZ INDUSTRIES improved sales revenue by 21.6% in its financial year ended May 2008 and after tax<br />

profit grew less rapidly at 12.5%. The slow growth in profit reflects a decline in profit margin, which went<br />

down from 6.5% in 2007 to 6.0% in 2008. With the modest growth in profit against the scrip of 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 in<br />

2007, earnings per share declined in the year to the lowest mark in five years. Dividend per share also<br />

came down to the lowest level in five years.<br />

-26.2<br />

Sell<br />

Bonus Issue 2008<br />

-<br />

2007<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 3,176 2,541 2,541 2,179 1,743<br />

200 moving average - 8.7%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility norrmal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 6<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term<br />

bearish<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O P P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O P P<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

UACN PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

200 moving average - 8.2%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 6<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

40.0<br />

-6.5<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

10.8<br />

0.68<br />

6.3<br />

53<br />

21.6<br />

-<br />

44.1<br />

2.9<br />

6.6<br />

225<br />

24.4<br />

-6.6<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter — June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 16.0 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 31,500 28,400 27,120 25,100 20,844<br />

Net Profit 3,100 3,200 1,630 1,600 2,185<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 11.1<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 18.8<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 49.8<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

23<br />

45.0<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-13.5<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 10.8<br />

PAT [Nb] 0.68<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

241 249 127 176 240<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

120 100 100 85 60<br />

UACN is looking out <strong>for</strong> an exceptional growth in sales revenue in 2008 but profit prospects remain weak<br />

<strong>for</strong> the second year. Revenue is projected to grow by 40%, the highest in five years while after tax profit is<br />

headed <strong>for</strong> a marginal decline <strong>for</strong> the second year. Net profit margin continues to decline from 11.3% in<br />

2006 to 9.8% in 2007 and further to 6.3% in the first quarter of the current year. Prospects <strong>for</strong> improving<br />

profit margin and profit growth are uncertain in the rising cost environment facing the company.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication bearish<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

Bullish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.31<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-26.9<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 2<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,284,6 1,284,6 909 909 909<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

T


Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

180<br />

175<br />

170<br />

165<br />

160<br />

155<br />

150<br />

145<br />

140<br />

135<br />

130<br />

125<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

UNILEVER (23.75 00 , 23.7 500 , 23 .7 500 , 23 .7 500 , +0 .0 00 )<br />

JBERGER (73.5100, 72.7800, 72.7800, 73.5100, +0.73000)<br />

180<br />

175<br />

170<br />

165<br />

160<br />

155<br />

150<br />

145<br />

140<br />

135<br />

130<br />

125<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

50<br />

45<br />

40<br />

35<br />

30<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

22 2<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

UNILEVER NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

19.2<br />

1.7<br />

8.9<br />

45<br />

75.3<br />

-<br />

200 moving average + 4.0%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 10<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

39.7<br />

3.6<br />

9.0<br />

95<br />

21.1<br />

-<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

16.8<br />

227.3<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter — September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 16.0 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 34,000 25,550 33,400 28,577 23,694<br />

Net Profit 1,100 [1,617] 1,620 2,167 1,870<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 11.8<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth -10.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 86.2<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

JULIUS BERGER NIGERIA PLC<br />

RESULT ANALYSIS<br />

- FULL YEAR<br />

227.6<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+7.7<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 19.15<br />

PAT [Nm] 1.72<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

29 [42] 54 72 62<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

25 - - 70 61<br />

Unilever Nigeria’s second quarter earnings position indicates moderate revenue growth prospects in 2008<br />

but a major leap in profit. Sales revenue is projected to grow by 16.8% at full year while after tax profit is<br />

expected to advance by 227.3%. At the end of the second half, after tax profit is already 54.5% above<br />

the 2007 full year figure. There is a strong recovery in profit margin from only 3.2% in December 2007 to<br />

8.9% in the second quarter. Earnings per share is expected to make a new high since 2004.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Deviation from<br />

Forecast %<br />

+17.4<br />

+28.6<br />

+0.2<br />

+28.8<br />

-2.0<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Final Dividend [K]<br />

79.1<br />

1.8<br />

2.3<br />

600<br />

14.1<br />

500<br />

67.4<br />

1.4<br />

2.1<br />

466<br />

16.1<br />

Next Result Expected - 1st quarter – March 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 9.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div—7/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 79,100 56,900 40,800 29,200 30,458<br />

Net Profit 1,800 1,120 627 387 366<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 31.0<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 51.8<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 83.3<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

23.75<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.95<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-15.1<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 3,783.3 3,783.3 3,027 3,027 3,027<br />

73.51<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.74<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-8.6<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Buy<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 34.15 49.65 79.1<br />

PAT [Nm] 690 995 1.8<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

600 373 208 172 163<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

500 90 70 15 25<br />

JULIUS BERGER maintained its track record of strong growth in revenue and profit <strong>for</strong> the third year<br />

running. Turnover rose by 39% and after tax profit maintained a stronger growth at 60.7%. Net profit<br />

margin improved from less than 2.0% in 2006 to 2.3% in the year. The strong growth in profit lifted earnings<br />

per share to a new high, placing the company on the big earnings league. The company is paying a<br />

cash dividend of N5 per share and a bonus issue of 3 <strong>for</strong> 1.<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

-49.7<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

- 3 <strong>for</strong> 1 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,200 300 300 300 225<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

T<br />

200 moving average -27.7%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 17<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

Bullish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

P PP<br />

O<br />

O O O<br />

PP P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P O<br />

Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />

24


60.5<br />

60.0<br />

59.5<br />

59.0<br />

58.5<br />

58.0<br />

57.5<br />

57.0<br />

56.5<br />

56.0<br />

55.5<br />

55.0<br />

54.5<br />

54.0<br />

53.5<br />

53.0<br />

52.5<br />

52.0<br />

51.5<br />

51.0<br />

50.5<br />

50.0<br />

49.5<br />

49.0<br />

48.5<br />

48.0<br />

47.5<br />

47.0<br />

46.5<br />

46.0<br />

45.5<br />

45.0<br />

44.5<br />

44.0<br />

43.5<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

54<br />

53<br />

52<br />

51<br />

50<br />

49<br />

48<br />

47<br />

46<br />

45<br />

44<br />

43<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

39<br />

38<br />

37<br />

36<br />

35<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

7UP (51.5000, 50.9900, 50.9900, 51.5000, +0.51000)<br />

CADBURY (34.1200, 33.7800, 33.7800, 34.1200, +0.12000)<br />

Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 26 9 16 30 7 14 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

60.5<br />

60.0<br />

59.5<br />

59.0<br />

58.5<br />

58.0<br />

57.5<br />

57.0<br />

56.5<br />

56.0<br />

55.5<br />

55.0<br />

54.5<br />

54.0<br />

53.5<br />

53.0<br />

52.5<br />

52.0<br />

51.5<br />

51.0<br />

50.5<br />

50.0<br />

49.5<br />

49.0<br />

48.5<br />

48.0<br />

47.5<br />

47.0<br />

46.5<br />

46.0<br />

45.5<br />

45.0<br />

44.5<br />

44.0<br />

43.5<br />

43.0<br />

42.5<br />

54<br />

53<br />

52<br />

51<br />

50<br />

49<br />

48<br />

47<br />

46<br />

45<br />

44<br />

43<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

39<br />

38<br />

37<br />

36<br />

35<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

7-UP BOTTLING COMPANY PLC<br />

RESULT ANALYSIS<br />

SHEET - Q2<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

13.9<br />

0.655<br />

4.7<br />

127<br />

19.7<br />

-<br />

200 moving average - 1.8%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 5<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

29.6<br />

1.4<br />

4.7<br />

273<br />

22.0<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year - March 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 08<br />

Yr. to March 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 27,310 22,100 17,347 14,937 14,222<br />

Net Profit 1,220 1,200 954 1,144 1,382<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 18.4<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 2.7<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 54.6<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

CADBURY NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 3RD QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

8.4<br />

14.8<br />

14.7<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+11.3<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/8 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Gross Income [Nb] 13.9<br />

PAT [Nb] 0.655<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

238 293 233 279 337<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

130 125 125 100 75<br />

7-UP recorded moderate growth in revenue in the second quarter but after tax profit grew a<br />

little faster. We project full year revenue growth of 8.4% and 14.8% improvement in net profit.<br />

Net profit margin improved marginally from 4.5% in the 2007 full year to 4.7% in the second<br />

quarter. A recovery in earnings per share is expected after the scrip issue-induced decline in<br />

the preceding year. Earnings growth is expected to step up in the second half.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication bearish<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

3.1<br />

-<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

14.05<br />

[2.53]<br />

-18.0<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

19.8<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year December 2007<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

Turnover 19,210 29,450 22,100 20,257 16,015<br />

Net Profit [4,700] 2,700 2,800 2,682 2,249<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 11.1<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 2.8<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

51.50<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-12.7<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 512.5 410 410 410 410<br />

34.12<br />

PP<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-1.03<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-7.5<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 14.05<br />

PAT [Nb] [2.53]<br />

EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

[427] 245 254 358 300<br />

Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

- 130 160 175 150<br />

CADBURY NIGERIA is recording a slow growth in revenue in the current year and a loss position looks<br />

very likely <strong>for</strong> the company <strong>for</strong> the second year. Based on current growth rate, we expect a flat growth in<br />

turnover and a lower loss position than recorded in 2006. A strong drive in revenue is needed to accelerate<br />

recovery and return the company to profit. Good profit per<strong>for</strong>mance will have to be maintained <strong>for</strong><br />

three to four years to fully wipe off a huge negative net worth.<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

-40.7<br />

Bonus Issue 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,100 1,100 1,100 751 751<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

PPP<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OP<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

200 moving average - 9.7%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

25<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P PP<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

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O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O P O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

T


56<br />

55<br />

54<br />

53<br />

52<br />

51<br />

50<br />

49<br />

48<br />

47<br />

46<br />

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44<br />

43<br />

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25<br />

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22<br />

21<br />

20<br />

19<br />

18<br />

17<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

DANGSUGAR (23.0000, 23.0000, 22.7900, 22.9200, -0.08000)<br />

March April May June July August September U<br />

FLOURMILL (66.9400, 66.2800, 66.2800, 66.9400, +0.66000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

56<br />

55<br />

54<br />

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52<br />

51<br />

50<br />

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48<br />

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44<br />

43<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

39<br />

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37<br />

36<br />

35<br />

34<br />

33<br />

32<br />

31<br />

30<br />

29<br />

28<br />

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26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

22<br />

21<br />

20<br />

19<br />

18<br />

17<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

60<br />

55<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

DANGOTE SUGAR REFINERY PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

43.1<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm] 12.84<br />

Net Profit Margin [%] 29.6<br />

EPS [K]<br />

128<br />

P/E Ratio [Times] 18.1<br />

Interim Dividend [K] 85<br />

200 moving average - 35.2%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 10<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

88.2<br />

26.2<br />

29.7<br />

262<br />

10.7<br />

-<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

9.4<br />

21.9<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Cum Div—29/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006<br />

Turnover 80,650 83,768<br />

Net Profit 21,500 16,657<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth -3.7<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 29.1<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 79.1<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

FLOURMILLS NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

37.0<br />

1.4<br />

3.8<br />

82<br />

22.6<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

150.3<br />

6.1<br />

4.1<br />

357<br />

19.0<br />

21.9<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-42.7<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 43.1<br />

PAT [Nb] 12.84<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006<br />

215 166<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006<br />

170 115<br />

DANGOTE SUGAR REFINERY is expected to step up sales revenue growth in the current year and keep<br />

profit growing ahead of revenue <strong>for</strong> the third year running. Based on the growth rate in the second quarter,<br />

we project that revenue will improve by 9.4% against a 3.7% decline in 2007. After tax profit is expected<br />

to grow by 21.9% in 2008. Net profit margin has increased further from 19.9% in 2006 to 26.7% in<br />

in 2007 and to 29.6% in the second quarter.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

17.7<br />

-4.7<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div—11/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 09<br />

Yr. to March31 [Nb 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Turnover 127.7 105.7 86.6 66.8 53.6<br />

Net Profit 6.4 7.5 4.7 1.5 1.4<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 24.3<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 66.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 24.3<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

-13.3<br />

22.92<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.90<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006<br />

- -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 10,000 10,000<br />

66.94<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-19.3<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-55.1<br />

Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />

Bearish<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.67<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 Dec Q4 –March<br />

Turnover [Nb] 37.0<br />

PAT [Nb] 1.4<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

412 643 403 130 188<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

100 90 85 70 70<br />

FLOUR MILLS is maintaining normal growth in revenue in the current financial year but profit is likely to<br />

decline <strong>for</strong> the second year. We project a 17.7% growth in sales revenue <strong>for</strong> the company and a 4.7%<br />

decline in after tax profit There is a further decline in net profit margin from 7.1% in the full year 2007 to<br />

5.0% in 2008 and to 3.8% in the first quarter. This is expected to cause a decline in earnings per share <strong>for</strong><br />

the second year to hit the lowest mark in four years. We expect however that earnings outlook will improve<br />

in the subsequent quarters.<br />

O P<br />

P P<br />

O O O<br />

-37.1<br />

Bonus Issue 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 10 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,708 1,553 1,165 1,165 728<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO P O OO<br />

P<br />

O OP<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

200 moving average - 18.7%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 9<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

26<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

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O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

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Bullish<br />

Bearish<br />

Bearish<br />

Bullish


300<br />

295<br />

290<br />

285<br />

280<br />

275<br />

270<br />

265<br />

260<br />

255<br />

250<br />

245<br />

240<br />

235<br />

230<br />

225<br />

220<br />

215<br />

210<br />

205<br />

200<br />

195<br />

190<br />

185<br />

180<br />

175<br />

170<br />

165<br />

73<br />

72<br />

71<br />

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69<br />

68<br />

67<br />

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65<br />

64<br />

63<br />

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61<br />

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58<br />

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49<br />

48<br />

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42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

NESTLE (227.700, 225.430, 225.430, 227.700, +2.27000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

NBC (47.5200, 47.0500, 47.0500, 47.5200, +0.47000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

300<br />

295<br />

290<br />

285<br />

280<br />

275<br />

270<br />

265<br />

260<br />

255<br />

250<br />

245<br />

240<br />

235<br />

230<br />

225<br />

220<br />

215<br />

210<br />

205<br />

200<br />

195<br />

190<br />

185<br />

180<br />

175<br />

170<br />

165<br />

73<br />

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69<br />

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66<br />

65<br />

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62<br />

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60<br />

59<br />

58<br />

57<br />

56<br />

55<br />

54<br />

53<br />

52<br />

51<br />

50<br />

49<br />

48<br />

47<br />

46<br />

45<br />

44<br />

43<br />

42<br />

41<br />

40<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

NESTLE NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

22.9<br />

3.3<br />

14.4<br />

499<br />

33.6<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

47.5<br />

7.1<br />

15.0<br />

1,075<br />

23.3<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

8.0<br />

30.5<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter— September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 44,030 38,420 34,336 28,461 24,632<br />

Net Profit 5,440 5,660 5,307 3,835 3,804<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 15.6<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 10.5<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 99.6<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

30.6<br />

227.70<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-2.30<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-17.7<br />

From Year’s<br />

High 5<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Hold<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 11.7 22.9<br />

PAT [Nb] 1.6 3.3<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

823 1,079 1,004 726 720<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

820 1,035 1000 700 700<br />

NESTLE NIGERIA maintained moderate growth in turnover in the second quarter and full year revenue<br />

prospects are unchanged from a likely slow down at 8.0% at current growth rate. The company’s after<br />

tax profit also maintained its first quarter growth rate and full year growth projection is unchanged at<br />

30.5%. This will be the fastest growth in the past three years. Net profit margin has improved slightly from<br />

13.7% in the first quarter 14.4% in the second.<br />

-24.1<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 660.5 528.4` 528.4 528.4 528.4<br />

200 moving average - 5.2%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 6<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

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P PP<br />

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NIGERIAN BOTTLING COMPANY PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

19.4<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

1.2<br />

6.2<br />

92<br />

23.1<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

79.2<br />

5.1<br />

6.4<br />

392<br />

19.9<br />

-<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

15.6<br />

59.4<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter -—June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 68,530 59,700 55,400 47,500 43,901<br />

Net Profit 3,200 1,050 2,310 3,100 4,401<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 11.9<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 23.8<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 30.5<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

59.3<br />

47.52<br />

Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />

Bearish<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-16.7<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 19.4<br />

PAT [Nb] 1.2<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

246 81 178 239 451<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

75 30 60 120 160<br />

NIGERIAN BOTTLING COMPANY is maintaining stable growth in turnover in 2008 and profit is<br />

growing well ahead of revenue. We project a 15.6% increase in sales revenue at current growth rate<br />

and we expect that after tax profit will advance by 59.4%. There is further gain in net profit margin<br />

from 1.7% in 2006 to 4.7% in 2007 and 6.2% in the first quarter. Earnings per share is expected to<br />

attain a five-year high but will most likely remain below the 2003 peak.<br />

-32.1<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 3<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,299 1,299 1,299 1,299 974.5<br />

200 moving average -16.3%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bearish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 5<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

27<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P P O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O OO O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OOP<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O


15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

EVANSMED (5.13000, 5.08000, 5.08000, 5.13000, +0.05000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

GLAXOSMITHKLINE (22.8900, 22.6700, 22.6700, 22.8900, +0.22000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

34.0<br />

33.5<br />

33.0<br />

32.5<br />

32.0<br />

31.5<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

EVANS MEDICAL PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

1.2<br />

111<br />

9.3<br />

23<br />

-<br />

-<br />

200 moving average - 35.2%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

5.3<br />

465<br />

8.8<br />

95<br />

6.3<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

68.3<br />

246.7<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 9.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 3,150 2,910 2,500 2,400 1,537<br />

Net Profit [317] 132 79 [104] 89<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 21.2<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth -78.5<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

200 moving average - 1.8%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

246.2<br />

28<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-24.2<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.2<br />

PAT [Nm] 111<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

[65] 29 21 -33 28<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - 12.5 - 20<br />

Evans Medical has issued its first quarter earnings report that shows the company is on the way to a<br />

strong recovery from a big loss position in the preceding year. Revenue is expected to grow more rapidly<br />

than anytime in the past five years and profit is projected to advance 246.7% from the loss position in<br />

2007. Net profit margin has improved remarkably from the five-year best record of 5.6% in 2003 to 9.3%<br />

in the first quarter. We expect that the strong growth in profit and in earnings per share projected will<br />

enable the company resume cash dividend payment, having missing it in the past two years.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

GLAXO SMITHKLINE CONSUMER NIG PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

25.1<br />

103.1<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

6.03<br />

0.79<br />

13.1<br />

82<br />

24.9<br />

-<br />

12.4<br />

1.7<br />

13.7<br />

177<br />

12.4<br />

103.4<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 9.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 9,910 10,400 8,600 7,149 5,672<br />

Net Profit 837 1,100 975 955 684<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 15.6<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 7.7<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 60.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

5.13<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.15<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-63.4<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- 1 <strong>for</strong> 10 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 486.5 442.2 442.2 312 118.5<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-2.6<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 3.0 6.03<br />

PAT [Nm] 406 787.05<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

87 115 102 120 86<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

45 45 40 35 30<br />

GSK maintained the earnings growth rates in the second quarter that are expected to lead to outstanding<br />

growth in profit in the current year. Sales revenue growth projection is unchanged at 25.1% <strong>for</strong> the company<br />

in 2008 against a 4.7% decline in 2007. An accelerated growth in after tax profit has been maintained<br />

in the second quarter and the full year growth expectation of 103.1% is also unchanged. Net profit<br />

margin inched down however from 13.5% in the first quarter to 13.1% in the second. The strong growth in<br />

profit expected will lead to an equal lifting in EPS to a new high after three years of stagnation.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication bearish<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

22.89<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P O<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O P O P<br />

Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-29.4<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 956.7 956.7 956.7 797 797<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

Bullish<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O OO P<br />

Bearish<br />

O OP O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

Bullish<br />

OP<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O O<br />

P<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

Bearish<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO P OO<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P


21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

MAYBAKER (9.27000, 9.18000, 9.18000, 9.27000, +0.09000)<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

19.0<br />

18.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

NEIMETH (5.89000, 6.18000, 5.84000, 5.84000, +0.000)<br />

March April May June July August September U<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

MAY & BAKER NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2NDT QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

2.3<br />

96.2<br />

4.2<br />

13<br />

44.7<br />

-<br />

200 moving average - 29.4%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 100<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

4.8<br />

204<br />

4.3<br />

29<br />

34.5<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

-<br />

-<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year — December 2007<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 9.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div— 4/9/08<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

Turnover 2,300 1,997 1,901 1,780 1,275<br />

Net Profit 211 102 91 79 41<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 16.6<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 56.6<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 100<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-31.1<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 0.787 2.3<br />

PAT [Nm] [32.4] 96.2<br />

EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

30 47 51 55 20<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

40 30 30 - 30<br />

MAY & BAKER is yet to issue its full year earnings report <strong>for</strong> 2007 but has announced a dividend of 40<br />

kobo per share. Its second quarter report <strong>for</strong> 2008 shows a return to profit from its loss position in the first<br />

quarter. Actual growth prospects <strong>for</strong> the company in the current year cannot be established in the absence<br />

of the 2007 per<strong>for</strong>mance records. Revenue however is expected to maintain stable growth but<br />

profit margin needs to improve, having declined from 9.1% in 2006 to 4.2% in the second quarter.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

NEIMETH INT. PHARMACEUTICAL PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

0.349<br />

20<br />

5.7<br />

2<br />

93.3<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

1.7<br />

88.7<br />

5.2<br />

9<br />

77.8<br />

-<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

-12.8<br />

-9.5<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 9.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div — 29/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to March 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Turnover 1,950 1,500 1,200 1,242 1,002<br />

Net Profit 98 116 82 98 59<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 19.0<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 19.0<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 100<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

-25.0<br />

9.27<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-51.5<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 10<br />

2004<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 700 700 217.2 181 181<br />

5.84<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

Bullish<br />

P O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.16<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+7.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008/09 Q1 - Jun Q2 - Sept Q3-Dec Q4 –Mar<br />

Turnover [Nb] 348.9<br />

PAT [Nm] 20<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

12 14 10 60 36<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

12 7 6 5 4<br />

NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL recorded moderate growth in revenue in the first quarter and reported a<br />

profit position in place of a loss in the corresponding quarter last year. Current growth rate isn’t however<br />

keeping track with the full year growth momentum in 2007. We expect that the growth rates in revenue<br />

and profit will pick up in the coming quarters. Profit margin is a little improved from 5.0% at full year -<br />

March 2008 to 5.7% in the first quarter.<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

Bearish<br />

-59.3<br />

Bonus Issue 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 980 783.8 783.8 783.8 164<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O P O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P O P<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

200 moving average - 32.0%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 16<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O OO P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O OP<br />

29<br />

Bullish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish


Bullish<br />

7 25 31 7<br />

April<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

Bearish<br />

14 21 28 5<br />

May<br />

IKEJAHOTEL (7.14000, 7.14000, 7.14000, 7.14000, +0.0000)<br />

12 19 26 2 9<br />

June<br />

Bearish<br />

16 23 30<br />

July<br />

Bullish<br />

7 14 21 28 4<br />

August<br />

VITAFOAM (9.71000, 9.62000, 9.62000, 9.71000, +0.0000)<br />

11 18 25 1<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

IKEJA HOTELS PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

3.22<br />

555.6<br />

17.3<br />

51<br />

16.3<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

6.9<br />

1.2<br />

17.4<br />

111<br />

17.5<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

30.2<br />

71.9<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 17.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 5,300 4,640 4,190 3,296 3,082<br />

Net Profit 698 526 434 233 287<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

73.4<br />

7.14<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+7.9<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.6 3.22<br />

PAT [Nm] 258.42 555.61<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

64 48 40 22 27<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

10 10 10 20<br />

IKEJA HOTELS maintained stable growth in revenue in the second quarter and its rapidly growing profit<br />

accelerated further in the second quarter. Our projected sales revenue growth is unchanged at 30.2% <strong>for</strong><br />

the company in 2008. We mark up our after tax profit growth <strong>for</strong>ecast from 57.6% to 71.9%. Profit margin<br />

has improved further from 13.2% in the 2007 full year to 16.2% in the first quarter and further to 17.4% in<br />

the second. Earnings per share will be less than indicated with the proposed issue of additional one billion<br />

shares in the current year through a public offer.<br />

-32.6<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,080 1,080 1,080 1,080 1,080<br />

200 moving average - 5.7%<br />

Price trend<br />

flat<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bearish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 3<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term neutral<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

P<br />

VITAFOAM NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 3RD QUARTER<br />

200 moving average - 9.2%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

40.7<br />

36.7<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

6.0<br />

394.5<br />

6.6<br />

48<br />

14.6<br />

-<br />

8.65<br />

600<br />

6.9<br />

73<br />

13.7<br />

37.7<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year — September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 27.0 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - Sept 30 Final Result Expected - Jan 09<br />

Yr. to Sept 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 6,150 4,060 3,520 3,651 3,882<br />

Net Profit 439 275 112 272 307<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 5.07<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 23.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 47.2<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

30<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-5.8<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007/8 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.92 4.11 6.0<br />

PAT [Nm] 121.82 298.01 394.5<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

53 34 17 42 47<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

25 12 15 30 30<br />

VITAFOAM maintained its revenue growth rate in the third quarter but profit growth slowed down during<br />

the quarter. Profit failed to grow as rapidly as revenue during the period, which has dimmed full year profit<br />

outlook. This reflects a slip in net profit margin from 7.3% in the second quarter to 6.6% in the third. Full<br />

year revenue projection <strong>for</strong> the company is unchanged but we revise our profit growth projection down<br />

from 42.4% to 36.7% in 2008. Earnings per share is still expected to maintain an improving trend to make<br />

a new peak this year.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

9.71<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.27<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-35.3<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 819 819 655 655 655<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

Bullish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P O<br />

O P O O<br />

P O<br />

P<br />

O P O<br />

Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

S T


Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

Bullish<br />

25 3 10<br />

March<br />

AIICO (4.28000, 4.24000, 4.24000, 4.24000, -0.04000)<br />

CORNERST (2.97000, 2.95000, 2.95000, 2.95000, -0.02000)<br />

Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />

Bearish<br />

17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />

April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

18 25 1 8 15<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

22 2<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

3.0<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

AIICO INSURANCE PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

3.9<br />

0.581<br />

14.9<br />

19<br />

34.3<br />

-<br />

200 moving average - 9.2%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 8<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

8.4<br />

1.3<br />

15.5<br />

43<br />

16.3<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

60.0<br />

326.2<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

GPI 5,250 3,410 2,930 3,700 1,723<br />

Net Profit 305 484 82 72 183<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 41.1<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 103.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

330.0<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+23.6<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 3.9<br />

PAT [Nm] 581.2<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

10 27 6 10 26<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - - - 10<br />

AIICO Insurance is maintaining a strong revenue growth in the current year and a major lifting in profit is<br />

expected to compensate <strong>for</strong> the 37% drop in after tax profit in 2007. We project that gross premium income<br />

will rise by 60% in the year and after tax profit will jump by 326.2%. Net profit margin, which fell<br />

from 16% in December 2006 to 5.8% in 2007, has pushed <strong>for</strong>ward to 14.9% in the second quarter. Earnings<br />

per share can be expected to hit a new high and restore dividend capacity in the current year.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

CORNERSTONE INSURANCE CO. PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

1.44<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb] 0.29<br />

Net Profit Margin [%] 20.2<br />

EPS [K]<br />

3<br />

P/E Ratio [Times] 28.3<br />

Interim Dividend [K] -<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

6.3<br />

1.35<br />

21.4<br />

15<br />

32.7<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

-<br />

-<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year - December 2007<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

GPI 2,740 2,500 2,311 2,136 1,218<br />

Net Profit 176.8 205.8 182.6 126 82.9<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 25.4<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 31.8<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 100.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

-<br />

4.24<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.20<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-43.5<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- 1 <strong>for</strong> 6 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 3,762 1.750 1,400 700 300<br />

2.95<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.03<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-38.9<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.44<br />

PAT [Nm] 290.2<br />

EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

4 11 16 17 21<br />

Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

4 5 13 12.5 10<br />

CORNERSTONE INSURANCE is yet to release its full year trading result <strong>for</strong> 2007 but has issued a first<br />

quarter interim report <strong>for</strong> 2008. First quarter growth rate indicates that rapid growth in gross premium<br />

income is likely to be maintained in the current year and profit growth will mostly keep pace with growth in<br />

revenue. The company is expected to earn N3.5 billion in gross premium income in 2007 and after tax<br />

profit is estimated to be in the region of N810 million.<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P O<br />

-62.5<br />

Bonus Issue 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

- 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 - 2 <strong>for</strong> 3 4 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 8,820 1,964.4 1,115.5 756 420<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

T<br />

200 moving average - 36.4%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow mildly bullish-<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 5<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

31<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

T


8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

Bullish<br />

25 3 10<br />

March<br />

Sep Oct Nov Dec 2008 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep T<br />

17 31 7<br />

April<br />

CRUSADER (7.35000, 7.35000, 7.35000, 7.35000, +0.0000)<br />

WAPIC (6.61000, 6.55000, 6.55000, 6.55000, -0.06000)<br />

Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />

14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

CRUSADER [NIGERIA] PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

154.5<br />

31.0<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

1.2<br />

0.486<br />

40.5<br />

14<br />

15.1<br />

-<br />

5.6<br />

1.9<br />

33.9<br />

57<br />

8.8<br />

-<br />

32.6<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter — June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

GPI 2,200 1,100 1,310 1,000 1,694<br />

Net Profit 1,450 315 278 181 89<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 18.5<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 132.7<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 34.9<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

7.35<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+8.9<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.2<br />

PAT [Nm] 485.5<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

43 32 30 26 17<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

15 15 10 7.5 7.5<br />

CRUSADER INSURANCE is in a year in which revenue is set to record the biggest advance in several<br />

years. We project that the company will lift gross income by more than one and half times in 2008. Profit<br />

growth isn’t keeping pace with revenue in reflection of a drop in net profit margin from a peak of 65.9% in<br />

2007 full year to 40.5% in the first quarter. We expect that profit will grow by 31%, good enough to enable<br />

the company maintain stable growth in earnings per share.<br />

-8.5<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 3,325.3 984.5 940 705 533.7<br />

200 moving average +3.8%<br />

Price trend<br />

flat<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term neutral<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

Bullish<br />

P<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P PP<br />

PO<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

Bearish Bullish Bearish Neutral Bearish<br />

P<br />

O<br />

INTERCONTINENTAL WAPIC INSURANCE CO. PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

112.8<br />

125.1<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

3.92<br />

569<br />

14.5<br />

11<br />

58.1<br />

-<br />

8.3<br />

1.2<br />

12.0<br />

24<br />

29.2<br />

84.6<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2007<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div—11/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007* 2007 2006 2005* 2003<br />

GPI 3,900 3,200 1,134 1,207 539<br />

Net Profit 533 701 240 328 244<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 80.5<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 36.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 96.2<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

6.55<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.30<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-32.8<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - March Q2 - June Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 2.32 3.92<br />

PAT [Nm] 268.1 569<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2007 2006 2005* 2003<br />

13 16 29 39 29<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2007 2006 2005 2003<br />

12.5 12.5 17.5 22.5 17.5<br />

INTERCONTINENTAL WAPIC recorded a slow down in revenue growth in the second quarter but the<br />

company’s good profit outlook <strong>for</strong> the current year is unchanged. Revenue growth projection is revised<br />

down from 156.4% to 112.8% while the growth projection <strong>for</strong> after tax profit is maintained at 125.1%.<br />

There has been a reversal of the slide in net profit margin from 11.6% in the first quarter to 14.5% in the<br />

second. Earnings per share will be moderated by the scrip of 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 issued in 2007.<br />

-52.2<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2007 2006 2005<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 5 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 5,062 4,218 4,218 833 833<br />

200 moving average - 32.9%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 5<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O O P O<br />

O<br />

T<br />

*Change of accounting date<br />

32


6.0<br />

5.9<br />

5.2<br />

5.1<br />

4.6<br />

4.5<br />

3.6<br />

2.5<br />

2.4<br />

1.3<br />

6.4<br />

6.3<br />

6.2<br />

6.1<br />

6.0<br />

5.9<br />

5.8<br />

5.7<br />

5.6<br />

5.5<br />

5.4<br />

5.3<br />

5.2<br />

5.1<br />

5.0<br />

4.9<br />

4.8<br />

4.7<br />

4.6<br />

4.5<br />

4.4<br />

4.3<br />

4.2<br />

4.1<br />

4.0<br />

3.9<br />

3.8<br />

3.7<br />

3.6<br />

3.5<br />

3.4<br />

3.3<br />

3.2<br />

3.1<br />

3.0<br />

2.9<br />

2.8<br />

2.7<br />

2.6<br />

2.5<br />

2.4<br />

2.3<br />

2.2<br />

2.1<br />

2.0<br />

1.9<br />

1.8<br />

1.7<br />

1.6<br />

LASACO (2.10000, 2.08000, 2.08000, 2.08000, -0.02000)<br />

1.3<br />

March April May June July August September U<br />

MBENEFIT (2.84000, 2.82000, 2.82000, 2.82000, -0.02000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

6.0<br />

5.9<br />

5.2<br />

5.1<br />

4.6<br />

4.5<br />

3.6<br />

2.5<br />

2.4<br />

6.4<br />

6.3<br />

6.2<br />

6.1<br />

6.0<br />

5.9<br />

5.8<br />

5.7<br />

5.6<br />

5.5<br />

5.4<br />

5.3<br />

5.2<br />

5.1<br />

5.0<br />

4.9<br />

4.8<br />

4.7<br />

4.6<br />

4.5<br />

4.4<br />

4.3<br />

4.2<br />

4.1<br />

4.0<br />

3.9<br />

3.8<br />

3.7<br />

3.6<br />

3.5<br />

3.4<br />

3.3<br />

3.2<br />

3.1<br />

3.0<br />

2.9<br />

2.8<br />

2.7<br />

2.6<br />

2.5<br />

2.4<br />

2.3<br />

2.2<br />

2.1<br />

2.0<br />

1.9<br />

1.8<br />

1.7<br />

1.6<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

LASACO ASSURANCE PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 3RD QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

2.1<br />

865.6<br />

41.2<br />

11<br />

200 moving average - 45.9%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 63<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

3.2<br />

1.3<br />

40.6<br />

17<br />

21.2<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

100.0<br />

660.2<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year-December 2007<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

GPI 1,600 958 691 562 407<br />

Net Profit 171 141 97 108 86<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 13.7<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 31.2<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 139.5<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

30.8<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-55.1<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.6 2.1<br />

PAT [Nm] 865.6<br />

EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

13 14 14 22 35<br />

Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

- - - 5 5<br />

LASACO maintained its high growth in earnings in the third quarter. Gross premium amounted to N2.1b in<br />

the third quarter —291.4% higher than the corresponding quarter last year. After tax profit grew 496.1%<br />

over the same period to N865.6m. Based on the current growth rate, our projected revenue is revised<br />

slightly down to N3.2 billion but after tax profit is marked up to N1.3 billion. With a significant increase in<br />

the volume of shares at 7,323.3m, EPS will make a relatively moderate growth.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

MUTUAL BENEFITS ASSURANCE PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

1.6<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb] 0.68<br />

Net Profit Margin [%] 42.5<br />

EPS [K]<br />

11<br />

P/E Ratio [Times] 26.1<br />

Interim Dividend [K] -<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

3.5<br />

1.5<br />

42.9<br />

25<br />

20.0<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

GPI 2,210 1,952 1,012<br />

Net Profit 1,000 702 209<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 3-year Average Revenue Growth 53.1<br />

- 3-year Average Profit Growth 139.2<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 47.1<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

59.1<br />

50.0<br />

47.1<br />

2.08<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.10<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-65.3<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 2 <strong>for</strong> 5 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 1 <strong>for</strong> 1<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 7,323.3 1.411<br />

2.82<br />

5.8<br />

5.7<br />

5.6<br />

5.5<br />

5.4<br />

5.3<br />

5.0<br />

4.9<br />

4.8<br />

4.7<br />

4.4<br />

4.3<br />

4.2<br />

4.1<br />

4.0<br />

3.9<br />

3.8<br />

3.7<br />

3.5<br />

3.4<br />

3.3<br />

3.2<br />

3.1<br />

3.0<br />

2.9<br />

2.8<br />

2.7<br />

2.6<br />

2.3<br />

2.2<br />

2.1<br />

2.0<br />

1.9<br />

1.8<br />

1.7<br />

1.6<br />

1.5<br />

1.4<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

Bearish<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.10<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-38.7<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.6<br />

PAT [Nm] 681.4<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

17 37 21 22 10<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

6 10 -<br />

MUTUAL BENEFITS is stepping up growth in revenue and profit in the current year after a slow down in<br />

2007. At current growth rate, we project a 59.1% rise in revenue against 13.2% in the preceding year.<br />

After tax profit is <strong>for</strong>ecast to accelerate from 42.5% to 50% over the same period. Net profit margin remains<br />

very good at 42.5% despite a slip from 45.2% in the 2007 full year. Earnings per share is expected<br />

to begin a recovery after the consolidation induced decline last year.<br />

P<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

Bearish<br />

-52.9<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 5,911.5 1,900 1,000<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O P<br />

O O O<br />

P PP<br />

5.8<br />

5.7<br />

5.6<br />

5.5<br />

5.4<br />

5.3<br />

5.0<br />

4.9<br />

4.8<br />

4.7<br />

4.4<br />

4.3<br />

4.2<br />

4.1<br />

4.0<br />

3.9<br />

3.8<br />

3.7<br />

3.5<br />

3.4<br />

3.3<br />

3.2<br />

3.1<br />

3.0<br />

2.9<br />

2.8<br />

2.7<br />

2.6<br />

2.3<br />

2.2<br />

2.1<br />

2.0<br />

1.9<br />

1.8<br />

1.7<br />

1.6<br />

1.5<br />

1.4<br />

200 moving average - 29.6%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 5<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

33<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

P<br />

PP<br />

O P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O OO O O O P<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

O O<br />

O O<br />

O P P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O OO<br />

Bullish Bearish Bearish


Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

NIGERINS (5.75000, 5.70000, 5.70000, 5.75000, +0.05000)<br />

PRESTIGE (8.29000, 8.21000, 8.21000, 8.29000, +0.08000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

22 2<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

NIGER INSURANCE COMPANY PLC<br />

FULL YEAR RESULT<br />

- 4TH QUARTER<br />

200 moving average - 14.1%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 4<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Deviation From<br />

Forecast %<br />

-11.4<br />

-10.6<br />

+0.1<br />

-11.1<br />

-1.3<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

3.9<br />

657<br />

16.8<br />

16<br />

40.4<br />

-<br />

4.4<br />

735<br />

16.7<br />

18<br />

41.7<br />

Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - March 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

GPI 3,900 3,140 2,310 2,100 1,900<br />

Net Profit 657 589 288 252 171<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 20.2<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 44.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 93.8<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-9.7<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.14 2.04 3.9<br />

PAT [Nm] 218.1 354.12 657<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

16 18 36 32 21<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

15 15 5 20 15<br />

NIGER INSURANCE improved gross premium income by 24.2% in 2007, a moderation from 35.9%<br />

growth in 2006. Profit growth slowed down much faster from 104.5% to 11.5% during the period, the<br />

slowest growth in five years. The inability to match profit growth with revenue reflects a decline in net<br />

profit margin from 18.8% in 2006 to 16.8% in 2007. Earnings per share declined <strong>for</strong> the second year due<br />

to the consolidation-induced expansion in the volume of outstanding shares.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

PRESTIGE ASSURANCE COMPANY PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

1.75<br />

383<br />

21.9<br />

18<br />

24.1<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

3.8<br />

820<br />

21.6<br />

38<br />

25.0<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

65.2<br />

28.5<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

GPI 2,300 1,500 1,300 904 733<br />

Net Profit 638 407 284 202 91<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 34.0<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 65.7<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 54.1<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

2.7<br />

5.75<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.05<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-38.8<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 3,950.8 3,161 800 800 800<br />

8.29<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

O O O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-2.5<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 0.661 1.75<br />

PAT [Nm] 215 383<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

37 40 42 30 28<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

20 15 12 11.5 17<br />

PRESTIGE ASSURANCE improved its revenue growth rate in the second quarter but profit growth<br />

slowed down remarkably during the period. Based on the accelerated growth in the second quarter, we<br />

revise our revenue growth projection from 17.4% to 65.2%. We mark down projected growth in after tax<br />

profit from 37.9% to 28.5%. The profit weakness reflects a drop in net profit margin from 32.5% in the first<br />

quarter to 21.9% in the second.<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P O<br />

-41.9<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 - -<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 2,150 1,720 1,012 1,012 674.7<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

OO O<br />

PP P<br />

O<br />

T<br />

200 moving average - 18.4%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 9<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term neutral<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P O P<br />

P<br />

P O P P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish<br />

34


6.7<br />

6.6<br />

6.5<br />

6.4<br />

6.3<br />

6.2<br />

6.1<br />

6.0<br />

5.9<br />

5.8<br />

5.7<br />

5.6<br />

5.5<br />

5.4<br />

5.3<br />

5.2<br />

5.1<br />

5.0<br />

4.9<br />

4.8<br />

4.7<br />

4.6<br />

4.5<br />

4.4<br />

4.3<br />

4.2<br />

4.1<br />

4.0<br />

3.9<br />

3.8<br />

3.7<br />

3.6<br />

3.5<br />

3.4<br />

3.3<br />

3.2<br />

5.3<br />

5.2<br />

5.1<br />

5.0<br />

4.9<br />

4.8<br />

4.7<br />

4.6<br />

4.5<br />

4.4<br />

4.3<br />

4.2<br />

4.1<br />

4.0<br />

3.9<br />

3.8<br />

3.7<br />

3.6<br />

3.5<br />

3.4<br />

3.3<br />

3.2<br />

3.1<br />

3.0<br />

2.9<br />

2.8<br />

2.7<br />

2.6<br />

2.5<br />

2.4<br />

2.3<br />

2.2<br />

2.1<br />

ROYALEX (3.38000, 3.38000, 3.38000, 3.38000, +0.0000)<br />

Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />

Bearish<br />

7 31 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 26 2 9 16 23 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />

April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

STDINSURE (3.13000, 3.10000, 3.10000, 3.10000, -0.03000)<br />

18 25 1<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

6.7<br />

6.6<br />

6.5<br />

6.4<br />

6.3<br />

6.2<br />

6.1<br />

6.0<br />

5.9<br />

5.8<br />

5.7<br />

5.6<br />

5.5<br />

5.4<br />

5.3<br />

5.2<br />

5.1<br />

5.0<br />

4.9<br />

4.8<br />

4.7<br />

4.6<br />

4.5<br />

4.4<br />

4.3<br />

4.2<br />

4.1<br />

4.0<br />

3.9<br />

3.8<br />

3.7<br />

3.6<br />

3.5<br />

3.4<br />

3.3<br />

3.2<br />

5.3<br />

5.2<br />

5.1<br />

5.0<br />

4.9<br />

4.8<br />

4.7<br />

4.6<br />

4.5<br />

4.4<br />

4.3<br />

4.2<br />

4.1<br />

4.0<br />

3.9<br />

3.8<br />

3.7<br />

3.6<br />

3.5<br />

3.4<br />

3.3<br />

3.2<br />

3.1<br />

3.0<br />

2.9<br />

2.8<br />

2.7<br />

2.6<br />

2.5<br />

2.4<br />

2.3<br />

2.2<br />

2.1<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

ROYAL EXCHANGE ASSURANCE PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

-<br />

-<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

0.899<br />

46.7<br />

5.2<br />

2<br />

37.5<br />

-<br />

3.7<br />

204<br />

5.5<br />

7<br />

57.1<br />

-<br />

Next Result Expected - Full year —December 2007<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

GPI 2,150 2,100 1,894 1,626 1,169<br />

Net Profit 179 133 258 217 194<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 17.1<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 4.1<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 136.4<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

3.38<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-38.7<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 0.899<br />

PAT [Nm] 46.7<br />

EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

11 8 24 25 38<br />

Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />

15 12 11.5 17 17<br />

ROYAL EXCHANGE is yet to issue its 2007 full year operating result but its first quarter report is indicating<br />

stable growth in revenue but weak profit prospects. Net profit margin has declined from 7.0% in the<br />

corresponding quarter last year to 5.2% in the current year. Earnings per share prospects remain relatively<br />

low by industry standard. This reflects weakness in profit growth against the consolidation-induced<br />

high growth in the volume of shares.<br />

-48.0<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 2,818.6 1,601.8 1,601.8 1,068 854<br />

200 moving average - 29.9%<br />

Price trend<br />

flat<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 17<br />

Trading momentum oversold<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term neutral<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O P P O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

S U<br />

STANDARD ALLIANCE INSURANCE PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

2.1<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb] 0.578<br />

Net Profit Margin [%] 27.5<br />

EPS [K]<br />

15<br />

P/E Ratio [Times] 33.3<br />

Interim Dividend [K] -<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

4.4<br />

1.3<br />

29.5<br />

35<br />

11.4<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June, 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Cum Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 2,120 1,610 1,274 1,108 1,029<br />

Net Profit 417 328 164 87 80<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 20.2<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 56.1<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 68.2<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

107.5<br />

211.8<br />

218.2<br />

3.10<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.15<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-27.9<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Hold<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 0.828 2.1<br />

PAT [Nm] 259.5 577.85<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

11 9 20 17 15<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

7.5 - - - 10<br />

STANDARD ALLIANCE improved its strong growth in revenue further in the second quarter. We mark up<br />

projected revenue growth from 79.2% to 107.5% <strong>for</strong> the company in 2008. Profit prospects remain very<br />

good but unchanged from first quarter position. Net profit margin declined from 31.3% in the first quarter<br />

to 27.5% in the second. The indicated growth in earnings per share will be moderated by additional volume<br />

of shares expected from the company’s recent public offer.<br />

-36.7<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 20<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 3,643 3,470<br />

200 moving average - 23.5%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 8<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication bullish<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO P<br />

O P<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

35<br />

Bearish Neutral<br />

Bearish<br />

Bullish


16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

Bearish Bullish<br />

7 31 7 14 21 28 5<br />

April<br />

May<br />

JAPAULOIL (5.30000, 5.25000, 5.25000, 5.25000, -0.05000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

CILEASING (11.1000, 11.1000, 11.1000, 11.1000, +0.0000)<br />

Bearish<br />

12 19 26 2 9<br />

June<br />

16 23 30<br />

July<br />

Bullish<br />

7 14 21 28 4 11<br />

August<br />

18 25 1<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

10.5<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

3.5<br />

18.0<br />

17.5<br />

17.0<br />

16.5<br />

16.0<br />

15.5<br />

15.0<br />

14.5<br />

14.0<br />

13.5<br />

13.0<br />

12.5<br />

12.0<br />

11.5<br />

11.0<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

JAPAUL OIL & MARITIME SERVICES PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

45.9<br />

161.1<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

1.5<br />

469<br />

31.2<br />

7<br />

24.2<br />

-<br />

3.4<br />

987<br />

29.0<br />

16<br />

43.8<br />

-51.5<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 2,330 1,401 533 492 434<br />

Net Profit 378 190 104 87 88<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 62.7<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 50.0<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 42.4<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

5.25<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.25<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-34.3<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 0.829 1.5<br />

PAT [Nm] 201.55 468.5<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

33 16 17 26<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

14 11 10<br />

Japaul Oil maintained its rapid growth in revenue during the second quarter and stepped up profit growth<br />

further during the period. Our projected 45.9% growth in turnover <strong>for</strong> the company in 2008 is unchanged.<br />

With further improvement in profit margin in the second quarter, we mark up our after tax profit growth<br />

projection from 130.2% to 161.1%. Net profit margin has improved from 23.4% in the first quarter to<br />

31.2% in the second. Increased volume of shares coming from the company’s public offer last year is<br />

expected to cause a 51.5% drop in earnings per share.<br />

-65.0<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 6,212 1,166 1,166 607.8 333<br />

200 moving average -44.9%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 10<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P P<br />

O P P<br />

P<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

Bearish<br />

Bearish<br />

Bullish<br />

C & I LEASING PLC<br />

FULLYEAR RESULT<br />

- 4TH QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Final Dividend [K]<br />

2.7<br />

375<br />

13.9<br />

23<br />

39.3<br />

6<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

2.7<br />

385<br />

14.3<br />

24<br />

32.9<br />

-<br />

Deviation From<br />

Forecast %<br />

Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - April 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 23.3 Dividend Status – Ex Div 4/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - January 31 Final Result Expected - April 09<br />

Yr. to Jan 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Turnover 2,700 1,610 1,300 1,167 1,285<br />

Net Profit 375 134 99 96 105<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 23.4<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 52.5<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 52.2<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

+0.0<br />

-2.6<br />

-0.4<br />

-4.2<br />

+6.4<br />

11.16<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+30.6<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2007 Q1 - April Q2 - July Q3 Oct Q4 –Jan<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.1 1.91 2.7<br />

PAT [Nm] 176.74 279.91 375.4<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

23 22 16 16 26<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

12 10 10 10 10<br />

C & I LEASING recorded accelerated growth in revenue and profit in its 2008 financial year ended January<br />

31. Gross income rose by 67.7% and after tax profit advanced by 179.9% - the highest growth rates in<br />

five years. The company converted 13.9% of revenue to after tax profit against 8.3% in the preceding<br />

year. Growth in earnings per share was moderated by the increase in the volume of shares during the<br />

period.<br />

-36.6<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 2<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,604.7 600 600 600 400<br />

200 moving average - 2.0%<br />

Price trend<br />

flat<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bearish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 3<br />

Trading momentum oversold<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

S U<br />

36


Bullish<br />

25 3 10<br />

March<br />

17 31 7<br />

April<br />

UNHOM ES (5.10000, 5.05000, 5.05000, 5.05000, -0.05000)<br />

Bearish<br />

14 21 5 12 19 26 2<br />

May<br />

June<br />

Bullish<br />

16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />

July<br />

August<br />

AFRICAN PETROLEUM PLC (293.980, 293.980, 293.980, 293.980, +0.00)<br />

Bearish<br />

18 25 1 8 15<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

10.0<br />

9.5<br />

9.0<br />

8.5<br />

8.0<br />

7.5<br />

7.0<br />

6.5<br />

6.0<br />

5.5<br />

5.0<br />

4.5<br />

4.0<br />

320<br />

310<br />

300<br />

290<br />

280<br />

270<br />

260<br />

250<br />

240<br />

230<br />

220<br />

210<br />

200<br />

190<br />

180<br />

170<br />

160<br />

150<br />

140<br />

130<br />

120<br />

110<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

UNION HOMES SAVINGS & LOANS PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

2.3<br />

233<br />

10.1<br />

3<br />

35.8<br />

-<br />

200 moving average -30.4%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bearish<br />

Volume flow<br />

neutral<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

9.7<br />

985<br />

10.2<br />

12<br />

45.8<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

8.7<br />

-50.8<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 37.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div—25/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 09<br />

Yr. to Mar 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Turnover 8,920 8,400 9,600 10,023 7,137<br />

Net Profit 2,000 1,000 117 351 466<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 7.4<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 190.8<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 40.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

AFRICAN PETROLEUM PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

80.75<br />

200 moving average +11.6%<br />

Price trend<br />

flat<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 57<br />

-52.0<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

-33.6<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Jun Q2 - Sept Q3 Dec Q4 –Mar<br />

Turnover [Nb] 2.3<br />

PAT [Nm] 233<br />

EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

25 16 2<br />

Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

10 5<br />

UNION HOMES is maintaining moderate growth in revenue <strong>for</strong> the second year but profit per<strong>for</strong>mance is<br />

headed <strong>for</strong> a major slow down at current rate. We project that revenue will grow by 8.7% in the current<br />

year while after tax profit will fall by more than one-half. There is a big drop in profit margin from 22.4% in<br />

the full year, 2008 to 10.1% in the first quarter. Earnings per share is expected to fall to a three-year low.<br />

We expect however that earnings growth rate will pick up in subsequent quarters.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term oversold<br />

Medium-term bearish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

62.3<br />

41.1<br />

165.5<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

3.9<br />

4.8<br />

494<br />

28.6<br />

-<br />

8.5<br />

5.1<br />

1,077<br />

37.1<br />

49.2<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter—September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 102,030 81,930 42,800 58,100 34,395<br />

Net Profit 5,700 2,200 [3,600] 890 611<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 39.6<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 56.4<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 97.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

5.05<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.25<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-47.6<br />

Bonus Issue 2009 2008<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 7,812.5 6,250 6,250<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+35.3<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Longterm<br />

buy<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 35.11 80.75<br />

PAT [Nb] 2.4 3.9<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

722 295 [483] 206 283<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

700 100 - - -<br />

AFRICAN PETROLEUM rein<strong>for</strong>ced its strong growth in revenue in the second quarter but there was a<br />

slow down in profit growth. We revise our projected growth in revenue up from 41.2% to 62.3% and after<br />

tax profit growth down from 64.9% to 41.1% <strong>for</strong> AP in 2008. The company’s above industry profit margin<br />

is down from 6.8% in the first quarter to 4.8% in the second. Despite a moderation, earnings per share is<br />

expected to maintain a strong growth <strong>for</strong> the third year running.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term neutral<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

293.98<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-2.3<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 788.8 788.8 745 432 216<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

PO<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P P P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P P<br />

U<br />

37<br />

October November December 2008 February March April May June July T<br />

Bearish<br />

Bearish<br />

Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish


Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 22 5 12 19 26 2 9 17 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

Bullish<br />

25 3 10<br />

March<br />

CHEVRON (410.140, 406.040, 406.040, 410.140, +0.00)<br />

CONOIL (89.3600, 93.8200, 93.8200, 93.8200, +4.46000)<br />

Bearish<br />

17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2<br />

April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

Bearish<br />

16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />

July<br />

August<br />

Bullish<br />

18 25 1 8 15<br />

September<br />

22 2<br />

22 2<br />

480<br />

470<br />

460<br />

450<br />

440<br />

430<br />

420<br />

410<br />

400<br />

390<br />

380<br />

370<br />

360<br />

350<br />

340<br />

330<br />

320<br />

310<br />

300<br />

290<br />

280<br />

270<br />

260<br />

250<br />

240<br />

230<br />

220<br />

210<br />

200<br />

190<br />

185<br />

180<br />

175<br />

170<br />

165<br />

160<br />

155<br />

150<br />

145<br />

140<br />

135<br />

130<br />

125<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

70<br />

65<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

CHEVRON OIL NIGERIA PLC<br />

FULL YEAR RESULT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

-5.5<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

8.6<br />

[190.6]<br />

-<br />

-<br />

20.3<br />

-<br />

68.6<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

-<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter—June 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 72,600 65,910 51,900 42,400 32,679<br />

Net Profit 2,000 1,310 1,050 824 450<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 22.3<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 47.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 95.3<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

410.14<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-16.80<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+156.3<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Sell<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 8.6<br />

PAT [Nm] [190.63]<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

787 515 414 325 248<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

750 512 410 300 -<br />

Chevron Oil lost about 58% of potential sales volume in the first quarter due to a strike action by the<br />

transport union. While a strong recovery is expected in the remaining quarters, a marginal decline in sales<br />

revenue is likely at full year. The company is expected to return to profit in the second quarter from a loss<br />

position in the first quarter. Earnings and dividend per share prospects indicate that the company isn’t<br />

likely to match the records of the preceding year.<br />

-2.0<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

2 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 254 254 254 254 181<br />

200 moving average +45.3%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 26<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication bearish<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P O<br />

O<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O O<br />

O<br />

O PO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

CONOIL PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

75.1<br />

2.65<br />

3.5<br />

382<br />

21.6<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

153.6<br />

5.6<br />

3.6<br />

807<br />

10.5<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div—4/8/08<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 86,850 90,520 75,530 60,032 34,504<br />

Net Profit 2,600 2,810 2,620 2,213 2,029<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 28.9<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 6.8<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 73.5<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

76.9<br />

115.4<br />

115.8<br />

-<br />

93.82<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+8.71<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+6.2<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Cautious<br />

buy<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 32.9 75.1<br />

PAT [Nb] 1.1 2.65<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

374 404 377 319 351<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

275 275 250 200 350<br />

CONOIL is sustaining a strong recovery from its revenue and profit decline in 2007. It has further improved<br />

revenue and profit growth in the second quarter, which is expected to lead to the highest revenue<br />

growth in four years and the biggest profit lifting in several years. Based on the accelerated growth rate,<br />

we mark up full year revenue growth from 53.1% to 76.9% and net profit from 76.9% to 115.4%. Profit<br />

margin has improved further from 3.3% in the first quarter to 3.5% in the second.<br />

-45.1<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 694 694 694 694 578<br />

T<br />

200 moving average -6.7%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 8<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O P O OP P<br />

O OO OO<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

O OO P O P O<br />

O O<br />

T<br />

38


420<br />

410<br />

400<br />

390<br />

380<br />

370<br />

360<br />

350<br />

340<br />

330<br />

320<br />

310<br />

300<br />

290<br />

280<br />

270<br />

260<br />

250<br />

240<br />

230<br />

220<br />

210<br />

200<br />

190<br />

180<br />

170<br />

160<br />

300<br />

295<br />

290<br />

285<br />

280<br />

275<br />

270<br />

265<br />

260<br />

255<br />

250<br />

245<br />

240<br />

235<br />

230<br />

225<br />

220<br />

215<br />

210<br />

205<br />

200<br />

195<br />

190<br />

185<br />

180<br />

175<br />

170<br />

165<br />

160<br />

155<br />

150<br />

145<br />

140<br />

135<br />

130<br />

125<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

MOBIL (352.140, 348.620, 348.620, 352.140, +3.52002)<br />

420<br />

410<br />

400<br />

390<br />

380<br />

370<br />

360<br />

350<br />

340<br />

330<br />

320<br />

310<br />

300<br />

290<br />

280<br />

270<br />

260<br />

250<br />

240<br />

230<br />

220<br />

210<br />

200<br />

190<br />

180<br />

170<br />

160<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

OANDO (171.910, 170.500, 170.200, 170.200, -1.71001)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

300<br />

295<br />

290<br />

285<br />

280<br />

275<br />

270<br />

265<br />

260<br />

255<br />

250<br />

245<br />

240<br />

235<br />

230<br />

225<br />

220<br />

215<br />

210<br />

205<br />

200<br />

195<br />

190<br />

185<br />

180<br />

175<br />

170<br />

165<br />

160<br />

155<br />

150<br />

145<br />

140<br />

135<br />

130<br />

125<br />

120<br />

115<br />

110<br />

105<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

MOBIL OIL NIGERIA<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

33<br />

1.23<br />

3.7<br />

409<br />

38.3<br />

-<br />

200 moving average +54.1%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 47<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

68.4<br />

2.6<br />

3.8<br />

865<br />

40.4<br />

-<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

-25.4<br />

130.0<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter– September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 54,540 50,810 50,900 46,547 37,108<br />

Net Profit 1,130 1,720 2,420 1,759 1,457<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 10.5<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth -1.2<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 100<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

OANDO PLC<br />

LATEST EARNING REPORT<br />

- 1ST QUARTER<br />

200 moving average - 1.8%<br />

Price trend<br />

upward<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 10<br />

84.0<br />

39<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+90.3<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Watch<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 15.7 33<br />

PAT [Nb] 0.626 1.23<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

470 715 1,008 732 606<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

470 714 910 650 606<br />

MOBIL OIL has improved further its revenue outlook <strong>for</strong> 2008 and profit prospects remain very good.<br />

Second quarter report gives a stronger indication that revenue growth will be stronger in 2008 than any<br />

time in the past three years and profit remains on track to hit a new high after two years of decline. There<br />

was however a slip in net profit margin from 4.0% in the first quarter to 3.7% in the second. Earnings per<br />

share is expected to climb to a three-year peak despite the scrip issue of 1 <strong>for</strong> 4.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

42.5<br />

7.4<br />

352.14<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-3.55<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-8.0<br />

Bonus Issue 2008 2007<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 2<br />

2004<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 300.5 240.4 240.4 240.4 240.4<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

69.4 265<br />

170.20 +20.2 +36.2 -39.8 Sell<br />

After Tax Profit [Nm] 1.4 5.1<br />

Net Profit Margin [%] 2.0 1.9<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

EPS [K]<br />

203 742 -10.6 Turnover [Nb] 69.4<br />

P/E Ratio [Times] 6.8 29.6<br />

PAT [Nb] 1.4<br />

Interim Dividend [K] -<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

From Year’s<br />

2003 830 489 262<br />

Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter June 2008<br />

High %<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09 2003 600 400 -0.5 250<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />

Turnover 186 209 183 103.1 63.4<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 5 - - -<br />

Net Profit 4.75 2.8 1.5 1.2 0.792 Vol. of Shares [m] 686.8 572.3 572.3 572.3 572.3<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 35.8<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 58.2<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 72.3<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

OANDO NIGERIA rein<strong>for</strong>ced sales revenue growth in the first quarter and that is expected to make up <strong>for</strong><br />

the decline in 2007. Revenue is however growing ahead of profit, reflecting a decline in profit margin from<br />

2.5% in the 2007 full year to 2.0% in the first quarter. Profit isn’t growing strong enough to match the<br />

increase in the volume of shares from the bonus issue of 1 <strong>for</strong> 5. That is expected to lead to a decline in<br />

earnings per share at current growth rate. We expect profit growth to improve in the coming quarters.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term overbought<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bearish<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P O P O O O<br />

P<br />

P O P<br />

Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish<br />

P<br />

P<br />

P<br />

Bullish<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

PP<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P O<br />

O P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

P PO P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P<br />

O O<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

PP<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P<br />

P P<br />

OO O O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

P O P


Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />

Bullish<br />

25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />

March April<br />

May<br />

June<br />

July<br />

August<br />

September<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

TOTAL (243.990, 241.560, 241.560, 243.990, +2.43001)<br />

UAC-PROP (26.9100, 26.6500, 26.6500, 26.9100, +0.000)<br />

March April May June July August September T<br />

22 2<br />

300<br />

295<br />

290<br />

285<br />

280<br />

275<br />

270<br />

265<br />

260<br />

255<br />

250<br />

245<br />

240<br />

235<br />

230<br />

225<br />

220<br />

215<br />

210<br />

205<br />

200<br />

195<br />

190<br />

31.0<br />

30.5<br />

30.0<br />

29.5<br />

29.0<br />

28.5<br />

28.0<br />

27.5<br />

27.0<br />

26.5<br />

26.0<br />

25.5<br />

25.0<br />

24.5<br />

24.0<br />

23.5<br />

23.0<br />

22.5<br />

22.0<br />

21.5<br />

21.0<br />

20.5<br />

your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />

September 30, 2008<br />

TOTAL NIGERIA PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

- 2ND QUARTER<br />

200 moving average +11.2%<br />

Price trend<br />

neutral<br />

10 period volatility extremely low<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 7<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

26.8<br />

46.9<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

85.85<br />

2.23<br />

2.6<br />

656<br />

18.8<br />

-<br />

173.7<br />

4.7<br />

2.7<br />

1,384<br />

21.7<br />

-<br />

44.6<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 137 126.6 126.6 90 66.8<br />

Net Profit 3.2 2.5 3.6 2.8 2.7<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 20.9<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 7.8<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 99.3<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+35.6<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Cautious<br />

buy<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 41.45 85.85<br />

PAT [Nb] 0.928 2.23<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

957 740 1,061 825 904<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

950 740 950 900 900<br />

TOTAL NIGERIA has accelerated revenue growth further in the second quarter and our turnover growth<br />

projection is revised from 19% to 26.8%, the highest growth in three years. Growth in after tax profit has<br />

also accelerated during the period and we mark up full growth projection from 18.8% to 46.9%. The improved<br />

profit outlook reflects both the improving revenue situation and a gain in net profit margin from 2.2%<br />

in the first quarter to 2.6% in the second. Earnings per share is expected to reach a new peak in the year,<br />

well ahead of the 2005 record.<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication bearish<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

UACN PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT CO PLC<br />

LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />

2ND QUARTER<br />

Turnover [Nb]<br />

After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />

Net Profit Margin [%]<br />

EPS [K]<br />

P/E Ratio [Times]<br />

Interim Dividend [K]<br />

5.25<br />

1.74<br />

33.1<br />

158<br />

23.4<br />

-<br />

Full Year<br />

Forecast<br />

8.5<br />

2.5<br />

29.4<br />

227<br />

12.3<br />

Full Year Growth<br />

Forecast %<br />

49.1<br />

127.3<br />

Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />

Average Ind. P/E Ratio 12.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />

Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />

Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

Turnover 5,700 5,500 4,550 4,000 2,994<br />

Net Profit 1,100 996 834 449 901<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />

- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 18.0<br />

- 5-year Average Profit Growth 16.3<br />

- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 49.0<br />

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />

127.0<br />

243.99<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

+0.0<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

-17.6<br />

Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

- - - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 7<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 339.5 339.5 339.5 339.5 297<br />

26.91<br />

P P<br />

P<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

O<br />

P<br />

P O<br />

P<br />

EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />

One Week<br />

Change N<br />

-0.55<br />

From Jan<br />

Opening %<br />

+11.1<br />

From Year’s<br />

High %<br />

Buy/Sell<br />

Tip<br />

Cautious<br />

buy<br />

Quarterly Results Trend<br />

2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />

Turnover [Nb] 1.64 5.25<br />

PAT [Nb] 0.371 1.74<br />

EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

100 35 76 20 45<br />

Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />

49 35 25 20 45<br />

UACN PROPERTY recorded a major improvement in earnings per<strong>for</strong>mance in the second quarter.<br />

A major leap in turnover was accompanied by a strong gain in profit margin. Based on the accelerated<br />

growth rate, we mark up projected growth in revenue from 19.3% to 49.1% at full year. After<br />

tax profit is now projected to grow by 127.3% against the 45.5% earlier projected. The company has<br />

improved net profit margin further from 22.6% in the first quarter to 33.1% in the second.<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

-7.2<br />

Bonus Issue 2007<br />

-<br />

2006<br />

-<br />

2005<br />

-<br />

2004<br />

1 <strong>for</strong> 10<br />

2003<br />

-<br />

Vol. of Shares [m] 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000<br />

O<br />

PP<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

O<br />

P<br />

OO<br />

P<br />

OOO<br />

P<br />

PP<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

P<br />

T<br />

200 moving average +8.9%<br />

Price trend<br />

downward<br />

10 period volatility relatively normal<br />

MACD<br />

bullish<br />

Volume flow<br />

mildly bullish<br />

Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />

Current outlook period 13<br />

Trading momentum -<br />

Divergence indication -<br />

Trend indicators<br />

Short-term neutral<br />

Medium-term bullish<br />

Long-term bullish<br />

PP<br />

P<br />

PP<br />

P P<br />

P P<br />

P P P<br />

P<br />

P O O<br />

P O<br />

P P<br />

O<br />

OP O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

O O<br />

O<br />

OO O<br />

O<br />

O<br />

40

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