Waiting for market stabilisation fund - Proshare
Waiting for market stabilisation fund - Proshare
Waiting for market stabilisation fund - Proshare
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your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
ISSN 075-0780<br />
Vol. 4 No. 18<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
N750<br />
<strong>Waiting</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>market</strong><br />
<strong>stabilisation</strong> <strong>fund</strong><br />
Diaspora <strong>fund</strong> coming
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
Market News 2<br />
Agriculture 4<br />
Okomu Oil 4<br />
Presco 4<br />
Airline services 5<br />
Airline Services& Logistics 5<br />
NAHCO 5<br />
Automobile & tyre 6<br />
Dunlop 6<br />
R T Briscoe 6<br />
Banking 7<br />
Access Bank 7<br />
Afribank 7<br />
Diamond Bank 8<br />
Ecobank 8<br />
Ecobank Transnational 9<br />
Fidelity Bank 9<br />
First Bank 10<br />
FCMB 10<br />
First Inland Bank 11<br />
Guaranty Trust Bank 11<br />
Stanbic IBTC Bank 12<br />
Intercontinental Bank 12<br />
Oceanic Bank Int. 14<br />
Bank PHB 14<br />
Skye Bank 15<br />
UBA 15<br />
Union Bank 16<br />
Unity Bank 16<br />
Wema Bank 17<br />
Content<br />
Guide<br />
Zenith Bank 17<br />
Breweries 18<br />
Guinness 18<br />
Nigerian Breweries 18<br />
Building materials 19<br />
Ashakacem 19<br />
Benue Cement Company 19<br />
Cement Co. of N. Nigeria 20<br />
Lafarge Wapco Plc. 20<br />
Chemical & paints 21<br />
Berger Paints 21<br />
Chemical & Allied Products 21<br />
DN Meyer 22<br />
Nig.German Chemicals 22<br />
Conglomerates 23<br />
PZ Industries 23<br />
Transcorp 23<br />
UACN 24<br />
Unilever 24<br />
Construction 25<br />
Julius Berger 25<br />
Food & beverages 25<br />
7-Up Bottling Company 25<br />
Cadbury 26<br />
Dangote Sugar Refinery 26<br />
Flour Mills 27<br />
Nestle 27<br />
Nigerian Bottling Company 28<br />
Healthcare 28<br />
Evans Medical 28<br />
Glaxo Smithkline 29<br />
May & Baker 29<br />
Neimeth 30<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
Hotel & tourism 30<br />
Ikeja Hotels 30<br />
Industrial & domestics 31<br />
Vitafoam 31<br />
Insurance 31<br />
AIICO 31<br />
Cornerstone Insurance 32<br />
Crusader Insurance 32<br />
Intercont. Wapic Insurance 33<br />
Lasaco Assurance 33<br />
Law Union & Rock Insurance 34<br />
Mutual Benefits Assurance 34<br />
Niger Insurance 35<br />
Prestige 35<br />
Royal Exch. Assurance 36<br />
Standard Alliance 36<br />
Maritime 37<br />
Japaul Oil & Maritime Services 37<br />
Leasing 37<br />
C & I Leasing 37<br />
Mortgages 38<br />
Union Home Savings & Loans 38<br />
Petroleum <strong>market</strong>ing 38<br />
African Petroleum 38<br />
Chevron 39<br />
Conoil 39<br />
Mobil Oil 40<br />
Oando 40<br />
Total 42<br />
Real estate 42<br />
UACN Property 42<br />
Datatrust Consulting Limited is a firm of financial analysts and investment advisers incorporated in Nigeria<br />
Our mission is to help savvy individual and institutional investors achieve consistent profits in both bull and bear <strong>market</strong>s based on the<br />
strongest <strong>fund</strong>amental and technical analyses around.<br />
Enquiries should be directed to:<br />
Abuja Sales Office<br />
Datatrust Consulting Limited<br />
Millifrends Investment Limited<br />
Basement A1 Art and Culture Complex<br />
No. 1, Fadeyi Aladura Street, off Awolowo Way<br />
Area 10 Garki Abuja<br />
By Balogun Bus Stop, Ikeja<br />
Please call David—07025419337<br />
Tel. 01-7367956, 7431204, 0803 - 5810522, 0805-7535491<br />
E-mail: info@datatrustltd.com<br />
Port Harcourt Sales office<br />
michaeldata@datatrustltd.com<br />
Bookworld Concepts<br />
Web site: www.datatrustltd.com<br />
No. 3A Trans Amadi Road<br />
Port Harcourt<br />
Please call Chidi—08068222808<br />
1
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
Market makers<br />
<strong>Waiting</strong> <strong>for</strong><br />
<strong>stabilisation</strong><br />
<strong>fund</strong><br />
Top Rising Stocks<br />
2008<br />
Company Price/Jan %<br />
Chevron Oil<br />
Mobil<br />
DN Meyer<br />
Oando<br />
Total<br />
AP<br />
C & I Leasing<br />
AIICO<br />
Berger Paints<br />
156.3<br />
90.3<br />
38.2<br />
36.2<br />
35.6<br />
35.3<br />
30.6<br />
23.6<br />
18.9<br />
The stock <strong>market</strong> is waiting <strong>for</strong> new money support expected to come from the <strong>market</strong><br />
<strong>stabilisation</strong> <strong>fund</strong> promised in the government’s rescue package. The flicker of confidence<br />
seen from the announcement of the <strong>market</strong> rescue agenda now needs actual<br />
<strong>fund</strong>ing support to take stronger roots. There is no clue yet about how much is to be expected<br />
but the <strong>market</strong> needs not less than N500 billion naira immediate injection to find<br />
its feet again.<br />
The equities <strong>market</strong> is seen to have lost so much money <strong>for</strong> any rescue ef<strong>for</strong>t not supported<br />
by a strong capital inflow to drive a sustainable recovery. A <strong>market</strong> that was<br />
headed <strong>for</strong> N13 trillion in capitalisation fell back to below N9 trillion be<strong>for</strong>e the rescue<br />
plan-induced mild recovery. Actual losses are estimated to be in the region of N2.0 trillion—enough<br />
to wipe off the equity resources that banks have raised in the process of<br />
consolidation.<br />
It is considered quite imperative <strong>for</strong> the stock <strong>market</strong> to receive the <strong>fund</strong>ing support now<br />
as a move to save the banking industry. Much of the recapitalisation <strong>fund</strong>s raised by<br />
banks were moved into the capital <strong>market</strong> by way of direct trading on their own account<br />
and massive margin financing. Hardly any bank can claim to have come out unscathed.<br />
A number of banks sustained heavy losses while rushing out of the <strong>market</strong> and not<br />
many of them were able to sell clients’ investments early enough to recover margin facilities<br />
fully. In the worst cases, values realized from clients’ investments that initially<br />
covered bank facilities by one and half times, were insufficient to cover the principal<br />
loans. Some banks are even now calling on investors who have lost everything in the<br />
margin deals to bring in more money to fill in the hollows of losses in their books.<br />
The huge losses in the <strong>market</strong> have spread cash flow crisis to various corners of the economic<br />
society. Banks and other lenders that are being called upon to restructure their<br />
facilities <strong>for</strong> traders are themselves facing serious liquidity pressures. Rather than restructure<br />
existing facilities or create new credit, they have seized the opportunity of the<br />
mild recovery in share prices to liquidate existing assets. This is sustaining selling pressures<br />
in the stock <strong>market</strong> and undermining the rescue plan of government.<br />
How soon and how far the stock <strong>market</strong> recovers depends on how soon the promised<br />
stabilization <strong>fund</strong> reaches the trading floor and how big it will be. With the dry up of<br />
bank credit and other sources of margin facilities, private capital isn’t likely to be sufficient<br />
to patch up the broken <strong>market</strong>.<br />
Stock Market’s<br />
Technical Outlook<br />
Many high net worth investors have lost their investments in margin trading deals and<br />
presently lack the capacity to re-enter the <strong>market</strong>. With serious cash flow problems facing<br />
many stock broking firms, there is the danger too that even the trickles of new investments<br />
being made by individual investors presently aren’t likely to reach the trading<br />
floor immediately.<br />
Short-term<br />
Medium-term<br />
Long-term<br />
oversold<br />
bullish<br />
bearish<br />
It is not expected that the <strong>market</strong> intervention money will be structured to permit government<br />
direct investment in equities. The idea is to empower investors and traders to<br />
return to active trading and gradually pull out of significant dependence on the <strong>fund</strong>.<br />
For the <strong>fund</strong> to be able to accomplish this in a <strong>market</strong> gasping <strong>for</strong> liquidity, it is expected<br />
to be big. It seems to be the only hope <strong>for</strong> many institutional traders and big time<br />
investors who have lost <strong>for</strong>tunes in the <strong>market</strong> to find a new opportunity to begin all<br />
over again.<br />
2
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
Market makers<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
Diaspora <strong>fund</strong> coming<br />
Diaspora Investment <strong>fund</strong>, a dollar-denominated mutual <strong>fund</strong>, is presently in the process of floatation in Nigeria.<br />
PHB Asset Management Ltd, the managers of the <strong>fund</strong>, envisage that the <strong>fund</strong> will be operated as a <strong>for</strong>eign<br />
collective investment scheme, designed <strong>for</strong> those who wish to invest on behalf of their wards as a means of<br />
securing their future. The $200 million <strong>fund</strong> is to be issued in units of $1.0 each at par. The minimum subscription<br />
will be 1,000 units and multiples of 100 units thereafter.<br />
The <strong>fund</strong> provides an opportunity to attract investment capital from Nigerians based overseas <strong>for</strong> investment in<br />
the domestic <strong>market</strong>. This is in recognition that Diaspora <strong>fund</strong>ing has become a veritable source of development<br />
capital with annual remittance estimated at $4 billion.<br />
The objective of the <strong>fund</strong> is to invest in the emerging Nigerian economy with the underlying intent of fostering<br />
accelerated macro-economic development of the country. The <strong>fund</strong> is targeting the participation of Nigerian<br />
citizens, <strong>for</strong>eign and non-resident investors, companies and other institutional investors. Its special attraction is<br />
the opportunity to subscribe in the name of minors, who are expected to keep such investments till they attain<br />
18 years of age.<br />
The <strong>fund</strong> is essentially equity <strong>market</strong> focused and intends to invest in a variety of blue chip companies with<br />
strong earnings <strong>fund</strong>amentals. Equities are expected to constitute 65% of the <strong>fund</strong>’s investment basket while<br />
money <strong>market</strong> investments will account <strong>for</strong> 15%. Another 15% is allocated to real estate investments and the<br />
remaining 5.0% is <strong>for</strong> fixed income instruments and cash.<br />
The <strong>fund</strong> is targeting equities of companies having the potential <strong>for</strong> accelerated growth driven by technology<br />
application, superior products and services and exceptional management quality. The choice of investments is<br />
in<strong>for</strong>med by the objective of providing investors with regular income and capital appreciation.<br />
The <strong>fund</strong>, which is expected to be issued in a first tranch of $50 million, is projected to generate gross income<br />
of $24.4 million in the first year– 2009, $34 million in the second year and $49.4 million in the third. Profit<br />
after tax is projected at $13.8 million, $19.5 million and $28.8 million over the next three year-period respectively.<br />
These indicate return on investments of 30.2%, 32.8% and 40.2% over the years respectively.<br />
Earnings per share is <strong>for</strong>ecast at 28 cents, 39 cents and 57 cents over the period. The <strong>fund</strong> is expected to commence<br />
dividend payment in the second year—2010 with a <strong>for</strong>ecast dividend of 19 cents, rising to 29 cents in<br />
2011. Based on the assumed exchange rate of N116 to the dollar <strong>for</strong> the <strong>for</strong>ecast, the dividend per share<br />
amounts to N22 and N33.64 per N116 unit of investment.<br />
Market outlook<br />
Strong gains in share prices that followed the announcement of government’s rescue package<br />
proved unsustainable last week. The <strong>market</strong> recorded an all-week decline that can be expected<br />
to extent to the current week and perhaps the next.<br />
The all-share index of the Nigerian Stock Exchange last week closed 877.4 points or 1.8%<br />
down from the preceding week’s close. The index stands at 17.6% below January opening and<br />
26.6% down from all time peak in May 2008. It is currently 15.1% below its 200-period moving<br />
average and is on the downward trend. Volatility is normal, our volume indicators are<br />
bearish and trend <strong>for</strong>ecasting oscillators are currently bullish and have had this outlook <strong>for</strong> the<br />
O<br />
past 6 periods.<br />
Corporate Results at a Glance<br />
FCMB<br />
Bank PHB<br />
Guinness Nigeria<br />
Nig-German Chemicals<br />
Flour Mills<br />
Union Homes<br />
1st quarter -<br />
- -<br />
Full year -<br />
2nd quarter -<br />
1st quarter -<br />
1st quarter -<br />
All-share<br />
Index<br />
NSE ALL-SHARE INDEX (0, 0, 0, 48,738.15, -175.203)<br />
P<br />
O P O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P OPO<br />
PP P O P P<br />
PO<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O PO<br />
O<br />
P O P P O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P O<br />
P O O PO<br />
P O<br />
007 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2008 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep T<br />
Earnings stable but growth may slow down — P. 10<br />
EPS set to decline with further build up in share volume — P. 14<br />
Defending profit from moderating revenue — P. 18<br />
Looking good to double profit — P. 22<br />
Profit may decline <strong>for</strong> the second year — P. 26<br />
Profit prospects dim on shrinking margin — P. 37<br />
PO<br />
PO<br />
P<br />
O P OP<br />
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P<br />
O POP<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OPO<br />
69000<br />
68000<br />
67000<br />
66000<br />
65000<br />
64000<br />
63000<br />
62000<br />
61000<br />
60000<br />
59000<br />
58000<br />
57000<br />
56000<br />
55000<br />
54000<br />
53000<br />
52000<br />
51000<br />
50000<br />
49000<br />
48000<br />
47000<br />
46000<br />
45000<br />
44000<br />
43000<br />
42000<br />
41000<br />
40000<br />
39000<br />
38000<br />
37000<br />
36000<br />
35000<br />
34000<br />
33000<br />
3
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
42.0<br />
41.5<br />
41.0<br />
40.5<br />
40.0<br />
39.5<br />
39.0<br />
38.5<br />
38.0<br />
37.5<br />
37.0<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
34<br />
33<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
23<br />
22<br />
21<br />
20<br />
19<br />
18<br />
17<br />
16<br />
15<br />
14<br />
13<br />
12<br />
11<br />
10<br />
9<br />
8<br />
OKOMUOIL (33.7800, 33.4500, 33.4500, 33.7800, +0.33000)<br />
PRESCO (12.4300, 12.3100, 12.3100, 12.4300, +0.12000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
42.0<br />
41.5<br />
41.0<br />
40.5<br />
40.0<br />
39.5<br />
39.0<br />
38.5<br />
38.0<br />
37.5<br />
37.0<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
34<br />
33<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
23<br />
22<br />
21<br />
20<br />
19<br />
18<br />
17<br />
16<br />
15<br />
14<br />
13<br />
12<br />
11<br />
10<br />
9<br />
8<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
OKOMU OIL PALM PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
1.8<br />
200 moving average +3.4%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 27<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
106.4<br />
1,257.1<br />
5.8<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
0.89<br />
49.4<br />
186<br />
124.5<br />
-<br />
1.9<br />
32.8<br />
398<br />
8.8<br />
804.5<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 13.3 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 2,810 2,740 2,500 2,311 2,136<br />
Net Profit 140 396 701 655 493<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 25.3<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 52.5<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
PRESCO PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
0.77<br />
207<br />
26.9<br />
20<br />
23.3<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
3.2<br />
860<br />
26.9<br />
86<br />
18.6<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-10.9<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.8<br />
PAT [Nm] 889.3<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
44 124 221 209 155<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
25 - 100 100 100<br />
OKOMU OIL made a strong first quarter start <strong>for</strong> the current year that has set the company on a strong recovery<br />
process in 2008. Revenue growth virtually doubled over the corresponding quarter in 2007 and after tax profit<br />
stands at more than 12 times the full year figure <strong>for</strong> 2007. The last two quarters of the year aren’t critical in<br />
revenue and profit growth and that moderates our full year earnings outlook. We project that revenue will more<br />
that double and profit will jump more than 13 times over the 2007 full year number. Net profit margin is up from<br />
only 5% in 2007 full year to 49.4% in the first quarter.<br />
Trading momentum overbought<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
39.1<br />
2,224.3<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 13.3 Dividend Status – Ex Div 30/6/08<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 2,300 2,100 2,350 2,300 2,128<br />
Net Profit 37 217 341 606 375<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 2.7<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth -25.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 71.4<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
1,128.6<br />
33.78<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-15.8<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 2<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 477 318 318 318 318<br />
12.43<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-14.3<br />
From Year’s<br />
High%<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 0.767<br />
PAT [Nm] 207<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
7 43 68 121 75<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
5 60 60 50 50<br />
PRESCO made a strong first quarter starting that has positioned it <strong>for</strong> a major advance in earnings in<br />
2008. We expect that revenue growth will accelerate after some years of stagnation and the declining<br />
trend in profit will give way <strong>for</strong> a new profit high. We project a 39.1% leap in revenue and a major recovery<br />
in after tax profit <strong>for</strong> the company at full year. Net profit margin has recovered from 1.6% in 2007 to<br />
26.9% in the first quarter.<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
-59.9<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
- 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 - - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,000 500 500 500 500<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P PP<br />
200 moving average - 22.5%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bearish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 25<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication bearish<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO O<br />
OO<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O O OO<br />
P<br />
4<br />
Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 26 2 9 16 23 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March<br />
April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
35<br />
34<br />
33<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
23<br />
22<br />
21<br />
20<br />
19<br />
18<br />
17<br />
16<br />
15<br />
14<br />
13<br />
12<br />
11<br />
AIRSERVICE NIGERIA (16.1600, 16.0000, 16.0000, 16.0000, +0.000)<br />
NAHCO (16.6300, 16.4700, 16.4700, 16.4700, -0.16000)<br />
35<br />
34<br />
P<br />
33<br />
P<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
P<br />
28<br />
O<br />
P<br />
27<br />
26<br />
O<br />
25<br />
P<br />
24<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
23<br />
O<br />
22<br />
O O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
21<br />
O<br />
20<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
19<br />
O<br />
18<br />
P<br />
O<br />
17<br />
16<br />
15<br />
O<br />
14<br />
O<br />
13<br />
O<br />
12<br />
11<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
22 2<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
AIRLINE SERVICES & LOGISTICS PLC<br />
FULL YEAR RESULT<br />
- 4TH QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Final Dividend [K]<br />
3.5<br />
322.8<br />
9.2<br />
50<br />
33.2<br />
5<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
3.7<br />
448<br />
12.1<br />
70<br />
24.3<br />
Deviation from<br />
Forecast %<br />
-5.4<br />
-27.9<br />
-2.9<br />
-28.6<br />
+8.9<br />
Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - March 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.2 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006* 2006 2005 2004<br />
Turnover 3,500 1,847 1,646 910 572<br />
Net Profit 323 179 200 27 29<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 60.4<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 175.9<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 20.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
16.16<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-8.1<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.54 2.5 3.5<br />
PAT [Nm] 192.9 314.5 322.8<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006* 2006 2005 2004<br />
50 34 771 104 111<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006* 2006 2005 2004<br />
10 3 - - -<br />
AIRLINE SERVICES raised turnover by 89.5% in 2007, the highest revenue growth in five years. Profit<br />
failed to keep equal pace with revenue in the third quarter, which depressed full year profit outlook. Net<br />
profit grew at a lower pace than projected in reflection of the decline in profit margin from 12.6% in the<br />
third quarter to 9.2% at full year. Profit growth was however strong enough to begin a recovery in earnings<br />
per share after a major drop in 2006.<br />
-40.7<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 634 26 26 26 13.9<br />
200 moving average - 10.3%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 3<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
PO<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
PP P<br />
OOO<br />
O OO<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
P PP<br />
O O O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
NIGERIAN AVIATION HANDLING COMPANY PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
2.35<br />
454<br />
19.3<br />
52<br />
27.0<br />
-<br />
200 moving average - 32.8%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
* 9-month account<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
5.2<br />
920<br />
17.7<br />
105<br />
22.9<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
40.5<br />
55.9<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter – September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.2 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 3,700 3,250 3,050 2,344 2,173<br />
Net Profit 590 434 318 93 187<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 14.6<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 66.0<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 29.4<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
56.7<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
5<br />
16.47<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.02<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-43.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-48.5<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.22 2.35<br />
PAT [Nm] 208.6 454<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
67 144 106 62 125<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
30 30 30 48 98<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
3 <strong>for</strong> 2<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 875 300 300 150 150<br />
NAHCO maintained the good revenue growth prospects seen in the first quarter and the full year growth<br />
projection is unchanged in the second quarter at 40.5%. Profit growth however accelerated and we revise<br />
full year net profit growth projection from 43.2% to 55.9%. This reflects a gain in net profit margin from<br />
17.1% in the first quarter to 19.3% in the second. Accelerating growth in revenue and profit is likely to be<br />
the key point in the company’s operating per<strong>for</strong>mance in 2008. Revenue is projected to grow by the highest<br />
margin in five years and profit is expected to maintain rapid growth <strong>for</strong> the fourth year running.<br />
O P<br />
OOP<br />
O O P<br />
O O P<br />
PP<br />
T
Bullish<br />
25 3 10<br />
March<br />
37.0<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
DUNLOP (2.10000, 2.20000, 2.20000, 2.20000, +0.10000)<br />
Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />
17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />
April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
RTBRISCOE (19.7100, 19.5200, 19.5200, 19.5200, -0.19000)<br />
Bullish<br />
18 25 1 8 15<br />
September<br />
March April May June July August September U<br />
22 2<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
3.5<br />
3.0<br />
2.5<br />
2.0<br />
1.5<br />
1.0<br />
37.0<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
DUNLOP NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
1.8<br />
[333.7]<br />
-<br />
[44]<br />
-<br />
200 moving average - 41.6%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
-<br />
-<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2007<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
Turnover 209 183 103.1 63.4 47.2<br />
Net Profit [648] [246] [306] [685] 97<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 47.1<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth -<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
R T BRISCOE PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
4.35<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm] 181.9<br />
Net Profit Margin [%] 4.2<br />
EPS [K]<br />
32<br />
P/E Ratio [Times] 21.9<br />
Interim Dividend [K] -<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-33.3<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.8<br />
PAT [Nm] [337.7]<br />
EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
[13] [33] [51] [113] 16<br />
Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
- - - - -<br />
Dunlop Nigeria is refocusing operations under a major restructuring that involves shutting down tyre<br />
manufacturing early in 2009. The company’s business will be shifting to importation and sales of tyres,<br />
petroleum <strong>market</strong>ing and real estate. Its strategy is to run filling stations in different part of the country,<br />
which will give it sales outlets <strong>for</strong> the tyre products. The company’s ownership of several landed properties<br />
in prime locations across the country places it at a good advantage to tap into the booming real estate<br />
<strong>market</strong>.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
18.2<br />
750<br />
4.1<br />
132<br />
22.7<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
12.3<br />
24.0<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter — June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Mar 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 16,240 13,200 7,726 5,582 4,200<br />
Net Profit 605 532 200 155 419<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 41.3<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 36.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 37.6<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
-0.8<br />
2.20<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.39<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-68.6<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - - 1 f0r 4<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 4,772.5 4,772.5 756 756 605<br />
19.52<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O P O O P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.19<br />
O O<br />
P O<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-34.9<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 - Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 4.35<br />
PAT [Nm] 181.94<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
133 146 55 43 279<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
50 50 35 25 35<br />
RT BRISCOE is maintaining stable growth in revenue in 2008 and profit growth is accelerating.<br />
Based on the first quarter growth rate, turnover is projected to grow by 12.3% and after tax<br />
profit is expected to grow twice as fast. Net profit margin has stretched out from 3.7% in the<br />
2007 full year to 4.2% in the first quarter. Earnings per share growth is likely to be flat in reflection<br />
of the scrip of 1 <strong>for</strong> 4.<br />
P<br />
O P O O P<br />
-45.0<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 567.5 454 363 363 363<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O P P O<br />
O O O<br />
T<br />
200 moving average -25.4%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bearish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 53<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication bullish<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
PP<br />
P<br />
P O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P O P<br />
P<br />
O O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P O P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
OOO O O<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
PO<br />
PO O<br />
O O<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
6
25 3 10<br />
March<br />
17 31 7<br />
April<br />
ACCESS (12.9200, 12.8000, 12.8000, 12.8000, -0.12000)<br />
14 21 28<br />
May<br />
12 26 9<br />
June<br />
16 23 30 7<br />
July<br />
14 21 28 4 11<br />
August<br />
AFRIBANK (29.3400, 30.8000, 29.0700, 30.8000, +1.46000)<br />
18 25 1 8 15<br />
September<br />
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
22 2<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
ACCESS BANK PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Expected Full<br />
Year Forecast %<br />
45.5<br />
60.4<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
20.6<br />
6.11<br />
29.7<br />
37<br />
24.7<br />
-<br />
84.4<br />
25.5<br />
30.2<br />
156<br />
12.8<br />
60.8<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - March31 Final Result Expected -<br />
Yr. to March 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Turnover 58,000 27,900 13,359 7,500 5,515<br />
Net Profit 15,900 6,100 737 501 637<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 69.0<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 188.0<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 67.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
12.80<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.64<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-46.7<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Jun Q2 - Sept Q3 Dec Q4 –Mar<br />
Gross Income[Nb] 20.6<br />
PAT [Nb] 6.11<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
97 87 3 7 21<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
65 40 - - 10<br />
ACCESS BANK is maintaining high growth track in revenue and profit in the current financial year. Based<br />
on first quarter report, we project a 45.5% growth in revenue. With further gain in profit margin, we project<br />
that after tax profit will grow by 60.4% in 2008. Net profit margin has improved from 27.4% at the end of<br />
the 2008 financial year to 29.7% in the first quarter. The bank is expected to grow earnings per share as<br />
rapidly as net profit in the current year.<br />
-49.8<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 7 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 16,365 6,978 14,520 8,156 3,000<br />
200 moving average - 36.0%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 10<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication bullish<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O P P<br />
OO O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P OO P O P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
U<br />
AFRIBANK NIGERIA PLC<br />
FULL YEAR RESULT<br />
- 4TH QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Final Dividend [K]<br />
49.2<br />
10.0<br />
20.3<br />
98<br />
14.8<br />
50<br />
200 moving average +17.1%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility norrmal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 4<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
40.5<br />
10.7<br />
26.4<br />
105<br />
15.5<br />
Deviation from<br />
Forecast %<br />
+21.5<br />
-6.3<br />
-6.1<br />
-6.6<br />
-0.7<br />
Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Cum Div—18/9/08<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 09<br />
Yr. to Mar 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Gross Income 49,200 27,540 15,637 15,031 14,889<br />
Net Profit 10,030 5,100 2,625 427 1,156<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 39.9<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 160.7<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 30.7<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
7<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+1.0<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Hold<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />
Turnover [Nb] 8.75 19.48 29.31 49.2<br />
PAT [Nb] 2.73 5.5 7.51 10.03<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
98 99 51 9 52<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
50 30 - - 20<br />
AFRIBANK NIGERIA recorded a strong growth in gross earnings by 78.6% in 2008 and after tax profit<br />
grew faster at 96.7% during the year. Revenue growth accelerated in the last quarter to lift full year position<br />
to 21.5% better than <strong>for</strong>ecast. However the bank could not convert the additional earnings to profit in<br />
reflection of an appreciable decline in profit margin. After tax profit margin declined from 25.6% in the<br />
third quarter to 20.3% at full year.<br />
Trading momentum overbought<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
30.80<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+5.61<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-0.0<br />
Bonus Issue 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 3 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 13,507 10,130 5,108 5,108 4,708<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
T
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
25 3 10<br />
March<br />
DIAMONDBNK (12.7900, 12.6700, 12.6700, 12.6700, -0.12000)<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
Neutral<br />
17 31 7<br />
April<br />
ECOBANK (8.16000, 8.50000, 8.08000, 8.40000, +0.24000)<br />
Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />
14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
DIAMOND BANK PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
21.8<br />
4.71<br />
21.6<br />
32<br />
19.1<br />
-<br />
200 moving average - 30.1%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 3<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
88.9<br />
19.5<br />
21.9<br />
135<br />
14.8<br />
-<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
47.1<br />
52.1<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - October 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div— 15/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - April 30 Final Result Expected - July 08<br />
Yr. to April 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Gross Income 60,440 39,500 22,661 15,950 10,531<br />
Net Profit 12.820 7,100 3,960 2,510 902<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 55.0<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 100.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 57.7<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
ECOBANK NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
25.0<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm] 4.1<br />
Net Profit Margin [%] 16.4<br />
EPS [K]<br />
19<br />
P/E Ratio [Times] 23.4<br />
Interim Dividend [K] -<br />
39.2<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-36.7<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008/09 Q1 - July Q2 - Oct Q3 - Jan Q4 –April<br />
Turnover [Nb] 21.8<br />
PAT [Nb] 4.71<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
97 91 59 41 29<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
56 55 - - 15<br />
DIAMOND BANK is expected to maintain normal growth in revenue and profit in the 2008/9 financial year.<br />
We expect that gross earnings will grow by 47.1% and after tax profit will rise a little faster at 52.1%. We<br />
expect further marginal gain in net profit margin from 21.2% in 2008 to about 22% in 2009. Growth in<br />
profit will expectedly be strong enough to counter the effect of the scrip of 1 <strong>for</strong> 10 and there<strong>for</strong>e sustain<br />
the improving trend in earnings per share. Earnings growth is expected to step up in the coming quarters.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
52.5<br />
8.8<br />
16.8<br />
40<br />
17.5<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
60.6<br />
18.1<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter — September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected—March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Gross Income 32,710 17,300 7,310 6,699 4,819<br />
Net Profit 7,450 3,600 1,700 894 817<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 68.5<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 79.6<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 70.6<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
17.6<br />
12.67<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.63<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-46.0<br />
Bonus Issue 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />
- 1 <strong>for</strong> 10 - - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 14,374 13,158 7,604 7,604 6,915<br />
8.40<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+1.48<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+5.7<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - June Q3 - Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Gross Income[Nb] 11.35 25.04<br />
PAT [Nb] 1.74 4.1<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
34 16 15 51 54<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
24 9 9 - 16<br />
Ecobank improved its growth rate in earnings in the second quarter and growth in profit improved as well<br />
from the weak per<strong>for</strong>mance seen in the first quarter. We mark up our revenue growth projection from<br />
41.2% to 60.6% <strong>for</strong> the bank in 2008. Growth projection <strong>for</strong> after tax profit is also revised upwards from<br />
the initial flat growth to 18.1%. Net profit margin improved slightly from 15.3% in the first quarter to 16.4%<br />
in the second but remains below the 22.8% recorded in the 2007 full. Earnings per share prospects have<br />
also improved and we expect that profit growth will accelerate further in the subsequent interims.<br />
O<br />
O<br />
PO<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
-21.9<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 21,654 21,654 10,827 1,741 1,523<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
200 moving average +8.3%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 6<br />
Trading momentum overbought<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O P<br />
P<br />
O OO O<br />
O O OP<br />
O<br />
O<br />
T<br />
8
Bullish<br />
11 18 25 3 10 17 31 7<br />
ruary<br />
March<br />
April<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
ETI (40.6000, 40.6000, 40.6000, 40.6000, +0.00)<br />
Bearish<br />
14 21 28 5<br />
May<br />
12 19 26 2 9<br />
June<br />
Bearish<br />
16 23 30<br />
July<br />
Bullish<br />
14 21 28 4 11<br />
August<br />
FIDELITY BANK (7.57000, 7.50000, 7.50000, 7.50000, -0.07000)<br />
18 25 1 8<br />
300<br />
290<br />
280<br />
270<br />
260<br />
250<br />
240<br />
230<br />
220<br />
210<br />
200<br />
190<br />
180<br />
170<br />
160<br />
150<br />
140<br />
130<br />
120<br />
110<br />
100<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
ECOBANK TRANSNATIONAL INC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
61.3<br />
9.0<br />
14.7<br />
133<br />
16.8<br />
-<br />
200 moving average -74.4%<br />
Price trend<br />
flat<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 5<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
124<br />
18.6<br />
15.0<br />
276<br />
15.9<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
41.9<br />
6.7<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter — September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Gross Income 87.4 45.6 30.4 26.3<br />
Net Profit 17.4 8.8 5.2 4.1<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 52.4<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 64.6<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 33.6<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
FIDELITY BANK PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 3RD QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
27.3<br />
9.34<br />
34.2<br />
32<br />
21.5<br />
-<br />
-97.7<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-80.4<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - June Q3 - Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 28.5 61.3<br />
PAT [Nb] 4.35 9.0<br />
EPS [N] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
12 11 18 60<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
375 506 387 968 -<br />
ECOBANK TRANSNATIONAL has issued its second quarter interim report, which shows a slight improvement<br />
in earnings growth over the first quarter position. Revenue growth is still likely to slow down<br />
at current rate but our full year growth projection has been revised from 33% to 41.9%. Net profit margin<br />
is further down from 19.9% in 2007 full year to 15.3% in the first quarter and to 14.7% in the second, the<br />
lowest since 2004. Full year profit growth <strong>for</strong>ecast is a little improved from 2.9% to 6.7%. We expect that<br />
profit prospects will improve in the remaining quarters.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
36.8<br />
12.8<br />
34.9<br />
44<br />
16.9<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
47.8<br />
188.5<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - June 30 Final Result Expected - Sept 08<br />
Yr. to Jun30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Goss Income 24,859 11,931 6,159 5,471 4,386<br />
Net Profit 4,437 3,177 1,237 914 857<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 68.7<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 60.5<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 59.3<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
63.0<br />
40.60<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-85.7<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
5 <strong>for</strong> 1 - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 6,734 1,346.8 802 401 66.6<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P O O<br />
O<br />
7.50<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.35<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-36.6<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - Sept Q2 - Dec Q3 - March Q4 –June<br />
Gross Income[Nb] 7.68 16.03 27.3<br />
PAT [Nb] 2.6 5.75 9.34<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
27 19 14 30 36<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
16 11 - - 20<br />
Fidelity Bank improved its strong growth in revenue and profit further in the third quarter and an outstanding<br />
per<strong>for</strong>mance in profit can be expected. We mark up our projected growth in revenue from<br />
37.8% to 47.8% and after tax profit from 175% to 188% <strong>for</strong> the bank at full year. Net profit margin remains<br />
very good at 34.2% against 17.8% in the 2007 full year. Growth in earnings per share will be significantly<br />
moderated by the bank’s public offer, which has increased volume of shares by 75.9%.<br />
PO<br />
O O O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
-42.3<br />
Septembe T<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 10 1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 28,963 16,463.7 16,463.7 8,550 1,534<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O P O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
200 moving average - 28.8%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 44<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term<br />
bearish<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O PP<br />
O O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
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O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
9<br />
March April May June July August September U
52<br />
51<br />
50<br />
49<br />
48<br />
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43<br />
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32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
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26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
25 3 10<br />
March<br />
FIRSTBANK (30.9500, 30.6500, 30.6500, 30.6500, -0.30000)<br />
52<br />
51<br />
50<br />
49<br />
48<br />
47<br />
46<br />
45<br />
44<br />
43<br />
42<br />
41<br />
40<br />
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33<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
17 31 7<br />
April<br />
FIRST MONUMENT BANK (12.8100, 12.6900, 12.6900, 12.6900, -0.12000)<br />
14 21 5 12 19 26 2<br />
May<br />
June<br />
16 30 7<br />
July<br />
14 21 28 4 11<br />
August<br />
18 25 1 8 15<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
FIRST BANK OF NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
43.3<br />
10.7<br />
24.7<br />
43<br />
22.4<br />
-<br />
200 moving average - 27.1%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 4<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
175.5<br />
44.0<br />
25.1<br />
177<br />
33.9<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div—8/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 09<br />
Yr. to Mar 31 [Nb] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Gross Income 155.3 90.32 67.44 57.23 51.32<br />
Net Profit 36.5 18.4 17.4 13.1 11.6<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 33.8<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 37.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 65.6<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
13.0<br />
20.5<br />
-3.3<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-32.4<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008/09 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />
Gross Income [Nb] 43.3<br />
PAT [Nb] 10.7<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
183 177 335 335 399<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
120 100 100 160 155<br />
FIRST BANK is looking <strong>for</strong>ward to a year of consolidation with earnings outlook indicating a moderation<br />
from the preceding year’s high growth. We project a 13% improvement in gross earnings <strong>for</strong> the bank in<br />
the 2008/9 financial year and a 20.5% growth in net profit. There is a further gain in net profit margin from<br />
23.5% in the 2008 full year to 24.7% in the first quarter. Profit growth isn’t strong enough to prevent a<br />
decline in earnings per share at current rate but we expect earnings to accelerate in the coming quarters.<br />
Trading momentum oversold<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
FIRST CITY MONUMENT BANK PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
18.53<br />
4.83<br />
26.1<br />
29<br />
13.7<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
76.2<br />
20.4<br />
26.8<br />
124<br />
14.5<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
44.3<br />
35.0<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - October 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Cum Div—22/9/08<br />
Financial Year End - April 30 Final Result Expected - July 09<br />
Yr. to April 30 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Gross Income 52,800 24,679 11,185 6,121 3,127<br />
Net Profit 15,110 5,949 2,834 798 337<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 103.2<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 164.0<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 34.7<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
34.8<br />
30.65<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-1.55<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-44.1<br />
Bonus Issue 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 6 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 24,862.5 19,890 10,360 5,180 3,947<br />
12.69<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OP<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.63<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-34.9<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Hold<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008/09 Q1 - July Q2 - Oct Q3 - Jan Q4 –April<br />
Turnover [Nb] 18.53<br />
PAT [Nb] 4.83<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
92 63 36 25 17 4<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
50 35 13 8 2 -<br />
FCMB is expected to maintain stable growth in earnings in the current financial year. Revenue and profit<br />
growth is likely to slow down from the triple digit record seen in the preceding two years. Based on the<br />
first quarter growth rate, we project a 44.3% increase in gross earnings and a 35% improvement in after<br />
tax profit <strong>for</strong> the bank in 2009. The slower growth in profit than revenue reflects a decline in net profit<br />
margin from 28.6% in the 2008 full year to 26.1% in the first quarter. We expect that earnings growth rate<br />
will step up in the coming quarters.<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
-41.3<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 16,379.5 9,549 9,549 4,452 3,000<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O P O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
200 moving average - 26.9%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 10<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O P P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
U<br />
10
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
KNOW WHAT TO TRADE<br />
KNOW WHEN TO TRADE<br />
ACCESS (23.9900, 23.9800, 22.9000, 23.0000, -0.99000)<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
P<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
DATATRUST ADVERT<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
Bearish<br />
Neutral<br />
Bearish<br />
Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish<br />
3 15 17 31<br />
13 20 27 10 17 24 2 8<br />
22 29 5 12 19 26 3 10 24 31 7 14 21 11 1<br />
September<br />
October<br />
November<br />
December<br />
2008<br />
February<br />
For further in<strong>for</strong>mation, please call or visit us at No. 22.<br />
Fadeyi Aladura Street, Off Balogun Bus Stop, Ikeja,<br />
Lagos. Tel. 7431204, 08035810522, 08057535491<br />
T<br />
16.5<br />
Inside front cover (full colour)......................................................N200,000<br />
Bottomstrip front cover (full colour)............................................N100,000<br />
Outside back cover (full colour)....................................................N200,000<br />
Inside back cover (full colour).......................................................N150,000<br />
Centre page (full colour)................................................................N250,000<br />
11
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
42<br />
41<br />
40<br />
39<br />
38<br />
37<br />
36<br />
35<br />
34<br />
33<br />
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26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
23<br />
22<br />
21<br />
20<br />
19<br />
18<br />
17<br />
FIRSTINLND (7.30000, 7.23000, 7.23000, 7.23000, -0.07000)<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
GUARANTY (23.8000, 23.5700, 23.5700, 23.5700, -0.23000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
42<br />
41<br />
40<br />
39<br />
38<br />
37<br />
36<br />
35<br />
34<br />
33<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
23<br />
22<br />
21<br />
20<br />
19<br />
18<br />
17<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
FIRST INLAND BANK PLC<br />
RESULT ANALYSIS<br />
FULL YEAR<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
27.5<br />
2.65<br />
9.6<br />
27<br />
28.3<br />
-<br />
200 moving average -31.5%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 6<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - November 2007<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - April 30 Final Result Expected - June 08<br />
Yr. to April 30 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Gross Income 27,500 3,000 2,300 2,128 1,369<br />
Net Profit 2,650 (10,350) 606 375 154<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 13.7<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 31.2<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 139.5<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
GUARANTY TRUST BANK PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
28.0<br />
8.4<br />
30.0<br />
55<br />
23.9<br />
-<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-45.6<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - July Q2 - Oct Q3 - Jan Q4 –April<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
PAT [Nb]<br />
EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
22<br />
Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
FIRST INLAND BANK has announced its audited result <strong>for</strong> the 14-month period ended April 30, 2007. It<br />
posted gross earnings of N27.5 billion, a high leap of more than 816% from the N3.0 billion in the preceding<br />
11-month account last year. The bank is out of the red from the big loss of N10.4 billion in the preceding<br />
year to an after tax profit of N2.65 billion. After tax profit margin is quite low at 9.6% compared with<br />
average industry benchmark of 20.3%.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
86.2<br />
26.0<br />
30.2<br />
172<br />
20.3<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
9.3<br />
22.6<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - August 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - Feb 28 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Feb28 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Gross Income 78,830 49,051 33,614 25,459 18,053<br />
Net Profit 21,200 13,194 8,546 5,362 4,057<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 44.8<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 51.7<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 45.8<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
12.4<br />
7.23<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.35<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-45.6<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 9,688.6 9,688.6<br />
23.57<br />
Neutral<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
PO O<br />
Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-1.19<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-34.5<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - May Q2 - Aug Q3 - Nov Q4 –Feb<br />
Gross Income [Nb] 28.0<br />
PAT [Nb] 8.4<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
153 165 143 90 135<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
70 75 95 70 70<br />
Guaranty Trust Bank is expected to run a three-quarter financial year ending December in compliance<br />
with uni<strong>for</strong>m accounting date <strong>for</strong> banks. Revenue is growing strong enough to make a projected 9.3%<br />
improvement on the preceding 12-month financial year and profit is expected to rise 22.6% above the<br />
preceding year’s full year figure. Profit margin is up from 26.9% in the 2007/8 full year to 30% in the first<br />
quarter. Earnings per share is expected to make a new high in the year despite the scrip of 1 <strong>for</strong> 11.<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO O<br />
P<br />
O P O<br />
P<br />
-41.1<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />
- 1 <strong>for</strong> 11 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 15,109 13,850 8,000 6,000 6,000<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
200 moving average -24.0%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 8<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O P O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
P O<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
OP<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
*Change of accounting date<br />
12
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
IBTC (13.2100, 13.0800, 13.0800, 13.0800, -0.13000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
INT ERCONT (27.5600, 27.2900, 27.2900, 27.2900, -0.27000)<br />
Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
49<br />
48<br />
47<br />
46<br />
45<br />
44<br />
43<br />
42<br />
41<br />
40<br />
39<br />
38<br />
37<br />
36<br />
35<br />
34<br />
33<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
23<br />
22<br />
21<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
STANBIC IBTC BANK PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
40.12<br />
8.2<br />
20.4<br />
43<br />
48.5<br />
-<br />
200 moving average -28.8%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast +<br />
82.4<br />
17.9<br />
21.7<br />
95<br />
21.1<br />
-<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
185.1<br />
128.0<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec. 31 [Nm] 2007* 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Gross Income 28,900 21,120 11,286 6,500 4,510<br />
Net Profit 7,850 5,800 3,987 2,445 1,586<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 50.8<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 42.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 81.1<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
131.7<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-34.7<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />
Gross Income [Nb] 40.12<br />
PAT [Nb] 8.2<br />
EPS [K] 2007* 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
41 49 34 44 79<br />
Dividend [K] 2007* 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
25 20 20 20 40<br />
Stanbic IBTC BANK recorded a strong growth in earnings in the second quarter, indicating an exceptional<br />
year of growth <strong>for</strong> the bank. Based on current growth rate we project that gross income will advance<br />
by 185.1% in 2008 and after tax profit will rise by 128%. Net profit margin declined from 27.2% in December<br />
2007 to 20.4% in the second quarter. We expect some recovery in profit margin in the remaining<br />
quarters. Earnings per share is expected to hit a new high this year, having declined from its 2004 peak.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
INTERCONTINENTAL BANK PLC<br />
FULL YEAR RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
60.9<br />
7.8<br />
12.8<br />
34<br />
78.0<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
178<br />
25.8<br />
14.5<br />
113<br />
32.7<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
2.5<br />
-25.9<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - August 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - Feb 28 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Feb 28 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006* 2004 2003<br />
Gross Income 173,600 87,400 41,517 32,800 21,410<br />
Net Profit 34,800 15,120 7,217 6,121 3,337<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 72.2<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 85.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 49.3<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
-25.7<br />
13.08<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.65<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-43.1<br />
Bonus Issue 2007*<br />
-<br />
2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 18,750 11,661 11,661 11,661 2,000<br />
27.29<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-1.38<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-30.1<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - May Q2 - August Q3 - Nov Q4 –Feb<br />
Gross Income [Nb] 60.9<br />
PAT [Nb] 7.82<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2004 2003<br />
152 81 93 159 95<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2004 2003<br />
75 65 45 42 40<br />
INTERCONTINENTAL BANK isn’t maintaining the rapid growth rate in earnings achieved last year.<br />
Based on first quarter report, we project a flat growth in revenue <strong>for</strong> the bank <strong>for</strong> the period while after tax<br />
profit is likely to drop by25.9%. Net profit margin dropped from 20% in the 2007/8 full year to 12.8% in the<br />
first quarter. Earnings per share is expected to drop by 25.7% but will be good enough to sustain the<br />
improving trend in dividend per share.<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
P<br />
O<br />
-40.4<br />
Sell<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2004 2003<br />
- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 10<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 22,836 18,536 10,725 3,548 3,548<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
200 moving average - 28.0%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 3<br />
*Change of accounting date<br />
+Adjusted<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
13<br />
P P O<br />
PP P<br />
O<br />
PP P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
PP P P PP P<br />
O O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P PP<br />
O<br />
T
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
Bullish<br />
25 3 10<br />
March<br />
OCEANIC (21.0500, 20.8400, 20.8400, 20.8400, -0.21000)<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
PLATINUM (17.9100, 17.7400, 17.7400, 17.7400, -0.17000)<br />
Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />
Bearish<br />
17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />
April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
18 25 1 8 15<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
OCEANIC BANK INT. [NIG] PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2NDQUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
66.5<br />
20.3<br />
30.5<br />
91<br />
14.3<br />
-<br />
200 moving average -21.9%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 8<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
136.6<br />
42.3<br />
31.0<br />
190<br />
18.4<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
82.3<br />
141.3<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - Sept 30 Final Result Expected - Jan 09<br />
Yr. to Sept 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Gross Income 74,940 44,685 24,300 13,889 11,054<br />
Net Profit 17,530 9,559 5,900 3,289 2,816<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 64.6<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 60.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 68.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
BANK PHB PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 3RD QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
55.2<br />
14.85<br />
26.9<br />
73<br />
23.3<br />
-<br />
26.7<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-46.6<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/8 Q1 - Dec Q2 - Mar Q3 - June Q4 –Sept<br />
Turnover [Nb] 31.11 66.5<br />
PAT [Nb] 8.85 20.3<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
150 115 63 55 70<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
102 42 32 25 32<br />
OCEANIC BANK maintained its rapidly growing earnings track record in the second quarter. Revenue is<br />
accelerating and profit is growing ahead of it. We mark up our projected growth in gross income from 70%<br />
to 82.3% <strong>for</strong> the bank at full year. Profit after tax is also revised upward from 108.2% to 141.3%. Net profit<br />
margin has improved further from 28.4% in the first quarter to 30.5% in the second. Earnings per share<br />
growth will however be moderate in reflection of more than 90% increase in volume of shares from recent<br />
public offer. Earnings can be expected to be sufficient to defend dividend payout.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
75.4<br />
20.5<br />
27.2<br />
101<br />
18.3<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
108.5<br />
164.7<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - March 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - June 30 Final Result Expected - September 08<br />
Yr. to June 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Gross Income 36,163 13,280 6,658 - -<br />
Net Profit 7,745 2,443 703 617 234<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 86.0<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 160.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 58.8<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
-15.1<br />
20.84<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+1.05<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-46.6<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 22,222.8 11,642 9,313.6 9,313.6 6,000<br />
17.74<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P O<br />
P<br />
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.89<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-30.3<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - Sept Q2 - Dec Q3 - Mar Q4 –June<br />
Turnover [Nb] 14.6 33.54 55.2<br />
PAT [Nb] 3.55 8.45 14.85<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
119 16 17 4 3<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
70 6.5 - -<br />
BANK PHB rein<strong>for</strong>ced its rapid growth in revenue and profit in the third quarter and general earnings<br />
prospects have improved further. Based on the accelerating growth rate, our projected revenue growth is<br />
again revised upward from 95.8% to 108.5%. Projected growth in after tax profit is also raised from<br />
129.8% to 164.6%. With increased volume of shares from the public offer and additional shares from<br />
placing, earnings per share is expected to decline by 15.1% in 2008.<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
-47.0<br />
Bonus Issue 2008<br />
-<br />
2007<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 20,155 6,435 19,305 - -<br />
PO<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O P O O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
200 moving average - 31.0%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 6<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
OO P P<br />
P P<br />
O O P<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O OP P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
T<br />
14
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
SKYEBANK (12.5100, 12.3900, 12.3900, 12.3900, -0.12000)<br />
March April May June July August September U<br />
UBA (28.3700, 28.0900, 28.0900, 28.0900, -0.28000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
25<br />
20<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
SKYE BANK PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 3RD QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
47.3<br />
10.9<br />
23.0<br />
94<br />
30.7<br />
-<br />
200 moving average - 22.8%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 4<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
64.8<br />
15.4<br />
23.8<br />
133<br />
11.3<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
64.5<br />
180.0<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - Sept 30 Final Result Expected - January 09<br />
Yr. to Sept 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Gross Income 39,367 21,056 6,159 5,252 4,334<br />
Net Profit 5,517 1,961 493 610 576<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 91.8<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 116.5<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 48.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
UBA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 3RD QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
120.3<br />
28.9<br />
24.0<br />
169<br />
27.4<br />
25<br />
82.2<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-27.9<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - Dec Q2 - Mar Q3 - June Q4 –Sept<br />
Turnover [Nb] 12.55 27.7 47.3<br />
PAT [Nb] 2.85 7.7 10.9<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
73 26 10 20 19<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
35 - 10 10 -<br />
SKYE BANK recorded further improvement in revenue growth in the third quarter but profit growth slowed<br />
down during the period. Despite the slow down, the bank is set to achieve an exceptional growth in profit<br />
in the 2008 financial year. We mark up revenue growth projection from 43.9% to 64.8% <strong>for</strong> the bank at full<br />
year. Profit growth projection is revised slightly down from 186.2% to 180%. Net profit margin declined<br />
from 27.8% in the second quarter to 23% in the third.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
164.2<br />
40.2<br />
24.5<br />
236<br />
14.8<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
50.0<br />
87.9<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End—Sept 30 Final Result Expected - Jan 09<br />
Yr. to Sept 30 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 109.5 90.4 26.1 24.5 24.2<br />
Net Profit 21.4 11.6 4.9 4.5 3.3<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 65.7<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 72.8<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 60.1<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
24.2<br />
12.39<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.61<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-37.6<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
- - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m 11,585 7,503 7,503 4,528 3,048<br />
28.09<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
Bullish<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-1.42<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-42.8<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - Dec Q2 - Mar Q3 - June Q4 –Sept<br />
Gross Income [Nb] 39 78.1 120.3<br />
PAT [Nb] 9.2 18.42 28.85<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
190 165 161 177 129<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
120 100 60 60 45<br />
UBA stepped up revenue growth further in the third quarter and the strong growth in profit remains on<br />
track <strong>for</strong> the third year running. We mark up our <strong>for</strong>ecast revenue growth from 46.4% to 50% <strong>for</strong> the bank<br />
in 2008. Our profit growth projection is raised from 75.7% to 87.9% <strong>for</strong> the bank at full year. Net profit<br />
margin is slightly improved from 23.6% to 24% but earnings per share will be moderated by the mid year<br />
stock split of 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 and conversion of loan stock. Earnings projections do not incorporate the expectation<br />
of the bank running a 15-month irregular account to December 2008.<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
Bearish<br />
Bullish<br />
-56.1<br />
Bearish<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 2 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 17,038 11,290 7,060 3060 2,550<br />
O O P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
200 moving average -38.6%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
PP<br />
P O P O<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O P P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O OO O<br />
P<br />
O P P<br />
O O O<br />
O<br />
Bearish Bullish<br />
Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />
15
45.0<br />
44.5<br />
44.0<br />
43.5<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
42.0<br />
41.5<br />
41.0<br />
40.5<br />
40.0<br />
39.5<br />
39.0<br />
38.5<br />
38.0<br />
37.5<br />
37.0<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
7 31 7<br />
April<br />
Bearish<br />
14 21 28 5<br />
May<br />
UBN (42.0000, 42.0000, 42.0000, 42.0000, +0.000)<br />
12 19 26 2 9<br />
June<br />
Bearish<br />
16 23 30<br />
July<br />
UNITYBNK (4.36000, 4.32000, 4.32000, 4.32000, -0.04000)<br />
Bullish<br />
7 14 21 28 4 11<br />
August<br />
Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 28 12 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
18 25 1<br />
22 2<br />
45.0<br />
44.5<br />
44.0<br />
43.5<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
42.0<br />
41.5<br />
41.0<br />
40.5<br />
40.0<br />
39.5<br />
39.0<br />
38.5<br />
38.0<br />
37.5<br />
37.0<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
3.5<br />
3.0<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
UNION BANK OF NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 3RD QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
66.9<br />
17.3<br />
25.9<br />
149<br />
21.1<br />
-<br />
200 moving average +2.6%<br />
Price trend<br />
flat<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 24<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
92.2<br />
24.0<br />
26.0<br />
207<br />
20.3<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
4.7<br />
81.8<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year - March 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 08<br />
Yr. to Mar 31 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Gross Income 88.1 66.6 58.9 48.2 44.0<br />
Net Profit 13.2 10.8 9.8 8.3 8.3<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 17.8<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 19.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 70.4<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
UNITY BANK PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
45.8<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-2.4<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Long-term<br />
buy<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />
Gross Income [Nb] 50.55 66.9<br />
PAT [Nb] 13.5 17.3<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 20023<br />
142 181 219 247 328<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
100 100 140 140 135<br />
UNION BANK is likely to record moderate growth in revenue in its 2008 financial year but profit prospects<br />
look better than any time in the past several years. At the end of the third quarter, net profit was already<br />
30.6% above the 2007 full year figure. Based on the growth rate in the third quarter, we mark down our<br />
projected growth in gross earnings from 19.5% to 4.7% and after tax profit from 104.8% to 81.8%. Net<br />
profit margin went down from 26.7% in the second quarter to 25.9% in the third. Profit growth remains<br />
strong enough to cause a V-turn in the bank’s declining earnings per share.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - December 2007<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 08<br />
Yr. to Jun 30 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
Gross Income 12,000 5,050<br />
Net Profit 1,400 409<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
42.0<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-6.9<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 5 1 <strong>for</strong> 10 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 1 <strong>for</strong> 3<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 11,579.8 9,649.8 6,269.8 4,475 3,356<br />
4.32<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.20<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-52.1<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
PAT [Nb]<br />
EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
10 3<br />
Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
-<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 10 - - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 14,737 13,397<br />
UNITY BANK raised gross earnings by 137% to N12 billion naira in 2006 and after tax profit<br />
grew more rapidly by 242.3% to N1.4 billion. Profit margin improved from 8.1% to 11.7% over<br />
the period but remains quite low by industry standard. The strong growth in revenue is expected<br />
in the 2007 full year with further improvement in profit margin.<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P P P<br />
-56.6<br />
S T<br />
200 moving average - 38.8%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 5<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O P P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O P P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O P O OO PP P<br />
16<br />
T
30 6<br />
August<br />
53.0<br />
52.5<br />
52.0<br />
51.5<br />
51.0<br />
50.5<br />
50.0<br />
49.5<br />
49.0<br />
48.5<br />
48.0<br />
47.5<br />
47.0<br />
46.5<br />
46.0<br />
45.5<br />
45.0<br />
44.5<br />
44.0<br />
43.5<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
42.0<br />
41.5<br />
41.0<br />
40.5<br />
40.0<br />
39.5<br />
39.0<br />
38.5<br />
38.0<br />
37.5<br />
37.0<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
13 20 27 3 10<br />
September<br />
17 24 2 8<br />
October<br />
WEMABANK (15.0000, 15.0000, 15.0000, 15.0000, +0.0000)<br />
15 22 29 5<br />
November<br />
12 19 26 3 10<br />
December<br />
ZENITHBANK (38.5900, 38.2100, 38.2100, 38.2100, -0.38000)<br />
17 24 31 7<br />
2008<br />
14 21 28<br />
March April May June July August September U<br />
15 .5<br />
15 .0<br />
14 .5<br />
14 .0<br />
13 .5<br />
13 .0<br />
12 .5<br />
12 .0<br />
11 .5<br />
11 .0<br />
10 .5<br />
10 .0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
53.0<br />
52.5<br />
52.0<br />
51.5<br />
51.0<br />
50.5<br />
50.0<br />
49.5<br />
49.0<br />
48.5<br />
48.0<br />
47.5<br />
47.0<br />
46.5<br />
46.0<br />
45.5<br />
45.0<br />
44.5<br />
44.0<br />
43.5<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
42.0<br />
41.5<br />
41.0<br />
40.5<br />
40.0<br />
39.5<br />
39.0<br />
38.5<br />
38.0<br />
37.5<br />
37.0<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
WEMA BANK PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
20.59<br />
6.5<br />
31.6<br />
63<br />
36.54<br />
-<br />
200 moving average + 0.0%<br />
Price trend<br />
flat<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 176<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
42.2<br />
13.5<br />
32.0<br />
132<br />
11.4<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
59.8<br />
419.2<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - December 2007<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 08<br />
Yr. to Mar 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Gross Income 26,430 14,840 15,288 12,856 9,716<br />
Net Profit 2,600 [6,600] 844 967 1,448<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 36<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 21.8<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
ZENITH BANK PLC<br />
FULL YEAR RESULT<br />
- 4TH QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
158.3<br />
41.04<br />
25.9<br />
245<br />
12.2<br />
-<br />
428.0<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+0.0<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />
Gross Income[Nb] 9.29 20.59<br />
PAT [Nb] 2.85 6.5<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
25 - 9 31 47<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - - 10 25<br />
WEMA BANK is driving earnings growth rapidly to catch up with the competition in a rapidly growing<br />
industry. The bank’s strong growth in revenue and profit in the first quarter accelerated in the second.<br />
Based on current growth rate, we mark up projected growth in revenue from 45.3% to 59.8% <strong>for</strong> the bank<br />
in the 2007/8 financial year. After tax profit is also revised upward from 365.3% to 419.2%. Profit margin,<br />
which is already at the industry peak, improved further from 30.7% in the first quarter to 31.6% in the<br />
second.<br />
Trading momentum overbought<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term neutral<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
15-Month<br />
Forecast<br />
198.9<br />
52.0<br />
26.1<br />
310<br />
10.0<br />
Full Period Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
109.6<br />
178.1<br />
Next Result Expected - 15th Month - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - June 30 Final Result Expected - November 08<br />
Yr. to June 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Gross Income 94,900 58,222 34,913 23,931 17,844<br />
Net Profit 18,700 11,489 7,146 5,191 4,424<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 55.5<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 40.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 49.5<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
53.5<br />
15.0<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-0.0<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 20 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 10,186 10,186 8,904 3,115 3,054<br />
38.21<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-1.94<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-17.1<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 - Dec Q4 –Mar<br />
Gross Income[Nb] 28.86 57.6 120.31 158.3<br />
PAT [Nb] 8.1 15.71 33.32 41.04<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
202 124 136 168 375<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
100 110 70 70 70<br />
Zenith Bank is expected to run a 15-month account to September 2008. Its normal full year unaudited<br />
result shows a 66.8% growth in revenue and a 119.5% jump in after tax profit. Our full 15-month projections<br />
indicate a likely growth of 109.6% in gross earnings and a lifting of 178.1% in after tax profit <strong>for</strong> the<br />
bank against the 2007 figures. Earnings per share will grow less rapidly in reflection of increased volume<br />
of shares arising from the bank’s recent public offer.<br />
-25.3<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
- 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 16,744 9,265 6,000 3,098 1,549<br />
200 moving average - 16.1%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 5<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
17<br />
O<br />
P<br />
Bullish<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O P O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />
Bearish Bearish<br />
O OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O
141<br />
140<br />
139<br />
138<br />
137<br />
136<br />
135<br />
134<br />
133<br />
132<br />
131<br />
130<br />
129<br />
128<br />
127<br />
126<br />
125<br />
124<br />
123<br />
122<br />
121<br />
120<br />
119<br />
118<br />
117<br />
116<br />
115<br />
114<br />
113<br />
112<br />
58.0<br />
57.5<br />
57.0<br />
56.5<br />
56.0<br />
55.5<br />
55.0<br />
54.5<br />
54.0<br />
53.5<br />
53.0<br />
52.5<br />
52.0<br />
51.5<br />
51.0<br />
50.5<br />
50.0<br />
49.5<br />
49.0<br />
48.5<br />
48.0<br />
47.5<br />
47.0<br />
46.5<br />
46.0<br />
45.5<br />
45.0<br />
44.5<br />
44.0<br />
43.5<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
42.0<br />
41.5<br />
41.0<br />
GUINNESS (123.750, 122.520, 122.520, 123.750, +1.23000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
NB (47.1500, 46.6900, 46.6800, 46.6800, -0.47000)<br />
58.0<br />
57.5<br />
57.0<br />
56.5<br />
56.0<br />
55.5<br />
55.0<br />
54.5<br />
54.0<br />
53.5<br />
53.0<br />
52.5<br />
52.0<br />
51.5<br />
51.0<br />
50.5<br />
50.0<br />
49.5<br />
49.0<br />
48.5<br />
48.0<br />
47.5<br />
47.0<br />
46.5<br />
46.0<br />
45.5<br />
45.0<br />
44.5<br />
44.0<br />
43.5<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
42.0<br />
41.5<br />
41.0<br />
March April May June July August September U<br />
141<br />
140<br />
139<br />
138<br />
137<br />
136<br />
135<br />
134<br />
133<br />
132<br />
131<br />
130<br />
129<br />
128<br />
127<br />
126<br />
125<br />
124<br />
123<br />
122<br />
121<br />
120<br />
119<br />
118<br />
117<br />
116<br />
115<br />
114<br />
113<br />
112<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
GUINNESS NIGERIA PLC<br />
FULL YEAR RESULT<br />
- 4TH QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Final Dividend [K]<br />
69.2<br />
11.9<br />
17.1<br />
800<br />
15.5<br />
600<br />
200 moving average - 3.7%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 9<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
67.5<br />
10.8<br />
16.0<br />
732<br />
17.8<br />
Deviation From<br />
Forecast %<br />
+2.5<br />
+10.2<br />
+1.1<br />
+9.3<br />
-2.3<br />
Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 21.4 Dividend Status – Cum Div—31/10/08<br />
Financial Year End - June 30 Final Result Expected - Sept 09<br />
Yr. to June 30 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Turnover 69,200 62,300 53,650 47,000 47,500<br />
Net Profit 11,900 10,700 7,440 4,900 7,900<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 10.1<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 17.2<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 75.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
NIGERIAN BREWERIES PLC<br />
FULL YEAR RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
32.4<br />
6.2<br />
19.1<br />
81<br />
25.0<br />
-<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-4.8<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Cautious<br />
buy<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/08 Q1 - Sept Q2 - Dec Q3 - Mar Q4– June<br />
Turnover [Nb] 13.65 32.13 49.5 69.2<br />
PAT [Nb] 1.3 5.24 7.55 11.9<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
800 726 630 415 671<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
600/680* 450 400 300 525<br />
GUINNESS NIGERIA raised sales revenue by 11.1% in 2008, a slow down from 16.1% in 2007. After tax<br />
profit grew at par with revenue at 11.2% but also slowed down from 43.8% growth in the preceding year.<br />
Growth in profit stepped up in the final quarter with an improvement in net profit margin from 15.3% in the<br />
third quarter to 17.1% at full year. Net profit margin was virtually unchanged from the preceding full year’s<br />
record of 17.2%. An improving trend in earnings per share was maintained <strong>for</strong> the third year running.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
132.4<br />
26.2<br />
19.8<br />
346<br />
15.9<br />
-<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
18.4<br />
38.6<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter – June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 21.4 Dividend Status – Ex div<br />
Financial Year End - Dec 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 111.8 86.3 80.2 73.6 56.5<br />
Net Profit 18.9 10.9 8.25 5.1 7.3<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 19.6<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 41.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 100<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
38.4<br />
123.75<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-9.1<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,474.3 1,474.3 6179.4 1,179.4 1.179.4<br />
46.68<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
Bearish<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-2.35<br />
Bullish Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-4.7<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 - Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 32.4<br />
PAT [Nb] 6.2<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
250 144 109 67 193<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
250 144 105 40 110<br />
NIGERIAN BREWERIES isn’t likely to match the strong growth in revenue and profit last year <strong>for</strong> the<br />
current year but growth is expected to be strong enough to keep key indices looking up. Turnover is projected<br />
to growth by 18.4% in the year and with further gain in net profit margin, net profit is projected to<br />
grow at a faster rate of 38.6%. Net profit margin has improved from 16.9% in 2007 full year to 19.1% in<br />
the first quarter.<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
-16.5<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 1<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 7,562.6 7,562.6 7,562.6 7,562.6 3,781<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
200 moving average - 7.7%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bearish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 3<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OP<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
*Special dividend of 680k<br />
18
57.0<br />
56.5<br />
56.0<br />
55.5<br />
55.0<br />
54.5<br />
54.0<br />
53.5<br />
53.0<br />
52.5<br />
52.0<br />
51.5<br />
51.0<br />
50.5<br />
50.0<br />
49.5<br />
49.0<br />
48.5<br />
48.0<br />
47.5<br />
47.0<br />
46.5<br />
46.0<br />
45.5<br />
45.0<br />
44.5<br />
44.0<br />
43.5<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
42.0<br />
41.5<br />
41.0<br />
40.5<br />
40.0<br />
39.5<br />
39.0<br />
38.5<br />
38.0<br />
37.5<br />
37.0<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
59<br />
58<br />
57<br />
56<br />
55<br />
54<br />
53<br />
52<br />
51<br />
50<br />
49<br />
48<br />
47<br />
46<br />
45<br />
44<br />
43<br />
42<br />
41<br />
40<br />
39<br />
38<br />
37<br />
36<br />
35<br />
34<br />
33<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
23<br />
22<br />
21<br />
ASHAKACEM (29.2500, 28.9600, 28.9600, 28.9600, -0.29000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
BCC (46.0000, 45.5400, 45.5400, 45.5400, -0.46000)<br />
March April May June July August September U<br />
59<br />
58<br />
57<br />
56<br />
55<br />
54<br />
53<br />
52<br />
51<br />
50<br />
49<br />
48<br />
47<br />
46<br />
45<br />
44<br />
43<br />
42<br />
41<br />
40<br />
39<br />
38<br />
37<br />
36<br />
35<br />
34<br />
33<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
24<br />
23<br />
22<br />
21<br />
57.0<br />
56.5<br />
56.0<br />
55.5<br />
55.0<br />
54.5<br />
54.0<br />
53.5<br />
53.0<br />
52.5<br />
52.0<br />
51.5<br />
51.0<br />
50.5<br />
50.0<br />
49.5<br />
49.0<br />
48.5<br />
48.0<br />
47.5<br />
47.0<br />
46.5<br />
46.0<br />
45.5<br />
45.0<br />
44.5<br />
44.0<br />
43.5<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
42.0<br />
41.5<br />
41.0<br />
40.5<br />
40.0<br />
39.5<br />
39.0<br />
38.5<br />
38.0<br />
37.5<br />
37.0<br />
36.5<br />
36.0<br />
35.5<br />
35.0<br />
34.5<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
ASHAKACEM PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 4TH QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Final Dividend [K]<br />
16.5<br />
1.6<br />
9.7<br />
93<br />
57.1<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
18.2<br />
3.7<br />
20.3<br />
216<br />
20.8<br />
Deviation from<br />
Forecast %<br />
-9.3<br />
-56.8<br />
-10.6<br />
-56.9<br />
-36.3<br />
Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - March 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 17.6 Dividend Status – Ex Div 25/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 16,500 16,800 15,800 12,300 10,199<br />
Net Profit 1,600 3,380 4,430 3,400 2,123<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 13.4<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 3.5<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
28.96<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-1.14<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-46.6<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 8.92 16.5<br />
PAT [Nb] 1.82 1.6<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
93 231 303 387 242<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- 150 232 285 171<br />
ASHAKACEM recorded a more rapid slow down in revenue and profit in the second half of the 2007<br />
financial year and full year profit figure fell below half year position. Production shortfalls caused a 1.8%<br />
decline in sales revenue and rising input cost led to a 52.7% drop in net profit, following a 23.7% fall in the<br />
preceding year. Net profit margin fell to the lowest mark in many years at 9.7%, down from 20.1% in<br />
2006. Earnings per share continued on a downward slide <strong>for</strong> the third year running.<br />
-48.4<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 6<br />
2006<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 6<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
2 <strong>for</strong> 3<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,990 1,706 1,462.5 1,462.5 877.5<br />
Sell<br />
200 moving average - 35.0%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bearish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 4<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O P<br />
PO<br />
O O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
BENUE CEMENT COMPANY PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
1.04<br />
139<br />
13.6<br />
4<br />
115.9<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
4.4<br />
575<br />
13.1<br />
18<br />
222<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
-20.0<br />
-54.0<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 17.6 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 5,500 6,030 4,005 - 391<br />
Net Profit 1,250 [1,150] 2,244 [912] [727]<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth -<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 49.6<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
-59.0<br />
45.54<br />
Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.30<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-13.8<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.04<br />
PAT [Nb] 139.1<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
44 [61] 453 [184] [146]<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - - - -<br />
BCC recorded a disappointing earnings per<strong>for</strong>mance in the first quarter with sales revenue indicating a<br />
likely decline <strong>for</strong> the second year. Based on the first quarter growth rate, revenue is <strong>for</strong>ecast to drop by<br />
20% in 2008 and after tax profit is projected to fall much faster at 54%. There is a further decline in net<br />
profit margin from 22.7% in the 2007 full year to 13.6% in the first quarter. Earnings per share is expected<br />
to drop significantly and dividend pay-out capacity can be expected to remain weak.<br />
-16.5<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 8<br />
2006<br />
1 f0r 8<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 3,132 2,784 1,980 495 495<br />
200 moving average - 5.6%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 3<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P O<br />
P<br />
O O P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
19<br />
Bullish<br />
Bearish Bullish<br />
Bearish Bearish
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
CCNN (13.9300, 13.9300, 13.9300, 13.9300, +0.000)<br />
WAPCO (40.4200, 40.0200, 40.0200, 40.0200, -0.40000)<br />
30<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
CEMENT COMPANY OF NORTHERN NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
4.4<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
0.611<br />
13.9<br />
49<br />
28.2<br />
45<br />
200 moving average - 21.4%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 9<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
10.4<br />
1.3<br />
12.5<br />
104<br />
19.2<br />
-<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
29.4<br />
835.3<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 17.6 Dividend Status – Cum Div 4/9/08<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 8,040 6,400 5,920 5,500 3,306<br />
Net Profit 139 [35] 224 827 [108]<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 27.0<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 293.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 90.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
LAFARGE WAPCO PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
11.03<br />
1.95<br />
17.7<br />
65<br />
22.4<br />
-<br />
200 moving average - 32.8%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
700.0<br />
20<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-42.0<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Buy<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 2.2 4.4<br />
PAT [Nm] 135.3 610.9<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
13 [3] 21 85 [111]<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
10 - 10 10 -<br />
CCNN maintained its earlier growth rate in revenue in the second quarter but there was a major leap in<br />
after tax profit growth during the quarter. Revenue growth projection is unchanged at 29.4% <strong>for</strong> the company<br />
in 2008 while we mark up after tax profit growth significantly to 835.3%. There is a further widening<br />
in profit margin from 6.1% in the first quarter to 13.9% in the second. Earnings per share is expected to<br />
advance by 700% to a new high after declining from the 2004 peak.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
45.1<br />
8.3<br />
18.4<br />
276<br />
19.9<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
16.5<br />
-22.4<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter — June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 17.6 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 38,700 39,650 26,630 22,100 13,729<br />
Net Profit 10,700 10,950 2,800 [3,400] [3,175]<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 33.4<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 108.1<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 28.1<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
-22.5<br />
13.93<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.42<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-43.1<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 10<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,243 1,069 1,069 971 971<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-51.8<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 11.03<br />
PAT [Nb] 1.95<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
356 356 93 [193] [185]<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
120 100 30 - -<br />
LAFARGE WAPCO is expected to strengthen sales revenue in 2008 from a decline in 2007. But the<br />
weakness in profit per<strong>for</strong>mance seen last year is very likely to worsen. Our projected revenue growth of<br />
16.5% isn’t likely to absorb the rapid cost increases facing the company. Net profit margin has dropped<br />
from 27.6% in 2007 full year to 17.7% and after tax profit is likely to fall <strong>for</strong> the second year at 22.4%. A<br />
much stronger growth in revenue will be needed to defend profit margin.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
O<br />
40.02<br />
P<br />
P<br />
OO P O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-1.21<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-53.2<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 3,001.6 3,001.6 3,001.6 1,715 1,715<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
OP<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
OO P<br />
O<br />
Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
22 2 T
Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 28 12 19 26 9 16 23 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
BERGER (12.6600, 13.2900, 13.0100, 12.6600, -0.35000)<br />
CAP (48.0000, 47.5200, 47.5200, 48.0000, +0.48000)<br />
March April May June July August September U<br />
22 2<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
BERGER PAINTS PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
13.0<br />
27.4<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
0.64<br />
35<br />
5.5<br />
16<br />
98<br />
-<br />
2.6<br />
144<br />
5.5<br />
66<br />
30.3<br />
26.9<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.8<br />
Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 2,300 2,300 1,900 1,800 1,800<br />
Net Profit 113 81 [511] 101 108<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 6.7<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth -85.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
12.66<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+18.9<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Cautious<br />
buy<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 0.637<br />
PAT [Nm] 34.95<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
52 37 [235] 46.5 49.8<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - - 30 40<br />
BERGER PAINTS is pushing revenue to grow from the flat growth position recorded in 2007.<br />
We project that turnover will grow by 13% at full year based on current growth rate. Profit is<br />
expected to grow far above revenue at 27.4%. The strength in profit is coming from an increase<br />
in profit margin, which stands at a four-year best at 5.5%. The earnings prospects could<br />
improve slightly in the remaining quarters.<br />
-45.8<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 217.4 217.4 217.4 217.4 217.4<br />
200 moving average - 7.4%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bearish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 4<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
O O O<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O O OOO O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O PO<br />
CHEMICAL & ALLIED PRODUCTS PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
0.554<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm] 172.7<br />
Net Profit Margin [%] 31.2<br />
EPS [K]<br />
77<br />
P/E Ratio [Times] 17.3<br />
Interim Dividend [K] -<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
2.3<br />
725<br />
31.5<br />
323<br />
18.6<br />
-<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
9.5<br />
-12.7<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter — June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 2,100 2,000 1,500 1,500 1,203<br />
Net Profit 830 313 202 161 152<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 15.8<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 62.9<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 101.4<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
-12.7<br />
52.48<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-25.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 0.554<br />
PAT [Nm] 172.74<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
370 139 90 72 90<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
375 300 70 55 50<br />
CAP is recording slowly growing revenue in the 2008 financial year and the strong growth in profit seen<br />
the preceding year isn’t being sustained. We project an increase of 9.5% in revenue <strong>for</strong> the company at<br />
full year and a decline of 12.7 per cent in after tax profit. Net profit margin, which soared from 15.7% in<br />
2006 to 39.5% in 2007, is down to 31.5 % in the first quarter. Earnings growth prospects will become<br />
clearer in the next quarter.<br />
-48.4<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 3<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 224 224 224 224 168<br />
U<br />
200 moving average - 18.9%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 39<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
O P<br />
PPP<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P P P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
O O O<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
PO O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
21<br />
Bullish<br />
Bearish Volume Bullish(6,000)<br />
Bearish Bearish
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
DNMEYER (11.5100, 11.5100, 11.5100, 11.5100, +0.000)<br />
Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 26 1116 23 30 7 14 28 5 11 18 1 9 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August September<br />
Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7<br />
March<br />
April<br />
NIG-GERMAN (19.4200, 19.4200, 19.4200, 19.4200, +0.000)<br />
Bearish<br />
14 21 28 5<br />
May<br />
12 20 26 2 10<br />
June<br />
Bearish<br />
16 23 7<br />
July<br />
Bullish<br />
14 21 4 11<br />
August<br />
22<br />
19 9 22<br />
September<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
DN MEYER PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
-2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
1.1<br />
34.8<br />
3.1<br />
12<br />
37.9<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
2.5<br />
72.2<br />
2.9<br />
24<br />
50.0<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
19.0<br />
13.2<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 2,100 2,010 1,369 1,761 1,500<br />
Net Profit 63.8 60.8 [209] 63 67<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 11.6<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth -76.0<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 45.5<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
9.1<br />
11.51<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+38.2<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 0.492 1.11<br />
PAT [Nm] 13.2 34.8<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
22 25 [86] 43 46<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
10 - - 20 45<br />
DN MEYER improved its revenue growth rate in the second quarter and profit growth also accelerated<br />
during the period. Based on the accelerated growth rate, we mark up revenue growth <strong>for</strong>ecast from 4.8%<br />
to 19%. We revise profit projection from possible decline to a 13.2% growth in 2008. Net profit margin is a<br />
little improved from 2.7% in the first quarter to 3.1% in the second. A further improvement in revenue and<br />
additional gain in profit margin are needed to raise per<strong>for</strong>mance prospects in 2008.<br />
-44.3<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 291.5 242.9 242.9 146 146<br />
200 moving average -5.3%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 12<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
O OO<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
OO O<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
P PP<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
NIGERIAN-GERMAN CHEMICALS PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
48.3<br />
97.2<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
1.83<br />
132.7<br />
7.3<br />
86<br />
29.2<br />
-<br />
3.9<br />
270.2<br />
6.9<br />
175<br />
11.4<br />
96.6<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 8.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 2,630 2,490 2,470 2,100 1,603<br />
Net Profit 137 149 121 95 62<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 13.8<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 23.9<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 50.6<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
19.42<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-25.3<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 0.902 1.83<br />
PAT [Nm] 60.44 132.71<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
89 97 79 62 40<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
45 45 35 30 30<br />
NIGERIAN-GERMAN CHEMICALS stepped up growth in revenue and profit further in the second quarter,<br />
expecting to make up <strong>for</strong> two years of a slow down. Revenue growth rate has been marginal over the<br />
past two years and profit growth has been decelerating since 2004. We revise upwards projected revenue<br />
growth from 42.3% to 48.3%. With further gain in profit margin, we mark up after tax profit projection from<br />
31.3% to 97.2% <strong>for</strong> the company in 2008.<br />
-39.3<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 153.8 153.8 153.8 153.8 153.8<br />
T<br />
200 moving average - 18.1%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 3<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O O O O P P<br />
OO O P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
OO P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
T<br />
22
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
PZ (24.2000, 23.9600, 23.9600, 23.9600, -0.24000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
UACN (45.0000, 44.5500, 44.5500, 45.0000, +0.45000)<br />
Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
63<br />
62<br />
61<br />
60<br />
59<br />
58<br />
57<br />
56<br />
55<br />
54<br />
53<br />
52<br />
51<br />
50<br />
49<br />
48<br />
47<br />
46<br />
45<br />
44<br />
43<br />
42<br />
41<br />
40<br />
39<br />
38<br />
37<br />
36<br />
35<br />
34<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
PZ INDUSTRIES PLC<br />
FULL YEAR RESULT<br />
- 4TH QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Deviation from<br />
Forecast %<br />
+6.6<br />
+21.9<br />
+0.7<br />
+24.0<br />
-10.1<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Final Dividend [K]<br />
65.9<br />
3.9<br />
5.9<br />
124<br />
16.9<br />
62<br />
61.8<br />
3.2<br />
5.2<br />
100<br />
27.0<br />
Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - August 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 16.0 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - May 31 Final Result Expected - August 09<br />
Yr. to May 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Turnover 65,940 54,220 43,500 34,135 27,995<br />
Net Profit 3,950 3,510 3,240 3,270 2,078<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 23.9<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 19.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 50.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
23.96<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.02<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-11.3<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/8 Q1 - August Q2 - Nov Q3 Feb Q4 –May<br />
Turnover [Nb] 13.51 29.95 65.94<br />
PAT [Nm] 0.443 1.4 3.95<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
124 138 126 150 119<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
62 71 69 75 75<br />
PZ INDUSTRIES improved sales revenue by 21.6% in its financial year ended May 2008 and after tax<br />
profit grew less rapidly at 12.5%. The slow growth in profit reflects a decline in profit margin, which went<br />
down from 6.5% in 2007 to 6.0% in 2008. With the modest growth in profit against the scrip of 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 in<br />
2007, earnings per share declined in the year to the lowest mark in five years. Dividend per share also<br />
came down to the lowest level in five years.<br />
-26.2<br />
Sell<br />
Bonus Issue 2008<br />
-<br />
2007<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 3,176 2,541 2,541 2,179 1,743<br />
200 moving average - 8.7%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility norrmal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 6<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term<br />
bearish<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O P P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O P P<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
UACN PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
200 moving average - 8.2%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 6<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
40.0<br />
-6.5<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
10.8<br />
0.68<br />
6.3<br />
53<br />
21.6<br />
-<br />
44.1<br />
2.9<br />
6.6<br />
225<br />
24.4<br />
-6.6<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter — June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 16.0 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 31,500 28,400 27,120 25,100 20,844<br />
Net Profit 3,100 3,200 1,630 1,600 2,185<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 11.1<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 18.8<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 49.8<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
23<br />
45.0<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-13.5<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 10.8<br />
PAT [Nb] 0.68<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
241 249 127 176 240<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
120 100 100 85 60<br />
UACN is looking out <strong>for</strong> an exceptional growth in sales revenue in 2008 but profit prospects remain weak<br />
<strong>for</strong> the second year. Revenue is projected to grow by 40%, the highest in five years while after tax profit is<br />
headed <strong>for</strong> a marginal decline <strong>for</strong> the second year. Net profit margin continues to decline from 11.3% in<br />
2006 to 9.8% in 2007 and further to 6.3% in the first quarter of the current year. Prospects <strong>for</strong> improving<br />
profit margin and profit growth are uncertain in the rising cost environment facing the company.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication bearish<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
Bullish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bearish<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.31<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-26.9<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 2<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,284,6 1,284,6 909 909 909<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
T
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
180<br />
175<br />
170<br />
165<br />
160<br />
155<br />
150<br />
145<br />
140<br />
135<br />
130<br />
125<br />
120<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
UNILEVER (23.75 00 , 23.7 500 , 23 .7 500 , 23 .7 500 , +0 .0 00 )<br />
JBERGER (73.5100, 72.7800, 72.7800, 73.5100, +0.73000)<br />
180<br />
175<br />
170<br />
165<br />
160<br />
155<br />
150<br />
145<br />
140<br />
135<br />
130<br />
125<br />
120<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
50<br />
45<br />
40<br />
35<br />
30<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
22 2<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
UNILEVER NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
19.2<br />
1.7<br />
8.9<br />
45<br />
75.3<br />
-<br />
200 moving average + 4.0%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 10<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
39.7<br />
3.6<br />
9.0<br />
95<br />
21.1<br />
-<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
16.8<br />
227.3<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter — September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 16.0 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 34,000 25,550 33,400 28,577 23,694<br />
Net Profit 1,100 [1,617] 1,620 2,167 1,870<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 11.8<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth -10.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 86.2<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
JULIUS BERGER NIGERIA PLC<br />
RESULT ANALYSIS<br />
- FULL YEAR<br />
227.6<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+7.7<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 19.15<br />
PAT [Nm] 1.72<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
29 [42] 54 72 62<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
25 - - 70 61<br />
Unilever Nigeria’s second quarter earnings position indicates moderate revenue growth prospects in 2008<br />
but a major leap in profit. Sales revenue is projected to grow by 16.8% at full year while after tax profit is<br />
expected to advance by 227.3%. At the end of the second half, after tax profit is already 54.5% above<br />
the 2007 full year figure. There is a strong recovery in profit margin from only 3.2% in December 2007 to<br />
8.9% in the second quarter. Earnings per share is expected to make a new high since 2004.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Deviation from<br />
Forecast %<br />
+17.4<br />
+28.6<br />
+0.2<br />
+28.8<br />
-2.0<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Final Dividend [K]<br />
79.1<br />
1.8<br />
2.3<br />
600<br />
14.1<br />
500<br />
67.4<br />
1.4<br />
2.1<br />
466<br />
16.1<br />
Next Result Expected - 1st quarter – March 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 9.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div—7/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 79,100 56,900 40,800 29,200 30,458<br />
Net Profit 1,800 1,120 627 387 366<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 31.0<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 51.8<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 83.3<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
23.75<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.95<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-15.1<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 3,783.3 3,783.3 3,027 3,027 3,027<br />
73.51<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.74<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-8.6<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Buy<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 34.15 49.65 79.1<br />
PAT [Nm] 690 995 1.8<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
600 373 208 172 163<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
500 90 70 15 25<br />
JULIUS BERGER maintained its track record of strong growth in revenue and profit <strong>for</strong> the third year<br />
running. Turnover rose by 39% and after tax profit maintained a stronger growth at 60.7%. Net profit<br />
margin improved from less than 2.0% in 2006 to 2.3% in the year. The strong growth in profit lifted earnings<br />
per share to a new high, placing the company on the big earnings league. The company is paying a<br />
cash dividend of N5 per share and a bonus issue of 3 <strong>for</strong> 1.<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
-49.7<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
- 3 <strong>for</strong> 1 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,200 300 300 300 225<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
T<br />
200 moving average -27.7%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 17<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
Bullish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P PP<br />
O<br />
O O O<br />
PP P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P O<br />
Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />
24
60.5<br />
60.0<br />
59.5<br />
59.0<br />
58.5<br />
58.0<br />
57.5<br />
57.0<br />
56.5<br />
56.0<br />
55.5<br />
55.0<br />
54.5<br />
54.0<br />
53.5<br />
53.0<br />
52.5<br />
52.0<br />
51.5<br />
51.0<br />
50.5<br />
50.0<br />
49.5<br />
49.0<br />
48.5<br />
48.0<br />
47.5<br />
47.0<br />
46.5<br />
46.0<br />
45.5<br />
45.0<br />
44.5<br />
44.0<br />
43.5<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
54<br />
53<br />
52<br />
51<br />
50<br />
49<br />
48<br />
47<br />
46<br />
45<br />
44<br />
43<br />
42<br />
41<br />
40<br />
39<br />
38<br />
37<br />
36<br />
35<br />
34<br />
33<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
7UP (51.5000, 50.9900, 50.9900, 51.5000, +0.51000)<br />
CADBURY (34.1200, 33.7800, 33.7800, 34.1200, +0.12000)<br />
Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 26 9 16 30 7 14 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
60.5<br />
60.0<br />
59.5<br />
59.0<br />
58.5<br />
58.0<br />
57.5<br />
57.0<br />
56.5<br />
56.0<br />
55.5<br />
55.0<br />
54.5<br />
54.0<br />
53.5<br />
53.0<br />
52.5<br />
52.0<br />
51.5<br />
51.0<br />
50.5<br />
50.0<br />
49.5<br />
49.0<br />
48.5<br />
48.0<br />
47.5<br />
47.0<br />
46.5<br />
46.0<br />
45.5<br />
45.0<br />
44.5<br />
44.0<br />
43.5<br />
43.0<br />
42.5<br />
54<br />
53<br />
52<br />
51<br />
50<br />
49<br />
48<br />
47<br />
46<br />
45<br />
44<br />
43<br />
42<br />
41<br />
40<br />
39<br />
38<br />
37<br />
36<br />
35<br />
34<br />
33<br />
32<br />
31<br />
30<br />
29<br />
28<br />
27<br />
26<br />
25<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
7-UP BOTTLING COMPANY PLC<br />
RESULT ANALYSIS<br />
SHEET - Q2<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
13.9<br />
0.655<br />
4.7<br />
127<br />
19.7<br />
-<br />
200 moving average - 1.8%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 5<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
29.6<br />
1.4<br />
4.7<br />
273<br />
22.0<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year - March 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 08<br />
Yr. to March 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 27,310 22,100 17,347 14,937 14,222<br />
Net Profit 1,220 1,200 954 1,144 1,382<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 18.4<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 2.7<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 54.6<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
CADBURY NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 3RD QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
8.4<br />
14.8<br />
14.7<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+11.3<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/8 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Gross Income [Nb] 13.9<br />
PAT [Nb] 0.655<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
238 293 233 279 337<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
130 125 125 100 75<br />
7-UP recorded moderate growth in revenue in the second quarter but after tax profit grew a<br />
little faster. We project full year revenue growth of 8.4% and 14.8% improvement in net profit.<br />
Net profit margin improved marginally from 4.5% in the 2007 full year to 4.7% in the second<br />
quarter. A recovery in earnings per share is expected after the scrip issue-induced decline in<br />
the preceding year. Earnings growth is expected to step up in the second half.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication bearish<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
3.1<br />
-<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
14.05<br />
[2.53]<br />
-18.0<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
19.8<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year December 2007<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
Turnover 19,210 29,450 22,100 20,257 16,015<br />
Net Profit [4,700] 2,700 2,800 2,682 2,249<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 11.1<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 2.8<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
51.50<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-12.7<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 512.5 410 410 410 410<br />
34.12<br />
PP<br />
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Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-1.03<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-7.5<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 14.05<br />
PAT [Nb] [2.53]<br />
EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
[427] 245 254 358 300<br />
Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
- 130 160 175 150<br />
CADBURY NIGERIA is recording a slow growth in revenue in the current year and a loss position looks<br />
very likely <strong>for</strong> the company <strong>for</strong> the second year. Based on current growth rate, we expect a flat growth in<br />
turnover and a lower loss position than recorded in 2006. A strong drive in revenue is needed to accelerate<br />
recovery and return the company to profit. Good profit per<strong>for</strong>mance will have to be maintained <strong>for</strong><br />
three to four years to fully wipe off a huge negative net worth.<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
-40.7<br />
Bonus Issue 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,100 1,100 1,100 751 751<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
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PPP<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
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OP<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
200 moving average - 9.7%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
25<br />
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O<br />
O O<br />
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O<br />
O<br />
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P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
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P PP<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
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O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O P O<br />
O<br />
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T
56<br />
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52<br />
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48<br />
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20<br />
19<br />
18<br />
17<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
DANGSUGAR (23.0000, 23.0000, 22.7900, 22.9200, -0.08000)<br />
March April May June July August September U<br />
FLOURMILL (66.9400, 66.2800, 66.2800, 66.9400, +0.66000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
56<br />
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22<br />
21<br />
20<br />
19<br />
18<br />
17<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
60<br />
55<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
DANGOTE SUGAR REFINERY PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
43.1<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm] 12.84<br />
Net Profit Margin [%] 29.6<br />
EPS [K]<br />
128<br />
P/E Ratio [Times] 18.1<br />
Interim Dividend [K] 85<br />
200 moving average - 35.2%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 10<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
88.2<br />
26.2<br />
29.7<br />
262<br />
10.7<br />
-<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
9.4<br />
21.9<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Cum Div—29/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006<br />
Turnover 80,650 83,768<br />
Net Profit 21,500 16,657<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth -3.7<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 29.1<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 79.1<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
FLOURMILLS NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
37.0<br />
1.4<br />
3.8<br />
82<br />
22.6<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
150.3<br />
6.1<br />
4.1<br />
357<br />
19.0<br />
21.9<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-42.7<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 43.1<br />
PAT [Nb] 12.84<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006<br />
215 166<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006<br />
170 115<br />
DANGOTE SUGAR REFINERY is expected to step up sales revenue growth in the current year and keep<br />
profit growing ahead of revenue <strong>for</strong> the third year running. Based on the growth rate in the second quarter,<br />
we project that revenue will improve by 9.4% against a 3.7% decline in 2007. After tax profit is expected<br />
to grow by 21.9% in 2008. Net profit margin has increased further from 19.9% in 2006 to 26.7% in<br />
in 2007 and to 29.6% in the second quarter.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
17.7<br />
-4.7<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div—11/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 09<br />
Yr. to March31 [Nb 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Turnover 127.7 105.7 86.6 66.8 53.6<br />
Net Profit 6.4 7.5 4.7 1.5 1.4<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 24.3<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 66.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 24.3<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
-13.3<br />
22.92<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.90<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006<br />
- -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 10,000 10,000<br />
66.94<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-19.3<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-55.1<br />
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />
Bearish<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.67<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - June Q2 - Sept Q3 Dec Q4 –March<br />
Turnover [Nb] 37.0<br />
PAT [Nb] 1.4<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
412 643 403 130 188<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
100 90 85 70 70<br />
FLOUR MILLS is maintaining normal growth in revenue in the current financial year but profit is likely to<br />
decline <strong>for</strong> the second year. We project a 17.7% growth in sales revenue <strong>for</strong> the company and a 4.7%<br />
decline in after tax profit There is a further decline in net profit margin from 7.1% in the full year 2007 to<br />
5.0% in 2008 and to 3.8% in the first quarter. This is expected to cause a decline in earnings per share <strong>for</strong><br />
the second year to hit the lowest mark in four years. We expect however that earnings outlook will improve<br />
in the subsequent quarters.<br />
O P<br />
P P<br />
O O O<br />
-37.1<br />
Bonus Issue 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 10 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,708 1,553 1,165 1,165 728<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO P O OO<br />
P<br />
O OP<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
200 moving average - 18.7%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 9<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
26<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
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P<br />
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O O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
Bullish<br />
Bearish<br />
Bearish<br />
Bullish
300<br />
295<br />
290<br />
285<br />
280<br />
275<br />
270<br />
265<br />
260<br />
255<br />
250<br />
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235<br />
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210<br />
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190<br />
185<br />
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175<br />
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165<br />
73<br />
72<br />
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40<br />
NESTLE (227.700, 225.430, 225.430, 227.700, +2.27000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
NBC (47.5200, 47.0500, 47.0500, 47.5200, +0.47000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
300<br />
295<br />
290<br />
285<br />
280<br />
275<br />
270<br />
265<br />
260<br />
255<br />
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175<br />
170<br />
165<br />
73<br />
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44<br />
43<br />
42<br />
41<br />
40<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
NESTLE NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
22.9<br />
3.3<br />
14.4<br />
499<br />
33.6<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
47.5<br />
7.1<br />
15.0<br />
1,075<br />
23.3<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
8.0<br />
30.5<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter— September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 44,030 38,420 34,336 28,461 24,632<br />
Net Profit 5,440 5,660 5,307 3,835 3,804<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 15.6<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 10.5<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 99.6<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
30.6<br />
227.70<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-2.30<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-17.7<br />
From Year’s<br />
High 5<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Hold<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 11.7 22.9<br />
PAT [Nb] 1.6 3.3<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
823 1,079 1,004 726 720<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
820 1,035 1000 700 700<br />
NESTLE NIGERIA maintained moderate growth in turnover in the second quarter and full year revenue<br />
prospects are unchanged from a likely slow down at 8.0% at current growth rate. The company’s after<br />
tax profit also maintained its first quarter growth rate and full year growth projection is unchanged at<br />
30.5%. This will be the fastest growth in the past three years. Net profit margin has improved slightly from<br />
13.7% in the first quarter 14.4% in the second.<br />
-24.1<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 660.5 528.4` 528.4 528.4 528.4<br />
200 moving average - 5.2%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 6<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P PP<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O O P<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
NIGERIAN BOTTLING COMPANY PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
19.4<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
1.2<br />
6.2<br />
92<br />
23.1<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
79.2<br />
5.1<br />
6.4<br />
392<br />
19.9<br />
-<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
15.6<br />
59.4<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter -—June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 68,530 59,700 55,400 47,500 43,901<br />
Net Profit 3,200 1,050 2,310 3,100 4,401<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 11.9<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 23.8<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 30.5<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
59.3<br />
47.52<br />
Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />
Bearish<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-16.7<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 19.4<br />
PAT [Nb] 1.2<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
246 81 178 239 451<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
75 30 60 120 160<br />
NIGERIAN BOTTLING COMPANY is maintaining stable growth in turnover in 2008 and profit is<br />
growing well ahead of revenue. We project a 15.6% increase in sales revenue at current growth rate<br />
and we expect that after tax profit will advance by 59.4%. There is further gain in net profit margin<br />
from 1.7% in 2006 to 4.7% in 2007 and 6.2% in the first quarter. Earnings per share is expected to<br />
attain a five-year high but will most likely remain below the 2003 peak.<br />
-32.1<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 3<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,299 1,299 1,299 1,299 974.5<br />
200 moving average -16.3%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bearish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 5<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
27<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P P O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O OO O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OOP<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
3.5<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
EVANSMED (5.13000, 5.08000, 5.08000, 5.13000, +0.05000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
GLAXOSMITHKLINE (22.8900, 22.6700, 22.6700, 22.8900, +0.22000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
3.5<br />
34.0<br />
33.5<br />
33.0<br />
32.5<br />
32.0<br />
31.5<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
EVANS MEDICAL PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
1.2<br />
111<br />
9.3<br />
23<br />
-<br />
-<br />
200 moving average - 35.2%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
5.3<br />
465<br />
8.8<br />
95<br />
6.3<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
68.3<br />
246.7<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 9.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 3,150 2,910 2,500 2,400 1,537<br />
Net Profit [317] 132 79 [104] 89<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 21.2<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth -78.5<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
200 moving average - 1.8%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
246.2<br />
28<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-24.2<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.2<br />
PAT [Nm] 111<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
[65] 29 21 -33 28<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - 12.5 - 20<br />
Evans Medical has issued its first quarter earnings report that shows the company is on the way to a<br />
strong recovery from a big loss position in the preceding year. Revenue is expected to grow more rapidly<br />
than anytime in the past five years and profit is projected to advance 246.7% from the loss position in<br />
2007. Net profit margin has improved remarkably from the five-year best record of 5.6% in 2003 to 9.3%<br />
in the first quarter. We expect that the strong growth in profit and in earnings per share projected will<br />
enable the company resume cash dividend payment, having missing it in the past two years.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
GLAXO SMITHKLINE CONSUMER NIG PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
25.1<br />
103.1<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
6.03<br />
0.79<br />
13.1<br />
82<br />
24.9<br />
-<br />
12.4<br />
1.7<br />
13.7<br />
177<br />
12.4<br />
103.4<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 9.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 9,910 10,400 8,600 7,149 5,672<br />
Net Profit 837 1,100 975 955 684<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 15.6<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 7.7<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 60.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
5.13<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.15<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-63.4<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- 1 <strong>for</strong> 10 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 486.5 442.2 442.2 312 118.5<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-2.6<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 3.0 6.03<br />
PAT [Nm] 406 787.05<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
87 115 102 120 86<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
45 45 40 35 30<br />
GSK maintained the earnings growth rates in the second quarter that are expected to lead to outstanding<br />
growth in profit in the current year. Sales revenue growth projection is unchanged at 25.1% <strong>for</strong> the company<br />
in 2008 against a 4.7% decline in 2007. An accelerated growth in after tax profit has been maintained<br />
in the second quarter and the full year growth expectation of 103.1% is also unchanged. Net profit<br />
margin inched down however from 13.5% in the first quarter to 13.1% in the second. The strong growth in<br />
profit expected will lead to an equal lifting in EPS to a new high after three years of stagnation.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication bearish<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
22.89<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P O<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O P O P<br />
Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-29.4<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 956.7 956.7 956.7 797 797<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
Bullish<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O OO P<br />
Bearish<br />
O OP O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
Bullish<br />
OP<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O O<br />
P<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
Bearish<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO P OO<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
MAYBAKER (9.27000, 9.18000, 9.18000, 9.27000, +0.09000)<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
20.0<br />
19.5<br />
19.0<br />
18.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
NEIMETH (5.89000, 6.18000, 5.84000, 5.84000, +0.000)<br />
March April May June July August September U<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
MAY & BAKER NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2NDT QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
2.3<br />
96.2<br />
4.2<br />
13<br />
44.7<br />
-<br />
200 moving average - 29.4%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 100<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
4.8<br />
204<br />
4.3<br />
29<br />
34.5<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
-<br />
-<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year — December 2007<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 9.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div— 4/9/08<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
Turnover 2,300 1,997 1,901 1,780 1,275<br />
Net Profit 211 102 91 79 41<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 16.6<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 56.6<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 100<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-31.1<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 0.787 2.3<br />
PAT [Nm] [32.4] 96.2<br />
EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
30 47 51 55 20<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
40 30 30 - 30<br />
MAY & BAKER is yet to issue its full year earnings report <strong>for</strong> 2007 but has announced a dividend of 40<br />
kobo per share. Its second quarter report <strong>for</strong> 2008 shows a return to profit from its loss position in the first<br />
quarter. Actual growth prospects <strong>for</strong> the company in the current year cannot be established in the absence<br />
of the 2007 per<strong>for</strong>mance records. Revenue however is expected to maintain stable growth but<br />
profit margin needs to improve, having declined from 9.1% in 2006 to 4.2% in the second quarter.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
NEIMETH INT. PHARMACEUTICAL PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
0.349<br />
20<br />
5.7<br />
2<br />
93.3<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
1.7<br />
88.7<br />
5.2<br />
9<br />
77.8<br />
-<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
-12.8<br />
-9.5<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 9.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div — 29/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to March 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Turnover 1,950 1,500 1,200 1,242 1,002<br />
Net Profit 98 116 82 98 59<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 19.0<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 19.0<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 100<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
-25.0<br />
9.27<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-51.5<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 10<br />
2004<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 700 700 217.2 181 181<br />
5.84<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
Bullish<br />
P O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.16<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+7.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008/09 Q1 - Jun Q2 - Sept Q3-Dec Q4 –Mar<br />
Turnover [Nb] 348.9<br />
PAT [Nm] 20<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
12 14 10 60 36<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
12 7 6 5 4<br />
NEIMETH INTERNATIONAL recorded moderate growth in revenue in the first quarter and reported a<br />
profit position in place of a loss in the corresponding quarter last year. Current growth rate isn’t however<br />
keeping track with the full year growth momentum in 2007. We expect that the growth rates in revenue<br />
and profit will pick up in the coming quarters. Profit margin is a little improved from 5.0% at full year -<br />
March 2008 to 5.7% in the first quarter.<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
Bearish<br />
-59.3<br />
Bonus Issue 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 980 783.8 783.8 783.8 164<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O P O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P O P<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
200 moving average - 32.0%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 16<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O OO P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O OP<br />
29<br />
Bullish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish
Bullish<br />
7 25 31 7<br />
April<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
Bearish<br />
14 21 28 5<br />
May<br />
IKEJAHOTEL (7.14000, 7.14000, 7.14000, 7.14000, +0.0000)<br />
12 19 26 2 9<br />
June<br />
Bearish<br />
16 23 30<br />
July<br />
Bullish<br />
7 14 21 28 4<br />
August<br />
VITAFOAM (9.71000, 9.62000, 9.62000, 9.71000, +0.0000)<br />
11 18 25 1<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
IKEJA HOTELS PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
3.22<br />
555.6<br />
17.3<br />
51<br />
16.3<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
6.9<br />
1.2<br />
17.4<br />
111<br />
17.5<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
30.2<br />
71.9<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 17.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 5,300 4,640 4,190 3,296 3,082<br />
Net Profit 698 526 434 233 287<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
73.4<br />
7.14<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+7.9<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.6 3.22<br />
PAT [Nm] 258.42 555.61<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
64 48 40 22 27<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
10 10 10 20<br />
IKEJA HOTELS maintained stable growth in revenue in the second quarter and its rapidly growing profit<br />
accelerated further in the second quarter. Our projected sales revenue growth is unchanged at 30.2% <strong>for</strong><br />
the company in 2008. We mark up our after tax profit growth <strong>for</strong>ecast from 57.6% to 71.9%. Profit margin<br />
has improved further from 13.2% in the 2007 full year to 16.2% in the first quarter and further to 17.4% in<br />
the second. Earnings per share will be less than indicated with the proposed issue of additional one billion<br />
shares in the current year through a public offer.<br />
-32.6<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,080 1,080 1,080 1,080 1,080<br />
200 moving average - 5.7%<br />
Price trend<br />
flat<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bearish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 3<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term neutral<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
P<br />
VITAFOAM NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 3RD QUARTER<br />
200 moving average - 9.2%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
40.7<br />
36.7<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
6.0<br />
394.5<br />
6.6<br />
48<br />
14.6<br />
-<br />
8.65<br />
600<br />
6.9<br />
73<br />
13.7<br />
37.7<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year — September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 27.0 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - Sept 30 Final Result Expected - Jan 09<br />
Yr. to Sept 30 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 6,150 4,060 3,520 3,651 3,882<br />
Net Profit 439 275 112 272 307<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 5.07<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 23.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 47.2<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
30<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-5.8<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007/8 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.92 4.11 6.0<br />
PAT [Nm] 121.82 298.01 394.5<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
53 34 17 42 47<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
25 12 15 30 30<br />
VITAFOAM maintained its revenue growth rate in the third quarter but profit growth slowed down during<br />
the quarter. Profit failed to grow as rapidly as revenue during the period, which has dimmed full year profit<br />
outlook. This reflects a slip in net profit margin from 7.3% in the second quarter to 6.6% in the third. Full<br />
year revenue projection <strong>for</strong> the company is unchanged but we revise our profit growth projection down<br />
from 42.4% to 36.7% in 2008. Earnings per share is still expected to maintain an improving trend to make<br />
a new peak this year.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
9.71<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.27<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-35.3<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 819 819 655 655 655<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
Bullish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P O<br />
O P O O<br />
P O<br />
P<br />
O P O<br />
Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
S T
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
Bullish<br />
25 3 10<br />
March<br />
AIICO (4.28000, 4.24000, 4.24000, 4.24000, -0.04000)<br />
CORNERST (2.97000, 2.95000, 2.95000, 2.95000, -0.02000)<br />
Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />
Bearish<br />
17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />
April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
18 25 1 8 15<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
22 2<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
3.5<br />
3.0<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
3.5<br />
3.0<br />
2.5<br />
2.0<br />
1.5<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
AIICO INSURANCE PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
3.9<br />
0.581<br />
14.9<br />
19<br />
34.3<br />
-<br />
200 moving average - 9.2%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 8<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
8.4<br />
1.3<br />
15.5<br />
43<br />
16.3<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
60.0<br />
326.2<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
GPI 5,250 3,410 2,930 3,700 1,723<br />
Net Profit 305 484 82 72 183<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 41.1<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 103.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio -<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
330.0<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+23.6<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 3.9<br />
PAT [Nm] 581.2<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
10 27 6 10 26<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - - - 10<br />
AIICO Insurance is maintaining a strong revenue growth in the current year and a major lifting in profit is<br />
expected to compensate <strong>for</strong> the 37% drop in after tax profit in 2007. We project that gross premium income<br />
will rise by 60% in the year and after tax profit will jump by 326.2%. Net profit margin, which fell<br />
from 16% in December 2006 to 5.8% in 2007, has pushed <strong>for</strong>ward to 14.9% in the second quarter. Earnings<br />
per share can be expected to hit a new high and restore dividend capacity in the current year.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
CORNERSTONE INSURANCE CO. PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
1.44<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb] 0.29<br />
Net Profit Margin [%] 20.2<br />
EPS [K]<br />
3<br />
P/E Ratio [Times] 28.3<br />
Interim Dividend [K] -<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
6.3<br />
1.35<br />
21.4<br />
15<br />
32.7<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
-<br />
-<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year - December 2007<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
GPI 2,740 2,500 2,311 2,136 1,218<br />
Net Profit 176.8 205.8 182.6 126 82.9<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 25.4<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 31.8<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 100.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
-<br />
4.24<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.20<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-43.5<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- 1 <strong>for</strong> 6 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 3,762 1.750 1,400 700 300<br />
2.95<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.03<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-38.9<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.44<br />
PAT [Nm] 290.2<br />
EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
4 11 16 17 21<br />
Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
4 5 13 12.5 10<br />
CORNERSTONE INSURANCE is yet to release its full year trading result <strong>for</strong> 2007 but has issued a first<br />
quarter interim report <strong>for</strong> 2008. First quarter growth rate indicates that rapid growth in gross premium<br />
income is likely to be maintained in the current year and profit growth will mostly keep pace with growth in<br />
revenue. The company is expected to earn N3.5 billion in gross premium income in 2007 and after tax<br />
profit is estimated to be in the region of N810 million.<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P O<br />
-62.5<br />
Bonus Issue 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
- 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 - 2 <strong>for</strong> 3 4 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 8,820 1,964.4 1,115.5 756 420<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
T<br />
200 moving average - 36.4%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow mildly bullish-<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 5<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
31<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
T
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
Bullish<br />
25 3 10<br />
March<br />
Sep Oct Nov Dec 2008 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep T<br />
17 31 7<br />
April<br />
CRUSADER (7.35000, 7.35000, 7.35000, 7.35000, +0.0000)<br />
WAPIC (6.61000, 6.55000, 6.55000, 6.55000, -0.06000)<br />
Bearish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />
14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
CRUSADER [NIGERIA] PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
154.5<br />
31.0<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
1.2<br />
0.486<br />
40.5<br />
14<br />
15.1<br />
-<br />
5.6<br />
1.9<br />
33.9<br />
57<br />
8.8<br />
-<br />
32.6<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter — June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
GPI 2,200 1,100 1,310 1,000 1,694<br />
Net Profit 1,450 315 278 181 89<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 18.5<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 132.7<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 34.9<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
7.35<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+8.9<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.2<br />
PAT [Nm] 485.5<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
43 32 30 26 17<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
15 15 10 7.5 7.5<br />
CRUSADER INSURANCE is in a year in which revenue is set to record the biggest advance in several<br />
years. We project that the company will lift gross income by more than one and half times in 2008. Profit<br />
growth isn’t keeping pace with revenue in reflection of a drop in net profit margin from a peak of 65.9% in<br />
2007 full year to 40.5% in the first quarter. We expect that profit will grow by 31%, good enough to enable<br />
the company maintain stable growth in earnings per share.<br />
-8.5<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 3,325.3 984.5 940 705 533.7<br />
200 moving average +3.8%<br />
Price trend<br />
flat<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term neutral<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
Bullish<br />
P<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P PP<br />
PO<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
Bearish Bullish Bearish Neutral Bearish<br />
P<br />
O<br />
INTERCONTINENTAL WAPIC INSURANCE CO. PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
112.8<br />
125.1<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
3.92<br />
569<br />
14.5<br />
11<br />
58.1<br />
-<br />
8.3<br />
1.2<br />
12.0<br />
24<br />
29.2<br />
84.6<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2007<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 25.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div—11/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007* 2007 2006 2005* 2003<br />
GPI 3,900 3,200 1,134 1,207 539<br />
Net Profit 533 701 240 328 244<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 80.5<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 36.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 96.2<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
6.55<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.30<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-32.8<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - March Q2 - June Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 2.32 3.92<br />
PAT [Nm] 268.1 569<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2007 2006 2005* 2003<br />
13 16 29 39 29<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2007 2006 2005 2003<br />
12.5 12.5 17.5 22.5 17.5<br />
INTERCONTINENTAL WAPIC recorded a slow down in revenue growth in the second quarter but the<br />
company’s good profit outlook <strong>for</strong> the current year is unchanged. Revenue growth projection is revised<br />
down from 156.4% to 112.8% while the growth projection <strong>for</strong> after tax profit is maintained at 125.1%.<br />
There has been a reversal of the slide in net profit margin from 11.6% in the first quarter to 14.5% in the<br />
second. Earnings per share will be moderated by the scrip of 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 issued in 2007.<br />
-52.2<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2007 2006 2005<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 5 - 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 5,062 4,218 4,218 833 833<br />
200 moving average - 32.9%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 5<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O O P O<br />
O<br />
T<br />
*Change of accounting date<br />
32
6.0<br />
5.9<br />
5.2<br />
5.1<br />
4.6<br />
4.5<br />
3.6<br />
2.5<br />
2.4<br />
1.3<br />
6.4<br />
6.3<br />
6.2<br />
6.1<br />
6.0<br />
5.9<br />
5.8<br />
5.7<br />
5.6<br />
5.5<br />
5.4<br />
5.3<br />
5.2<br />
5.1<br />
5.0<br />
4.9<br />
4.8<br />
4.7<br />
4.6<br />
4.5<br />
4.4<br />
4.3<br />
4.2<br />
4.1<br />
4.0<br />
3.9<br />
3.8<br />
3.7<br />
3.6<br />
3.5<br />
3.4<br />
3.3<br />
3.2<br />
3.1<br />
3.0<br />
2.9<br />
2.8<br />
2.7<br />
2.6<br />
2.5<br />
2.4<br />
2.3<br />
2.2<br />
2.1<br />
2.0<br />
1.9<br />
1.8<br />
1.7<br />
1.6<br />
LASACO (2.10000, 2.08000, 2.08000, 2.08000, -0.02000)<br />
1.3<br />
March April May June July August September U<br />
MBENEFIT (2.84000, 2.82000, 2.82000, 2.82000, -0.02000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
6.0<br />
5.9<br />
5.2<br />
5.1<br />
4.6<br />
4.5<br />
3.6<br />
2.5<br />
2.4<br />
6.4<br />
6.3<br />
6.2<br />
6.1<br />
6.0<br />
5.9<br />
5.8<br />
5.7<br />
5.6<br />
5.5<br />
5.4<br />
5.3<br />
5.2<br />
5.1<br />
5.0<br />
4.9<br />
4.8<br />
4.7<br />
4.6<br />
4.5<br />
4.4<br />
4.3<br />
4.2<br />
4.1<br />
4.0<br />
3.9<br />
3.8<br />
3.7<br />
3.6<br />
3.5<br />
3.4<br />
3.3<br />
3.2<br />
3.1<br />
3.0<br />
2.9<br />
2.8<br />
2.7<br />
2.6<br />
2.5<br />
2.4<br />
2.3<br />
2.2<br />
2.1<br />
2.0<br />
1.9<br />
1.8<br />
1.7<br />
1.6<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
LASACO ASSURANCE PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 3RD QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
2.1<br />
865.6<br />
41.2<br />
11<br />
200 moving average - 45.9%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 63<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
3.2<br />
1.3<br />
40.6<br />
17<br />
21.2<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
100.0<br />
660.2<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year-December 2007<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
GPI 1,600 958 691 562 407<br />
Net Profit 171 141 97 108 86<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 13.7<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 31.2<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 139.5<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
30.8<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-55.1<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.6 2.1<br />
PAT [Nm] 865.6<br />
EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
13 14 14 22 35<br />
Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
- - - 5 5<br />
LASACO maintained its high growth in earnings in the third quarter. Gross premium amounted to N2.1b in<br />
the third quarter —291.4% higher than the corresponding quarter last year. After tax profit grew 496.1%<br />
over the same period to N865.6m. Based on the current growth rate, our projected revenue is revised<br />
slightly down to N3.2 billion but after tax profit is marked up to N1.3 billion. With a significant increase in<br />
the volume of shares at 7,323.3m, EPS will make a relatively moderate growth.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
MUTUAL BENEFITS ASSURANCE PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
1.6<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb] 0.68<br />
Net Profit Margin [%] 42.5<br />
EPS [K]<br />
11<br />
P/E Ratio [Times] 26.1<br />
Interim Dividend [K] -<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
3.5<br />
1.5<br />
42.9<br />
25<br />
20.0<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
GPI 2,210 1,952 1,012<br />
Net Profit 1,000 702 209<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 3-year Average Revenue Growth 53.1<br />
- 3-year Average Profit Growth 139.2<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 47.1<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
59.1<br />
50.0<br />
47.1<br />
2.08<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.10<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-65.3<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- 1 <strong>for</strong> 5 2 <strong>for</strong> 5 1 <strong>for</strong> 1 1 <strong>for</strong> 1<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 7,323.3 1.411<br />
2.82<br />
5.8<br />
5.7<br />
5.6<br />
5.5<br />
5.4<br />
5.3<br />
5.0<br />
4.9<br />
4.8<br />
4.7<br />
4.4<br />
4.3<br />
4.2<br />
4.1<br />
4.0<br />
3.9<br />
3.8<br />
3.7<br />
3.5<br />
3.4<br />
3.3<br />
3.2<br />
3.1<br />
3.0<br />
2.9<br />
2.8<br />
2.7<br />
2.6<br />
2.3<br />
2.2<br />
2.1<br />
2.0<br />
1.9<br />
1.8<br />
1.7<br />
1.6<br />
1.5<br />
1.4<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
Bearish<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.10<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-38.7<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.6<br />
PAT [Nm] 681.4<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
17 37 21 22 10<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
6 10 -<br />
MUTUAL BENEFITS is stepping up growth in revenue and profit in the current year after a slow down in<br />
2007. At current growth rate, we project a 59.1% rise in revenue against 13.2% in the preceding year.<br />
After tax profit is <strong>for</strong>ecast to accelerate from 42.5% to 50% over the same period. Net profit margin remains<br />
very good at 42.5% despite a slip from 45.2% in the 2007 full year. Earnings per share is expected<br />
to begin a recovery after the consolidation induced decline last year.<br />
P<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
Bearish<br />
-52.9<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 5,911.5 1,900 1,000<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O P<br />
O O O<br />
P PP<br />
5.8<br />
5.7<br />
5.6<br />
5.5<br />
5.4<br />
5.3<br />
5.0<br />
4.9<br />
4.8<br />
4.7<br />
4.4<br />
4.3<br />
4.2<br />
4.1<br />
4.0<br />
3.9<br />
3.8<br />
3.7<br />
3.5<br />
3.4<br />
3.3<br />
3.2<br />
3.1<br />
3.0<br />
2.9<br />
2.8<br />
2.7<br />
2.6<br />
2.3<br />
2.2<br />
2.1<br />
2.0<br />
1.9<br />
1.8<br />
1.7<br />
1.6<br />
1.5<br />
1.4<br />
200 moving average - 29.6%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 5<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
33<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
P<br />
PP<br />
O P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O OO O O O P<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
O O<br />
O O<br />
O P P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O OO<br />
Bullish Bearish Bearish
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
NIGERINS (5.75000, 5.70000, 5.70000, 5.75000, +0.05000)<br />
PRESTIGE (8.29000, 8.21000, 8.21000, 8.29000, +0.08000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
22 2<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
NIGER INSURANCE COMPANY PLC<br />
FULL YEAR RESULT<br />
- 4TH QUARTER<br />
200 moving average - 14.1%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 4<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Deviation From<br />
Forecast %<br />
-11.4<br />
-10.6<br />
+0.1<br />
-11.1<br />
-1.3<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
3.9<br />
657<br />
16.8<br />
16<br />
40.4<br />
-<br />
4.4<br />
735<br />
16.7<br />
18<br />
41.7<br />
Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - March 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
GPI 3,900 3,140 2,310 2,100 1,900<br />
Net Profit 657 589 288 252 171<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 20.2<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 44.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 93.8<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-9.7<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.14 2.04 3.9<br />
PAT [Nm] 218.1 354.12 657<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
16 18 36 32 21<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
15 15 5 20 15<br />
NIGER INSURANCE improved gross premium income by 24.2% in 2007, a moderation from 35.9%<br />
growth in 2006. Profit growth slowed down much faster from 104.5% to 11.5% during the period, the<br />
slowest growth in five years. The inability to match profit growth with revenue reflects a decline in net<br />
profit margin from 18.8% in 2006 to 16.8% in 2007. Earnings per share declined <strong>for</strong> the second year due<br />
to the consolidation-induced expansion in the volume of outstanding shares.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
PRESTIGE ASSURANCE COMPANY PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
1.75<br />
383<br />
21.9<br />
18<br />
24.1<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
3.8<br />
820<br />
21.6<br />
38<br />
25.0<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
65.2<br />
28.5<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
GPI 2,300 1,500 1,300 904 733<br />
Net Profit 638 407 284 202 91<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 34.0<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 65.7<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 54.1<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
2.7<br />
5.75<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.05<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-38.8<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- 1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 3 - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 3,950.8 3,161 800 800 800<br />
8.29<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
O O O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-2.5<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 0.661 1.75<br />
PAT [Nm] 215 383<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
37 40 42 30 28<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
20 15 12 11.5 17<br />
PRESTIGE ASSURANCE improved its revenue growth rate in the second quarter but profit growth<br />
slowed down remarkably during the period. Based on the accelerated growth in the second quarter, we<br />
revise our revenue growth projection from 17.4% to 65.2%. We mark down projected growth in after tax<br />
profit from 37.9% to 28.5%. The profit weakness reflects a drop in net profit margin from 32.5% in the first<br />
quarter to 21.9% in the second.<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P O<br />
-41.9<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 - -<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 2,150 1,720 1,012 1,012 674.7<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
OO O<br />
PP P<br />
O<br />
T<br />
200 moving average - 18.4%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 9<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term neutral<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P O P<br />
P<br />
P O P P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish<br />
34
6.7<br />
6.6<br />
6.5<br />
6.4<br />
6.3<br />
6.2<br />
6.1<br />
6.0<br />
5.9<br />
5.8<br />
5.7<br />
5.6<br />
5.5<br />
5.4<br />
5.3<br />
5.2<br />
5.1<br />
5.0<br />
4.9<br />
4.8<br />
4.7<br />
4.6<br />
4.5<br />
4.4<br />
4.3<br />
4.2<br />
4.1<br />
4.0<br />
3.9<br />
3.8<br />
3.7<br />
3.6<br />
3.5<br />
3.4<br />
3.3<br />
3.2<br />
5.3<br />
5.2<br />
5.1<br />
5.0<br />
4.9<br />
4.8<br />
4.7<br />
4.6<br />
4.5<br />
4.4<br />
4.3<br />
4.2<br />
4.1<br />
4.0<br />
3.9<br />
3.8<br />
3.7<br />
3.6<br />
3.5<br />
3.4<br />
3.3<br />
3.2<br />
3.1<br />
3.0<br />
2.9<br />
2.8<br />
2.7<br />
2.6<br />
2.5<br />
2.4<br />
2.3<br />
2.2<br />
2.1<br />
ROYALEX (3.38000, 3.38000, 3.38000, 3.38000, +0.0000)<br />
Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />
Bearish<br />
7 31 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 26 2 9 16 23 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />
April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
STDINSURE (3.13000, 3.10000, 3.10000, 3.10000, -0.03000)<br />
18 25 1<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
6.7<br />
6.6<br />
6.5<br />
6.4<br />
6.3<br />
6.2<br />
6.1<br />
6.0<br />
5.9<br />
5.8<br />
5.7<br />
5.6<br />
5.5<br />
5.4<br />
5.3<br />
5.2<br />
5.1<br />
5.0<br />
4.9<br />
4.8<br />
4.7<br />
4.6<br />
4.5<br />
4.4<br />
4.3<br />
4.2<br />
4.1<br />
4.0<br />
3.9<br />
3.8<br />
3.7<br />
3.6<br />
3.5<br />
3.4<br />
3.3<br />
3.2<br />
5.3<br />
5.2<br />
5.1<br />
5.0<br />
4.9<br />
4.8<br />
4.7<br />
4.6<br />
4.5<br />
4.4<br />
4.3<br />
4.2<br />
4.1<br />
4.0<br />
3.9<br />
3.8<br />
3.7<br />
3.6<br />
3.5<br />
3.4<br />
3.3<br />
3.2<br />
3.1<br />
3.0<br />
2.9<br />
2.8<br />
2.7<br />
2.6<br />
2.5<br />
2.4<br />
2.3<br />
2.2<br />
2.1<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
ROYAL EXCHANGE ASSURANCE PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
-<br />
-<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
0.899<br />
46.7<br />
5.2<br />
2<br />
37.5<br />
-<br />
3.7<br />
204<br />
5.5<br />
7<br />
57.1<br />
-<br />
Next Result Expected - Full year —December 2007<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
GPI 2,150 2,100 1,894 1,626 1,169<br />
Net Profit 179 133 258 217 194<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 17.1<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 4.1<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 136.4<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
3.38<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-38.7<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 0.899<br />
PAT [Nm] 46.7<br />
EPS [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
11 8 24 25 38<br />
Dividend [K] 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002<br />
15 12 11.5 17 17<br />
ROYAL EXCHANGE is yet to issue its 2007 full year operating result but its first quarter report is indicating<br />
stable growth in revenue but weak profit prospects. Net profit margin has declined from 7.0% in the<br />
corresponding quarter last year to 5.2% in the current year. Earnings per share prospects remain relatively<br />
low by industry standard. This reflects weakness in profit growth against the consolidation-induced<br />
high growth in the volume of shares.<br />
-48.0<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 2 1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 2,818.6 1,601.8 1,601.8 1,068 854<br />
200 moving average - 29.9%<br />
Price trend<br />
flat<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 17<br />
Trading momentum oversold<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term neutral<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O P P O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
S U<br />
STANDARD ALLIANCE INSURANCE PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
2.1<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb] 0.578<br />
Net Profit Margin [%] 27.5<br />
EPS [K]<br />
15<br />
P/E Ratio [Times] 33.3<br />
Interim Dividend [K] -<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
4.4<br />
1.3<br />
29.5<br />
35<br />
11.4<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - June, 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 18.8 Dividend Status – Cum Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 08<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 2,120 1,610 1,274 1,108 1,029<br />
Net Profit 417 328 164 87 80<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 20.2<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 56.1<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 68.2<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
107.5<br />
211.8<br />
218.2<br />
3.10<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.15<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-27.9<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Hold<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 0.828 2.1<br />
PAT [Nm] 259.5 577.85<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
11 9 20 17 15<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
7.5 - - - 10<br />
STANDARD ALLIANCE improved its strong growth in revenue further in the second quarter. We mark up<br />
projected revenue growth from 79.2% to 107.5% <strong>for</strong> the company in 2008. Profit prospects remain very<br />
good but unchanged from first quarter position. Net profit margin declined from 31.3% in the first quarter<br />
to 27.5% in the second. The indicated growth in earnings per share will be moderated by additional volume<br />
of shares expected from the company’s recent public offer.<br />
-36.7<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 20<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 3,643 3,470<br />
200 moving average - 23.5%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 8<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication bullish<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO P<br />
O P<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
35<br />
Bearish Neutral<br />
Bearish<br />
Bullish
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
3.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
Bearish Bullish<br />
7 31 7 14 21 28 5<br />
April<br />
May<br />
JAPAULOIL (5.30000, 5.25000, 5.25000, 5.25000, -0.05000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
CILEASING (11.1000, 11.1000, 11.1000, 11.1000, +0.0000)<br />
Bearish<br />
12 19 26 2 9<br />
June<br />
16 23 30<br />
July<br />
Bullish<br />
7 14 21 28 4 11<br />
August<br />
18 25 1<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
10.5<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
3.5<br />
18.0<br />
17.5<br />
17.0<br />
16.5<br />
16.0<br />
15.5<br />
15.0<br />
14.5<br />
14.0<br />
13.5<br />
13.0<br />
12.5<br />
12.0<br />
11.5<br />
11.0<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
JAPAUL OIL & MARITIME SERVICES PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
45.9<br />
161.1<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
1.5<br />
469<br />
31.2<br />
7<br />
24.2<br />
-<br />
3.4<br />
987<br />
29.0<br />
16<br />
43.8<br />
-51.5<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 20.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 2,330 1,401 533 492 434<br />
Net Profit 378 190 104 87 88<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 62.7<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 50.0<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 42.4<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
5.25<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.25<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-34.3<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 0.829 1.5<br />
PAT [Nm] 201.55 468.5<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
33 16 17 26<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
14 11 10<br />
Japaul Oil maintained its rapid growth in revenue during the second quarter and stepped up profit growth<br />
further during the period. Our projected 45.9% growth in turnover <strong>for</strong> the company in 2008 is unchanged.<br />
With further improvement in profit margin in the second quarter, we mark up our after tax profit growth<br />
projection from 130.2% to 161.1%. Net profit margin has improved from 23.4% in the first quarter to<br />
31.2% in the second. Increased volume of shares coming from the company’s public offer last year is<br />
expected to cause a 51.5% drop in earnings per share.<br />
-65.0<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 6,212 1,166 1,166 607.8 333<br />
200 moving average -44.9%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 10<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P P<br />
O P P<br />
P<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
Bearish<br />
Bearish<br />
Bullish<br />
C & I LEASING PLC<br />
FULLYEAR RESULT<br />
- 4TH QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Final Dividend [K]<br />
2.7<br />
375<br />
13.9<br />
23<br />
39.3<br />
6<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
2.7<br />
385<br />
14.3<br />
24<br />
32.9<br />
-<br />
Deviation From<br />
Forecast %<br />
Next Result Expected - 1st quarter - April 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 23.3 Dividend Status – Ex Div 4/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - January 31 Final Result Expected - April 09<br />
Yr. to Jan 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Turnover 2,700 1,610 1,300 1,167 1,285<br />
Net Profit 375 134 99 96 105<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 23.4<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 52.5<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 52.2<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
+0.0<br />
-2.6<br />
-0.4<br />
-4.2<br />
+6.4<br />
11.16<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+30.6<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2007 Q1 - April Q2 - July Q3 Oct Q4 –Jan<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.1 1.91 2.7<br />
PAT [Nm] 176.74 279.91 375.4<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
23 22 16 16 26<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
12 10 10 10 10<br />
C & I LEASING recorded accelerated growth in revenue and profit in its 2008 financial year ended January<br />
31. Gross income rose by 67.7% and after tax profit advanced by 179.9% - the highest growth rates in<br />
five years. The company converted 13.9% of revenue to after tax profit against 8.3% in the preceding<br />
year. Growth in earnings per share was moderated by the increase in the volume of shares during the<br />
period.<br />
-36.6<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
- - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 2<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,604.7 600 600 600 400<br />
200 moving average - 2.0%<br />
Price trend<br />
flat<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bearish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 3<br />
Trading momentum oversold<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
S U<br />
36
Bullish<br />
25 3 10<br />
March<br />
17 31 7<br />
April<br />
UNHOM ES (5.10000, 5.05000, 5.05000, 5.05000, -0.05000)<br />
Bearish<br />
14 21 5 12 19 26 2<br />
May<br />
June<br />
Bullish<br />
16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />
July<br />
August<br />
AFRICAN PETROLEUM PLC (293.980, 293.980, 293.980, 293.980, +0.00)<br />
Bearish<br />
18 25 1 8 15<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
10.0<br />
9.5<br />
9.0<br />
8.5<br />
8.0<br />
7.5<br />
7.0<br />
6.5<br />
6.0<br />
5.5<br />
5.0<br />
4.5<br />
4.0<br />
320<br />
310<br />
300<br />
290<br />
280<br />
270<br />
260<br />
250<br />
240<br />
230<br />
220<br />
210<br />
200<br />
190<br />
180<br />
170<br />
160<br />
150<br />
140<br />
130<br />
120<br />
110<br />
100<br />
90<br />
80<br />
70<br />
60<br />
50<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
UNION HOMES SAVINGS & LOANS PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
2.3<br />
233<br />
10.1<br />
3<br />
35.8<br />
-<br />
200 moving average -30.4%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bearish<br />
Volume flow<br />
neutral<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bearish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
9.7<br />
985<br />
10.2<br />
12<br />
45.8<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
8.7<br />
-50.8<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 37.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div—25/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - March 31 Final Result Expected - June 09<br />
Yr. to Mar 31 [Nm] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Turnover 8,920 8,400 9,600 10,023 7,137<br />
Net Profit 2,000 1,000 117 351 466<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 7.4<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 190.8<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 40.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
AFRICAN PETROLEUM PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
80.75<br />
200 moving average +11.6%<br />
Price trend<br />
flat<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 57<br />
-52.0<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
-33.6<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Jun Q2 - Sept Q3 Dec Q4 –Mar<br />
Turnover [Nb] 2.3<br />
PAT [Nm] 233<br />
EPS [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
25 16 2<br />
Dividend [K] 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
10 5<br />
UNION HOMES is maintaining moderate growth in revenue <strong>for</strong> the second year but profit per<strong>for</strong>mance is<br />
headed <strong>for</strong> a major slow down at current rate. We project that revenue will grow by 8.7% in the current<br />
year while after tax profit will fall by more than one-half. There is a big drop in profit margin from 22.4% in<br />
the full year, 2008 to 10.1% in the first quarter. Earnings per share is expected to fall to a three-year low.<br />
We expect however that earnings growth rate will pick up in subsequent quarters.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term oversold<br />
Medium-term bearish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
62.3<br />
41.1<br />
165.5<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
3.9<br />
4.8<br />
494<br />
28.6<br />
-<br />
8.5<br />
5.1<br />
1,077<br />
37.1<br />
49.2<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter—September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 102,030 81,930 42,800 58,100 34,395<br />
Net Profit 5,700 2,200 [3,600] 890 611<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 39.6<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 56.4<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 97.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
5.05<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.25<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-47.6<br />
Bonus Issue 2009 2008<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 7,812.5 6,250 6,250<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+35.3<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Longterm<br />
buy<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 35.11 80.75<br />
PAT [Nb] 2.4 3.9<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
722 295 [483] 206 283<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
700 100 - - -<br />
AFRICAN PETROLEUM rein<strong>for</strong>ced its strong growth in revenue in the second quarter but there was a<br />
slow down in profit growth. We revise our projected growth in revenue up from 41.2% to 62.3% and after<br />
tax profit growth down from 64.9% to 41.1% <strong>for</strong> AP in 2008. The company’s above industry profit margin<br />
is down from 6.8% in the first quarter to 4.8% in the second. Despite a moderation, earnings per share is<br />
expected to maintain a strong growth <strong>for</strong> the third year running.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term neutral<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
293.98<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-2.3<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 788.8 788.8 745 432 216<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
PO<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P P P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P P<br />
U<br />
37<br />
October November December 2008 February March April May June July T<br />
Bearish<br />
Bearish<br />
Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish Bearish Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 22 5 12 19 26 2 9 17 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
Bullish<br />
25 3 10<br />
March<br />
CHEVRON (410.140, 406.040, 406.040, 410.140, +0.00)<br />
CONOIL (89.3600, 93.8200, 93.8200, 93.8200, +4.46000)<br />
Bearish<br />
17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2<br />
April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
Bearish<br />
16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11<br />
July<br />
August<br />
Bullish<br />
18 25 1 8 15<br />
September<br />
22 2<br />
22 2<br />
480<br />
470<br />
460<br />
450<br />
440<br />
430<br />
420<br />
410<br />
400<br />
390<br />
380<br />
370<br />
360<br />
350<br />
340<br />
330<br />
320<br />
310<br />
300<br />
290<br />
280<br />
270<br />
260<br />
250<br />
240<br />
230<br />
220<br />
210<br />
200<br />
190<br />
185<br />
180<br />
175<br />
170<br />
165<br />
160<br />
155<br />
150<br />
145<br />
140<br />
135<br />
130<br />
125<br />
120<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
75<br />
70<br />
65<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
CHEVRON OIL NIGERIA PLC<br />
FULL YEAR RESULT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
-5.5<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
8.6<br />
[190.6]<br />
-<br />
-<br />
20.3<br />
-<br />
68.6<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
-<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter—June 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 72,600 65,910 51,900 42,400 32,679<br />
Net Profit 2,000 1,310 1,050 824 450<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 22.3<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 47.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 95.3<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
410.14<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-16.80<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+156.3<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Sell<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 8.6<br />
PAT [Nm] [190.63]<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
787 515 414 325 248<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
750 512 410 300 -<br />
Chevron Oil lost about 58% of potential sales volume in the first quarter due to a strike action by the<br />
transport union. While a strong recovery is expected in the remaining quarters, a marginal decline in sales<br />
revenue is likely at full year. The company is expected to return to profit in the second quarter from a loss<br />
position in the first quarter. Earnings and dividend per share prospects indicate that the company isn’t<br />
likely to match the records of the preceding year.<br />
-2.0<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
2 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 254 254 254 254 181<br />
200 moving average +45.3%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 26<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication bearish<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P O<br />
O<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O O<br />
O<br />
O PO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
CONOIL PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
75.1<br />
2.65<br />
3.5<br />
382<br />
21.6<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
153.6<br />
5.6<br />
3.6<br />
807<br />
10.5<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div—4/8/08<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 86,850 90,520 75,530 60,032 34,504<br />
Net Profit 2,600 2,810 2,620 2,213 2,029<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 28.9<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 6.8<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 73.5<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
76.9<br />
115.4<br />
115.8<br />
-<br />
93.82<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+8.71<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+6.2<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Cautious<br />
buy<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 32.9 75.1<br />
PAT [Nb] 1.1 2.65<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
374 404 377 319 351<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
275 275 250 200 350<br />
CONOIL is sustaining a strong recovery from its revenue and profit decline in 2007. It has further improved<br />
revenue and profit growth in the second quarter, which is expected to lead to the highest revenue<br />
growth in four years and the biggest profit lifting in several years. Based on the accelerated growth rate,<br />
we mark up full year revenue growth from 53.1% to 76.9% and net profit from 76.9% to 115.4%. Profit<br />
margin has improved further from 3.3% in the first quarter to 3.5% in the second.<br />
-45.1<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 5<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 694 694 694 694 578<br />
T<br />
200 moving average -6.7%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 8<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O P O OP P<br />
O OO OO<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
O OO P O P O<br />
O O<br />
T<br />
38
420<br />
410<br />
400<br />
390<br />
380<br />
370<br />
360<br />
350<br />
340<br />
330<br />
320<br />
310<br />
300<br />
290<br />
280<br />
270<br />
260<br />
250<br />
240<br />
230<br />
220<br />
210<br />
200<br />
190<br />
180<br />
170<br />
160<br />
300<br />
295<br />
290<br />
285<br />
280<br />
275<br />
270<br />
265<br />
260<br />
255<br />
250<br />
245<br />
240<br />
235<br />
230<br />
225<br />
220<br />
215<br />
210<br />
205<br />
200<br />
195<br />
190<br />
185<br />
180<br />
175<br />
170<br />
165<br />
160<br />
155<br />
150<br />
145<br />
140<br />
135<br />
130<br />
125<br />
120<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
MOBIL (352.140, 348.620, 348.620, 352.140, +3.52002)<br />
420<br />
410<br />
400<br />
390<br />
380<br />
370<br />
360<br />
350<br />
340<br />
330<br />
320<br />
310<br />
300<br />
290<br />
280<br />
270<br />
260<br />
250<br />
240<br />
230<br />
220<br />
210<br />
200<br />
190<br />
180<br />
170<br />
160<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
OANDO (171.910, 170.500, 170.200, 170.200, -1.71001)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
300<br />
295<br />
290<br />
285<br />
280<br />
275<br />
270<br />
265<br />
260<br />
255<br />
250<br />
245<br />
240<br />
235<br />
230<br />
225<br />
220<br />
215<br />
210<br />
205<br />
200<br />
195<br />
190<br />
185<br />
180<br />
175<br />
170<br />
165<br />
160<br />
155<br />
150<br />
145<br />
140<br />
135<br />
130<br />
125<br />
120<br />
115<br />
110<br />
105<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
MOBIL OIL NIGERIA<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
33<br />
1.23<br />
3.7<br />
409<br />
38.3<br />
-<br />
200 moving average +54.1%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 47<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
68.4<br />
2.6<br />
3.8<br />
865<br />
40.4<br />
-<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
-25.4<br />
130.0<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter– September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 54,540 50,810 50,900 46,547 37,108<br />
Net Profit 1,130 1,720 2,420 1,759 1,457<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 10.5<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth -1.2<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 100<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
OANDO PLC<br />
LATEST EARNING REPORT<br />
- 1ST QUARTER<br />
200 moving average - 1.8%<br />
Price trend<br />
upward<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 10<br />
84.0<br />
39<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+90.3<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Watch<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 15.7 33<br />
PAT [Nb] 0.626 1.23<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
470 715 1,008 732 606<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
470 714 910 650 606<br />
MOBIL OIL has improved further its revenue outlook <strong>for</strong> 2008 and profit prospects remain very good.<br />
Second quarter report gives a stronger indication that revenue growth will be stronger in 2008 than any<br />
time in the past three years and profit remains on track to hit a new high after two years of decline. There<br />
was however a slip in net profit margin from 4.0% in the first quarter to 3.7% in the second. Earnings per<br />
share is expected to climb to a three-year peak despite the scrip issue of 1 <strong>for</strong> 4.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
42.5<br />
7.4<br />
352.14<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-3.55<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-8.0<br />
Bonus Issue 2008 2007<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 4<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 2<br />
2004<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 300.5 240.4 240.4 240.4 240.4<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
69.4 265<br />
170.20 +20.2 +36.2 -39.8 Sell<br />
After Tax Profit [Nm] 1.4 5.1<br />
Net Profit Margin [%] 2.0 1.9<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
EPS [K]<br />
203 742 -10.6 Turnover [Nb] 69.4<br />
P/E Ratio [Times] 6.8 29.6<br />
PAT [Nb] 1.4<br />
Interim Dividend [K] -<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
From Year’s<br />
2003 830 489 262<br />
Next Result Expected - 2nd quarter June 2008<br />
High %<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09 2003 600 400 -0.5 250<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 Bonus Issue 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004<br />
Turnover 186 209 183 103.1 63.4<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 5 - - -<br />
Net Profit 4.75 2.8 1.5 1.2 0.792 Vol. of Shares [m] 686.8 572.3 572.3 572.3 572.3<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 35.8<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 58.2<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 72.3<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
OANDO NIGERIA rein<strong>for</strong>ced sales revenue growth in the first quarter and that is expected to make up <strong>for</strong><br />
the decline in 2007. Revenue is however growing ahead of profit, reflecting a decline in profit margin from<br />
2.5% in the 2007 full year to 2.0% in the first quarter. Profit isn’t growing strong enough to match the<br />
increase in the volume of shares from the bonus issue of 1 <strong>for</strong> 5. That is expected to lead to a decline in<br />
earnings per share at current growth rate. We expect profit growth to improve in the coming quarters.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term overbought<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bearish<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P O P O O O<br />
P<br />
P O P<br />
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish<br />
P<br />
P<br />
P<br />
Bullish<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
PP<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P O<br />
O P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
P PO P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
Bearish Bullish Bearish Bearish<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P<br />
O O<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
PP<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P<br />
P P<br />
OO O O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
P O P
Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish Bullish Bearish<br />
Bullish<br />
25 3 10 17 31 7 14 21 5 12 19 26 2 16 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 1 8 15<br />
March April<br />
May<br />
June<br />
July<br />
August<br />
September<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
TOTAL (243.990, 241.560, 241.560, 243.990, +2.43001)<br />
UAC-PROP (26.9100, 26.6500, 26.6500, 26.9100, +0.000)<br />
March April May June July August September T<br />
22 2<br />
300<br />
295<br />
290<br />
285<br />
280<br />
275<br />
270<br />
265<br />
260<br />
255<br />
250<br />
245<br />
240<br />
235<br />
230<br />
225<br />
220<br />
215<br />
210<br />
205<br />
200<br />
195<br />
190<br />
31.0<br />
30.5<br />
30.0<br />
29.5<br />
29.0<br />
28.5<br />
28.0<br />
27.5<br />
27.0<br />
26.5<br />
26.0<br />
25.5<br />
25.0<br />
24.5<br />
24.0<br />
23.5<br />
23.0<br />
22.5<br />
22.0<br />
21.5<br />
21.0<br />
20.5<br />
your edge in stock <strong>market</strong> success<br />
September 30, 2008<br />
TOTAL NIGERIA PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
- 2ND QUARTER<br />
200 moving average +11.2%<br />
Price trend<br />
neutral<br />
10 period volatility extremely low<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 7<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
26.8<br />
46.9<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
85.85<br />
2.23<br />
2.6<br />
656<br />
18.8<br />
-<br />
173.7<br />
4.7<br />
2.7<br />
1,384<br />
21.7<br />
-<br />
44.6<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 22.4 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nb] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 137 126.6 126.6 90 66.8<br />
Net Profit 3.2 2.5 3.6 2.8 2.7<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 20.9<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 7.8<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 99.3<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+35.6<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Cautious<br />
buy<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 41.45 85.85<br />
PAT [Nb] 0.928 2.23<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
957 740 1,061 825 904<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
950 740 950 900 900<br />
TOTAL NIGERIA has accelerated revenue growth further in the second quarter and our turnover growth<br />
projection is revised from 19% to 26.8%, the highest growth in three years. Growth in after tax profit has<br />
also accelerated during the period and we mark up full growth projection from 18.8% to 46.9%. The improved<br />
profit outlook reflects both the improving revenue situation and a gain in net profit margin from 2.2%<br />
in the first quarter to 2.6% in the second. Earnings per share is expected to reach a new peak in the year,<br />
well ahead of the 2005 record.<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication bearish<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
UACN PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT CO PLC<br />
LATEST INTERIM RESULT<br />
2ND QUARTER<br />
Turnover [Nb]<br />
After Tax Profit [Nb]<br />
Net Profit Margin [%]<br />
EPS [K]<br />
P/E Ratio [Times]<br />
Interim Dividend [K]<br />
5.25<br />
1.74<br />
33.1<br />
158<br />
23.4<br />
-<br />
Full Year<br />
Forecast<br />
8.5<br />
2.5<br />
29.4<br />
227<br />
12.3<br />
Full Year Growth<br />
Forecast %<br />
49.1<br />
127.3<br />
Next Result Expected - 3rd quarter - September 2008<br />
Average Ind. P/E Ratio 12.7 Dividend Status – Ex Div<br />
Financial Year End - December 31 Final Result Expected - March 09<br />
Yr. to Dec 31 [Nm] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
Turnover 5,700 5,500 4,550 4,000 2,994<br />
Net Profit 1,100 996 834 449 901<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance Indicators[%]<br />
- 5-year Average Revenue Growth 18.0<br />
- 5-year Average Profit Growth 16.3<br />
- Last Dividend Pay-out Ratio 49.0<br />
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS<br />
127.0<br />
243.99<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
+0.0<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
-17.6<br />
Bonus Issue 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
- - - - 1 <strong>for</strong> 7<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 339.5 339.5 339.5 339.5 297<br />
26.91<br />
P P<br />
P<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
O<br />
P<br />
P O<br />
P<br />
EARNINGS FUNDAMENTALS<br />
One Week<br />
Change N<br />
-0.55<br />
From Jan<br />
Opening %<br />
+11.1<br />
From Year’s<br />
High %<br />
Buy/Sell<br />
Tip<br />
Cautious<br />
buy<br />
Quarterly Results Trend<br />
2008 Q1 - Mar Q2 - Jun Q3 Sept Q4 –Dec<br />
Turnover [Nb] 1.64 5.25<br />
PAT [Nb] 0.371 1.74<br />
EPS [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
100 35 76 20 45<br />
Dividend [K] 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003<br />
49 35 25 20 45<br />
UACN PROPERTY recorded a major improvement in earnings per<strong>for</strong>mance in the second quarter.<br />
A major leap in turnover was accompanied by a strong gain in profit margin. Based on the accelerated<br />
growth rate, we mark up projected growth in revenue from 19.3% to 49.1% at full year. After<br />
tax profit is now projected to grow by 127.3% against the 45.5% earlier projected. The company has<br />
improved net profit margin further from 22.6% in the first quarter to 33.1% in the second.<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
-7.2<br />
Bonus Issue 2007<br />
-<br />
2006<br />
-<br />
2005<br />
-<br />
2004<br />
1 <strong>for</strong> 10<br />
2003<br />
-<br />
Vol. of Shares [m] 1,100 1,100 1,100 1,000 1,000<br />
O<br />
PP<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
O<br />
P<br />
OO<br />
P<br />
OOO<br />
P<br />
PP<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
P<br />
T<br />
200 moving average +8.9%<br />
Price trend<br />
downward<br />
10 period volatility relatively normal<br />
MACD<br />
bullish<br />
Volume flow<br />
mildly bullish<br />
Trend <strong>for</strong>ecast bullish<br />
Current outlook period 13<br />
Trading momentum -<br />
Divergence indication -<br />
Trend indicators<br />
Short-term neutral<br />
Medium-term bullish<br />
Long-term bullish<br />
PP<br />
P<br />
PP<br />
P P<br />
P P<br />
P P P<br />
P<br />
P O O<br />
P O<br />
P P<br />
O<br />
OP O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
O O<br />
O<br />
OO O<br />
O<br />
O<br />
40